Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Tuesday - October 03, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PID-1   WIN (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/5)-(3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/5)-(4/1/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5)-(4/1/6)-(2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PID-2   WIN (4/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/6)-(4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/6)-(2/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/6)-(2/5)-(8/2/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PID-3   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5)-(2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/5)-(8/2/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5)-(8/2/4)-(6/5/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PID-4   WIN (8/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/2/4)-(8/2/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/4)-(8/2/4)-(8/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/2/4)-(6/5/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (8/2/4)-(6/5/1)-(5/3/8) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-5   WIN (6/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/1)-(6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/1)-(5/3/8) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (6/5/1)-(5/3/8)-(3/2/7) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-6   WIN (5/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/8)-(5/3/8) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/8)-(5/3/8)-(5/3/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/8)-(3/2/7) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (5/3/8)-(3/2/7)-(1/6/3/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-7   WIN (3/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/7)-(3/2/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/7)-(3/2/7)-(3/2/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/7)-(1/6/3/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
PID-8   WIN (1/6/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/3/4)-(1/6/3/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (1/6/3/4)-(1/6/3/4)-(1/6/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   10/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRIPLE R RATED Jun26 Jun12 May24 Aug29 Jul18 (russell )MARTINEZ A 122 3.50    
2  GOOD SOURCE Aug10 Jul26 Jun28 May19 Sep26 (kulp l)CONNER TYLER 119 8.00    
3  QUEEN OF CHILL Jul04 Jun14 May24 Mar24 Feb22 (girten t)GALLARDO A 119 2.50 30% 2.40    
4  PEEP'S DAY Sep11 Aug22 Jul10 Jun26 Jun20 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 119 4.50    
5  QUEEN WIGGY Sep06 Aug02 Jun26 Jun12 May16 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 119 1.40 18% 4.50    
 
PID-2   10/03/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 2 F PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDEN EXPRESS Sep14 Aug23       (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 5.00 10% 8.60    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of ANOTHER LIKE YOU by JUMP START)
2  SHORESY Sep21 Aug03 Jul13     (schoenth)GALLARDO A 120 3.50    
  (by FLATTER out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
3  STEAM KNOT Sep07         (cooney s)RIQUELME J 120 3.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of CHERRY POINT by POINT GIVEN)
4  WAIT FOR TOMORROW Aug24 Jul21 Jun25     (trombetta mic)MORALES PABLO 120 2.50 59% 0.70    
  (by KANTHAROS out of CLOCKSTRUCKTWELVE by MALIBU MOON)
5  JOYFUL SOUL Sep11 Aug15       (ferraro ant)ROJAS MARTINA 115 10.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of CAUSEWAY GHOST by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
6  ELUSIVE EMPRESS Sep14         (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of EVER ELUSIVE by FORESTRY)
7  VERSACE SUMMER Sep15 Jul14       (penaloza miguel)STANLEY O 120 6.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of R CITY GIRL by TEMPLE CITY)
 
PID-3   10/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DETERMINED CHARM Aug19 Aug03 Jul15 Jun13 Dec03 (schoenth)GALLARDO A 122 2.50    
2  SUMMER'S GIFT Jun10         (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 119 1.80 49% 1.00    
3  VALIANT VICTORIA Sep19 Aug23 Aug10 Jul25 Jul12 (fennessy john)WALES GARY 119 3.00    
4  LIGHTNING FIRE Sep19 Aug29 Aug08 Dec29 Nov30 (martin w)MARTINEZ A 122 12.00    
5  IMMORTALLOVE Sep20 Aug10 Apr12 Mar26   (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 119 5.00 22% 3.50    
6  DARK DAHLIA Sep19 Aug31 Aug10 Jul10 Jun19 (dickey keith)RIQUELME J 124 6.00    
 
PID-4   10/03/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HINDENBURG Sep20 Aug15 Aug02 Jul25 Jul05 (brooks gerald)WALKER M 122 12.00    
2  CASH IN A FLASH Sep18 Aug30 Aug23 Aug08 Jul20 (rojas eduardo)ROJAS MARTINA 119 3.00 33% 2.00    
SCR  EXTRA MEDIUM Sep11 Aug08 Jul26 Jul10 Jun14 (rogers )DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 12.00    
4  BLUE SKY'S ABOVE Aug08 Jul24 Jul04 Oct19 Oct05 (bourke joh)ALENCAR WALBER 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LITTLE BIG Sep18 Aug28 Aug02 Jul25 Jul05 (amaya jo)MARTINEZ A 122 5.00    
6  HE'S ON THE FLY Sep17 Aug22 Aug08 Jul26 Jul10 (skawinski car)MORALES PABLO 122 20.00    
7  MARGARITA SUNRISE Sep19 Sep04 Aug22 Aug08 Jul11 (tasso mark)STANLEY O 124 12.00    
8  JARETH Sep26 Aug29 Aug14 Jul26 Jul12 (brooks geral)AYALA J 124 2.50 36% 1.80    
9  HENRY'S WORLD Sep19 Sep04 Aug10 Jul26 Jul10 (bowersock mar)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 4.00    
 
PID-5   10/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GENERAL WINSTON Sep13 Aug28 Aug09 Jul12 Jun07 (kintz matthew)SPIETH S 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  GINS AND TINS Sep13 Aug28 Aug09 Jul17 Jun20 (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 10.00    
3  CALL ME LATER Sep13 Aug28 Oct26 Oct10 Sep26 (grace john)STANLEY O 122 10.00    
SCR  TWIRLING MAMBA Aug28 Aug09 Jul17 Oct26 Oct10 (martin willia)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 3.00    
5  SUPREMACY Aug28 Jul26 Sep28 Aug21 Jul17 (rogers mich)ROJAS MARTINA 117 4.00 24% 3.20    
6  SOGNO DI CAMPIONE (CHI) Sep13 Jul19 May28 Apr28 Apr05 (sanchez )MARTINEZ A 122 2.50 50% 1.00    
7  WOODCHUCK Sep13 Aug17 Jul31 Jul11 May29 (rogers mic)AYALA J 122 4.50    
8  SMOKY BLUES May16 Apr08 Feb01 Dec08 Aug29 (weaver cassondra)MARTINEZ W 122 12.00    
 
PID-6   10/03/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GLOVANNA Sep13 Aug30 Aug09 Aug01 Jul12 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 15.00    
2  TREASURE THE STORM Sep13 Aug30 Aug14 Jul31 Jul05 (depasqu)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 20.00    
3  FORBIDDEN DREAM Aug20 Jul21 Jun23 May25 Apr28 (duffy sean)MORALES PABLO 122 4.00 13% 6.80    
SCR  CONSTITUTIONALRAGE Sep26 Sep11 Aug28 Aug04 Jul12 (bryant dona)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 3.50    
5  LA PANDA Sep06 Aug28 Aug10 Aug01 Jun13 (cooper t)MARTINEZ A 119 2.50 50% 1.00    
SCR  SAILOR'S SALUTE Sep20 Aug30 Aug09 Aug01 Jul24 (carr-rozantz )WALKER M 122 12.00    
7  WINDY CITY GIRL Sep13 Aug22 Aug01 Jul05 Jun20 (musarro josep)ROJAS MARTINA 117 5.00    
8  LEAD PERFORMER Sep13 Aug28 Aug10 Aug02 Jul04 (stokes l)GALLARDO A 119 8.00 10% 8.90    
9  ANNIE UP BUCK Sep13 Aug30 Aug14 Jul19 Jan08 (guciardo joh)ALENCAR WALBER 122 6.00    
 
PID-7   10/03/2023 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMERICA'S JUSTICE Sep20 Aug15 Jul24 Jul10 Oct17 (miller-saul be)CONNER TYLER 122 8.00    
2  EXTRASEXYBIGDADDEE Sep12 Aug22 Jul25 Jul04 Jun12 (trombett)GALLARDO A 122 2.50 10% 8.60    
3  PEMAQUID PETE Sep05 Jul31 Jul10 Jun21 Jun05 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 124 3.00 49% 1.10    
SCR  JUST DEAL WITH IT Aug19 Jul20 Jun17 Jan11 Dec31 (moreno-barb)INIRIO J 122 12.00    
5  CANTSTEALMYTHUNDER Sep18 Aug15 Jul31 Jul11 Jun05 (rice kev)MARTINEZ A 122 4.50    
6  BRUMBA WAFFLE TOES Sep18 Aug29 Aug09 Jul04 Jun12 (rice kevin)AYALA J 121 3.00    
7  TUNE IN Sep09 Aug05 Jun30 May17 Mar17 (alvarado diane)MARTINEZ W 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
PID-8   10/03/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THREE O ONE Sep20 Sep04 Aug07 May13 Mar25 (rice kevin)AYALA J 124 3.00 37% 1.70    
2  DON'T FLINCH Sep17 Sep03 Aug08     (connelly teres)ALLEN D 121 20.00    
3  UPTOWNJACOB BROWN Sep20 Sep04 Aug23 Aug08 Jul26 (sarson alisa )ROJAS MARTINA 119 4.00 10% 9.00    
4  MR. YASUDA Sep20 Sep04 Aug21 Aug07 Jul25 (schaber debbi)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 6.00 9% 9.80    
5  NORTHERN RUNNER Sep18 Aug31 Aug02 Dec30 Nov27 (herrington cally)RIQUELME J 121 10.00    
6  SHARP PLAY BOY Sep21 Sep06 Aug08 Jul26 Jun11 (breed rona)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 121 2.50 11% 8.40    
7  MANSUETO Sep14 Aug19       (rawles a)MARTINEZ A 121 20.00    
8  SNIP THE ROSES Sep09 Aug24 Aug12 Jul21 Jun23 (synnef)SMITH DANIEL 111 4.50    
9  BRIT'S UNION Sep13 Aug23 Aug09     (clarke dylan)ALENCAR WALBER 121 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.