Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Finger Lakes
Monday - November 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FL-1   WIN (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/4)-(1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/4)-(2/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-2   WIN (2/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/1)-(2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/1)-(4/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/3/1)-(4/2/6)-(2/10/9) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
FL-3   WIN (4/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/6)-(4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/6)-(2/10/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/6)-(2/10/9)-(3/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
FL-4   WIN (2/10/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/10/9)-(2/10/4/9/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/10/9)-(2/10/4/9/1)-(2/10/4/9/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/10/9)-(3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/10/9)-(3/2)-(2/5/8) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
FL-5   WIN (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/2)-(3/2/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/2)-(3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (3/2)-(2/5/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
FL-6   WIN (2/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/8)-(2/5/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/8)-(2/5/8)-(2/5/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/8)-(7/5/11/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-7   WIN (7/5/11/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/11/8)-(7/5/11/8/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/5/11/8)-(7/5/11/8/4)-(7/5/11/8/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/5/11/8)-(3/8/4/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/5/11/8)-(3/8/4/6)-(11/5/3/8/10) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
FL-8   WIN (3/8/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/4/6)-(3/8/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/8/4/6)-(3/8/4/6)-(3/8/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/8/4/6)-(11/5/3/8/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
FL-9   WIN (11/5/3/8/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/5/3/8/10)-(11/5/3/8/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/5/3/8/10)-(11/5/3/8/10)-(11/5/3/8/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FL-1   11/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HUTCH Nov07 Oct24 Oct10 Sep18 Aug22 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 3.00 35% 1.80    
2  ESCAPE MISSION Oct24 Sep27 Aug28 Aug09 Jul10 (breed ronald )DAVILA A 124 4.00 20% 4.10    
3  ERIDROMOS Nov07 Oct18 Sep25 Sep06 Aug04 (lugovich l)FRET STEVEN 124 2.00    
4  B C GLORY DAYS Nov07 Oct24 Oct04 Sep20 Sep12 (gutierrez luis )ROHENA JR 124 6.00 15% 5.50    
5  THIRTY OYSTERS Nov07 Oct24 Oct10 Sep27 Sep11 (d'alessandr)CAMILO D 121 8.00    
6  TRITON'S CREED Nov06 Oct23 Oct02 Sep13 Aug07 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 124 5.00    
7  EIGHT SUNSET DRIVE Nov06 Oct24 Sep26 Sep13 Jul19 (cook w)VENTURA JOSE 121 15.00    
 
FL-2   11/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.2K) 3UP ALL PT-12:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNDER THE KNIFE Oct16 Sep04 Aug20 Jul21 Jun28 (englehart )DE EMANUEL 121 3.50 11% 8.10    
2  HAPPY BOB Nov11 Sep14 Aug16 Aug04 Jul19 (schettin)DAVIS A 124 2.00 47% 1.10    
3  BUSTING CREDIT Oct24 Oct02 Sep04 Aug21 Jul24 (barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 124 3.00 20% 3.90    
4  DANCINWITHJAKE Nov07 Oct25 Oct16 Oct02 Sep18 (progno michael )ROHENA JR 120 12.00    
5  CAPTAINOFMYHEART Oct24 Oct11 Aug28 Aug15 Aug02 (dixon linda)FLORES JEREMIAS 121 5.00    
6  N Y RIESLING Oct11 Sep04 Aug14 Jul31 Jun21 (dixon k)ALVARADO R 121 5.00    
 
FL-3   11/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  M. C. DOUBLE R Nov07 Oct24 Sep26 Sep12 Aug29 (huertas )DAVIS A 121 6.00    
2  GONNA BE DANCING Oct24 Sep20 Aug29 Aug01 Jul12 (breed ronald )DAVILA A 124 5.00 21% 3.80    
3  IRON HORIZON Oct24 Sep26 Sep13 Aug30 Aug16 (d'aless)NAVARRO J 124 3.50    
4  UP FOR ADVENTURE Oct23 Oct10 Sep12 Aug21 Jul31 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 124 2.50 33% 2.00    
5  ONE FOR MY BROTHER Oct24 Oct11 Sep27 Sep13 Aug23 (barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 121 4.50    
6  BUMBLE MONSTER Oct24 Sep20 Aug29 Aug15 Aug01 (grusmark karl)COA J 124 12.00 14% 5.90    
7  THUNDERING MARCH Nov07 Oct24 Sep26 Sep12 Aug15 (buckley jonathan )PEREZ E 124 4.00    
 
FL-4   11/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 2 ALL PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ON CLOUD WINE         (smi)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 8.00 ★    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of R FROSTY ONE by SOUTHERN SUCCESS)
SCR  SEAMS LIKE DESTINY Oct18         (smith troy)DAVILA A 120 8.00    
  (by DESTIN out of BUSTINATTHESEAMS by BUSTIN STONES)
2  STEWIE Oct18 Sep06       (englehart chr)DAVILA R 120 3.00 50% 1.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of UNIQUELY MINE by MINESHAFT)
3  GO GRAD Oct18 Sep25       (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 120 15.00    
  (by CONGRATS out of FLASHY NOTE by CATIENUS)
4  MISCHIEF EXPOSED Oct11 Sep11       (caramori)DAVIS A 120 4.00 ★    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of EXPOSURE by COLONEL JOHN)
5  SMILE TAKES CHARGE Oct19 Sep04       (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 120 10.00    
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of DROSELMEYR'S SMILE by DROSSELMEYER)
6  JOE WEST         (acquila)NAVARRO J 120 8.00    
  (by DESTIN out of BELONGS TO DIXIE by BELONG TO ME)
7  PEACEFULPERSUASION Oct18         (dixon k)ALVARADO R 120 20.00    
  (by PEACE AND JUSTICE out of LAKE SQUARED by FRIENDS LAKE)
8  THAT WORKS Oct09 Sep27       (ferraro michae)COA J 120 15.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of PAVED WITH GOLD by STREET SENSE)
9  MOR VALOR         (fung christophe)ROHENA JR 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of MAKOO by MAJORITY OF ONE)
10  PROFITABILITY Oct18         (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 3.50 27% 2.80    
  (by MISSION IMPAZIBLE out of VICKI T by STREET SENSE)
11  BANKER BLAYNEY Sep09         (buckley jonathan )PEREZ E 120 15.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of ALVA T SOUP by ALPHABET SOUP)
 
FL-5   11/20/2023 6270ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOOKIN GRAND Oct23 Oct11 Sep27 Sep18 Sep04 (fun)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 15.00    
2  WITH KNOW NAME Nov06 Oct21 Aug10 Oct30 Sep22 (torelli stacy)BAEZ JOSE 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  POT OF GOLD Oct17 Oct02 Sep04 Aug07 Apr16 (englehart )DE EMANUEL 121 2.50 71% 0.40    
4  REUNION TOUR Nov06 Oct23 Sep26 Aug29 Jul19 (d'aless)NAVARRO J 124 5.00    
5  STORMANDY Nov06 Oct10 Sep12 Aug21 Aug09 (ferraro michae)COA J 121 3.50 ★    
6  SHE SPEAKS WELL Nov06 Oct23 Oct10 Oct02 Sep18 (maver eduardo)ALVARADO R 124 8.00    
SCR  INAPPROPRIATE Oct25 Oct12 Oct02 Aug28 Jul24 (gutterson kat)DAVILA A 124 5.00    
8  RILEY BEE Nov06 Oct24 Oct10 Sep26 Sep12 (lopez ar)DAVIS A 121 15.00    
 
FL-6   11/20/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ICE LOVE Oct30 Oct03 Sep19 Aug14 Jul25 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 122 8.00    
2  ISABEL LUVS GOLD Oct23 Sep19 Sep04 Aug14 Jul25 (ferraro michae)COA J 119 3.50 40% 1.50    
3  CAPITAL GAL Oct30 Sep19 Aug28 Jul25 Jun21 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 2.50    
4  THE NEW MIAMI Oct31 Oct18 Oct04 Sep18 Aug29 (vasquez ram)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 5.00    
5  STAY HOME MAMA Oct30 Oct04 Sep20 Aug28 Aug09 (miller-saul beth)CRUZ JOEL 122 4.00 29% 2.40    
6  MISS PAB Nov08 Oct10 Sep13 Aug21 Aug09 (gutierre)DAVIS A 122 20.00    
SCR  STARTED WITH STARS Oct16 Sep11 Aug02 Jun21 Jan13 (englehart )DE EMANUEL 122 6.00    
8  JOEYBIGNOSE Nov07 Oct05 Sep04 Jun18 May18 (bre)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
FL-7   11/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 2 F PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNBRIDLED SISTER Nov06         (huertas nirka)PEREZ E 120 20.00    
  (by STEPHANOATSEE out of BEAUTIFUL HELEN by PRIME TIMBER)
2  DR G AND ALI Oct18 Sep27       (dixon linda)CAMILO D 120 20.00    
  (by BUSTIN STONES out of OVERDRIVE by BELLAMY ROAD)
3  WIDOW Oct18         (iorio jr)ROHENA JR 120 20.00    
  (by DESTIN out of EPONYMOUS by UTOPIA (JPN))
4  DREAMERY Aug12 Jul27 Jun23     (sells rach)DE EMANUEL 120 4.00 ★    
  (by MASTERY out of DREAMER'S PROSPECT by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
5  DORTH'S SOL DANCER Oct10 Sep21 Aug28 Aug09   (ferraro anth)COA J 120 3.00 29% 2.50    
  (by SOLOMINI out of SECRET CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
6  REGENERATOR Oct20 Sep01 Jul27     (englehart chr)DAVILA R 120 10.00    
  (by AL KHALI out of MISS SPLASH by HUSBAND)
7  MIAMI TWOFER Oct18 Sep27 Aug28     (grusmark karl)CRUZ JOEL 120 3.50 41% 1.50    
  (by DISCO PARTNER out of SKIPPIN' CHURCH by ARCHARCHARCH)
8  NURSE BUNNY         (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BUSTIN STONES out of JULIANN'S APPROVAL by COMEONMOM)
9  WORLD BANK Nov06         (sells rachel)SONE Y 120 10.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of DONYA by ANABAA)
SCR  LADY LAWRENCE         (progno )NAVARRO J 120 8.00    
  (by ALTERNATION out of BEAUTIFUL NITE SKY by ASTROLOGY)
11  PLAYING WITH DOLLS         (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 6.00 7% 14.30    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of ANY VALID SATURDAY by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
12  STONE POWER Nov01 Oct18 Sep11     (dixon k)ALVARADO R 120 15.00    
  (by BUSTIN STONES out of SHUFFLE THE DECK by HIGH YIELD)
 
FL-8   11/20/2023 6600ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INTERSTATE Nov08 Oct18 Oct10 Sep25 Sep12 (lopez arca)DE EMANUEL 120 20.00    
2  KODIAK BROWN Oct23 Oct11 Sep11 Aug14 Jul17 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 124 8.00    
3  HORSE BE WITH YOU Oct23 Oct04 Sep18 Aug28 Apr05 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 3.50 42% 1.40    
4  COACH BAHE Oct18 Oct04 Aug29 Jul19 Jun28 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 3.00 14% 6.30    
5  COUNT FROST Oct23 Oct06 Sep11 Aug31 Aug17 (caramori)DAVIS A 120 6.00    
6  WHAT'S MY CATEGORY Nov08 Oct24 Oct10 Sep25 Sep04 (grusmark karl)CRUZ JOEL 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  JITTER JUICE Oct11 Sep20 Sep05 Jun12 Nov01 (ferraro michael)DIAZ J 113 6.00    
8  OUR MAN MIKE Oct23 Oct04 Sep25 Sep11 Aug22 (ferraro michae)COA J 120 4.00 21% 3.70    
9  ACH DU LIEBER Nov08 Oct18 Sep24 Aug31 Aug16 (breed ronald )DAVILA A 120 15.00    
 
FL-9   11/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INVESTMENT GRADE Nov07 Oct24 Oct10 Sep26 Sep12 (morales samuel)VENTURA JOSE 122 20.00    
SCR  THEFABULOUS MOOLAH Oct31 Oct16 Oct04 Sep11 Aug21 (morales samuel)VENTURA JOSE 122 20.00    
SCR  BOY IS SHE A LADY Oct31 Oct23 Sep20 Aug22 Jul24 (dixon k)DAVILA R 121 4.50    
3  TREATHERLIKESTAR Nov07 Oct24 Oct10 Sep11 Aug21 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 124 4.00 11% 8.00    
4  KATERI EMPIRE Nov07 Oct24 Oct10 Sep26 Sep18 (cabrera )DAVIS A 124 20.00    
5  MAKEAJOYFULNOISE Nov07 Jul31 Jul19 Jul04 Jun19 (murphy timothy)ALVARADO R 122 5.00 22% 3.60    
6  CAT GLASSES KATHY Nov07 Oct24 Oct10 Sep12 Aug15 (loaiza ilmar)CRUZ JOEL 122 10.00    
7  LET'S MAGA Nov08 Sep26 Sep12 Aug23 Aug15 (oyola david)DAVILA A 122 10.00    
8  BAYOU MELODY Nov07 Oct09 Sep20 Aug23 Jul24 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 6.00 9% 9.90    
9  LA LIMA Nov07 Oct24 Oct10 Sep13 Oct09 (loa)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 8.00    
10  BANKERS DAUGHTER Oct18 Sep20 Aug21 Aug02 Jul19 (d'aless)NAVARRO J 122 6.00 8% 11.70    
11  THROWING STONES Nov08 Oct24 Sep26 Aug29 Jul31 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 3.00 28% 2.60    
12  LADY MISTRESS Nov01 Oct24 Oct16 Oct02 Mar31 (cotrone denise)ROHENA JR 124 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.