Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Horseshoe Indianapolis
Tuesday - September 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
IND-1   WIN (4/5/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/8/3)-(4/5/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/8/3)-(4/5/8/3)-(4/5/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/8/3)-(5/4/1/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/5/8/3)-(5/4/1/8)-(5/8) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
IND-2   WIN (5/4/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/1/8)-(5/4/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/1/8)-(5/4/1/8)-(5/4/1/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/1/8)-(5/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/4/1/8)-(5/8)-(5/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
IND-3   WIN (5/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/8)-(5/8) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/8)-(5/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/8)-(5/6/7)-(6/2/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
IND-4   WIN (5/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/7)-(5/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/7)-(5/6/7)-(5/6/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/7)-(6/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/6/7)-(6/2/5)-(6/9/2/10) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
IND-5   WIN (6/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/5)-(6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/5)-(6/9/2/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/2/5)-(6/9/2/10)-(1/5/9/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
IND-6   WIN (6/9/2/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/9/2/10)-(6/9/2/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/9/2/10)-(6/9/2/10)-(6/9/2/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/9/2/10)-(1/5/9/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/9/2/10)-(1/5/9/4)-(3/1/10/8) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
IND-7   WIN (1/5/9/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/9/4)-(1/5/9/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/9/4)-(1/5/9/4)-(1/5/9/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/9/4)-(3/1/10/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/5/9/4)-(3/1/10/8)-(3/4/5/2/9) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
IND-8   WIN (3/1/10/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/10/8)-(3/1/10/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/10/8)-(3/1/10/8)-(3/1/10/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/10/8)-(3/4/5/2/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
IND-9   WIN (3/4/5/2/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/4/5/2/9)-(3/4/5/2/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/4/5/2/9)-(3/4/5/2/9)-(3/4/5/2/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
IND-1   09/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRADO CITY Aug29         (richardville)TERRAZA GERMAN 117 30.00    
  (by FORT PRADO out of MOUNTAIN CITY by CENTURY CITY (IRE))
2  TURBONATOR Aug29 Nov16       (richardville tian)PEREZ A 124 20.00    
  (by TURBO COMPRESSOR out of SUGAR COMA by JACQUELYN'S GROOM)
3  FOREVER LASTING Aug30 Aug15 Aug03 May29 May08 (garcia )DE CRUZ 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FOREVER D'ORO out of MI TIA by MI SELECTO)
4  CHA CHA LARRY Sep07 Aug03 Jul20 Jun24 Nov16 (cook brian)MOJICA O 124 1.80 42% 1.40    
  (by LOOKING COOL out of WITH A LITTLE SALT by DIXIE ROAD)
5  BIG CITY HEAT Aug29 Aug01 Jul08 Jun15 May23 (waltz brian)PRESCOTT R 124 3.50 24% 3.10    
  (by HEAT SHIMMER out of CITY WIFE by CITY PLACE)
6  WE MISS OTIS Aug29 Aug03       (nance jona)ANDERSON MCKENNA 124 5.00    
  (by READY'S IMAGE out of COLORADO JANE by GIACOMO)
7  YOSHIDA'S IMPACT Aug16 Aug01       (douglass )BERMUDEZ E 120 15.00    
  (by DOWSING out of SONATA SQUALL by DISCREET CAT)
8  FOREVER FRIENDS Sep07 Jul08 Jun17 Sep13   (shorter aaron)DIAZ RENE 120 3.00 10% 9.10    
  (by HARRY'S HOLIDAY out of PINK KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
 
IND-2   09/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SNERDLEY Sep06 Aug09 Jul11 Jun17 May29 (sturgeon c)MOJICA O 117 4.50 6% 16.10    
2  JACK D Sep06 Aug09 Jun10 Jun01 May11 (bland greg)LEAHEY HANNAH 124 6.00    
3  GRAY MIKE Sep06 Aug09 Jul20 Jul03 Jun24 (haran john)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 12.00    
4  MAS ORO Aug30 Aug05 Jul20 Jun08 May24 (garcia )DE CRUZ 120 3.50 13% 6.70    
5  PHILIP SNOW Aug23 Aug01 Jul08 Jun17 May23 (klopp randy)RAMOS D 117 1.80 55% 0.80    
6  PAIGE PERFECT Sep07 Aug30 Aug05 Jul20 Jun24 (wisner trace)TERRAZA GERMAN 117 15.00    
7  ZEN JOURNEY Jul21 Jun01 Apr25 Jul19   (west aaro)BERMUDEZ E 120 10.00    
8  MOTION TO ADJOURN Sep11 Jul07 Jun21 May25 May11 (raper ron)PEREZ E 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
IND-3   09/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38.5K) 2 F PT- 3:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WHEN'S FOREVER Sep07         (garcia genar)TERRAZA GERMAN 113 1.80    
  (by FOREVER D'ORO out of MI TIA by MI SELECTO)
SCR  RAFAELLA Sep06 Aug11 Jul20 Jul06   (elliott miche)LEAHEY HANNAH 120 1.60 56% 0.80    
  (by TAPRIZE out of CROSSED by ANTHONY'S CROSS)
3  SOLRUN Aug16         (michael brian)PRESCOTT R 120 20.00    
  (by HOLIDAY PROMISE out of NICE DREAMS by STRONG HOPE)
4  UNBRIDLED MISS Sep07         (leonard geo)BURNHAM MATILDA 113 15.00    
  (by UNBRIDLED EXPRESS out of MISS CARMELITE by MUTAKDDIM)
5  CLASSIC KITTEN Sep07 Aug11       (garcia )DE CRUZ 120 8.00 18% 4.50    
  (by CHARMING KITTEN out of KLASSIE CONNECT by PROUD CITIZEN)
6  LOTTA LATTE Sep07 Aug16 Jul20     (patrick r)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 20.00    
  (by QAFEEF out of JONES ZING by SMARTY JONES)
SCR  GO MUNECA Sep06 Aug16 Jul20     (donjuan sergio)HESS SARA 110 30.00    
  (by GREELEY'S CONQUEST out of CLEVER GRETEL by BLUEGRASS CAT)
8  WHO'S SORRY NOW         (roggenkamp e)ARAGON ROLANDO 120 5.00 5% 17.60    
  (by UNBRIDLED EXPRESS out of ELLUSIVE WILDCAT by FOREST WILDCAT)
 
IND-4   09/19/2023 4950ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($32K) 2 F PT- 4:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DISTANT LOVER Aug31         (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 120 2.50    
2  BAYTOWN KITTY CAT Aug31 Aug03 Jun16 May29 Apr12 (mcentee paul)ELLIOTT JANE 120 8.00    
3  ENTICING SUNSET Aug18 Jul16       (mott riley)ACHARD ALEX 120 4.00    
SCR  SEAU N'TAP Aug28 Jun10       (caramori caio)CANNON DECLAN 120 12.00    
5  HIGHLANDS         (cox bra)DE CRUZ 120 3.50 45% 1.20    
6  FREE FUJI         (sharp joe)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 10.00 28% 2.50    
7  OLD FASHIONED GIRL Aug24 Jul27 Jul11     (mcentee paul)GILLIGAN JACK 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DESPERATE TIMES Aug30 Aug10       (bright derric)MORALES EDGAR 120 20.00    
9  KAM'S ROCKIN GOLD Aug29         (thompson erin)PEREZ E 117 30.00    
 
IND-5   09/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 2 ALL PT- 4:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CANDY NUN         (lobo pau)RODRIGUEZ A 120 10.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of COCO'S WILDCAT by WILDCAT HEIR)
2  BEYOND STOKED         (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 120 4.50 23% 3.40    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of MISS SOUTHERN MISS by MORE THAN READY)
3  MOPED MO         (douglass )BERMUDEZ E 120 30.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of MIDNIGHT HOOK by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
4  RACCOON RODEO Aug09 Jul21 Jun17     (maker michae)RAMOS D 120 5.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of CORONADO ROSE by CORONADO'S QUEST)
5  SPOKEN CODE         (walsh brendan)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of SPOKEN by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
6  QUARRYMEN Aug09         (cox brad )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 1.80 55% 0.80    
  (by STREET BOSS out of TWIXT AND SHOUT by DISCREET CAT)
7  OX TAP         (o'neill doug)MORALES EDGAR 120 8.00    
  (by OXBOW out of TAPICERA by TAPIT)
8  RUSTY         (calhoun b)DIAZ RENE 120 6.00    
  (by TAPWRIT out of PATTITUDE by CITY ZIP)
 
IND-6   09/19/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAYOU CHROME Aug28 Jul21 Jul12 Jun21 May30 (leonard geo)FRANKLIN MALCOM 118 10.00    
2  CHAMBERS BAY Aug28 Jul03 May18 Apr12 Mar17 (glyshaw tim)MOJICA O 118 4.50 5% 17.50    
3  OUT OF ALCATRAZ Jul07 May25 Apr28 Apr08 Mar23 (shorter aaron)DIAZ RENE 118 20.00    
SCR  SILENT SONATA Sep13 Jun21 May31 Mar05 Feb05 (granitz anth)TERRAZA GERMAN 112 6.00    
5  DON'T CROSS JACK Aug30 Aug06 Jul10 May22 Feb14 (tooley je)BERMUDEZ E 118 20.00    
6  LAWMAKER Aug30 Aug09 Jul19 Jul05 Jun07 (manley st)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 5.00 47% 1.10    
7  BREAKOUT STAR Aug31 Aug17 Aug05 Jul18 Jun14 (paquett)DE CRUZ 118 15.00    
SCR  MINNESOTA MOON Sep09 Aug20 Jul30 Jul06 Jun08 (quinonez ma)BURNHAM MATILDA 111 12.00    
9  BROKEN JUSTICE Aug20 Jul15 Jun29 May30 May08 (short ricky )BURGOS ALBERTO 119 4.00 25% 3.00    
10  BRODY'S FLY Aug28 Aug09 Jul27 Jul19 Jul05 (jones s)PRESCOTT R 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
11  ALMIGHTYJUSTICE Aug28 Aug05 Jul05 Jun07 May17 (granitz anth)RAMOS D 115 10.00    
SCR  VINTAGE VINYL Aug11 Jul12 May24 May08 Apr27 (klopp ran)BERMUDEZ E 122 3.00    
 
IND-7   09/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEG BORROW N STEAL Aug03 Jun21 Jun01 May11 Apr20 (reavis mi)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 2.50 25% 3.00    
2  MONTGOMERY PARK Aug31 Aug02 Jul06 Jun14 Jun11 (duran antonio)MOJICA O 122 4.50    
3  MOON OVER TUSCANY Aug22 Aug02 Aug08 Jun30 Jun08 (swango kevi)BURNHAM MATILDA 115 20.00    
4  LEXI SUN Nov17 Jun20 May18 May03 Apr20 (douglass de)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 30.00 8% 10.80    
5  LIL EVIE Aug22 Jun24 Jun07 May10 Apr27 (nance jonathan)PRESCOTT R 119 5.00 25% 3.00    
6  DESTINY'S DARLING Aug29 Jul29 Jun24 Jun09 May17 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 122 10.00    
7  FOR THE BISCUIT Aug31 Aug03 Jun29 Jun21 May31 (hernandez r)PETERSON FERRIN 118 12.00    
8  WILD TAPIT Aug11 Jul06 Jun06 Apr27 Feb15 (klopp randy)RAMOS D 122 3.50    
9  MAGIC BEAUTY Jul20 May16 Apr25 Mar16 Aug10 (klopp ran)BERMUDEZ E 118 10.00 15% 5.50    
 
IND-8   09/19/2023 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PERUVIAN LUCKY Jul21 Jun15 May20 Apr01 Mar17 (correas ignaci)MACHADO LUAN 122 8.00 14% 6.20    
2  MUTAKATIF (IRE) Jul20 Jul11 Jun20 May29 Apr15 (brown pa)STRANDBERG MALLORY 122 6.00    
3  AKAMAI Aug23 Jul06 Jun21 May24 Nov17 (dobbsjr e)PRESCOTT R 119 5.00 39% 1.50    
4  NAVY SOUL Aug27 Jul21 Jun15 May04 Apr18 (pittman bon)BURNHAM MATILDA 115 30.00    
5  GET THROUGH Aug27 Jul31 Jun02 May05 Mar25 (vanden britt)PEREZ E 122 12.00    
6  ASSIDUOUSLY (GB) Sep10 Jul20 Feb19 Feb03 Jan04 (caramori eduar)LEZCANO ABEL 122 6.00    
SCR  SIMPLE LOGIC Aug30 Aug06 Jul16 Jun25 Jun04 (block chris)MOJICA O 122 2.00    
8  ONE LUCKY DAY Aug23 Aug03 Jul18 Jun07 May22 (hernandez r)PETERSON FERRIN 122 10.00 6% 15.30    
9  STORM DADDY Jul21 Jul08 May28 May15 Apr16 (gonza)ULLOA PATRICIO 118 15.00    
10  EL RAYO (ARG) Aug13 Jul23 Jul11 Jun17 May27 (manley steve)CENTENO ALEXIS 118 12.00 12% 7.10    
SCR  JURA Sep07 Jun20 May18 Apr21 Mar30 (meah m)HEARD TYLER 122 8.00    
 
IND-9   09/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38.5K) 2 ALL PT- 6:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REFLEX Sep08 Aug17 Jul21 Jun20   (haran john)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 4.50    
  (by SLOPE out of INSTANT REFLECTION by PROPER CONQUEST)
2  PROPHET OBADIAH         (leonard georg)LEAHEY HANNAH 120 15.00 7% 12.40    
  (by GREELEY'S CONQUEST out of BEYOND by CENTAINE (AUS))
3  DATTTS LIFE Aug31 Aug10 Jul21     (duran antonio)MOJICA O 120 1.00 51% 0.90    
  (by SHAGAF out of DATTTS OUR GIRL by THUNDER GULCH)
4  EL TULIPAN Sep08 Aug15       (garcia gena)BURNHAM MATILDA 113 6.00 9% 9.80    
  (by SKYLORD out of BLACK TULIP by ROCK HARD TEN)
5  UNBRIDLED SLOPE         (douglass )BERMUDEZ E 120 20.00 8% 10.80    
  (by SLOPE out of UNBRIDLED'S LADY by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
6  TREMOR Aug31 Aug17       (elliott michelle)PRESCOTT R 120 8.00    
  (by UNBRIDLED EXPRESS out of SPECIAL TALENT by TALENT SEARCH)
7  BOOMING Aug31 Aug17       (lauer michae)RAMOS D 120 15.00    
  (by READY'S IMAGE out of IMALLABOUTTHATBASS by INCLUDE)
8  HOLIDAY CITY Aug17 Aug02 Jul03     (garcia israe)TERRAZA GERMAN 113 20.00    
  (by HOLIDAY PROMISE out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
9  COWBOY JUSTICE (GB) Sep14 Aug02 Jul28 Jul01 May05 (gorham m)PEREZ E 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HARRY'S HOLIDAY out of BREEZY POINTESS by MALIBU MOON)
10  LOOMING Sep08 Aug10 Aug02 Jul03   (fosdick)DE CRUZ 120 30.00    
  (by TAPRIZE out of INDECISIVE by HAIL THE PIRATES)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.