Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Horseshoe Indianapolis
Tuesday - September 26, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
IND-1   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/5)-(1/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/5)-(1/2/6)-(2/5/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
IND-2   WIN (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/6)-(1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/6)-(2/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/6)-(2/5/3)-(4/2/3/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
IND-3   WIN (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/3)-(2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/3)-(4/2/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/3)-(4/2/3/7)-(4/8/7/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
IND-4   WIN (4/2/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/3/7)-(4/2/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/3/7)-(4/2/3/7)-(4/2/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/2/3/7)-(4/8/7/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/2/3/7)-(4/8/7/3)-(8/6/3/7) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
IND-5   WIN (4/8/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/7/3)-(4/8/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/7/3)-(4/8/7/3)-(4/8/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/8/7/3)-(8/6/3/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/8/7/3)-(8/6/3/7)-(7/1) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
IND-6   WIN (8/6/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/3/7)-(8/6/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/3/7)-(8/6/3/7)-(8/6/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/6/3/7)-(7/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (8/6/3/7)-(7/1)-(12/1/2/8/5) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
IND-7   WIN (7/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/1)-(7/5/4/8/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (7/1)-(7/5/4/8/1)-(7/5/4/8/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1)-(12/1/2/8/5) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
IND-8   WIN (12/1/2/8/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (12/1/2/8/5)-(12/1/2/8/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (12/1/2/8/5)-(12/1/2/8/5)-(12/1/2/8/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
IND-1   09/26/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRIGHT BRIAN Aug01 Jul18 Jun29 Jun01 Sep06 (dobbsjr e)PRESCOTT R 119 4.50 34% 2.00    
2  VICTOR'S DEAL Sep08 Aug23 Jul03 Jun15 May25 (richard)DE CRUZ 122 1.60 35% 1.90    
3  LOOKIN AT JUSTICE Jun21 May25 Nov22 Nov11   (green darlene)BAYS BROOKE 112 8.00    
4  FORWHOMTHEBELLTOLL Sep06 Aug01 Jul15 Jun21 May24 (fosdick steve)LEAHEY HANNAH 119 10.00    
5  OH SO SOCIAL Aug11 Jun29 Jun07 May30 May17 (duran antonio)MOJICA O 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  UNBRIDLED VICTOR Sep06 Aug01 Jul19 Jun06 May22 (wisner trace)TERRAZA GERMAN 112 12.00    
SCR  INDY BIZ Aug05 Jul20 Sep20 Aug25 Aug15 (west aaro)BERMUDEZ E 122 5.00    
8  GO NUTS Aug31 Jul15 May11 Mar24 Mar17 (greenhill j)BURNHAM MATILDA 112 15.00    
 
IND-2   09/26/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TATTERED HEART Aug11 Jul18 Jul03 May04 Mar23 (garcia gen)ANDERSON MCKENNA 118 1.80 33% 2.10    
2  INCREDIBLE JUSTICE Aug11 Jul21 Jun29 Jun07 Nov11 (paquett)DE CRUZ 119 3.50 22% 3.50    
3  OCELIA Aug30 Aug09 Jun06 Apr19 Nov23 (haran john)PEREZ E 119 8.00    
4  CORSIDAT Aug22 Jun14 May18 Nov08 Oct29 (gonza)ULLOA PATRICIO 119 4.50    
5  DEEP DISH Aug11 Jul21 May24 Apr26 Mar09 (richardville tiann)MOJICA O 122 2.50    
6  SHAPE OF YOU Aug26 Jul30 Jun14 May10 Nov21 (pittman bon)BURNHAM MATILDA 115 15.00 11% 8.30    
 
IND-3   09/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PALAGO Sep16 Aug27 Aug10 Nov25 Nov11 (martinez a)PEREZ E 122 4.50    
2  KEEN ICE SIGHT Jul07 May10 May02 Dec29 Nov21 (paquett)DE CRUZ 122 2.50 51% 1.00    
3  QUIET DAWN Sep14 Aug11 Aug01 Jun07 May25 (grubbs jamie)RAMOS D 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  INDAWIN Aug30 Jun29 May23 Mar18 Mar10 (broberg k)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 8.00    
5  GO STORMIN GIRL Aug31 Jul26 Jul12 Jun22 Jun11 (martinez )BERMUDEZ E 122 1.60 24% 3.10    
6  PALACE MAGIC Sep19 Aug31 Jul16 Jun21 Jun01 (witthauer j)BURNHAM MATILDA 117 5.00    
 
IND-4   09/26/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($41K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIGHEST MEMORIES Sep13 Oct05 Sep26 Sep13 Aug23 (thompson eri)RAMOS D 118 10.00    
2  HE B READY Sep12 Aug23 Aug03 Jul15 Jun07 (lauer michael)ELLIOTT JANE 118 1.80 26% 2.80    
3  KNIGHT'S MOVE Sep13 Aug26 Aug11 Jul20 Jun22 (lyster s)MOJICA O 122 6.00 17% 4.80    
4  SECRET'S IMAGE Sep12 Aug23 Aug03 Nov17   (brown and)BERMUDEZ E 118 3.00 34% 1.90    
5  LAST OUTLAW Sep12 Aug29 Aug09     (shorter aaron)NAVAS YOEL 111 4.00    
6  DADDYS DREAM Aug23 Aug03 Jul08 Jun15 May24 (matthews ra)BURNHAM MATILDA 111 20.00    
7  EPIC THE LEGEND Sep12 Aug16 Aug01 Jul11 Jun13 (fosdick)DE CRUZ 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  HE GOES FOREVER Aug26 Aug11 Jul11 Aug23 Aug04 (martin dawn)PRESCOTT R 118 15.00    
 
IND-5   09/26/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOP SNIP ANDA JUMP Sep05 Jul21 Jul08 Jun23 Mar15 (hale jr)TERRAZA GERMAN 113 30.00    
2  TOUR DE' PORT Aug24 Aug10 Jul25 Jul11 Jun07 (quinonez )PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 6.00    
3  STUPENDOUS Sep05 Aug15 Jul12 Feb15 Jan26 (riley donna)LEAHEY HANNAH 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  RAZZALUNA Sep08 Jun27 May29 Apr19   (nihei miche)BURNHAM MATILDA 113 4.50 51% 0.90    
5  WILMA Sep08 Aug16 Jun14     (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 120 15.00    
SCR  VOSTRA Sep13 Sep02 Aug17 Aug03 Jul09 (jones jef)BERMUDEZ E 120 30.00    
7  NIXA Aug11 Jul07 Jun22 Jun01   (granitz anth)CENTENO ALEXIS 117 10.00 6% 16.00    
8  LA VILLAGE LUMIERE Sep05 Aug17 Jul21 Jun27 May13 (correas ignaci)MACHADO LUAN 120 3.00 22% 3.60    
9  A STAR FOR CORA Sep05 Aug09 Jul12 Jul03 Jun06 (hammond kim)ELLIOTT JANE 120 2.00    
10  FLAT OUT FAY Sep14 Aug30 Jul13 Jun08 May16 (blevins c)MOJICA O 124 15.00    
 
IND-6   09/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  XTRASAUCEWELLDONE Sep08 Aug04 Apr27 Mar18 Feb22 (nihei miche)BURNHAM MATILDA 111 15.00    
2  LONG BLACK VEIL Sep08 Aug04 Jul06 Jun16 May31 (jarvis kathy)ACHARD ALEX 118 5.00    
3  IRISH TAP Aug11 Jul03 May18 May02 Nov10 (klopp randy)MOJICA O 122 3.00 14% 6.30    
4  PERFECT SMOKEY EYE Sep06 Aug28 Jul03 Jun08 May18 (haran john)MORALES JOSHUA 119 8.00    
5  DREAM TRAP Sep05 Jul18 Jun15 May12   (cara)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 120 12.00    
6  LOVE DRUNK Sep11 Aug22 Aug11 Jul18 Jun14 (matthews randy)PRESCOTT R 121 4.00 14% 6.00    
7  C F V TU BRUTUS Sep14 Aug28 Jul18 May15 Oct27 (gonzalez lilia)PEREZ E 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  NIGHT KISS Sep01 Aug16 Jul15 Jun29 Jun06 (brownfield c)RAMOS D 118 2.50 47% 1.10    
 
IND-7   09/26/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAKAFUMI (BRZ) Sep05 Aug01 Jul11 Jun24 Jun07 (livers char)MIRANDA ROGELIO 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  REMEMBER THE MAINE Aug30 Aug23 Jun15 May28 Mar16 (campbell joe)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 15.00    
3  REDSKIESATNIGHT Aug29 Jul05 Dec01 Nov15 Jun09 (richard)DE CRUZ 119 20.00    
4  EVIL EYE Sep05 Aug29 Jul06 Jun24 Jun07 (cunningham t)MORALES JOSHUA 122 8.00 ★    
5  CLEAR N CONVINCING Sep05 Aug09 Jul20 Aug17 Aug09 (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 2.00 ★    
6  DEUTERONOMYSTRONG Sep11 Aug23 Aug05 Jul15 Jul03 (egbert james)PEREZ A 119 30.00    
7  SUMMER ASSAULT Aug31 Aug16 Jul11 Jun01 Jan28 (klopp randy)RAMOS D 122 2.50 74% 0.40    
8  JINGLE Sep14 Sep05 Jun15 May16 Apr23 (hammond k)BERMUDEZ E 121 8.00 ★    
9  CLEARING WAIVERS Sep05 Aug17 Aug01 Jul11 Jun24 (hammond kim)ELLIOTT JANE 119 6.00    
10  STEWARDS RULES Sep05 Aug23 Jul11 Jun07 May15 (holden j)BURGOS ALBERTO 119 20.00    
SCR  BIG PAPER Sep07 Aug01 Jul06 May11 Jan21 (richardville)TERRAZA GERMAN 117 12.00    
SCR  DIGITAL SOFTWARE Sep15 Sep05 Aug23 Jul20 Jul06 (caramori cai)RAMOS D 122 10.00    
 
IND-8   09/26/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIGER TAP Aug09 Jul09 May20 Apr01 Feb11 (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 120 1.80 17% 4.70    
  (by TAPIT out of TIGER RIDE by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
2  HURRY UP HANNAH Aug29 Jun13 May14 Apr15   (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 120 4.50 10% 9.30    
  (by JACK MILTON out of MALIBU SONG by POWER BROKER)
3  SUN VALLEY ROAD Aug01 Oct30       (cox brad )PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 2.50    
  (by UNCLE MO out of GRAND TRAVERSE BAY by REPRICED)
4  SHIRL'S DELIGHT Mar19 Feb19 Jan15 Dec15   (waltz b)DE CRUZ 120 20.00    
  (by TONALIST out of DECRYPT by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
5  SOUL HEIR Aug31         (fields chris)TERRAZA GERMAN 113 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FLINTSHIRE out of DANCE WITH GIANTS by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
6  MISCHIEF LILY Aug29 Aug01 Jul20 May24 May03 (dobbsjr e)MOJICA O 120 15.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of GILDED LILY by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
7  BECK AND CALL Jul05 May24 Sep14 Aug14   (walsh brenda)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 8.00    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of ATALA by STORMY ATLANTIC)
8  VIDEO PRINCESS Aug29 Aug09 May16 Apr27 Sep02 (brownfield c)RAMOS D 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of PRINCESS PHARAOH by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
9  LILY'S HOME Aug28 Mar09 Feb23 Feb11 Jan21 (elliott miche)LEAHEY HANNAH 120 20.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of SNOWDUST by THE FACTOR)
SCR  REDHOTJUSTICE Sep12 Aug17 Aug02 Jul15 Jun20 (bush s)BUSH V 117 20.00    
  (by HARRY'S HOLIDAY out of SISTER CRIMSON by SKY CLASSIC)
SCR  SUPER LUXE Aug29 Aug03 Jul12 Jun15 Apr19 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 120 4.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of CHASE MOTTO by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
12  SCATLIE Sep15 Aug06 Jul08 Jun02   (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 120 3.50 49% 1.10    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of CANA by FASTNET ROCK (AUS))
SCR  VIVID EXPOSURE Sep02 Oct26 Oct04 Sep19 Aug15 (caramori edu)TERRAZA GERMAN 113 30.00    
  (by MCCRAKEN out of EXPOSURE by COLONEL JOHN)
SCR  KICK A RHYME (IRE) Sep17 Aug17       (maker michael )CHUAN MARTIN 120 8.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of ADHWAA by DAAHER)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.