Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Delta Downs
Friday - December 01, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DED-1   WIN (6/5/10/4/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/5/10/4/7)-(6/5/10/4/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/5/10/4/7)-(6/5/10/4/7)-(6/5/10/4/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/5/10/4/7)-(3/5/9/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/5/10/4/7)-(3/5/9/6)-(6/2/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
DED-2   WIN (3/5/9/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/9/6)-(3/5/9/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/9/6)-(3/5/9/6)-(3/5/9/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/9/6)-(6/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5/9/6)-(6/2/1)-(5/7/8/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
DED-3   WIN (6/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/1)-(6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/1)-(5/7/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/2/1)-(5/7/8/1)-(5/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
DED-4   WIN (5/7/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/8/1)-(5/7/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/8/1)-(5/7/8/1)-(5/7/8/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/8/1)-(5/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/7/8/1)-(5/6)-(5/1/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
DED-5   WIN (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/6)-(5/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/6)-(5/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/6)-(5/1/6)-(4/3/7/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
DED-6   WIN (5/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/6)-(5/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/6)-(5/1/6)-(5/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/6)-(4/3/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/6)-(4/3/7/5)-(2/3/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
DED-7   WIN (4/3/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/7/5)-(4/3/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/7/5)-(4/3/7/5)-(4/3/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/7/5)-(2/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/3/7/5)-(2/3/5)-(9/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
DED-8   WIN (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/5)-(2/3/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/3/5)-(2/3/5/4)-(2/3/5/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
DED-9   WIN (9/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (9/4)-(9/5/4/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (9/4)-(9/5/4/8)-(9/5/4/8) 12 $0.50 $6.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
DED-1   12/01/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
D W STRONG Oct27 Aug19 May19     (turner denni)EDISON JOCELYN 118 20.00    
C C'S LEGACY Nov17 Oct19 Sep21 Jun23 Jun02 (knudsen ken)MELANCON JANSEN 122 6.00    
WICKED TOUGH Nov17 Oct19 Aug11 Jul13 Jun17 (west henry)STOKES A 123 8.00    
ROLL ON OUT Nov22 Nov04 Aug10 Jun23 Jun01 (knudsen ken)SANTIAGO EDWARD 117 8.00 5% 18.80    
BORDEAUX RED Oct19 Sep12 Jul13 May26 Nov10 (brinkman brett)TORRES HUGO 123 3.50 27% 2.70    
DIRECTIONAL Nov22 Nov09 Aug27 Aug07 Jul30 (villafranco ma)MUNOZ SERGIO 118 5.00 37% 1.70    
BIG RUSSSS Nov17 Oct27 Dec27 Dec08 Nov17 (robbins jr)STOKES J 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
SUNSET WAR Nov17 Oct27 Jan13 Dec27 Sep24 (west henry)ROMAN KEVIN 120 15.00    
FRIEND'S DO CARE Nov18 Aug11 Jul21 Jul07 May26 (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 115 10.00    
10  CABOCHON TREASURE Feb10 Jan20 Jan05 Dec09 Nov25 (rubin donal)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 2.50 11% 8.30    
 
DED-2   12/01/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THUNDER ROAD Sep04 Aug27 Jul31 Jun12 May06 (dodson clifford)TORRES HUGO 119 3.00    
JOEY'S LIGHTENING Nov09 Oct18 Jul28 Jul13 Jun09 (beavin judy)BARRERA J 111 10.00    
BELLA'S GATSBY Oct18 Aug06 Jun26 May21 Jan19 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 116 2.50 29% 2.50    
MESABI Nov01 Sep03 Aug07 Jun18 Jun04 (melancon do)SANTIAGO EDWARD 114 8.00    
ITWASTHISBIG Nov11 Oct20 Sep16 Sep03 Aug14 (arnett g)VARGAS P 118 5.00 17% 4.90    
BELLO CREEDO Nov24 Nov08 Sep10 Aug11 Jul28 (landry allen)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 6.00 14% 6.00    
OXXON Nov11 Oct19 Sep10 Jun11 May08 (nelson r)LOZADA CARLOS 119 12.00    
MAJOR DEAL Nov11 Aug29 Aug12 Jul31 Jul08 (tillis jerry)SALAZAR TERESA 113 20.00    
ZULTAN Oct19 Sep10 Aug04 Jul15 Jun12 (modica oscar)DELCID MARLON 114 10.00 14% 5.90    
 
DED-3   12/01/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SECRET GUITAR Nov01 Sep11 Jul22     (latour nicho)BARRERA J 117 4.50 12% 7.30    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of BROOK'S SECRET by HENNY HUGHES)
TENSAS LU LU         (broberg karl)THORNTON G 122 3.50 21% 3.80    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of PRINCESS LU LU by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
REMEMBERIN RONALD Aug05 Jul20 Jul07 Jun16 May05 (robinsjr aa)SANTIAGO EDWARD 118 6.00    
  (by TAKEOVER TARGET out of STREET BLUSH by STREET BOSS)
CRIMSON GLORY Feb24 Feb03       (chatters benard)BIRZER E 122 8.00    
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of SANDONA GIRL by DISCREET CAT)
MYWARRIORSPRINCESS Nov01         (nixon thomas )LOZADA CARLOS 122 15.00    
  (by YOCKEY'S WARRIOR out of UNBRIDLED SUNSHINE by UNTUTTABLE)
LUYV Nov01 Oct19 Jul09 Jun23 May28 (goins garland)MUNOZ SERGIO 117 2.00 47% 1.10    
  (by YOCKEY'S WARRIOR out of SOUTHPINE by LAABITY)
ROXIE'S IMAGE Nov01         (dison m)POMPELL L 122 8.00    
  (by ZONG out of GLITTER ROX by GLITTERMAN)
SCR  TARKINGTON GIRL Nov21 Apr12 Mar25 Feb11 Nov26 (ali a)EDISON JOCELYN 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ASTROLOGY out of OPEN RATE by INTEREST RATE)
 
DED-4   12/01/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SABER STORM Nov09 Oct11 Jul22 Jun15 May10 (delany sarah)FUSILIER C 121 6.00 9% 9.90    
NOW NOW MAN Nov11 Oct18 Jul31 Jul01 Dec09 (nelson r)MUNOZ SERGIO 114 12.00    
CUSTOMIZE MY QUEST Oct06 Jul31 Jun12 May18 Apr22 (larrosa juan )DELCID MARLON 114 15.00    
MIND ON MY MONEY Oct20 Aug27 Jul09 Jun23 May29 (mojica edith )LOZADA CARLOS 119 8.00    
HEZA PICKLE Nov10 Oct26 Oct06 Sep11 Aug14 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 119 1.80 39% 1.60    
JOEBOY Nov22 Aug21 Jul31 May27 May15 (beavin judy)MELANCON JANSEN 119 15.00    
J C'S IN TOWN Oct20 Sep03 Jul31 Jul03 Jun10 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 119 3.00 20% 4.00    
SARAH'S VISION Oct28 Jul23 Jun10 May20 Apr21 (klanfer alan)BARRERA J 114 4.50 11% 8.10    
 
DED-5   12/01/2023 4620ft DIRT RC6 MUDDY Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONCE UPON A DREAM Oct26 Sep01 Aug20 Aug07 Jul15 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 118 8.00    
DAVIDIC LINE Oct26 Sep23 Sep10 Aug19 Jul16 (arnett jon )DEL-CID VICENTE 119 2.50    
PAYNT BATTLE Nov04 Oct14 Sep12 Aug28 Aug04 (zenon shelto)BARRERA J 114 15.00    
GOLDEN QUALITY Nov18 Nov01 Oct19 Jul28 Jul13 (mojica edith )LOZADA CARLOS 119 12.00    
RUNTODAY Nov22 Oct19 Aug17 Jul16 Apr28 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 122 3.50 16% 5.20    
JOLLY TOMMY Nov17 Oct28 Aug12 Jul27 Jul07 (knudsen ken)MELANCON JANSEN 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DOCTOR LEO Nov21 Nov08 Oct26 Aug21 Jul29 (broberg karl)ROSIER R 120 4.00    
SCR  I WILL STAND Oct14 Aug30 Jul19     (richard chris)VARGAS P 119 5.00 59% 0.70    
 
DED-6   12/01/2023 3300ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZOEY'S HIPPIE Nov09 Oct12 Nov04 Oct12 Aug12 (segura kear)DEL-CID VICENTE 116 4.00 18% 4.50    
BRAZEN BULL Aug26 Jun23 May20 Apr23   (evans justi)MELANCON JANSEN 118 3.00    
CAPTAIN COOL Dec02 Nov11 Oct05 Jan20   (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 119 6.00    
MAYFIELD STRONG Sep01 Jun02 Apr28 Mar30 Sep14 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 118 5.00    
ETNICO Jul02 May29 Mar25 Feb11   (loza jr)NEGRON LUIS 118 2.00 35% 1.90    
AUX ARCS Oct19 Aug20 Jul31 Jun26 Jun04 (borel renay)BOREL H 119 12.00 18% 4.70    
MACHO FORTY FIVE Nov03 Sep23 Sep16 Sep01 Aug06 (guillory henry )ROMAN KEVIN 119 12.00    
 
DED-7   12/01/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REINA ACES Nov17 Oct27 Oct12 Aug20 Jul30 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 4.50    
SWEET STORMY ELLE Nov21 Jan04 Dec15 Nov16 Oct29 (dixon tim)TORRES HUGO 123 15.00    
PAYTON'S INDIAN Oct25 Aug05 Jun30 Jun08 May03 (borel renay)BOREL H 122 8.00 19% 4.30    
CAT B CAUSE Aug10 Jul21 Jul03 Jun19 May27 (alberto ant)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 4.00 51% 1.00    
ZIPPING MOLLY Nov02 Aug10 Jul01 Jun15 May12 (robbins jr)STOKES J 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
JULIO CHOICE Nov17 Nov02 Oct12 Aug20 Jul20 (mojica edith )LOZADA CARLOS 123 6.00    
GOTTEMINABIND Oct12 Aug20 Jul28 Jul01 May30 (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 118 8.00 6% 17.00    
LITTLE Z Nov21 Oct25 Sep11 Sep02 Jul29 (nelson r)MUNOZ SERGIO 118 15.00    
SCR  WHO DAT GINGER Nov17 Oct25 Jul29 Jun10 Apr26 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 123 2.50    
 
DED-8   12/01/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($36K) 2 ALL PT- 9:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAUGHT OFF GUARD Nov10 Oct20       (berndt joel)BIRZER E 118 8.00    
FROSTY VIEW Nov09 Sep09 Aug26     (berndt joel)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 3.50 64% 0.60    
MAGICAL MARK Nov09 Sep24 Jul02 May11   (broberg karl)THORNTON G 118 2.50 9% 10.20    
RUNLIKECARL Nov10 Sep17 Aug03 Jul19 Jun19 (richard chr)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 4.50    
FLAT OUT RUNNER Oct21         (broberg karl)ROSIER R 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
BOBBY BOY Oct28 Oct13 Jul28 Jul08 Jun03 (noel dane)VARGAS P 115 10.00    
GHOSTLY TIME Nov09 Aug29 Aug12 Jul03   (johnson b)POMPELL L 118 15.00    
C D'S WILD FIRE Nov09 Aug05 Jun05     (guzman adan)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 115 15.00    
OTRA COSA Oct26 Aug05 Jul20     (ali andrea )MELANCON JANSEN 118 6.00    
 
DED-9   12/01/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILDCATS'S MEOW Oct18 Aug11 Jul27 Jul07 Jun23 (mojica edith )LOZADA CARLOS 122 12.00    
R AND R STAR Nov10 May25 Jan27 Jan17 Jan03 (nichols bes)LEDET THEODRICK 120 20.00    
WAUCHULA Nov04 Oct07       (bernar)RUIZ GARCIA 120 20.00    
KILO KEY Nov04 Oct11 Aug27 Aug12 Apr02 (melancon do)SANTIAGO EDWARD 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
MOON TIME Nov17 Oct27 Aug27 Jul03 Jun24 (pierce mich)MELANCON JANSEN 122 3.50    
CALL ME FIREY Nov17 Oct27 Aug03 Jul13 Jun09 (dison ma)STOKES A 122 10.00    
MR. NUMERO UNO Nov08 Oct18 Dec28 Dec08 Nov04 (roberts roy)ROSIER R 120 6.00    
LISA'S GUY Nov04         (melancon don)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 5.00    
DR. SNYDER Oct26 Aug10 Jun17 May04 Mar24 (landry r)THORNTON G 122 2.00 77% 0.30    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.