Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Columbus
Saturday - October 07, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CLS-1   WIN (5/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/6)-(5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/6)-(2/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CLS-2   WIN (2/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/1)-(2/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/7/1)-(2/7/1)-(2/7/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
CLS-3   WIN (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/4)-(3/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (3/4)-(5/6/1)-(2/8/4/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CLS-4   WIN (5/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/1)-(5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
CLS-5   WIN (2/8/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/4/7)-(2/8/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/4/7)-(2/8/4/7)-(2/8/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
CLS-6   WIN (7/6/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/3/1)-(7/6/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/3/1)-(7/6/3/1)-(7/6/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/6/3/1)-(7/8/1)-(4/2/1/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CLS-7   WIN (7/8/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/8/1)-(7/8/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/8/1)-(7/8/1)-(7/8/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/8/1)-(4/2/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CLS-8   WIN (4/2/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/1/6)-(4/2/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/1/6)-(4/2/1/6)-(4/2/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CLS-1   10/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($6.5K) 3 F PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAY B BETTER May20 Mar10 Feb24     (hoffman robert)LUARK T 122 12.00    
  (by MONHOCRACY out of PRINCESS PATTY B by ALPHABET SOUP)
PIZZA GIRL Sep03 Aug19 Aug06 Jul23 May14 (burns dale)RAMOS B 122 10.00    
  (by DELHOMME out of PIZZA by BUDDHA)
AUNT CARI Aug19 Aug06 Jul17 Jun17 May20 (lemburg mark)MARTINEZ A 122 6.00    
  (by MOONSHINE MULLIN out of NEVER ENDS by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
BEACH BABY Sep22 Sep09 Aug12 Jul28   (dieter dalton)ZIMMERMAN R 122 2.50 23% 3.30    
  (by KLIMT out of SURF RIDE by SCAT DADDY)
DANZINGWITHROYALTY Sep16 Aug20       (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 122 3.00 24% 3.10    
  (by TRAPPE SHOT out of ROYAL MARQUE by CHAPEL ROYAL)
SHEZA REAL DEAL Sep16 Aug30 Aug09     (hoffman robert)MCNEIL BRYAN 122 3.50 17% 5.10    
  (by GRAY METEOR out of BIG DEAL FOR REAL by MILITARY)
 
CLS-2   10/07/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($7.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOGE OF VENICE Sep10 Aug26 Aug05 Jul21 Jul07 (thompson grady)MCNEIL BRYAN 123 8.00 11% 8.20    
PRINCE OTTO Sep30 Sep03 Aug13 Jul23 Jul03 (esquibel mark)RAMOS B 125 2.50 32% 2.10    
BORN TO RACE Sep02 Aug21 Jul31 Jul17 Jul03 (chavez juan)MARTINEZ A 125 6.00    
AFTER BURN Sep30 Sep10 Sep02 Aug20 Aug06 (womochil jeff)GARNETT G 125 10.00    
APOLLO BAY Sep23 Sep02 Aug19 Jul30 Jul10 (donlin lar)WELLINGTON KYLIE 120 3.50    
DIXIE THREE G Sep23 Aug21 Jul15 Oct01 Sep16 (dieter dalton)ZIMMERMAN R 125 4.00    
KAL EL Sep16 Sep04 Aug24 Aug03 Jul03 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 125 3.00 29% 2.40    
 
CLS-3   10/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Columbus Maturity Matron Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
P R GIRLFRIEND Jun04 Jun03 Apr28 Apr16 Mar25 (mcclai)FLETCHER D 120 8.00    
  (by GOLD SCHLEIGER out of DABRIA by GIO PONTI)
INEWAGALLIKETHAT Jun04 Jun03 Apr07 Mar25 Mar03 (musquiz j)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 3.00    
  (by MONHOCRACY out of TROPHY CLUB by EARLY FLYER)
QUEENSCABALLO May20 May06 Apr07 Mar11 Feb26 (anderson david )HAAR NATHAN 125 1.60 61% 0.70    
  (by EL CABALLO out of INCLUDING MARY by INCLUDE)
MAYZEE Sep13 Jul30 Jul12 Jul01 May12 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 122 2.50 12% 7.30    
  (by MUNNINGS out of RARE CRYSTAL by BRIGHT LAUNCH)
TELLITTOTHEJUDGE May20 Apr28 Apr07 Mar11 Mar03 (bliss dean)RAMOS B 120 6.00    
  (by JUDGE BILL out of LIMEFUHR by LIMEHOUSE)
 
CLS-4   10/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($7.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPRY CHARLIE Sep02 Aug05 Jun23 Jun09 May19 (arceo salv)WELLINGTON KYLIE 120 10.00 5% 18.00    
BRAVO KOLT Sep02 Aug21 Jul31 Jul15 Jul02 (johnson duane)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 6.00    
MORANT May19 May05 Feb26 Feb10 Dec31 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 3.00    
CONSTITUTION DAY Sep24 Aug28 Aug13 Jul15 Jul03 (condon schuyler)RAMOS B 123 2.50    
WILD APPEAL Sep25 Sep02 Aug19 Aug04 Jul02 (lemburg mark)ZIMMERMAN R 125 3.00 36% 1.80    
SCHMOOZE Aug27 Jul23 Jul08 Jun18 May27 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 125 4.00 28% 2.50    
BIGPARTY NOWHISKEY Sep02 Aug21 Jul22 Jul09 Jun19 (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 123 8.00    
 
CLS-5   10/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LIMBO'S PROMISE Oct01 Jul19 Jun28 Jun15 May17 (david ron)MARTINEZ A 125 3.00    
EL DIABLO GRANDE Oct01 Oct01 Sep12 Aug23 Aug09 (chavez)FLETCHER D 125 4.50 41% 1.50    
HUNK OF A HIT Jul03 Jun18 May28 Apr22 Mar25 (crabtree j)WELLINGTON KYLIE 120 5.00    
RENVYLE Sep10 May19 Jun03 May20 Apr30 (hawley joe)ZIMMERMAN R 125 8.00 8% 10.80    
MINE MY TIME Oct01 Sep23 Sep02 Aug13 Jul15 (lemburg mark)LUARK T 125 10.00    
SCR  CHERUBIM Oct01 Sep11 Aug26 Aug13 Jul17 (radford j)RAMOS B 125 8.00    
PRICE TO PAY Sep15 Sep04 Aug13 Jul23 Aug19 (condon schuyler)GARNETT G 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
LIBERTARIAN Sep15 Sep02 Jul15 Jul01 Oct02 (bolinger micha)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 2.50 28% 2.60    
FERRARI ROAD Sep10 Aug13 Jul31 Jul15 Jul03 (muckey john)HAAR NATHAN 125 6.00    
 
CLS-6   10/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($5.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANGIE'S REVRAC Sep04 Aug21 Aug05 Jul16 Jul01 (muckey john)RAMOS B 125 6.00 8% 11.60    
VOODOO FIRE Sep04 Aug27 Aug13 Jul30 Nov18 (haar j)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 10.00    
CHAOS MAGIC May13 Apr23 Apr15 Apr02 Mar19 (gonzal)FLETCHER D 125 3.00 13% 6.90    
T R'S FIRST Oct01 Sep11 Aug14 Jul16 Jul03 (hibdon n)ZIMMERMAN R 125 12.00    
QUALITY BOW Sep09 Jul30 Jul06 May19 May05 (castillo j)WELLINGTON KYLIE 120 4.50    
BLOW SUM SMOKE Sep23 Sep17 Jul21 Jul06 Jun14 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 1.60 26% 2.90    
STOLEN HALO Sep04 Aug14 Jul22 Sep10 Aug13 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 125 2.00 33% 2.00    
POPS GIRL ALEXA Sep04 Aug14 Jul16 Jul01 Jun17 (hibdon n)LUARK T 125 5.00    
 
CLS-7   10/07/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($5.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHANGHAI SKIPPER Jul19 Jul12 May17 May09   (david )FLETCHER D 125 15.00 10% 9.50    
TIGER THE MAN Sep30 Sep10 Sep03 Aug05 Jul17 (hawley joe)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 12.00    
THE GREATEST EAGLE Oct01 Sep16 Aug27 Aug13 Jul31 (ibanez alberto)RAMOS B 125 10.00    
SCREENPLAY Sep30 Aug10 Jul06 Jun25 May20 (gonzalez isai )LUARK T 125 1.80    
BIZERK Sep13 Aug24 Jun07 Nov23 Jun27 (johnson marvin )HAAR NATHAN 125 4.50    
SCR  A. K. SAFARI Oct01 Sep15 Sep04 Aug13 Jul23 (dieter dalton)ZIMMERMAN R 125 6.00    
SWAGGY GEORGE Sep29 Sep08 Aug28 Aug11 Jul14 (condon sch)WELLINGTON KYLIE 120 2.50 36% 1.80    
KOSELIO Sep23 Sep04 Aug21 Aug07 Jul29 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 1.60 24% 3.10    
 
CLS-8   10/07/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SKYLINE Sep30 Jul30 Jul14 Jun24 May27 (bliss dean)HAAR NATHAN 125 3.00 16% 5.20    
FRANKLYGREAT Sep16 Sep03 Aug14 Aug05 Jul17 (condon schuyler)RAMOS B 123 1.80 20% 4.10    
RISKY SITUATION Sep04 Aug12 Jul20 Jul02 Jun04 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 125 5.00    
BUMPER POOL Sep30 Sep16 Sep10 Sep03 Aug19 (ibanez)FLETCHER D 125 3.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  OPPOSITION Sep22 Sep03 Jul09 Jun16 May28 (thomsen paula)GARNETT G 123 15.00    
CHICKEN N BISCUIT Sep30 Sep11 Aug26 Aug21 Jul31 (esquibel mark)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 6.00 15% 5.70    
SCR  PRIZED TAP Sep29 Sep09 Aug21 Aug05 Jul15 (schindler wayne )MARTINEZ A 123 12.00    
BRILLIANT COLORS Sep23 Sep02 Aug19 Aug05 Jun26 (donlin lar)WELLINGTON KYLIE 118 4.50    
RING TAILED TOOTER Oct01 Aug06 Jul09 Jun24 Jun04 (hoffman robert)LUARK T 125 3.50    
10  LET'S ROCK N ROLL Sep22 Sep08 Aug27 Aug12 Jul29 (dieter dalton)ZIMMERMAN R 123 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.