Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Mountaineer Park
Tuesday - August 08, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MNR-1   WIN (3/4/10/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/10/7)-(3/4/10/7) 12 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/7/10)-(3/4/7/10)-(3/4/7/10) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (3/4/10/7)-(5/7/2/4) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
MNR-2   WIN (5/7/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/2/4)-(5/7/2/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (5/7/2/4)-(5/7/2/4)-(5/7/2/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (5/7/2/4)-(5/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/7/2/4)-(5/7/8)-(5/3/1) 36 $2.00 $72.00 
MNR-3   WIN (5/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/8)-(5/7/8) 6 $2.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/7/8)-(2/5/7/8)-(2/5/7/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (5/7/8)-(5/3/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
MNR-4   WIN (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/1)-(5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/3/1)-(7/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
MNR-5   WIN (7/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/2)-(7/3/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/2)-(7/3/2)-(7/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
MNR-6   WIN (7/2/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/4/6)-(7/2/4/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (7/2/4/6)-(7/2/4/6)-(7/2/4/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (7/2/4/6)-(5/1/3)-(5/8/6/7) 48 $2.00 $96.00 
MNR-7   WIN (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $2.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/5)-(1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/1/3)-(5/8/6/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
MNR-8   WIN (5/8/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/6/7)-(5/8/6/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (5/8/6/7)-(5/8/6/7)-(5/8/6/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MNR-1   08/08/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DE PURA SANGRE Jul17 Oct12 Oct03 Sep05 Aug15 (clousto)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 3.00    
SCR  LELAWALA Jul17 Jul05 Jun19 May14 Apr24 (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 10.00    
BRODY'S JESSICA Jul24 Jul02 Jun13 Apr16 Mar01 (blankenship)WILLIAMS AJHARI 123 6.00 56% 0.80    
CHORIST Jul18 Jun27 May23 May10 Apr06 (fiesman rob)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 10.00 17% 4.80    
MOTHERWELL Aug24 Aug08 Jul06 Jun22 Jun13 (inirio carl)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 12.00    
CURIOSITY KILLS Jul11 Jun13 Jun05 May16 May02 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 6.00    
QUEEN OF CLASS Jul16 May14 Apr15 Mar18 Feb03 (viands gregor)SIMPSON JASON 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  STELLARATOR Jul04 May21 Mar03 Feb08 Jan18 (bernardini p)VIGIL NOEL 120 6.00    
POLITICAL ASTRAY Jul25 Jul17 Jun18 Jun03 May03 (cascalla)GONZALEZ HENDERSON 123 6.00    
10  THINK IT THRU Jul11 Apr07 Oct02     (cascallares n)LUGO D 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HOT HEELS Jul04 Mar24 Feb15 Jan20 Dec11 (fletcher kevin)LEON A 120 6.00    
 
MNR-2   08/08/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CLEVELAND POWER Jul23 Jun26 May21 May02 Dec06 (dixon geo)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 30.00    
ROCKIN MACHEN Jul10 May30 May09 Nov30 Nov23 (baird j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 6.00 12% 7.30    
WHISKEY SUNRISE Jul31 Jul18 Jul10 Jun26 Jun18 (vickers t)YARANGA Y 120 30.00    
HARD FROST Jul03 Oct31 Oct12 Sep25 Aug30 (conto kevin)VIGIL NOEL 120 8.00 7% 14.30    
PANORAMA TRUCK Jul26 Jun27 Jun06 May11 Apr19 (aceved)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 2.50 40% 1.50    
BRYTON'S D J Jul10 Jun26 May21 May08 Jan12 (gerich frank)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 10.00    
RED HURRICANE Jun14 Mar10 Feb11 Dec28 Dec03 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 120 1.60 17% 5.00    
SHINING THROUGH Jul23 Sep26 Sep14 Sep06 Aug17 (van denni)LEON A 120 20.00    
SECRET SANCTUARY Jul05 May30 May08 Apr14 Mar19 (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 120 10.00    
SCR  WHISKEY MOMENT Jul02 Jun06 May09 Dec12   (kirk s)ENRIQUEZ JR 120 15.00    
SCR  CORAL LEGACY Aug02 Jul18 Jul10 May30 Nov06 (blankenship)WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 10.00    
SCR  STRAUS'S PLACE Mar11 Feb14 Feb04 Jan25 Jan14 (silva pabl)VEGA L 120 15.00    
SCR  CLASSIC FILM May05 Mar10 Oct02 Sep05 Apr23 (cascallares n)LUGO D 120 12.00    
 
MNR-3   08/08/2023 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($4K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MYRRH Jul12 Jun20 May23 May02 Apr25 (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 6.00    
SCR  SUPER DONNA G Jul25 Jun21 Jun06 Mar01 Feb14 (logston christo)LEON A 120 4.00 23% 3.30    
CARISMATICA Jul11 Feb12 Sep27 Sep04 Aug09 (cascallares n)LUGO D 120 5.00    
SCR  BELLE BREZING Jul19 Jul12 Jul02 Jun21 May30 (blanke)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 3.00    
ICE FLOE Jul19 Jul02 Jun20 May29 May14 (pizzurro je)WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 6.00 25% 3.00    
DEL MAR FLASH Jul25 Jul02 May29 May16 May08 (poole c)BRACHO A 120 10.00    
KANFU Jul17 Jun27 Jun07 May11 May02 (barker jame)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 5.00 15% 5.60    
GO STELLAIRE Jul30 Jul18 Jul03 Jun21 May29 (vickers t)YARANGA Y 120 12.00 8% 11.30    
SCR  MANHATTAN LADY Jul26 Jun18 May09 Jan12 Dec27 (brown j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 15.00    
 
MNR-4   08/08/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($21.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ORBIT MARS Jul16 Jun18 Apr30 Mar22 Mar01 (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 4.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  MIZZEN Jul26 Jun26 May29 May14 May05 (clouston ed)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 6.00    
INCESSANT Jul16 Jul03 May15 Mar14 Feb06 (galloway k)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 1.40 27% 2.70    
M J GOLD Oct25 Sep28 Sep07 Aug08 Jun28 (noland rona)STEINEMAN JAMES 110 20.00    
SWEET QUEEN BEE Jun13 May22 May09 Mar15 Feb20 (fadlovi)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 2.50 28% 2.60    
VACATION SECRET Jul21 Jun26 May15 Nov15 Oct24 (kocijan marcus)LEON A 120 6.00    
 
MNR-5   08/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3 ALL PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOUTHPOINT Jul12 Jun19 May22 May01 Mar31 (gerich frank)GONZALEZ KEVIN 118 15.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of ABSATOOTLY by MINESHAFT)
PENNY LOAFER         (cuttino mar)WILLIAMS AJHARI 118 10.00 8% 11.60    
  (by DONE TALKING out of MIMI'S SHOES by NORTH LIGHT (IRE))
AURA OF GOLD Jul11 Jun21 May29 May11 Apr25 (poole c)BRACHO A 118 3.00 16% 5.40    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of SWEET HALORY by HOLD ME BACK)
MOON OVER DUBAI Jul26 Jul09 May29 Apr30 Mar19 (hetric)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 3.50    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of TIZCOOL by TIZNOW)
LET'S EAT Jun30 Nov15 Oct19     (keller ed)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 118 5.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of NAKED BOOTLEG by PASS RUSH)
SCR  MYSTIC MINISTER Jul18 Jul02 May23 Apr28 Aug02 (fletche)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 6.00    
  (by COMMISSIONER out of R MAC DEVIL by DEVIL HIS DUE)
RED GUN Jul16 Jun27 Jun21 May29 Feb19 (bernardini p)VIGIL NOEL 118 2.00 55% 0.80    
  (by KANTHAROS out of CANADIAN MISTRESS by CANADIAN FRONTIER)
 
MNR-6   08/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUESTION AUTHORITY Jul03 Jun05 May16 May08 Apr12 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 120 5.00    
SOLITAIRE GAME Jul18 Jul03 May25 Oct09 Aug17 (viands gregor)SIMPSON JASON 120 5.00 18% 4.50    
POSEIDON'S SON Jun30 Jun03 May05 Apr02 Mar18 (suarez)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 2.00    
TEN TWENTY NINE Jul17 Jul02 Jun11 May16 Apr30 (clousto)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
HEARTNESS Jul17 Jun27 Jun19 May28 May14 (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 120 4.00    
TOMMY TUESDAY Jul30 Jul18 Jul03 Jun19 Jun04 (gray c)ENRIQUEZ JR 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
FREE SPEECH Jul12 Jun13 May21 May01 Apr23 (blankenship)WILLIAMS AJHARI 123 3.00 47% 1.10    
 
MNR-7   08/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($18.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DAVID'S GEM Jun27 May29 May02 Jan28 Dec22 (johnson l)DIAZ I 120 2.00 27% 2.70    
NIXON JOY (ARG) Jul11 Feb01 Nov25 Apr08 Mar10 (cascalla)GONZALEZ HENDERSON 120 8.00    
TAPSOLUTION Jul12 Jun26 Jun05 May15 Apr15 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 120 3.50 8% 11.00    
TRIGZ TOO Jul26 Jul05 Jun21 May22 May08 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 6.00    
UNYIELDING Jul10 Jun21 May28 May07 Apr04 (davidov)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 2.50 37% 1.70    
MASAI MAN Jul16 Jul04 Jun24 Jun05 May18 (ginter j)AVILES YAN 120 5.00    
 
MNR-8   08/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WEST COAST WILDCAT Jul29 Jul15 Jun10 Apr16   (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 5.00    
TIPARILLO Jul20 Dec11 Nov28 Nov06 Oct22 (buckner h)CCAMAQUE M 120 15.00    
NOT SHY Jul16 Dec11 Nov28 Nov22 Nov01 (herrington cally )YARANGA Y 120 20.00    
UNDERCOVER LADY Jul18 Jun12 May20 May03 Apr24 (johnson l)DIAZ I 120 1.40    
MAYSVILLE MISS Jul26 Jul16 Jul02 Jun06 May16 (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 120 3.00 41% 1.40    
MYRA FLEENER Jul19 Jul11 Jun20 Dec06 Nov13 (lopez e)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
TEQUILA SUNSET Jul26 Jul16 Nov15 Oct31 Oct26 (van denni)LEON A 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
NYSSA Jul26 Jul17 Jul03 May30 May15 (bernardini p)VIGIL NOEL 123 6.00 28% 2.60    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.