Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Finger Lakes
Tuesday - November 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FL-1   WIN (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/2)-(5/6/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/2)-(5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (5/2)-(5/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
FL-2   WIN (5/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/6)-(5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/6)-(5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/2/6)-(5/2)-(7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-3   WIN (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/2)-(5/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/2)-(7/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (5/2)-(7/2)-(6/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-4   WIN (7/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/2)-(7/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (7/2)-(6/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
FL-5   WIN (6/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/7)-(6/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/7)-(6/4/7)-(6/4/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/7)-(3/5/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-6   WIN (3/5/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/1/8)-(3/5/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/1/8)-(3/5/1/8)-(3/5/1/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/1/8)-(8/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5/1/8)-(8/6/3)-(5/9/8/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
FL-7   WIN (8/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/6/3)-(8/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/6/3)-(8/6/3)-(8/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/6/3)-(5/9/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-8   WIN (5/9/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/9/8/2)-(5/9/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/9/8/2)-(5/9/8/2)-(5/9/8/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FL-1   11/14/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHOOPTHEREITIS Oct23 Oct05 Sep04 Aug07 Jul17 (englehart )DE EMANUEL 121 6.00    
2  STREET COP OFFICER Oct25 Oct02 Sep06 Aug22 Aug07 (sells rache)FLORES JEREMIAS 121 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  STOP THE SPREAD Oct17 Sep20 Aug04 Jul20 Jun10 (caramori)DAVIS A 124 5.00    
4  TIZ LUCKY Oct31 Oct17 Oct02 Sep06 Aug02 (miller-saul beth)CRUZ JOEL 121 4.00    
5  ALTERNATE REALITY Oct08 Sep21 Aug25 Jul01 May27 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 119 2.50 61% 0.70    
6  WYNN GIANT Oct25 Oct09 Aug28 Jul17 Jun27 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 119 3.00 ★    
7  RAW COURAGE Oct24 Oct10 Sep18 Sep04 May26 (ashley julius)DAVILA A 122 15.00    
 
FL-2   11/14/2023 5940ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.8K) 3UP ALL PT-12:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAD MAGIC Nov01 Oct16 Jul15 Jul01 May11 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 124 3.50    
2  MY COOL HAND LUKE Oct16 Sep25       (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 121 6.00 11% 8.00    
3  AMERICAN HALITE Oct31 Oct02 Sep06 Jul24 Jul10 (bartlett)DAVIS A 121 2.50    
4  PARTY NEWS Oct31 Oct17 Oct02 Sep06 Aug15 (maver eduardo)ALVARADO R 124 5.00    
5  ATLANTA'S ACUNA Nov04 Sep21 Aug30 Jul30 Jun03 (bar)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 1.60 52% 0.90    
6  BILLIEVE IN JOSH Oct16 Oct02 Jun21 Jun02 Oct19 (ficarella brook)ROHENA JR 121 15.00 9% 9.50    
 
FL-3   11/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INVALUABLE WILL Oct09 Sep20 Aug14 Aug01 Jul17 (breed a)ROHENA JR 118 4.00    
2  TOMMY THE TORCH Oct17 Sep19 Sep05 Aug21 Aug08 (murphy timothy)ALVARADO R 118 8.00 7% 13.30    
3  NUMBER ONE DILLON Nov01 Oct03 Sep04 Aug09 Jul31 (huertas)NAVARRO J 126 5.00    
SCR  KNIGHT OFTHE CROWN Sep26 Aug22 Aug08 Jul19 Jun28 (dix)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 12.00    
5  FIERY HEART Oct09 Sep20 Aug28 Aug02 Jul12 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 126 0.50 66% 0.50    
 
FL-4   11/14/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOLIB Nov03 Oct22 Sep24 Aug12 Jul15 (dix)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 2.50    
2  WARSAICHI Oct23 Oct04 Aug21 Jul31 Jul04 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 121 3.00 28% 2.60    
SCR  SHESAWILDJOKER Sep01 Jul31 Jul12 Jun21 May31 (bartlett william )CRUZ JOEL 122 6.00    
SCR  INOUAINTALKINTOME Oct31 Oct23 Oct04 Sep20 Sep11 (huertas)NAVARRO J 122 10.00    
5  FLATTERY'S MUSIC Oct23 Oct09 Sep06 Aug23 Aug02 (sabine michael )ROHENA JR 122 10.00    
6  OUR LITTLE TIGER Oct23 Sep06 Aug07 Jul11 Jun21 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 5.00    
7  SANDY'S GARDEN Sep24 Sep02 Jul29 Jun21 May23 (grabowsk)DAVIS A 122 4.00 37% 1.70    
 
FL-5   11/14/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PERSISTENT DANGER Oct10 May24 May09 Apr25 Feb23 (sells rache)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 8.00    
2  BAY BANK Oct11 Sep25 Aug23 Jul08   (englehart )DE EMANUEL 119 6.00    
3  GOLD IN THEM HILLS Oct31 Oct03 Sep04 Aug21 Feb20 (d'alessandro )NAVARRO KEVIN 119 5.00    
4  MO TRUMP Oct31 Oct16 Oct02 Aug02 Jul17 (ferraro )DAVIS A 121 3.00 21% 3.90    
5  LUCKY MUCHO MAN Oct31 Oct18 Sep27 Sep11 Sep01 (vasquez ramon)ROHENA M 122 8.00    
6  HOT ROD RUMBLE Oct31 Oct01 Sep02 Jul21 Jul30 (jac)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 2.50 37% 1.70    
7  POMPOUS PRINCE Oct25 Oct03 Jul29 Jul02 May25 (ferraro anth)COA J 119 4.00 13% 6.60    
 
FL-6   11/14/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHUBACHUBACHOCHOO Sep20 Aug30 Jul31     (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 4.00 10% 8.70    
2  EMPRESS PALPATINE Oct31 Oct17 Sep18 Aug23 Aug09 (henry n)VENTURA JOSE 124 6.00    
3  MIDNIGHT MINDSET Oct17 Sep06 Aug09 Jul11 Jun14 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 3.00 45% 1.20    
4  SWEET TOOTH SUE Oct31 Oct17 Oct03 Aug23 Aug02 (marino e)ROHENA JR 124 12.00    
5  MIDNIGHT EMPRESS Oct31 Oct17 Sep13 Aug30 Aug16 (buckley)NAVARRO J 121 2.50 10% 8.70    
6  SCOUTING PARTY Oct11 Sep27 Sep13 Aug30 Aug08 (sells rach)DE EMANUEL 121 12.00    
7  TINA BURNER Oct31 Oct17 Oct03 Aug09 Jul17 (sells ra)DAVIS A 124 8.00    
8  MOOLAH ROUGE Oct17 Sep18 Jul26 Jul05 Jun13 (lecesse michae)COA J 121 10.00 8% 12.20    
 
FL-7   11/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EASY PLAY Oct03 Sep02 Aug08 Jun19 May29 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 120 10.00    
2  TAKE CHARGECHRISTY Oct24 Sep13 Jun26 May30 Nov02 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 8.00    
3  TOSCONOVA BEAUTY Oct24 Sep02 Aug11 Jul09 Jun15 (dixon k)ALVARADO R 120 10.00 7% 12.90    
4  EROS'S GIRL Oct02 Sep13 Jul26 Jul12 May30 (ferraro anthony)CRUZ JOEL 120 8.00    
SCR  CUZ UR PRETTY Aug16 Jun27 May17 Apr24 Aug10 (pro)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 117 2.00    
6  TRUE EMPRESS Oct24 Oct03 Aug30 Aug09 Jul12 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 120 3.00 31% 2.20    
7  SHESASCOLDASICE Oct19 Oct02 Sep04 Jul26 Jul11 (ferraro )DAVIS A 120 15.00    
8  GONE AND FORGOTTEN Oct24 Oct02 Aug14 Jul12 Jun14 (ferraro michae)COA J 120 2.50 34% 1.90    
 
FL-8   11/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOLEY MATRIMONY Oct18 Oct04 Sep20 Sep04 Aug23 (gutierrez lui)DAVILA A 122 4.00    
2  HOT ROD LINCOLN Sep26 Sep13 Sep05 Aug21 Aug09 (huertas)NAVARRO J 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LEGENDARY BID Oct31 Oct17 Jul05 Jun20 Nov23 (sabine michael )ROHENA JR 122 20.00    
4  THEJIGISUP Oct31 Oct17 Oct03 Sep03 Aug06 (breed jr)CRUZ JOEL 122 10.00    
5  NORTH COAST (IRE) Oct31 Sep19 Sep04 Aug14 Jul12 (ferraro anth)COA J 122 5.00 36% 1.80    
6  OUTSTANDING DEBT Nov21 Nov09       (cotrone )DAVIS A 122 20.00    
7  STUD PUPPY Oct24 Sep19 Jul08 Jun10 Apr30 (iorio jr)FRET STEVEN 122 20.00    
8  CLINGMAN Oct04 Sep20 Aug28 Aug14 Jul12 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 8.00 7% 13.30    
9  HYPER SPEED Aug15 Jul24 Jun21 May23 Apr27 (englehart )DE EMANUEL 119 3.00 35% 1.90    
10  JUGGLER Oct24 Aug02 Jun25 May29 May05 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 3.50    
SCR  TAKE THE EDGE Oct30 Oct10 Sep13 Sep05 Aug22 (babcock edwa)BERRIOS C 122 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.