Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Thursday - July 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BTP-1   WIN (2/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/6)-(2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/6)-(2/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/3/6)-(2/5/6)-(1/6/3/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-2   WIN (2/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/6)-(2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (2/5/6)-(1/6/3/2)-(5/1/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-3   WIN (1/6/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/3/2)-(1/6/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/3/2)-(1/6/3/2)-(1/6/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6/3/2)-(5/1/2)-(2/1/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-4   WIN (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/2)-(5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2)-(2/1/5)-(2/7/5/10) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-5   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (2/1/5)-(2/7/5/10)-(1/5/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-6   WIN (2/7/5/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/5/10)-(2/7/5/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/5/10)-(2/7/5/10)-(2/7/5/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/7/5/10)-(1/5/3)-(2/4/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-7   WIN (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/3)-(1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (1/5/3)-(2/4/1)-(7/1/9/10/8) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
BTP-8   WIN (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/1)-(2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/1)-(7/1/9/10/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
BTP-9   WIN (7/1/9/10/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/1/9/10/8)-(7/1/9/10/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/1/9/10/8)-(7/1/9/10/8)-(7/1/9/10/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   07/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT-11:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CONGRATS THIS Jul12 Jun29 Jun09 May19   (rhoden carlto)LEBRON VICTOR 124 6.00    
2  LUCK OF THE DRAW Apr30 Mar24 Feb25 Jan11 Dec22 (combs bentley)ACHARD ALEX 124 2.00 53% 0.90    
3  DRAFT CAPITAL Feb10 Dec29 Nov30 Oct24 Sep05 (morelos mateo)CANUTO THIAGO 124 3.50 24% 3.20    
4  FULCO Jul08 Jun17 May18 May08 Mar18 (esquivel )CORREA L 124 4.00    
5  TORNADO BOY Jul07 Jun23 Jun09 May24 May06 (melancon paul)BUSH V 124 8.00    
6  LOOKS GOOD N A TUX Jun01 May18 May04 Apr10 Mar22 (donjuan serg)MARCANO Y 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
 
BTP-2   07/27/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT-11:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLOYD G Jul06 Jun21 Jun07 May06 Apr19 (sturgeon c)MCKEE J 124 4.50    
2  FINGERS Jun30 May19 Feb22     (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 118 4.00 49% 1.00    
3  PASION AZTECA Jul13 Jun24 Mar06 Feb06 Jan23 (morelos mateo)CANUTO THIAGO 122 5.00    
4  FAST ROY Jul13 Jun24 Feb03 May27 Apr29 (short thomas)WISEMAN ISAIAH 122 2.50    
5  KOBE BEACH Jul14 Jun03 May18 Apr29 Mar30 (rodriquez r)JIMENEZ J 122 3.50 24% 3.10    
6  KING T'CHALLA Jul14 Jun17 May26 May18 May05 (johnston rebecc)MOJICA JR 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
BTP-3   07/27/2023 5610ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($18.7K) 3UP M/F PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRITTLE AND YOO Jul08 Jun13 May04 Apr07 Feb17 (ewing ann)MCKEE J 120 2.50 39% 1.60    
2  DANCE THE DAY AWAY Jul08 Jun21 May24 Feb23 Feb10 (decker anna)MOJICA JR 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  AUNT RUTH Jul08 Jun10 May25 May06 Mar18 (riley barbara)OUZTS W 120 6.00 6% 16.40    
4  ALMADRINA (GB) Jul08 Jun15 May25 May06 Mar09 (west ethan )LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 4.00    
5  ADDISON Jul08 Jun22 May25 May12 May02 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 122 5.00    
6  DISTINCTIVE FLOWER Jun29 Jun01 Aug16 Jul15 Jun27 (peach chadwi)MARCANO Y 115 8.00 23% 3.40    
7  MISS MOON PIE Jul14 Jun21 May28 May06 Mar17 (beck rowena)ACHARD ALEX 122 3.00    
 
BTP-4   07/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT-12:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WRITTEN CONSENT Jul07 Jun21 May27 May19 Mar21 (smith larry)OUZTS W 120 3.00 21% 3.70    
2  KINGMAKING (GB) Jul08 Jun29 Jun10 May22 May06 (chavez manuel)AYALA ISAIAS 120 2.50 15% 5.80    
3  LADY BIRD KISSES Jul14 Jul05 Jun23 Jun01   (royal madelyn)CHAVEZ ORIEL 120 12.00    
SCR  DOODLE DOO Jul13 Jun02 May04     (obert danielle)STEVENS C 120 5.00    
5  SATIS Feb16 Jan25 Dec07     (beck rowena)ACHARD ALEX 120 4.50 38% 1.60    
6  AWESOME VALOR Jul14 Jul07 Jun16 May27 May16 (adams l)JIMENEZ ALBIN 125 6.00    
7  TAKE CHARGE CHLOE Jul29 Jul13 Jun09 May16 Apr27 (skeens jeremy)PANAIJO JORGE 125 8.00    
 
BTP-5   07/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NAVY CROSS Jun16 May20 May06 Apr14 Mar25 (engler jeff)LAGUNES GABRIEL 115 3.00 25% 3.00    
2  AZURE SKY Jul06 Jun24 Jun06 May20 Apr16 (salcedo ra)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 120 4.50 41% 1.40    
3  DAWN WEST Jun16 May20 May13 Apr13 Mar28 (skeens jeremy)PANAIJO JORGE 120 5.00    
4  SUPER BROTHER Jul13 Jul01 Jun07 May24 Apr29 (skeens jeremy)MCKEE J 120 8.00    
5  RUN RUN RAPIDASH Jun15 May04 Mar10 Feb10 Jan13 (kordenbrock m)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 1.80 9% 10.70    
6  FAST FALL Jul14 Jun30 Jun10 Feb15 Jan21 (hernandez ja)MARCANO Y 112 6.00    
 
BTP-6   07/27/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($17.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CORNER OFFICE Jun24 Jun02 May11 Apr15 Oct04 (hamm timo)CORREA L 120 20.00    
2  AUTHORITARIAN Jul08 Jun03 May25 Feb25 Feb04 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 120 3.00 36% 1.80    
SCR  FIRST SONG Jul06 Jun14 May31 Nov23 Oct24 (hamm timo)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 10.00    
4  J W RUCKUS Mar31 Feb23 Feb02 Dec29 Dec14 (smith larry)OUZTS W 120 4.50    
5  DRIFTWOOD Jun09 May17 Mar31 Mar04 Jan07 (kordenbrock m)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 6.00 11% 7.80    
6  PERFECT PAINTING Jun24 May31 Mar25 Mar04 Feb17 (beck rowena)CANUTO THIAGO 120 10.00    
7  LEAVE IT TO KITTEN Jul11 Jun24 Jun03 Apr01 Mar15 (jarvis kathy)ACHARD ALEX 120 2.50 16% 5.30    
SCR  MOONSTRIKE (GB) Jul19 Jun24 May20 Apr28 Mar25 (engler jeff)LAGUNES GABRIEL 115 15.00    
9  EDEN PARADISE Jul16 Jun23 Jun09 May20 May12 (james gerald)REYES R 120 12.00    
10  AMENDED Jun09 May18 Mar31 Mar10 Dec27 (reed r)MCKEE J 120 6.00 10% 9.40    
SCR  TIGER PAW (IRE) Jul06 May31 May14 Apr28 Mar25 (meah m)HEARD TYLER 115 5.00    
SCR  FALCONS FURY Jul06 Jun22 Apr11 Mar21 Feb23 (skeens jeremy)MCKEE J 120 15.00    
 
BTP-7   07/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OFF THE CHARTS Jun21 May26 May06 Mar30 Feb25 (smith larry)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 1.80 63% 0.60    
2  CALTHA Jul06 Jun03 Apr15 Mar30 Mar14 (bates l)BUSH V 120 6.00    
3  SUM KINDA PRETTY Jul13 Jun22 May26 May17 Apr27 (ramos franc)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
4  APRIL'S NO FOOL Jul14 Jun23 Apr12 Aug03 Jun23 (miller jerome )ELLIOTT JANE 120 3.50    
5  MORNING LINE NEWS Jul01 Jun22 Jun01 May18 May07 (hernandez ja)MARCANO Y 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  I LIKEM Mar11 Feb10 Jan14 Jan04 Dec17 (shetron p)CORREA L 120 4.50    
 
BTP-8   07/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STORM OF NINETEEN Jun30 Jan23 Dec27 Dec08 Nov23 (gorostieta )LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 4.00 5% 19.00    
2  DENIABLE Oct10         (cowans william )ACHARD ALEX 117 1.60 41% 1.40    
3  MISS ELIANA Jun30 Jan12 Dec16 Oct05 Jul12 (beck rowena)MOJICA JR 122 8.00    
4  TWENTY FOUR KARAT Jun30 Aug13 Aug02 Jul14 Jun17 (hamm timothy)LEBRON VICTOR 117 3.50 34% 1.90    
5  PRICELESS PICTURE Jun30 Jun08 May17 Mar15 Jan01 (anderson )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 117 5.00    
SCR  MY PINK BUNNY TALE May15 Apr25 Mar30 Mar08 Jan16 (cline rob)CORREA L 117 6.00    
 
BTP-9   07/27/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($17.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPRING MAGIC Jun16 Sep19 Aug24 Jul08 May30 (reed r)MCKEE J 122 2.50 18% 4.60    
1A  HELENS WELL (IRE) Jun25 May02 Nov27 Oct29 Sep04 (reed r)MCKEE J 122 2.50    
2  RUNAWAY WILLIE Jul05 Jun07 Apr29     (ward dean)MOJICA JR 117 15.00    
3  CHICA CHULA Jul09 Feb22 Jan05 Dec14 Dec03 (calvo kelsie)DIAZ R 119 15.00    
4  SWEET BABY RAY Jul07 Jun16 May31 Mar30 Feb23 (horn jr)CANUTO THIAGO 122 12.00    
5  FREE TIME Jul05 Jun08 May08 Apr26 Nov10 (esquivel )CORREA L 117 8.00    
6  LAVISH HABITS Jul05 Jun10 Mar05 Feb12 Dec31 (hiles a)JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 4.00    
7  MIDNIGHTMAKESSENSE Jun16 May10 Apr05 May19 Mar16 (kenneally edd)CANNON DECLAN 122 4.50 24% 3.10    
8  FORTUNE BOUND Jun24 Apr19 Mar25 Feb15 Jan20 (sims a)ACHARD ALEX 122 3.50 9% 9.80    
9  IT FACTOR Jul05 May19 Apr29 Mar09 Feb16 (anderson )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 117 8.00 12% 7.30    
10  ZING Jul05 Apr19 Mar11 Feb12 Jan29 (claire alexis)OUZTS W 122 5.00 10% 9.50    
11  MY HEAD HURTS Jun29 Jun01 May19 Nov11 Oct11 (alessi james)WISEMAN ISAIAH 122 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.