Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Parx Racing
Tuesday - September 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PRX-1   WIN (4/3/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/8/2)-(4/3/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/8/2)-(4/3/8/2)-(4/3/8/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/8/2)-(7/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/3/8/2)-(7/1/3)-(4/3/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRX-2   WIN (7/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/3)-(7/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/1/3)-(7/1/3)-(7/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/1/3)-(4/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/1/3)-(4/3/6)-(8/3/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PRX-3   WIN (4/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/6)-(4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/6)-(8/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/3/6)-(8/3/2)-(3/8) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PRX-4   WIN (8/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/3/2)-(8/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/3/2)-(8/3/2)-(8/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/3/2)-(3/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (8/3/2)-(3/8)-(1/6/7/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PRX-5   WIN (3/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/8)-(3/8) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/8)-(1/6/7/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/8)-(1/6/7/8)-(4/1/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PRX-6   WIN (1/6/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/7/8)-(1/6/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/7/8)-(1/6/7/8)-(1/6/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/7/8)-(4/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6/7/8)-(4/1/5)-(5/1/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRX-7   WIN (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/5)-(4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/5)-(5/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/1/5)-(5/1/6)-(4/6/11) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PRX-8   WIN (5/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/6)-(5/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/6)-(5/1/6)-(5/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/6)-(4/6/11) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/6)-(4/6/11)-(6/1/9/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRX-9   WIN (4/6/11) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/11)-(4/6/11) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/11)-(4/6/11)-(4/6/11) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/11)-(6/1/9/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PRX-10   WIN (6/1/9/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/9/4)-(6/1/9/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/9/4)-(6/1/9/4)-(6/1/9/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PRX-1   09/19/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARTHUR S GOLD Jul07 Jun01 May04     (wyner harold)BOWMAN ADAM 120 15.00    
2  PRINCIPE Sep02 Aug23 Jul22 Jul13 Jun30 (sanchez-pinero )RUIZ ELISEO 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  CHIP'S FRIEND Sep04 Aug22 Jun13 May24 Apr26 (catalano l)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 3.50 25% 2.90    
4  CURTEIS Sep09 Aug30 Aug18 May24 May06 (dunham bernard)ADORNO ABNER 124 2.50 39% 1.60    
5  DOCTOR MAGIC Sep04 Aug23 Aug12 Jul26 Jun13 (whylie her)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 12.00    
6  FLORIANOPOLIS Sep04 Jul11 Jun21 May29 May03 (mosco robert)MOYA F 120 3.00    
7  SETTE STELLE Sep09 Aug26 Aug09 Jul21 Jul07 (siculietano d)ALICEA JEREMY 117 8.00    
8  SHEA D CAPTURE May15 May08 Apr15 Apr03 Feb16 (sanchez-pinero a)CASTILLO A 124 10.00 8% 10.80    
 
PRX-2   09/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 GOOD Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ET'S MOON MAIDEN Aug29 Aug06 Jul12 Jun21 Jun10 (chacon gus)SANCHEZ J 122 6.00 15% 5.50    
2  MARION GRACE Aug21 Jul26 Jun19 May22 Apr24 (solis jacinto)PENNINGTON F 118 3.50    
3  SYSTEMIC RISK Aug24 Aug05 Jul19 Jul05 Jun04 (aristone phil)SILVERA RUBEN 122 4.00 13% 6.60    
4  CLOUT CHASER Aug29 Jul08 May15 Apr26 Mar13 (st u)HENRY JR 122 15.00    
5  COLLIN'S GREY LADY Aug29 Jul12 Jan30 Jan04 Dec21 (coletti j)CASTILLO A 122 6.00    
6  EMIRATES AFFAIR Jul17 Jun04 May15 Apr26 Mar19 (mosco ro)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 3.00    
7  JEZEBEL JADE Aug21 Aug03 Jul10 Jun07 Apr26 (padilla-preci)RIVERA D 122 8.00 25% 3.00    
 
PRX-3   09/19/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THEGODDESSOFSNAKES Sep04 Aug04 Jul17 Jul05 Jun26 (rodriguez m)RAMOS C 122 5.00    
2  GINGERS WISH Jul18 Jul11 Jun07 May26 Apr28 (smith donovan)TREJOS JOSEPH 122 12.00    
3  MISS CHAMITA Aug17 Jul19 Jun20 May24 May09 (pino v)RUIZ ELISEO 115 2.00 20% 3.90    
4  PEYTON'S COLLEGE Aug30 Aug23 Jul26 Jul18 Jun12 (brown howar)WOLFSONT ANDREW 122 3.00 21% 3.80    
5  CLASSY MISS Sep04 Jul26 Jul11 Jun18 Jun06 (dandy ronald)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 4.50    
6  SPEIGHTSTER'S GOLD Aug30 Jul19 Jul04 Jun20 Jun07 (guerrero gu)RIVERA D 122 8.00 20% 4.10    
 
PRX-4   09/19/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DADASHEV Sep05 Aug18 Jul25 Jul05 Jun28 (hogan )GONZALEZ JR 122 6.00    
2  HANEY BOYS Jul19 Oct19 Sep20 Aug24 Jul20 (mosco rober)ANGULO J 122 5.00 11% 8.20    
3  TREPAT Aug29 Dec11 Oct23 Sep18 Jun26 (ness jamie)PENNINGTON F 118 2.50 31% 2.20    
SCR  OUR MARK STEVEN Jul11 May23 Apr26 Mar24 Mar01 (perez rupert)LAPRIDA JEREMY 118 6.00    
SCR  ALONZO MOSELY Aug30 Aug04 Jul19 Jul11 Jun27 (bouchard lesl)OCASIO M 122 6.00    
6  ROCKIN FREEBEE Sep05 Aug30 Jul19 Jul05 Jun12 (romero alexis)TREJOS JOSEPH 122 15.00    
7  VERO SUN Sep05 Jun20 May30 May15 Apr26 (maymo aleja)RAMOS C 122 15.00    
8  J WASS Sep05 Aug06 Jul19 Jun24 Jun11 (crook-demasi kat)JUAREZ NIK 122 3.50 31% 2.20    
 
PRX-5   09/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FEARLESS KRISTIE Sep16 Sep07 Aug04 Jul21 May04 (pino micha)SANCHEZ J 118 4.50    
2  SO FULLY SUE Aug29 Jul10 May19 Apr28 Apr08 (linder j)RENDON JAIRO 122 6.00    
3  SOCIAL LADY Jul06 Jun18 Apr19 Mar22 Jan04 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 118 6.00 45% 1.20    
4  BLUEBERRY PIE Jun20 May26 Nov05 Sep28 Aug31 (truehart jennif)RUIZ ELISEO 115 8.00    
SCR  ISTRIA (GB) Aug22 Jul24 Jun07 May24 Oct14 (lynch cathal)HERNANDEZ ANDY 118 5.00    
SCR  TAP IT UP Jul27 Jun22 Jun02 May14 Apr16 (ryerson jame)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 3.50    
SCR  BRUNO BARBER GIRL Sep12 Aug29 Jun27 May31 Apr26 (lake a)MOYA F 118 15.00    
8  A CASE OF YOU (IRE) Aug22 Jul18 Jul05 Oct28 Aug03 (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 10.00 19% 4.10    
SCR  FROM HELLO Aug20 Jul15 Jun11 May12 Apr21 (brown r)CARMOUCHE K 118 3.00    
 
PRX-6   09/19/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MINXZHIPPSDONTLEYE Aug22 Jul26 Jul11 Jun27 Jun06 (ashton patric)SILVERA RUBEN 118 4.00 33% 2.00    
2  ON OUR WAY BOYZ Aug26 Aug02 Jul07 Jun18 May26 (kirby timothy)OCASIO M 122 5.00    
3  WHERESTHEPASSION Aug30 Aug02 Jun19 May30 May10 (mercedes ped)HERNANDEZ ANDY 122 6.00    
4  W. P. CADET Sep11 Sep01 May12 Apr21 Mar17 (padilla hu)RIVERA R 116 6.00    
5  AZTEC LEGEND Aug26 Aug06 Jul08 Jun24 Apr08 (wilson tony)IORIO MELISSA 114 6.00    
6  CUPID'S DART Apr08 Mar29 Mar09 Feb26 Feb01 (preciado guad)RIVERA D 122 4.50 22% 3.60    
7  HARLEY'S CHARLY Sep05 Aug21 Jun21 May31 May10 (soto c)RUIZ ELISEO 114 3.00 11% 8.20    
8  MIZZEN MAN Aug29 Jun28 Jun14 May31 May10 (solis jacinto)BOWMAN ADAM 122 8.00 8% 11.30    
 
PRX-7   09/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAAFEED Aug28 Jul26 Jun21 May31 Jun17 (lake a)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 3.50 19% 4.10    
2  LEGAL DEAL Jul15 Jun18 May26 May04 Apr22 (padilla-precia)ADORNO ABNER 122 6.00    
3  GEEBERT Sep04 Jun14 May29 Apr24 Mar28 (mosco ro)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 4.00    
4  HAPPY FARM Aug18 Jul14 Jun15 May27 Apr23 (arr)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 4.50 39% 1.60    
5  ROB THE RICH Aug28 Jul09 Jun03 Apr24 Mar28 (guerrero carl)CARMOUCHE K 122 3.00 9% 10.00    
6  REAL TALK Aug13 Jul14 Dec14 Nov12 Oct02 (orseno joseph)SILVERA RUBEN 122 6.00    
7  EASY DAY Aug28 Jul26 May30 May03 Mar25 (lake a)PENNINGTON F 122 5.00    
 
PRX-8   09/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($42K) 2 F PT- 3:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEWEY DOIT Aug21         (servis c)ADORNO ABNER 120 4.00 17% 4.80    
2  KISS FOR LUCK Aug20 Jul13 May23     (reid rober)SANCHEZ J 118 6.00    
3  FIRST JOKE Jul29 Jun03       (reid e)PENNINGTON F 118 3.00    
4  R FASHIONABLY LATE Aug25 Jul29 Jul14     (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 118 6.00    
5  BAILINTIN Aug19         (pino michae)VASQUEZ WILFRED 118 3.50 56% 0.80    
6  MADE BIRDIE Jul29 Jul14 Jun22     (gonzalez c)ROWLAND MADELINE 118 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ELOPER Aug04 May25       (bedard alan)LAPRIDA JEREMY 118 8.00    
 
PRX-9   09/19/2023 4950ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($41K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GETAWAY PALACE Aug21 Jul12 Jun10 May31 May06 (perez rupert)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 6.00    
2  MOONBOOTS Jun10 May25 Apr10 Mar21 Feb21 (morgan carla)SILVERA RUBEN 122 6.00    
SCR  NEON CITY Aug22 Aug05 Jun07 May24 Sep10 (carango an)RIVERA R 117 12.00    
4  TOURING MARYANNE Aug25 Aug03 Jul03 Jun06 Apr03 (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 122 6.00 55% 0.80    
SCR  ON THE SHORTLIST Jul24 Jul05 Jun15 Nov30 Nov08 (mcclellan e)CORUJO LEONARDO 118 2.00    
6  PAGEANT PRINCESS Aug21 Aug10 Oct12 Sep21 Aug26 (crook-demas)WOLFSONT ANDREW 122 4.50 15% 5.50    
7  BOHEMIA BABE Aug22 Jul28 Jul12 Jun24 Jun07 (mercedes pedro)RUIZ ELISEO 115 12.00    
SCR  CARLOTUK Jul24 Jun28 Jun05 Apr16 Mar23 (lake a)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 12.00    
SCR  INANNA'S QUEST Sep09 Jul27 Jul13 Jul07 Jun14 (ashby lynn)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 2.50    
10  THAT'STONY'SSISTER Aug30 Jul26 Jul19 Jul05 Jun12 (bedard alan)RAMOS C 122 12.00    
11  COACH HAS SIX ACES Jul26 Jul18 Apr10 Feb24 Jan10 (flores-coba )LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
PRX-10   09/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMALL REASON Aug12 Jul28 Jul14 Jun10 May13 (sweezey k)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 4.00 5% 19.00    
2  BUCKS ARE MOVING Aug30 Jul12 Jun15 May26 May02 (arce josue)RAMOS C 122 8.00    
3  CRYPT Sep05 Aug23 Jul25 Jul05 Jun19 (mosco robert)MOYA F 122 5.00    
4  EMPIRE'S SCORE Aug30 Jul26 Jul10 Jun20 Jun06 (brown howar)WOLFSONT ANDREW 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  SAPONARA Aug30 Aug03 Jul19 Jul04 May29 (flores-coba fel)RUIZ ELISEO 118 5.00    
6  HE HATE ME Aug28 Jul08 Jun19 May05 Apr20 (ness jamie)PENNINGTON F 122 2.00 66% 0.50    
7  HE'S INCREDIBLE Aug22 Jul15 Jun28 May09 Apr25 (velazquez al)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 5.00    
8  OSPREY Jul17 Jun28 May06 Apr12 Mar07 (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 122 4.50    
9  HIDE THE RANSOM Aug30 Jul20 Jul10 Jun28 Jun13 (perez ruperto)RIVERA D 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.