Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Belterra Park
Thursday - August 03, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BTP-1   WIN (6/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/3)-(6/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/7/3)-(6/7/3)-(6/7/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/7/3)-(1/4/9/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/7/3)-(1/4/9/2)-(1/5/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-2   WIN (1/4/9/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/9/2)-(1/4/7/9/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/4/9/2)-(1/4/7/9/2)-(1/4/7/9/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    PK3 (1/4/9/2)-(1/5/6)-(3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
BTP-3   WIN (1/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/6)-(1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (1/5/6)-(3/5)-(1/3/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
BTP-4   WIN (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/5)-(3/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (3/5)-(1/3/6/4)-(7/4/3/8) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
BTP-5   WIN (1/3/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/6/4)-(1/3/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/6/4)-(1/3/6/4)-(1/3/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/6/4)-(7/4/3/8)-(1/8/11/7) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
BTP-6   WIN (7/4/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/3/8)-(7/4/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/3/8)-(7/4/3/8)-(7/4/3/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/4/3/8)-(1/8/11/7)-(8/10/4/1) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
BTP-7   WIN (1/8/11/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/11/7)-(1/8/11/2/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/8/11/7)-(1/8/11/2/7)-(1/8/11/2/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
BTP-8   WIN (8/10/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/10/4/1)-(8/10/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/10/4/1)-(8/10/4/1)-(8/10/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/10/4/1)-(6/3/4)-(7/3/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-9   WIN (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/4)-(6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/4)-(7/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
BTP-10   WIN (7/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/5)-(7/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/3/5)-(7/3/5)-(7/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
BTP-1   08/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ABOUNDING Jul21 Jul12 Jun15 May11 Apr28 (cook david )MIRANDA ROGELIO 124 2.50    
FIVE QUEENS Jul21 Jul05 Jun21 Jun03 May24 (adams l)HESS SARA 119 8.00    
MOON PARTY Jul05 Jun10 Apr27 Mar17 Feb16 (haehn terry)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 12.00 9% 9.60    
SCR  ANCIENT BROWN Jul21 Jul10 Jun07 May05 Apr28 (montano wilfr)PANAIJO JORGE 124 3.50    
SHEZA HOOT Jul21 Jul07 Jun22 Jun07 May24 (calderon )CORREA L 124 6.00    
HIGH MEADOWS Jul21 Jul05 Jun14 May25 May17 (morelos mateo)CANUTO THIAGO 124 3.00 47% 1.10    
MY TOMMY LEE Mar11 Jan25 Jan05 Dec09 Nov30 (sands shane)LEBRON VICTOR 124 4.00 14% 6.00    
 
BTP-2   08/03/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUPREME SONG Jul14 Jun16 May20 Aug30   (smith larry)OUZTS W 120 2.50 56% 0.80    
KICK ROCKS KID Jul13 Jun23 Jun03 May06 Apr28 (adams nancy )MARCANO Y 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
PRINCE OF ROSES Jun14 May11 Apr26 Mar23 Feb24 (esquivel )CORREA L 118 8.00    
ONE LUCKY DAY Jul18 Jun07 May22 Apr05 Mar24 (hernandez r)PETERSON FERRIN 122 3.50 17% 4.90    
BIG HELLO Jul19 Jun09 Dec07 Nov13 Sep28 (meah m)CANUTO THIAGO 122 4.50    
MORE CHANCES Apr22 Apr06 Mar16 Feb25 Feb16 (roque elis)MOJICA JR 122 15.00    
GREENSFELDER Jul19 Jul07 Jun23 Jun07 May20 (ramos franc)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 5.00    
AMERICAINAED Jun18 Nov13 Oct25 Oct10 Oct02 (mardif james )JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 20.00    
GIVE GOD PRAISE Jul19 Jun23 Jun07 May18 Apr28 (bush s)BUSH V 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SILVESTRE Jul14 Jun14 May11 Apr16 Jan28 (cambray ignac)LEBRON VICTOR 122 6.00    
 
BTP-3   08/03/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUST CHITU Jul19 Jun30 Jun07 Jan02 Nov19 (wilson davi)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 3.50 32% 2.20    
AGENT COOPER Jun30 May05 Apr19 Aug31 Jul20 (hamm timothy)LEBRON VICTOR 121 2.50    
FATHER PATRICK Jul19 Jul05 Jun17 Jun08 May18 (hernandez ja)MARCANO Y 116 4.00    
SCR  EXCLAIM Jul19 Jul05 Jun23 May15 Mar10 (rodak geraldi)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 8.00    
SENSE SHINES Jul12 Jun22 Jun01 May18 May04 (mcvickers)CORREA L 121 5.00 27% 2.70    
MONEY PIT Jul07 Jun23 May27 Apr29 Feb11 (hill f)CANUTO THIAGO 123 3.00 14% 6.00    
 
BTP-4   08/03/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIMME CLEARANCE Jun22 Jun07 May25 May06 Apr05 (silva ferna)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 3.50    
RUNAWAY BELLE Jul20 Jun23 Sep27 Sep09 Jul12 (greenhill jeff)OUZTS W 123 3.00    
SPUN PRETTY Jul19 Jun05 Dec22 Nov28 Sep22 (calderon )CORREA L 123 4.00 53% 0.90    
SCR  JUST ZOEY Jul20 Jul08 Jun22 Oct05 Sep22 (lowry kathleen)MCKEE J 123 2.00    
SWEETER THAN HONEY Jul20 Jun23 Jun07 May25 May06 (lopez carlos )PANAIJO JORGE 123 4.50 13% 6.80    
 
BTP-5   08/03/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COUSIN ODELL Jul20 Jul01 Jun22 May21   (engler jeff)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 118 3.50 63% 0.60    
LEMONADEATTHELATCH Jul20 Jun23 Jun16 Jun03 May18 (salcedo ra)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 122 4.00    
MAMBA FOREVER Jun17 Jun01 May25 May09 Feb24 (patrick gary)OUZTS W 118 2.50 7% 12.80    
BELL CURVE Jul07 Jun23 May27 Apr28 Feb15 (bates l)BUSH V 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
TOP HAT BLITZ Jul20 Jul13 Jun24 Jun03 May27 (adams nancy )MARCANO Y 117 5.00    
ANDY WALKS WITH ME Jul22 Jul07 Jun17 Jun10 May24 (salcedo ramon)MOJICA JR 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
THISPOINTINTIME Jul20 Jul07 Jun10 Jun03 May26 (morelos mateo)CANUTO THIAGO 122 6.00    
 
BTP-6   08/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BE RUTHLESS Jul13 Oct11 Aug30     (jazdzewski jon)AYALA ISAIAS 120 4.00    
  (by BEE JERSEY out of RUTH'S PROOF by DIXIE UNION)
DANCERS PHAROAH Jun14 Dec31       (douglass)STRANDBERG MALLORY 120 8.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of HOLY DAZZLE by HOLY BULL)
NO MORE GUNS         (cline robert)MARCANO Y 115 6.00 5% 17.90    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of MAGICAL WORLD by DISTORTED HUMOR)
THANKGODNGREYHOUND         (hiles a)MCKEE J 120 3.50 23% 3.40    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of AMERICAN PRINCESS by SHIMATOREE)
AUNTJOBUSINESS         (austin steven)PANAIJO JORGE 115 10.00    
  (by NORMANDY INVASION out of QUEEN MARY J by EINSTEIN (BRZ))
PAPA D L May03 Mar24       (forster grant)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 5.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of PHANIE SLAM by GRAND SLAM)
GUNNER BAY Jul07 Jun04       (margolis steph)ELLIOTT JANE 120 2.50 36% 1.80    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of INDIAN BAY by ARCHERS BAY)
UNCLE STEVE'S MOON         (kerric)CURTSINGER JOHNATHON 115 20.00 5% 17.90    
  (by GORMLEY out of UNCLE STEVE'S GIRL by EDDINGTON)
 
BTP-7   08/03/2023 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($23.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LA CORONA Jul05 Jun14 May04 Aug01 Jul07 (hamm timothy)LEBRON VICTOR 120 2.50 68% 0.50    
  (by PAYNTER out of SPRING WATER by SPRING AT LAST)
TWILIGHT BEAUTY Jul19 Jul05 May19 May04 Apr10 (donjuan sergi)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 2.00    
  (by SHACKLEFORD out of MIDNIGHT BEAUTY by PROSPECTOR'S BID)
DESDEMONA KAY Jul20 Jun24 Jun08 May24 Oct10 (riley barbara)HESS SARA 115 8.00    
  (by TWINSPIRED out of LIPSTICK STAIN by ARROMANCHES)
APPALACHIAN SPIRIT Jul05 Jun08 May04 Apr10   (cline robert)MARCANO Y 115 30.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of PRETTY MUCH MINE by HALF OURS)
CABARET FLEUR Jul20 Jun24 Jun10 May11 Aug02 (overholt )CORREA L 124 15.00    
  (by MIXMASTER out of SHINE A SPOTLIGHT by NOBIZ LIKE SHOBIZ)
SHE'S A SOLDIER Jul05         (reed r)MCKEE J 120 10.00    
  (by GREEK SUN out of GUMBOOTS by STORM BOOT)
SHAKA'S LYRIC Jul19 Jul05 Jun09 Nov15 Oct31 (jac)GONZALEZ JESUS 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LEA out of PRAY FOR GRACE by SONGANDAPRAYER)
WHISKEY DIAMOND Jul05 Oct29 Oct10 Sep16   (bush s)BUSH V 120 5.00 9% 10.40    
  (by CORFU out of MY MOM SANTINA by STREET BOSS)
SCR  OHIO LADY Jul19 Jun08 May17 May04 Apr12 (smith larry)OUZTS W 120 3.50    
  (by PAYNTER out of IMPATIENT LADY by PLEASANT TAP)
10  OUTPOST GIRL Jul19 Jul05 Apr25 Apr10   (barker scott )CANUTO THIAGO 120 12.00    
  (by FORT LARNED out of GOOSE SKYWALKER by STRATEGIC MISSION)
11  BREATH OF HEAVEN Jul20 Jul05 Sep12     (bush george)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CORFU out of CAMP FAIRFAX R N by FOREST CAMP)
 
BTP-8   08/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LET'S GO JOHN Oct18 Sep28 Aug04 Jul20 Jun28 (haehn r)BUSH V 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GUS GUS Jul06 Jun23 Jun15 Jun07 May17 (helmbrecht wi)LEBRON VICTOR 124 2.50    
HECTOR B Jul22 Jul02 Jun19 Feb04   (ramos rafael)REYES R 124 4.50    
DISCOUNT DENNIS Jun15 May19 Aug02 Jul13 Jun28 (wittek karyn)OUZTS W 124 3.50 19% 4.30    
GO LITTLE ROCKSTAR Jul22 May24 Oct23 Jul15   (faircloth av)CALLEJA ANDRES 115 30.00    
SCR  FIRE BRYAN         (patrick gar)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 8.00    
HICKORY BILL Jul22 Jul06 Jun21 Jun04 May23 (rodak geral)JIMENEZ J 124 20.00    
TROY BOY Jun23 Jun07 May06 Apr01   (coomer philip)CANUTO THIAGO 124 10.00 34% 1.90    
SCR  FORT STROOPE Jul20 Jul06 Oct11 Aug24   (short thomas)AYALA ISAIAS 120 10.00    
10  THE POINT ROAD Jul06 Jun17 May31 May06 Apr30 (bush george)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 6.00 20% 4.00    
 
BTP-9   08/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FRANGO ELECTRICO Jul06 Jun22 Jun01 May04 Apr18 (bahena isma)LAGUNES GABRIEL 118 3.50    
WENDY'S SONG Jun17 May28 May13 Apr23 Feb19 (voorhees gle)MARCANO Y 115 10.00    
HATTIE M Jul08 May31 Apr28 Feb22 Jan18 (huffman pat)CANUTO THIAGO 120 3.00 11% 8.40    
FOR THE BISCUIT Jun29 Jun21 May31 May13 May02 (hernandez r)PETERSON FERRIN 116 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SPARE A DIME Jul12 Jun21 Jun09 May12 Apr28 (johnston rebecc)MOJICA JR 120 6.00    
QUIERO MAS Jul06 Jun16 May11 Apr23 Feb25 (lobo h)LEBRON VICTOR 120 2.00 62% 0.60    
 
BTP-10   08/03/2023 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HIDDEN ACCESS Jul22 Jun02 May11 Apr12 Dec30 (hamm timo)CORREA L 116 5.00    
MUSTANG WILLIE Jul22 Jul08 Jun22 May15 Dec12 (cal)GONZALEZ JESUS 120 10.00    
DR. ZARNETT Jun24 May24 Apr25 Mar23 Feb20 (meyers shane)NAVAS YOEL 115 3.50 21% 3.90    
EARLY BLOOMER Jul19 May12 Dec30 Dec15 Nov12 (barker scott )CANUTO THIAGO 115 8.00    
THEDAYOFTHEGREY Jul22 Jul05 Jun02 May23 May06 (cline c)OUZTS W 120 4.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  SHANGHAI PRINCE Jun24 Jun06 May06 Mar30 Mar13 (cline robert )JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 2.50    
FIRST SONG Jul06 Jun14 May31 Nov23 Oct24 (hamm timothy)LEBRON VICTOR 120 4.00 53% 0.90    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.