Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Wednesday - September 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (2/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/3)-(2/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/7/3)-(2/7/3)-(2/7/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/7/3)-(1/8/5/7/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/7/3)-(1/8/5/7/4)-(3/6/1) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
PEN-2   WIN (1/8/5/7/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/8/5/7/4)-(1/8/5/7/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/8/5/7/4)-(1/8/5/7/4)-(1/8/5/7/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/8/5/7/4)-(3/6/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/8/5/7/4)-(3/6/1)-(2/5/4) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
PEN-3   WIN (3/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/1)-(3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/1)-(2/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/6/1)-(2/5/4)-(7/1/8) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PEN-4   WIN (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/4)-(2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/4)-(7/1/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/5/4)-(7/1/8)-(1/2/7) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PEN-5   WIN (7/1/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/8)-(7/1/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/1/8)-(7/1/8)-(7/1/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/1/8)-(1/2/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/1/8)-(1/2/7)-(1/4/8/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-6   WIN (1/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/7)-(1/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/7)-(1/2/7)-(1/2/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/7)-(1/4/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PEN-7   WIN (1/4/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/8/3)-(1/4/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/8/3)-(1/4/8/3)-(1/4/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   09/13/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 YIELDING Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BROBRO CORMAN Sep06 Jun30 Jun14 May25 Apr27 (rathman elisha)TORRES JOMAR 120 8.00    
2  CITY OF GOD Aug24 Aug09 Jul26 Jun29 Jun16 (kreiser c)CORA D 120 2.00 37% 1.70    
3  JUST DIVINE Aug16 Jul11 Jun12 May30 Jun17 (wolfe j)CORUJO LEONARDO 124 8.00 13% 6.50    
4  RED DEVOLUTION Aug31 Aug09 Jul19 Jun21 Apr27 (albright amy)TUNON JORDANO 122 4.00    
5  DON'T QUESTION ME Jun21 Jun14 May26 May05 Apr19 (jacavone j)CHIAPPE R 120 12.00    
6  BORN HAPPY Jul19 Jun06 Mar22 Feb23 Dec02 (albright amy)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 5.00    
7  MINEOLA MIKE Aug30 Aug12 Jul14 Jun24 Sep09 (deiter kelly)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 3.00 16% 5.20    
 
PEN-2   09/13/2023 3300ft TURF RC4 YIELDING Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWO SIDES OF LOVE Aug25 Aug04 Jul07 Jun12 May19 (crook-demasi k)CONNER TYLER 124 2.50 26% 2.90    
SCR  DOCTOR TEE         (kravets m)BEATO INOEL 122 10.00    
3  ELEGANTDREAM Sep27 Aug29       (carango anth)LAPRIDA JEREMY 122 12.00    
4  MY HUNNY BUNNY Aug04 Jul10 Jun20 May30   (pattersha)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.50 5% 19.00    
5  DIXIE MUSIC         (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 10.00 22% 3.60    
6  PRINCESS WIGGY Aug25 Aug04 Jul21 Jul06   (fenimore elbert)RODRIGUEZ E 122 5.00    
7  BIG SIS NIC Aug24 Jul21 Jul06 Jun16 Aug06 (murtough st)INIRIO J 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
8  FIRE EYE         (carpio erin)CORUJO LEONARDO 124 12.00 23% 3.30    
9  SECRET WISPER Aug24         (albright amy)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 15.00    
10  TEMPTRESS CALLING Aug25 Aug04 Jul19 Jul06 Jun17 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 10.00    
SCR  WISE CHOICE Aug25 Jul19 Jun16 May25 May11 (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 122 3.00    
12  IRISH EMPRESS Aug08 Jul16 Jun26 Jun03 May13 (lucas bonnie)AGUILAR M 122 10.00    
 
PEN-3   09/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GET DOWN BROWN Aug24 Jul27 Jun16 May26 May10 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  MITROPANOS Aug24 Aug09 Jul24 Jul07 Jun16 (zalalas michael)BEATO INOEL 120 10.00    
3  JEAN VALJEAN Aug17 Jul12 Sep26 Aug23 Jun03 (merryman eliza)CONNER TYLER 124 2.00 59% 0.70    
SCR  SUNSHINE HARRY Aug30 Aug10 Jul06 Jun15   (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 118 10.00    
5  ORASHI May31 May10 Apr19 Mar23 Mar10 (fenimore elbert)RODRIGUEZ E 120 15.00    
6  TURNPIKE BOB Aug17 Jul28 Jul20 Apr19 Mar31 (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00 11% 8.50    
SCR  MARGIN OF AIR Sep12 Jul26 Jul10 Jun21 May29 (rodriguez mig)RIVERA D 120 6.00    
SCR  HARBOR OF GOLD Jul28 Jul12       (crook-dem)RODRIGUEZ R 120 8.00    
9  MR SANDMAN Aug24 May31 May08 Apr11 Jan11 (allen randy)LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 3.00    
 
PEN-4   09/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUST NORTH Jul22 Jun23 May20 Mar26 Dec26 (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 3.50    
2  QUEEN ROSEMARY Aug17 Jul27 Jun22 Jan19 Dec20 (o'callaha)RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.50 36% 1.70    
3  DALLAS Aug05 Jul29 Jul14 Jun16 Mar18 (salina)SMITH DANIEL 110 20.00    
4  CUENCA Aug17 Jul27 Jul05 Jun14 Jun02 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 124 3.00 9% 10.00    
5  ISTHATYOURHARLEY Aug16 Jul26 Mar22 Feb09 Sep28 (kulp l)CONNER TYLER 120 4.00 26% 2.90    
6  EARLY FROST Aug18 Jul26 Jul14 Jun16 Jun02 (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 12.00    
7  WILL TAKE ROSES Aug31 Aug17 Jun16 May26 May06 (bobadilla f)CORA D 120 6.00    
SCR  GRAND ARROW Aug10 Jul21 Jul06 Apr23 Mar01 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 118 6.00    
 
PEN-5   09/13/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIDDEN SPRINGS Aug31 Aug16 Jul14 May31 May04 (graci a)AGUILAR M 120 5.00 7% 13.30    
SCR  LOVE IS STRONG Aug24 Aug08 Jul21 Jun29 May26 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 6.00    
SCR  TEACHER DRAMA Sep08 Aug24 Jul21 Jun16 May24 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 122 10.00    
4  BONITA LASSIE Aug24 Aug09 Jul21 Jun21 Jun01 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 124 1.80    
5  MIKEY'S JEWEL Aug31 Aug08 Jul26 Jul14 May24 (salinas jos)INIRIO J 122 10.00    
6  ALWAJD Aug24 Jun22 Jun01 May05 Apr20 (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 20.00    
7  MI CLEOPATRA AND I Aug24 Aug16 Jul19 Jun29 Jun17 (kreise)SMITH DANIEL 112 2.50 65% 0.60    
8  DANCE A LITTLE JIG Aug24 Aug08 Jul26 Jul14 Jun29 (ferreira fernando)CORA D 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-6   09/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WINNING CANDY Aug16 Jun22 May26     (crook-demasi k)CONNER TYLER 122 3.00 31% 2.20    
2  GURT'S WARRIOR Aug22 Aug08 Jul13 Jun15 May11 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.00 24% 3.20    
3  ABBY'S SPIRIT Aug16 Jul13 Jun22 May05   (stites w)CHIAPPE R 122 6.00    
4  FINE FINE Aug24 Jul06 Jun16     (crane clovis)AGUILAR M 122 5.00    
SCR  WHAT'S HIS NAME Aug16 Jul19 Jun29 Jun16   (crane clovis)CORA D 122 10.00    
6  GEM DANCER Aug24 Jun03 Apr14 Mar11 Feb16 (kravet)SMITH DANIEL 114 10.00    
7  ICY COLD Sep01 Aug09 May11 Apr12 Mar16 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 10.00 19% 4.20    
8  WATERMELON CRUSH Aug25 Aug10 Jul05 Jun21 Jul20 (wadams dewight)GOLIBRZUCH S 124 10.00    
 
PEN-7   09/13/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHANGHAI CANDY Aug31 Aug23 Jul26 Jul05 Jun14 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.00 39% 1.60    
2  PURPLE SHIRT Sep01 Aug08 Jul26 Jul13 Jun22 (harige)SMITH DANIEL 112 30.00    
3  THE METHOD Jul28 Jul16 Jun16 May27 Mar27 (lucas bonni)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  SUPER DUDE Aug30 Aug16 Aug04 Jul18 Jul05 (moreno-barba)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 6.00 22% 3.60    
5  WAHOOWA WAHOOWA Jul26 Jul05 Apr21 Mar29 Mar02 (shuchman alla)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 4.50    
6  MINE TO HOLD Sep01 Aug02 Jul07 Jun20 Jun02 (maymo j)BEATO INOEL 122 3.50    
7  PRATT Sep01 Aug08 Jul14 Jun29 Jun09 (mick r)CHIAPPE R 122 6.00    
8  PATTY'S BOY Aug08 Jul14 Jun16 May24 May06 (graci kimbe)INIRIO J 122 5.00 10% 8.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.