Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Meadowlands Tb
Friday - September 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MED-1   WIN (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/4)-(2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MED-2   WIN (4/1/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/6/2)-(4/1/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/6/2)-(4/1/6/2)-(4/1/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MED-3   WIN (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/3)-(1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MED-4   WIN (9/4/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/4/5/3)-(9/4/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/4/5/3)-(9/4/5/3)-(9/4/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MED-5   WIN (9/10/4/8/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/10/4/8/11)-(9/10/4/8/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/10/4/8/11)-(9/10/4/8/11)-(9/10/4/8/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MED-6   WIN (6/10/4/5/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/10/4/5/1)-(6/10/4/5/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/10/4/5/1)-(6/10/4/5/1)-(6/10/4/5/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MED-1   09/22/2023 3300ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($52.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DELIGHTFUL AVA Sep02 Aug27 Jul28 Jun18 Jun09 (frangella )RIVERA R 112 8.00    
AMAZING GRACES JOY Sep02 Jul28 Jul15 Jun16 Jun02 (mazza joseph )IORIO MELISSA 113 3.50 36% 1.80    
PERSPICACIOUS (ARG) Sep10 Jul30 Jul08 Dec04 Sep05 (milne joa)VARGAS A 120 4.50 15% 5.60    
TOOT YOUR HORN Aug27 Jul07       (mcburney patri)RENDON JAIRO 117 5.00 15% 5.80    
SCR  FIXED ODDS Sep02 Jul28 Jun23 May20 Oct22 (simoff andrew)MARIN SAMUEL 121 3.00    
SCR  POLITELY CROWNED Sep02 Aug27 Aug11 Jul28 Jul09 (gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR 120 20.00    
RACHEL CAROLINE Sep09 Sep02 Aug11 Jul15 Jun23 (frangella jame)LUZZI J 120 15.00    
SEA MAIDEN Sep15 Aug27 Aug11 Jul28 Jul15 (huston rory )LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 2.50    
 
MED-2   09/22/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36K) 2 ALL PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MASTEROFHISCRAFT Sep01 Aug03       (stidham mich)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 3.00 13% 6.50    
  (by MASTERY out of RAISE THE FLAG by DR. ADAGIO)
INVOLVEDNTERACTION Aug26 Aug20 Aug04     (camejo m)TORRES JOMAR 117 10.00 11% 8.30    
  (by CLEARLY NOW out of PI by FLATTER)
BOTH SIDES OF BAD         (stephens john)LUZZI J 117 10.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of MISS ELLA by EXCHANGE RATE)
NOBLE WAVE Aug06 Jul22 Jun22     (weaver george)RENDON JAIRO 117 3.50 31% 2.20    
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of ELIZABETH EARLEY by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
J. T. THREE Aug27 Aug06 Jul23 Jul01   (farro )MARAGH RAMSAY 117 8.00    
  (by BOURBON COURAGE out of NOSUBSTITUTEFORLUV by NOT FOR LOVE)
MIDNITE LUMBERJACK Aug31 Aug06       (stephens john)MARIN SAMUEL 117 4.50 12% 7.50    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of LADY LUMBERJACK by FORESTRY)
SCR  AGUILA REAL Sep10 Aug20       (gomez pompe)MARTINEZ ERASMO 117 20.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of PIRATE QUEEN by BARON DE VAUX)
SCR  ARROW SPEED Sep03         (avila carl)OLIVERO A 117 4.00    
  (by TAPIT out of AVIE'S EMPIRE by EMPIRE MAKER)
MY MAN WOODY Sep03         (brown bruce )CASTILLO ISAAC 117 10.00    
  (by AWESOME SLEW out of WOODLAND PARK by BERNARDINI)
10  ATTRAYANT Sep03         (lerman ro)VARGAS A 117 20.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of ELEGANT SUPERMODEL by LOPE DE VEGA)
 
MED-3   09/22/2023 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SINGALONG KAYLA Apr23 Mar24 Feb22 Jan29 Jun25 (carvajal)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 6.00 62% 0.60    
SCR  ROSEMARY POTATOES Aug20 Jul13 Jul02 May18 Apr28 (arenas marce)LAPRIDA JEREMY 121 20.00    
MOONSHINING Sep07 Aug18 Aug02 Jul13 Jun30 (mcgoey m)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 117 5.00 5% 18.80    
QUICK POWER NAP Sep10 Aug25 Aug11 Jul08 Jun17 (rodriguez ru)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 4.50 8% 11.10    
TAPESTRY COLORS Sep04 Aug20 Jul02 Aug20   (crook-demasi k)TORRES JOMAR 117 4.00    
SCR  LADY FIREFOOT Aug20 Dec02 Oct21 Sep22 Aug19 (reynolds p)RIVERA R 116 2.50    
VINGATIVA Sep04 Aug05       (o'connell kath)RENDON JAIRO 120 6.00    
SCR  NICE BABY Aug26 Jul07 Jun11 Aug05 Jul16 (rodriguez dari)MARIN SAMUEL 117 12.00    
WILL BE FAMOUS Aug16 Apr02 Mar03 Feb09 Jan12 (toscano t)LUZZI J 117 10.00    
 
MED-4   09/22/2023 5610ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($16K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANY PORT Sep03 Apr02 Mar03 Jan04 Dec10 (lerman s)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 6.00    
CLASSIC COLORS Aug27 Jul19 Jun14 May11 Mar30 (russell britta)RENDON JAIRO 120 2.50    
CHA CHA MISSION Aug12 Mar12 Feb11 Jan15 Oct13 (russell britta)MARIN SAMUEL 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
NO VALLA Aug31 Aug19 Jul30 Jul01 Jun03 (sweezey j)VARGAS A 124 3.00 32% 2.10    
PANOTTI Sep09 Aug19 Jul27 Mar25 Feb25 (o'connell kath)TORRES JOMAR 120 10.00 12% 7.20    
SCR  SOCIAL ENGAGEMENT Sep06 Aug19 May06 Mar15 Feb23 (sweezey kent)LUZZI J 120 8.00    
CINDY'S SONG Jul27 May27 Apr28 Mar26 Feb25 (gonzalez oscar )OLIVERO A 120 15.00    
MORE MANGO Aug31 Aug02 Jul09 Jun18 May28 (ferrar)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 12.00    
WHITE LILACS Aug31 Aug12 Jul22 Jun12 May23 (pino michael)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 3.50 34% 1.90    
 
MED-5   09/22/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FINAL DESTINATION (NZ) Sep02         (dini mike)IORIO MELISSA 111 20.00    
HOLLYWOOD CLOSEUP Sep02 Aug12 Feb03 Dec23 Oct16 (o'connell kath)RENDON JAIRO 118 6.00    
DOOQ Aug12 May30 May17     (pino mich)VARGAS A 123 5.00    
SIR GOOSA Sep03 Aug13 Jul23 Jun09 May12 (orseno joseph )MARIN SAMUEL 118 8.00 15% 5.70    
MISTER MOORE Sep02 Jul28 Jun18 May27 Apr16 (maker mich)RIVERA R 113 4.00    
METAMORPHOSES Sep02 Jul23 Jul01 May19 Apr22 (levine b)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 6.00    
RECUSED Sep02 Aug12 Jul23 Jun25 Jun11 (huston ror)ROWLAND MADELINE 118 20.00    
WEST STAR Aug25 Aug05 Jun11 May05 Apr16 (sweezey kent)LUZZI J 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
HUNTINGTON Aug30 Jul23 Jul07 Apr22 Mar25 (atras rob)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 3.50 38% 1.60    
10  EAST SIDE Jul23 Jun03 May11     (falcone robe)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 4.50 20% 3.90    
11  TWIRLING CHARLIE Jul07 Jun21 Jun14 Aug04 Jul08 (velazquez da)HADDOCK DEXTER 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SYNCOPATED Sep14 Aug30 Aug10 Jul07 Jun18 (hodsdon da)ROWLAND MADELINE 123 12.00    
SCR  SPARTAN BOY Sep03 Aug12 Jul12 Jun28 Jun05 (aristone p)RIVERA R 113 12.00    
SCR  PASCHAL MOON Sep04 Aug17       (camejo jose )LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 8.00    
 
MED-6   09/22/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TITLE SHOT Aug25 Aug04 Jul08 Jun24 Jun16 (wilson tony)TORRES JOMAR 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
SPEIGHT'SPERCOMETE Sep09 Aug19 Jul22 Jul08 Jun16 (breen ke)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 6.00    
ET'S MAGIC MAN Aug23 Jul25 Jul10 Jun20 May29 (chacon gustavo)ADORNO ABNER 119 15.00    
ULTIMATE IRONY Aug26 Jun24 Jun04 Apr29 Mar26 (rodriguez dari)MARIN SAMUEL 121 10.00 6% 14.60    
SENATE CHAMBER Aug28 Jul23 Jun10 Nov22 Oct12 (ward dan)RIVERA R 116 8.00 6% 16.90    
FATIMA'S BLESSING Sep04 Aug17 Jul30 May19 Apr13 (dini mike)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 3.00 46% 1.20    
BRINDISI Sep10 Aug25 Jul23 Jul03 May23 (gomez pom)VARGAS A 121 12.00    
COMEDIC TIMING Sep10 Aug04 Jul21 Jun25 May29 (farro )MARAGH RAMSAY 124 6.00    
SONIC SPEED Sep17 Aug27 Jul14 Jun22 May28 (morley thoma)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 4.00    
10  SHADY MCGEE (IRE) Sep09 Aug19 Jul30 Jun16 May29 (schultz li)ROWLAND MADELINE 121 4.50 14% 6.30    
SCR  DIABLO DADDY Sep09 Aug26 Aug02 Jul13 Jun11 (foglia anthon)IORIO MELISSA 114 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.