Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Wednesday - September 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BTP-1   WIN (7/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/5)-(7/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/6/5)-(7/6/5)-(7/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/6/5)-(1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/6/5)-(1/5)-(6/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
BTP-2   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/5)-(1/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (1/5)-(6/4)-(3/7) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
BTP-3   WIN (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/4)-(6/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (6/4)-(3/7)-(1/8/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
BTP-4   WIN (3/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/7)-(3/7) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (3/7)-(1/8/3)-(2/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
BTP-5   WIN (1/8/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/8/3)-(1/8/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/8/3)-(1/8/3)-(1/8/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (1/8/3)-(2/5)-(4/3/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-6   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5)-(2/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (2/5)-(4/3/6)-(3/6/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
BTP-7   WIN (4/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/6)-(4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/6)-(3/6/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
BTP-8   WIN (3/6/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/7/8)-(3/6/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/7/8)-(3/6/7/8)-(3/6/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   09/13/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT-12:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEOCCA Jul07 Jun15 May25 Apr13 Mar17 (castanon g)NAVAS YOEL 117 6.00    
2  GRASSROOTS Aug18 Aug04 Jul14 Jul01 Jun09 (adams nancy )MARCANO Y 119 8.00    
3  GUNLEATHER AL Aug16 Oct18       (cowans william )ACHARD ALEX 121 3.50    
4  DOM GERVASIO Sep02 Aug17 Jul24 May25 Apr16 (engler jeff)JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 4.50    
5  DIAL HIM UP Aug05 Feb12 Jan29 Jan11 Dec30 (mendieta a)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 122 5.00 14% 6.00    
6  DESERT HIGHWAY Aug31 Aug12 Aug05 Jul14 Jun17 (ramos franc)LAGUNES GABRIEL 119 4.00 15% 5.90    
7  CONNECT ME Aug24 Jul12 Jun19 May25 May15 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 119 2.50 30% 2.30    
 
BTP-2   09/13/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16.9K) 3UP M/F PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWILIGHT BEAUTY Aug30 Aug15 Aug03 Jul19 Jul05 (donjuan sergi)CANUTO THIAGO 121 3.50 44% 1.30    
2  SUPER SCAMP Aug05 Jul05 Jun08 Aug02   (cline rob)CORREA L 121 4.50    
3  MYSTIC ANN Aug15 Aug31 Aug19 Aug02 Jul12 (melancon paul)BUSH V 124 10.00    
SCR  SISSY'S MAY Sep06 Aug16 Aug05 Jul20 Jun24 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 124 2.50    
5  SHEZ IN A TIZZY Aug30 Aug15 Aug05 Jul19 Jul05 (adams nancy )MARCANO Y 119 4.00 21% 3.70    
6  APPALACHIAN SPIRIT Aug15 Aug03 Jul05 Jun08 May04 (cline c)COLON H 121 6.00    
 
BTP-3   09/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($11.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WATER FIGHT May26 May03 Apr02 Mar17 Feb17 (mendieta a)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 117 8.00    
SCR  LANALIKESCHOOCHOOS Aug15 Aug01 Jul07 Jun16 May31 (smith larry)OUZTS W 119 2.00    
3  GRANADICA Aug18 Jul19 Jul06 May20 May04 (sandy s)MCKEE J 122 4.50    
4  MOON PARTY Aug12 Aug03 Jul05 Jun10 Apr27 (haehn terry)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 5.00 23% 3.30    
SCR  LA CUMPARSITA Jul15 Jun17 May11 Apr13 Mar23 (hester haley)BUSH V 120 3.50    
6  ELLIE DELI Aug31 Aug11 Jul15 Jun16 May20 (danner do)CORREA L 119 4.00 41% 1.40    
 
BTP-4   09/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MONEY PIT Sep01 Aug17 Aug03 Jul07 Jun23 (shifflett che)CANUTO THIAGO 124 8.00    
SCR  SAVING MAMA Sep02 Jun08 May25 Feb04 Jan18 (morelos mate)MARCANO Y 119 8.00    
3  ZERO TO ONEHUNDRED Sep02 Jul13 Jun08 May27 May13 (howard d)REYES R 124 5.00 34% 2.00    
4  FIRING RANGE Aug23 Jul12 Jun17 May22 May11 (esquivel )CORREA L 124 4.00    
5  WHEREWEGOIN Aug23 Aug02 Jun01 Nov12 Oct25 (lauer michael)ELLIOTT JANE 124 3.00    
SCR  RIVER BOY Aug30 Aug17 Jul08 Jun15 Apr13 (claire alexis)MCKEE J 121 2.50    
7  BIG BLUE Sep03 Aug13 Jul26 Jul09 Jun11 (hernandez javie)REYES FRANK 124 10.00 26% 2.80    
 
BTP-5   09/13/2023 5280ft TURF RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($18.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AUTHORITARIAN Aug23 Jul27 Jul08 Jun03 May25 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 123 2.50 57% 0.80    
SCR  ENGLISH CHALLENGE Aug29 Aug05 Jun17 May27 May16 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 121 2.50    
2  BLUEGRASS PARKWAY Feb04 Jan07 Dec09 Nov24 Sep16 (anderson susa)LEBRON VICTOR 121 3.50    
3  BRILLIANT JOURNEY Aug18 Jul06 Jun02 May18 Nov07 (smith larry)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 4.00 10% 8.90    
4  KHOZAN'S SUCCESS Aug05 May25 Apr23 Aug30 Aug12 (lauer mic)CORREA L 121 12.00    
5  ATTA BOY ANTHONY Aug22 Aug15 Jul07 Jun11 May13 (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 123 10.00    
SCR  INDOCUMENTADO Aug23 Aug01 Jul15 Jun21 Jun09 (jurado luis)MOJICA JR 121 15.00    
7  AFLEET MOMENT Nov02 Oct11 Sep23 Aug28 Jul25 (stephen anth)CALLEJA ANDRES 116 8.00    
8  OVER THE CHANNEL Aug29 Feb08 Jan12 Dec16 Nov20 (caramori caio)REYES R 121 5.00 10% 8.90    
SCR  DIGITAL SOFTWARE Sep05 Aug23 Jul20 Jul06 Mar15 (caramori c)VILLARREAL OSCAR 116 15.00    
 
BTP-6   09/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($23.7K) 2 ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  COUSIN JOE Aug26 Aug15 Aug02     (bogart rober)MARCANO Y 115 5.00    
  (by HEART TO HEART out of MANY FACES by FORESTRY)
2  DOUBLE AGENT         (hamm timothy)LEBRON VICTOR 120 3.00 32% 2.10    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of PRIVATE CAUSE by NOBLE CAUSEWAY)
3  GAPPER Aug26 Aug15       (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 120 3.50    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of TAKE CHARGE GIRL by WILL TAKE CHARGE)
4  PRAYED TODAY Aug26 Jun05       (waltz brian)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 2.50    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of PRAY BABY PRAY by VIOLENCE)
5  PLAYFULASITGETS         (reed r)MCKEE J 120 4.50 18% 4.50    
  (by TENKOZ out of BE PLAYFUL by PURE PRIZE)
6  SHAMANS IMAGE         (barker scot)JIMENEZ J 117 8.00    
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of LADY MONAVI by MONDAVI)
 
BTP-7   09/13/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($17.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HALLOWEEN Aug04 May02 Apr01 Mar17 Mar04 (grubbs jamie )JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 6.00    
2  A. P. AVATAR Jun30 Jun17 Jun03 May26 May08 (pinzon maria)CANUTO THIAGO 119 8.00    
3  TENPAK Sep01 Jul19 Jul06 Jun22 May20 (hernandez ja)MARCANO Y 117 3.50 26% 2.80    
4  CONSTITUTIONAL LAW Aug20 Jul21 Jun29 May28 Feb21 (rodriguez hugo)COLON H 122 2.00 29% 2.50    
5  ALL ABOUT CROGE Sep01 Aug04 Jul14 Jun30 Jun15 (her)GIRON ALEJANDRO 119 5.00    
6  COLOR FIELD Sep01 Jul14 Jun16 May14 May04 (bahena isma)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 4.00 22% 3.50    
 
BTP-8   09/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DESDEMONA KAY Aug16 Aug03 Jul20 Jun24 Jun08 (riley barbara)HESS SARA 116 10.00    
2  SHAKA'S LYRIC Aug30 Aug03 Jul19 Jul05 Jun09 (jackson jac)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 12.00    
3  TWENTY FOUR KARAT Aug29 Jul27 Jun30 Aug13 Aug02 (hamm timothy)LEBRON VICTOR 119 2.50 43% 1.30    
4  OHIO LADY Aug05 Jul19 Jun08 May17 May04 (smith larry)OUZTS W 119 6.00    
5  MISS ELIANA Aug29 Aug09 Jul27 Jun30 Jan12 (beck rowena)MOJICA JR 122 4.50    
6  SWEET AS MERRIE Aug10 Jul20 Jun09 Oct10 Sep21 (reed r)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 5.00 23% 3.30    
7  BUCKEYE ROSE Aug09 Jun07 Sep12     (drury jr)MCKEE J 119 3.50 12% 7.50    
8  COMPUTER WHIZ Aug09 Jul19 Jul05 Jun09 May04 (brafford mich)CANUTO THIAGO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  SAVESOMEFORME Jul24 Jul04 Mar23 Feb23 Jan16 (bates l)BUSH V 119 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.