Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Horseshoe Indianapolis
Monday - September 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
IND-1   WIN (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/4)-(6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/4)-(1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/2/4)-(1/4)-(1/5/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
IND-2   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/4)-(1/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/4)-(1/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/4)-(1/5/2)-(1/8/10/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
IND-3   WIN (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/2)-(1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/2)-(1/8/10/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/2)-(1/8/10/3)-(2/9/8/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
IND-4   WIN (1/8/10/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/10/3)-(1/8/10/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/10/3)-(1/8/10/3)-(1/8/10/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/8/10/3)-(2/9/8/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/8/10/3)-(2/9/8/1)-(1/5/10/7) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
IND-5   WIN (2/9/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/9/8/1)-(2/9/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/9/8/1)-(2/9/8/1)-(2/9/8/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/9/8/1)-(1/5/10/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/9/8/1)-(1/5/10/7)-(6/2/8/4) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
IND-6   WIN (1/5/10/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/10/7)-(1/5/10/7/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/5/10/7)-(1/5/10/7/3)-(1/5/10/7/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/5/10/7)-(6/2/8/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/5/10/7)-(6/2/8/4)-(1/3/5/12) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
IND-7   WIN (6/2/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/8/4)-(6/2/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/8/4)-(6/2/8/4)-(6/2/8/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/8/4)-(1/3/5/12) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
IND-8   WIN (1/3/5/12) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/5/12)-(1/3/2/5/12) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/3/5/12)-(1/3/2/5/12)-(1/3/2/5/12) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
IND-1   09/18/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANTE ANGEL Aug26         (garcia )DE CRUZ 120 8.00    
  (by SKYLORD out of ANTE MY ANNIE by SKY APPROVAL)
2  DABNEY Aug26 Aug02 Jun10 May03 Nov14 (klopp ran)BERMUDEZ E 124 4.00 31% 2.20    
  (by SKYLORD out of C O BARQUEEN by THUNDER GULCH)
3  SANTIVA DIVA Aug02 Nov10 Oct26 Oct03 Aug22 (wisner trace)TERRAZA GERMAN 117 12.00    
  (by SANTIVA out of SPANISH SOCIAL by SPANISH STEPS)
4  GOODY FOUR SHOES Aug26 Aug17 Jul15 Jun20 May25 (richardville tiann)MOJICA O 124 2.50 8% 11.10    
  (by MONBA out of HOLLY AT LAW by BERNSTEIN)
5  ABRA ABRA Aug26 Aug02       (richardville tian)PEREZ A 120 10.00    
  (by NECK 'N NECK out of INSURE by MENIFEE)
6  HERE KITTY KITTY Aug17 Aug02 Jul08 May15 May03 (gorham m)PEREZ E 120 1.60 36% 1.70    
  (by CSABA out of SHIELD by RAHY)
7  JANE'S A DIVA Aug29 Aug10 Aug02 May03 Nov14 (wisner trac)BURNHAM MATILDA 117 15.00    
  (by SANTIVA out of PRETTY PLAIN JANE by JUST PLAIN JOE)
 
IND-2   09/18/2023 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NATIVE LION Aug05 Nov14 Oct29 Oct03 Aug24 (richardvi)BERMUDEZ E 122 6.00 52% 0.90    
2  SECOND EXCHANGE Aug22 Aug08 Jul12 Jun20 May31 (fosdick)DE CRUZ 119 2.00    
3  TIMELESS GLORY Aug31 Aug10 Jul12 Jun25 Jun11 (rosas rigo)MOJICA O 122 3.50    
4  AMAZING GAL Aug30 Aug05 Jun27 May29 Nov14 (broberg k)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 4.00 11% 7.90    
5  ELUSIVE JUSTICE Aug30 Aug15 Aug05 Jul21 Jul12 (davis joseph)TERRAZA GERMAN 112 5.00    
SCR  BLOODY MARY MORNIN Sep03 Aug03 May29 Mar25 Mar04 (reid r)PRESCOTT R 119 4.50    
 
IND-3   09/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($38K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VOW Aug01 Jul06 May29 May04 Mar03 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 122 1.80 63% 0.60    
2  BLUSHING BELLE Aug08 May23 Mar25 Jan28 Nov15 (love alan)DIAZ RENE 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  SKYLERVILLE Aug16 Jul15 May23 May10 Mar25 (klopp ran)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 2.50    
4  ARELLA STAR Jul27 Jun17 May20 Feb04 Jan01 (orantes r)NAVAS YOEL 111 3.50    
5  BOMBDIGGITY Jul15 Nov20 Oct26 Jun25 May21 (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 122 3.00 13% 6.80    
6  SUNDAY GRACE Aug01 Jun23 May28 Sep13 Jul09 (hern)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 122 10.00    
 
IND-4   09/18/2023 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ETERNAL BLISS Aug29 Aug08 Jul13 Jun24 Mar19 (klopp randy)RAMOS D 120 5.00 29% 2.50    
2  INFINITY'S WARRIOR May18 May09 May03 Sep20   (hammond k)BERMUDEZ E 117 15.00    
3  RUFFLED WATERS Aug29 Aug10 Jul13 Jun22 May23 (mcmichael l)BURNHAM MATILDA 117 3.50 5% 17.60    
SCR  ENJOY THE CRACKEN         (wisner trace)TERRAZA GERMAN 113 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  BE RUTHLESS Aug03 Jul13 Oct11 Aug30   (torres c)RODRIGUEZ A 120 10.00    
6  FEELINGOODBILLYRAY Aug29 Jul12       (holden j)BURGOS ALBERTO 117 20.00    
7  TOTALITARIAN Aug31 Aug17 Aug10 Jul21 Jul13 (gonzalez lilia)PEREZ E 120 4.50    
8  BOXSTER Mar15 Feb20 Jan19 Jan07 Nov13 (silva)ULLOA PATRICIO 120 6.00 19% 4.20    
9  OTIS ON THE CAPE Jun24 May23 May08     (paye jo)DE CRUZ 120 15.00    
10  KING OF KENTUCKY Aug29 Aug11 Jul21 Jun22 May21 (brownfield claud)PRESCOTT R 120 4.00 18% 4.40    
 
IND-5   09/18/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEPUTY STAR Aug26 Aug02 Jul08 Oct03 Sep09 (matthews r)ANDERSON MCKENNA 124 4.50 7% 13.20    
2  SALTY SUE Sep07 Aug17 Jul20 Jul05 Jun21 (eggleston)BERMUDEZ E 120 2.50 30% 2.30    
3  WIRY Aug29 Aug02 Aug02     (mullins scot)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 20.00    
4  E Z AVENUE May31 Apr25       (egglest)DE CRUZ 120 12.00    
5  KAYS HEAVENLY STAR Nov10 Oct19 Oct06     (sanchez emma)TERRAZA GERMAN 113 30.00    
6  DISHIN' IT OUT Sep07 Aug23 Aug10 Jun27 Jun06 (patrick ga)RAMOS D 120 12.00    
7  FANCY GRANCY Aug26 Apr25       (ellio)ULLOA PATRICIO 120 8.00    
8  LUCKY LINDA W Aug29 Aug17 Jul15 Jun21 May25 (nance jonathan)PRESCOTT R 120 3.50 11% 8.20    
9  ECHO DREAMER Aug26 Aug02       (contreras c)BURNHAM MATILDA 113 5.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  TEN LIL VICTORIES Sep06 Aug17 Aug01 Jul20 May25 (holden j)NAVAS YOEL 124 30.00    
 
IND-6   09/18/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIQUID ADDICTION (IRE) Sep04 Jun24 Apr26 Mar25   (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 120 2.50 56% 0.80    
2  NEWS AT NINE Aug31         (davis christopher)LOPEZ E 120 20.00    
3  NIGHT CHANT Aug29 Jul30 Jun22     (brownfield c)RAMOS D 120 20.00 ★    
4  CENTAURO Aug09 Jul07 Jun21 May31 Oct31 (torres a)AYALA ISAIAS 124 15.00    
5  CHANNEL Z Jul12 Jun21 May30 May15 Mar15 (wisner j)PRESCOTT R 124 4.00 16% 5.10    
6  HILTON HEAD Aug09 Jul21 Jun21 May25   (davis jos)BERMUDEZ E 120 6.00    
7  AUGUSTUS BLUE Sep03 Aug02 Jul07 Jun14 May11 (kerrick lacy)MOJICA O 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  JOINT VENTURE Sep08 Apr20 Feb25 Dec26 Oct15 (leonard georg)LEAHEY HANNAH 120 20.00    
9  RED FIVE Mar10 Feb03       (west w)ACHARD ALEX 120 30.00    
10  MOON WISH Jan28         (caramori )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 5.00 7% 12.50    
11  CREPE YARNS Aug27 Jul09 Jun17 Jun01 Nov26 (mosier ha)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 120 10.00    
SCR  CHARMING VICTORY Sep06 Aug17 Aug10 Nov17 Sep07 (holden j)BURGOS ALBERTO 117 30.00    
SCR  SHOCKWAVE Sep09 Mar25 Dec03 Oct08   (joseph sa)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 8.00    
SCR  FUNSTRUCK         (olivo daisy )CENTENO ALEXIS 120 20.00    
 
IND-7   09/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 2 F PT- 5:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PERFECT MANHATTAN Jul11 Jun21       (hammond kim)ELLIOTT JANE 120 20.00    
  (by BEE JERSEY out of CHRISTMAS COVE by MORE THAN READY)
2  ILLUSIVE STAR         (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 120 3.00 29% 2.40    
  (by TAPIT out of SPEEDINTHRUTHECITY by CITY ZIP)
3  SAKURA SKY Aug28         (walden willi)RAMOS D 120 10.00    
  (by YOSHIDA out of COOL SKY by SKY MESA)
4  THIRSTY ACCOUNTANT Aug24 Aug02 Jul11     (mcentee paul)GILLIGAN JACK 120 15.00 8% 12.10    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of THIRSTY MADAM by STAY THIRSTY)
5  TIZ MIZ PARADISE Aug23         (hernand)DE CRUZ 120 20.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of TIZ A TEARDROP by TIZDEJAVU)
6  LINGONBERRY         (cox brad )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 2.50 32% 2.10    
  (by KANTHAROS out of TASTEFUL by STREET CRY)
SCR  MISPRINT         (morey e)FELIX E 120 10.00    
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of FORBIDDEN BREW by MILWAUKEE BREW)
8  DIXIE RAG         (walsh brendan)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 5.00 11% 8.50    
  (by UNION RAGS out of PARRIS HILL by A.P. INDY)
9  PAGEANT PURRFECT Aug29 Aug08       (silva miguel)PEREZ A 120 30.00    
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of PURR by THIRTY EIGHT PACES)
10  MIDNIGHT ANGEL (GER) Sep07 Aug08 Aug01 Jul07 Apr12 (torres a)AYALA ISAIAS 120 6.00    
  (by WEST COAST out of PIKE CREEK by FOREST CAMP)
 
IND-8   09/18/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DICHOTOMY Sep06 Aug23 Jul19 Jun21 Jun06 (finucane richard)PRESCOTT R 124 6.00 35% 1.90    
2  SAKE (FR) Aug24 May20 Apr13 Dec21 Oct13 (correas ignaci)MACHADO LUAN 122 4.50 ★    
3  STAR WISHER Aug26 Aug05 Jul21 Jun10 Oct28 (granitz a)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 115 5.00 33% 2.00    
SCR  TAPERINEA Sep03 Aug19 Jul27 Jun21 May29 (meraz)ULLOA PATRICIO 119 20.00    
5  HARVEY'S PRINCESS Aug28 Aug05 Jul12 May10 Oct01 (west w)ACHARD ALEX 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  POND WALKER (GB) Aug26 Jul01 Jul02     (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 122 10.00    
7  GIO'S BABY GIRL Aug23 Aug15 Jul18 Jun29 May30 (herrell ron)BURNHAM MATILDA 112 30.00    
8  I'M SO SORRY Sep01 Jul26 May27 Apr16 Feb26 (maker michae)RAMOS D 122 3.50    
9  MINT EDITION Jul22 Jun22 Jun02 Apr23 Mar29 (wilkes r)CANNON DECLAN 122 15.00    
10  BEYOND DOUBT Aug05 Mar11 Jan22 Dec02 Sep26 (cox bra)DE CRUZ 118 8.00    
11  RITAAN Jul18 Jun19 May18 Mar25   (mckeever andr)MORALES EDGAR 118 30.00    
12  APRIL'S GEM Sep03 Aug23 Jul30 Jul12 Jun11 (rosas rigo)MOJICA O 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MAMA LOU Aug09 Jul21 Jun14 May31 Apr27 (west ethan )FRANKLIN MALCOM 122 30.00    
SCR  RENAISSANCE (IRE) Aug19 Aug01 Jul07 Apr01 Mar09 (knippenberg )MARCANO Y 117 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.