Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Mountaineer Park
Wednesday - December 06, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MNR-1   WIN (8/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/3/2)-(8/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (8/3/2)-(3/8/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
MNR-2   WIN (3/8/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/8/1)-(3/8/5/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (3/8/1)-(3/8/5/1)-(3/8/5/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (3/8/1)-(2/7/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/8/1)-(2/7/4)-(3/8/1) 27 $2.00 $54.00 
MNR-3   WIN (2/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/4)-(2/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/7/4)-(3/8/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
MNR-4   WIN (3/8/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/8/1)-(3/8/1/7) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (3/8/1)-(3/8/1/7)-(3/8/1/7) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (3/8/1)-(6/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
MNR-5   WIN (6/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/4)-(6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
MNR-6   WIN (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/6)-(1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/4/6)-(7/2/4)-(1/9/8/7) 36 $2.00 $72.00 
MNR-7   WIN (7/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/4)-(7/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (7/2/4)-(1/9/8/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
MNR-8   WIN (1/9/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/9/8/7)-(1/9/8/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (1/9/8/7)-(1/9/8/7)-(1/9/8/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MNR-1   12/06/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SEB N' SAM         (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 116 15.00    
  (by CIRCUMFERENCE out of TROPICAL MOON by AL MAMOON)
ANDYLITHIC Nov21 Nov12 Oct30 Jul26 Jul16 (cady k)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 4.00 15% 5.80    
  (by NEOLITHIC out of TEQUILA LIGHT by COLONY LIGHT)
THE MONSTER IRUS Nov22 Oct30 Oct03 Sep20 Aug11 (cascallar)HERNANDEZ H 115 6.00 19% 4.20    
  (by FED BIZ out of LILLY BELLE BLUE by LINE OF DAVID)
WILLIAM'S CAUSE Nov13 Oct30 Sep18 Sep05 Aug28 (babcock rebe)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 12.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of CAUSEY by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  OFF TO THE RACES Sep25 Aug23 Jun17 May21 Mar12 (montano wilfrid)REYES FRANK 123 20.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of SWEET REVEILLE by SUAVE)
TRUST FUND ROBBER Nov20 Nov14 Nov06 Oct03 Sep18 (lopez jose )BARRIOS RICARDO 123 15.00    
  (by MR. SIDNEY out of OUR CLEVER SECRET by SEA OF SECRETS)
ARCH EGO Nov12 Oct23 Sep25 Sep01 Jul24 (bright derrick)CULLUM W 123 8.00    
  (by BLAME out of ONE FAST FROG by FIRST SAMURAI)
CONRAD THE RED Nov10 Jun21 May30 Mar22 Feb26 (si)DA FAUSTO 123 1.40 32% 2.10    
  (by TONALIST out of WEST COAST SWING by GONE WEST)
MR. YASUDA Nov21 Oct17 Oct03 Sep20 Sep04 (meals lois)YARANGA Y 123 5.00    
  (by FLAT OUT out of MILLION GIFT by SUNDAY SILENCE)
 
MNR-2   12/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FORTUNA ADIUVAT Nov13 Nov01 Sep06 Aug21 Jul30 (barker jame)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
SHARP JUSTICE Nov26 Nov13 Nov05 Oct16 Oct01 (murillo)BRAVO MISAEL 113 20.00    
BELLE BREZING Nov26 Nov13 Oct27 Oct16 Aug30 (blankenship do)JURADO EDDIE 120 6.00 60% 0.70    
RUN AWAY FEVER Nov21 Nov05 Oct24 Oct01 Aug28 (spiess )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 6.00    
STYLISH PAINT Nov10 Oct20 Oct07 Sep09 Aug12 (brown w)HOUGHTON D 123 3.00    
CALENDULA Nov13 Sep20 Aug23 Aug02 Jun12 (salcedo ramon)GONZALEZ A 120 4.00    
FIANNA HILLS Nov22 Oct31 Oct23 Sep03 Aug07 (barker jame)BARRIOS RICARDO 123 8.00    
ORBITING THE SKY Nov07 Oct16 Oct09 Sep25 Sep05 (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 4.50 12% 7.50    
THE REIGN SONG Nov29 Nov06 Oct24 Oct17 Sep23 (silva pabl)LEON A 118 6.00    
 
MNR-3   12/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($7.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VALENTINA MIA Oct31         (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 5.00    
PROVOLONE Oct24 Oct07 Sep21     (fernandez a)YARANGA Y 123 1.80 34% 1.90    
SENA THE DUCHESS Aug30 Aug15 Feb24 Jan22 Jan11 (montano wilfrid)REYES FRANK 123 12.00    
LEAPIN LEVA Nov26 Nov13 Oct16 Sep25 Aug30 (stanoszek sara)JURADO EDDIE 118 3.50 21% 3.70    
NIKITA Nov13 Oct23 Oct11 Sep17 Sep04 (blackhurst )WILLIAMS AJHARI 118 20.00    
SCR  LA SORAYA         (chavez manu)OLIVEROS CHARLE 118 4.50    
HAUGHTY KITTY Nov19 Nov13 Oct22 Oct08 Sep10 (si)DA FAUSTO 118 4.00 23% 3.40    
 
MNR-4   12/06/2023 1320ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAN SHE SCOOT Oct31 Oct18 Oct08 Sep25 Sep12 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 131 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MS HEADLEY Oct31 Oct08 Sep12 Aug20 Aug01 (cuttino m)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 125 6.00    
GOLDEN NOLE Oct31 Oct18 Oct08 Sep25 Sep12 (london)BATISTA ALBERTO 135 2.00 47% 1.10    
SCR  LIGHT HEARTED Oct25 Oct17 Oct02 Sep13 Aug29 (herri)MONSERRATE A 123 30.00    
REINE SECRET Sep01 Aug12 Jun11 May20   (babcock reb)BARRIOS RICARDO 123 12.00    
SCR  KETO FRIENDLY Oct03 Sep04 Jul25 Jun27 Jun05 (pease harry)LEON A 118 20.00    
WARRIOR EMPRESS Nov08 Nov01 Oct09 Sep13 Aug30 (clouston ed)OLIVEROS CHARLE 125 4.00    
MISS NUCKOLS Oct24 Oct01 Sep11 Aug16 Jul11 (godsey mars)BRACHO A 123 10.00 21% 3.70    
TEL AVIV Oct31 Oct08 Aug30 Aug20 Jul11 (crago t)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 129 5.00    
10  PROMINENT HENNY Oct31 Oct18 Oct08 Sep25 Sep12 (baird michael)PAUCAR E 129 10.00    
11  LADY MARVEL Nov21 Nov07 Oct25 Oct04 Sep19 (van de)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 3.50    
SCR  TREASURED NIKKY Nov21 Oct18 Oct08 Sep25 Aug30 (larue ste)HERNANDEZ H 123 50.00    
SCR  LA SMOOCHIE Nov21 Oct23 Aug12 Jun21 May29 (melancon pa)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 123 30.00    
 
MNR-5   12/06/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANCIENT BROWN Nov12 Oct03 Sep16 Aug23 Jul21 (montano wilfrid)REYES FRANK 123 2.50 19% 4.20    
ESTA CALIENTE Nov22 Nov12 Oct30 Oct17 Sep24 (sanders melind)GILBERT KYLE 123 12.00    
CYBERBURG Nov20 Oct04 Aug16 Jul24 Jul11 (robillard j)WILLIAMS AJHARI 123 20.00    
YESTERDAYSPLAN Nov12 Oct17 Sep24 Sep11 Aug14 (logston chri)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 12.00 15% 5.80    
BEE WINGS Nov22 Nov12 Oct25 Oct16 Sep24 (noland a)VEGA L 123 15.00    
PARTY SWAGGER Nov19 Nov08 Nov01 Sep27 Aug27 (cascallar)HERNANDEZ H 123 3.50 40% 1.50    
SCR  EVENING BIRD Oct04 Sep20 Jun20 Jun05 May22 (si)DA FAUSTO 123 8.00    
MEAN ELENITA Nov22 Nov16 Nov08 Oct18 Oct05 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 111 1.60    
 
MNR-6   12/06/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RULING EMPIRE Nov13 Oct08 Aug22 Jul12 Jun13 (erwin a)BRAVO MISAEL 113 2.00 21% 3.80    
SELLING OUT Nov21 Oct08 Sep05 Aug13 Aug02 (welsh r)GILBERT KYLE 123 8.00    
CAJUN CHAOS Jul19 Jul05 Jun28 May26 Apr27 (montano wilfrid)REYES FRANK 120 15.00    
AMES MISTER Nov20 Oct29 Oct15 Sep27 Oct27 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 123 3.50 20% 4.00    
QUICK ENTRY Nov26 Nov05 Oct22 Oct09 Sep19 (van de)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 10.00    
PRETTY STORMY Nov26 Nov13 Oct24 Oct11 Sep26 (murill)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 20.00 18% 4.40    
SUDDENLY SEDUCTIVE Nov26 Nov13 Oct31 Oct18 Oct03 (spiess shan)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 1.60    
 
MNR-7   12/06/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($18.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARCHARCH CAT Jun06 May24 Apr04 Nov27 Nov14 (urieta johanna)AVILES YAN 118 15.00    
THIRSTY Nov22 Oct30 Oct18 Sep17 Aug25 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 111 3.50 23% 3.40    
MO TOWN BLUES Nov14 Oct23 Oct10 Oct03 Sep17 (cascallar)HERNANDEZ H 121 20.00    
MALPRACTICE MEUSER (GB) Nov05 Oct18 Sep25     (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 8.00 14% 6.30    
BAYTOWN LOVELY Dec31 Dec14 Nov26 Nov04 Oct07 (mcentee paul)BRACHO A 115 3.00    
HERE COMES ELI Nov22 Nov01 Oct16     (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 4.00    
FOUND MY BALL Nov22         (si)DA FAUSTO 120 1.80 31% 2.20    
 
MNR-8   12/06/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EMPEROR'S GOLD Nov05 Sep26 Sep08 Sep02 Aug10 (lopez carlos )BRACHO A 123 1.60 51% 0.90    
HOLY TRUTH Nov13 Sep13 Aug29 Aug15 Jul31 (meeks karl)NELSON TYRONE 123 20.00    
SCR  SKYCRAFT Nov13 Oct29 May01 Apr12 Feb24 (depasquale louis)YARANGA Y 123 6.00    
CONGRATS THIS Oct18 Sep20 Sep08 Jul27 Jul12 (rhoden carlton)GILBERT KYLE 123 4.00    
THE WAYNE FACTOR Oct29 Oct08 Aug07 Jul26 Jul13 (stanoszek sara)DAVILA M 123 30.00    
KRAZY HAWK Nov06 Oct09 Sep21 Aug10 Jul11 (cady khalil)BARRIOS RICARDO 123 20.00    
BOB'S CALLING Nov13 Oct31 Oct18 Sep26 Dec12 (spiess m)PAUCAR E 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
DYNAFORM Nov13 Oct31 Oct18 Oct08 Sep25 (lopez e)JURADO EDDIE 123 8.00 10% 9.30    
MAJOR LLOYD Nov13 Dec14 Nov29 Nov02 Sep28 (gerich frank)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 6.00 13% 6.70    
10  FIND YOUR BOAZ Nov13 Oct31 Sep25 Sep12 Aug21 (geris j)VEGA L 123 8.00    
SCR  YEUDIEL Nov13 Oct29 Nov07 Oct24 Oct10 (montano wilfrid)REYES FRANK 123 10.00    
SCR  SEXY CHOCOLATTE Nov21 Oct31 Oct16 Sep17 Aug16 (jensen ju)HERNANDEZ H 123 4.50    
SCR  GENERAL DIRECTION Oct16 Aug27 Aug09 Jul23 Jun26 (conto kevin)WILLIAMS AJHARI 123 3.00    
SCR  STRONG ATTITUDE Nov22 Oct29 Oct16 Oct10 Sep18 (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 2.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.