Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Finger Lakes
Monday - July 24, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FL-1   WIN (7/1/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/4/5)-(7/1/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/4/5)-(7/1/4/5)-(7/1/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/4/5)-(1/5/6/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FL-2   WIN (1/5/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/6/4)-(1/5/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/6/4)-(1/5/6/4)-(1/5/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/6/4)-(1/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/6/4)-(1/2/3)-(4/1/2/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
FL-3   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/3)-(4/1/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/3)-(4/1/2/5)-(7/4/1/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
FL-4   WIN (4/1/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/2/5)-(4/1/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/2/5)-(4/1/2/5)-(4/1/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/2/5)-(7/4/1/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/1/2/5)-(7/4/1/5)-(3/2/6/8) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
FL-5   WIN (7/4/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/1/5)-(7/4/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/1/5)-(7/4/1/5)-(7/4/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/1/5)-(3/2/6/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FL-6   WIN (3/2/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/6/8)-(3/2/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/6/8)-(3/2/6/8)-(3/2/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/6/8)-(1/5/8/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FL-7   WIN (1/5/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/8/9)-(1/5/8/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/8/9)-(1/5/8/9)-(1/5/8/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/8/9)-(4/1/7/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/5/8/9)-(4/1/7/8)-(4/8/5/2) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
FL-8   WIN (4/1/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/7/8)-(4/1/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/7/8)-(4/1/7/8)-(4/1/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/7/8)-(4/8/5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FL-9   WIN (4/8/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/5/2)-(4/8/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/5/2)-(4/8/5/2)-(4/8/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FL-1   07/24/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE CATILLAC KID Jun05 May15 Jan21 Dec11 Oct17 (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 120 4.50 20% 3.90    
  (by REDESDALE out of BLUE CATILLAC by BLUEGRASS CAT)
FORTY ONE TALES Jun18 Mar04       (grabowski jo)HARKIE K 120 3.00    
  (by FORTY TALES out of I DO THAT by WHEELAWAY)
ROCKIN THE BANK Jun30         (luc)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 6.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of ROCKIN HEATHER by IN EXCESS (IRE))
UNION NAVY         (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 10.00 20% 3.90    
  (by UNION JACKSON out of NAVY NURSE by SERVICE STRIPE)
JAK N BURNY         (breed a)CRUZ JOEL 120 10.00 10% 9.00    
  (by DESTIN out of BETTY'S CHANCE by DUCKHORN)
FIVE DESTINATIONS Jul10 Jun19 Jun05     (acquilano jame)COA J 120 4.00    
  (by DESTIN out of CINCO by PANCHO VILLA)
TUNNEL VISION Jul01 Jun04 May13 Mar18 Feb26 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 120 2.50 24% 3.20    
  (by MINESHAFT out of R Y SQUADRON by STORMY ATLANTIC)
 
FL-2   07/24/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOLDLEE Jun20 Nov22 Oct25 Sep21 Jul05 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 1.60 34% 1.90    
BLUES CITY Jul12 Jun05 May23 May09 Apr25 (dominguez car)DAVILA A 122 12.00    
YOUR AWESOME BOSS Jul11 Jun14 May23 May09 Apr25 (morales )DAVIS A 122 8.00    
SIMBASALLTROUBLE Jul03 May16 Oct03 Sep21 Aug30 (monserrate marisa)CRUZ JOEL 122 5.00 10% 9.40    
HERO TIGER Jul11 Jun13 May30 May17 Apr06 (torelli stacy)BAEZ JOSE 124 2.50 21% 3.80    
SMOKIN' ALONE Jul03 Jun05 May09 Apr25 Nov23 (sabine mic)DE EMANUEL 122 5.00 15% 5.80    
MIAMI CHROME Jul12 Jun14 Jan12 Jan05 Dec10 (loaiza )NAVARRO J 124 10.00    
 
FL-3   07/24/2023 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DANCERS FOR TOKEN Jun26 Nov02 Sep27 Sep05 Jul25 (buckley jonathan )PEREZ E 122 1.50    
1A  BROTHER JEREMIAH Jun20 Nov15 Oct24 Sep28 Sep14 (buckley )DAVIS A 122 1.50 49% 1.10    
FULL MOON FEVER Jul04 Jun13 May11 Apr14 Mar18 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 1.80 19% 4.20    
AMERICA'S JUSTICE Jul10 Oct17 Sep27 Sep13 Jul25 (miller-saul beth)CRUZ JOEL 122 4.00 9% 10.60    
LOBSTA May29 May20 Apr30 Feb20 Jan22 (sells rachel)COA J 122 8.00    
STYNER Jun26 May10 Apr03 Jan15 Dec08 (englehart jef)DAVILA R 122 5.00    
 
FL-4   07/24/2023 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DESTIN HOOFMAN Jun28 May30 May15 Oct22 Sep22 (bireta donn)FLORES JEREMIAS 120 15.00 13% 7.00    
  (by DESTIN out of SADIE'S SONG by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
DANCINWITHJAKE Jun26 Jun12       (progno michael )DIAZ J 117 15.00 13% 7.00    
  (by ENCAUSTIC out of COPIOUS NOTES by READ THE FOOTNOTES)
DR. DARBY Sep27 Sep13 Aug08     (huertas )DAVIS A 124 6.00    
  (by ZIVO out of PROVIDED FOR by SIGNAL TAP)
PALACE BEE Jun28 Jun12 Nov15 Nov02   (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 2.00 39% 1.60    
  (by BEE JERSEY out of LADY JESSICA by ATREIDES)
BROADWAY BANKER Jun28         (d'alessandr)PAREDES JHOVANY 113 10.00 12% 7.50    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of DANCIN ON BROADWAY by MENIFEE)
GOD BLESS AMERICA Jul10 Jun28 Jun12 Oct17 Sep26 (wright jam)DE EMANUEL 124 1.00    
  (by MICROMANAGE out of DRAMATIC MOMENTS by DISTORTED HUMOR)
PARTY NEWS Dec28 Dec14 Nov23 Sep02   (maver eduardo)ROHENA JR 124 15.00    
  (by KEEN ICE out of SUNDAY RIDE by SUNDAY BREAK (JPN))
 
FL-5   07/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAPHITE DUTCHESS Jul10 Jun19 Nov16 Nov07 Oct26 (miller-saul beth)BAEZ JOSE 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
IN TRAFFIC Jul05 Jun20 May24 May16 Apr27 (rivera m)CRUZ JOEL 124 10.00    
BAYOU MELODY Jul04 May24 Apr30 Jan15 Dec10 (buckley )DAVIS A 124 8.00    
CROSSTALK Jul10 Jun19 May22 Apr24 Dec04 (sells rachel)GOMEZ O 122 6.00 11% 8.40    
LET'S MAGA Jul10 Jun27 May29 Nov14 Oct26 (oyola david)HARKIE K 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TWICE SMITTEN Jun14 May18 Apr13 Mar17 Jun15 (bar)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 3.00    
SABREEN Jul11 Jun21 May31 May22 Nov15 (acquilano jam)DAVILA A 122 2.50 61% 0.60    
JOKERS RUN Jul10 Jun19 Nov23 Nov07 Oct10 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 4.00    
 
FL-6   07/24/2023 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMERICAN HALITE Jul10 Jun12 Oct16 Sep03   (bartlett)DAVIS A 120 6.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of BALLET DRESS by HARD SPUN)
JACKSON BAY Jul10 Jun19 Sep13 Aug22 Aug09 (shaffer ric)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 4.00 23% 3.30    
  (by UNION JACKSON out of MALIBU CITI by MALIBU MOON)
REMEMBER NORMANDY Jul10 Jun19 Jun05 May15 May02 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 124 3.50 43% 1.30    
  (by NORMANDY INVASION out of DRAMA MAMA by KODIACK)
NEMO'S FORTUNE Jun28 Jun19 Jun05 Oct17 Aug08 (saul dana)BAEZ JOSE 124 5.00    
  (by EMCEE out of DADDY'S CRAZY GIRL by SCAT DADDY)
OVER THE CAP Jul03 Jun01 Apr22     (ferraro michae)COA J 120 3.00    
  (by OVERANALYZE out of BERNADINE by BLASE)
DON ANTONIO Jul10         (monserrate marisa)CRUZ JOEL 120 12.00 9% 10.40    
  (by GORMLEY out of SAPPHIRE SKY by SKY MESA)
SHE SPEAKS WELL Jul10 Jun05 May23 May09 Dec28 (maver eduardo)ROHENA JR 124 15.00    
  (by PRODUCER out of GEORGIANA by SMARTY JONES)
MOBOT Jul10 Jun28 Jun04 May16 Oct26 (loaiza )NAVARRO J 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of GINGER MO by UNCLE MO)
 
FL-7   07/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LITTLE MS SUNSHINE Jun26         (shaffer ri)DE EMANUEL 120 3.00 60% 0.70    
STAR SPEAKER Jun06 Nov21 Nov07 Oct10   (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 12.00    
SCR  ROAD TO ROYALTY Jun06 May23 May08 Nov22 Oct31 (breed a)CRUZ JOEL 124 4.00    
SCR  MAIZE LOVED LAFFY Jun12 May29 May16 Mar24 Feb17 (marino e)ROHENA JR 120 15.00    
BOY IS SHE A LADY Jul05 Jun12 Sep02     (dixon k)COA J 120 6.00 9% 10.50    
TEKILA Apr27 Feb05 Jan13 Dec15 Nov25 (buckley jonathan )PEREZ E 124 8.00    
BUSTINROXY Jun26 Jun05 May12 Apr16 Mar24 (ferraro )DAVIS A 120 3.50    
FREE SHOT Jul11 Mar25 Mar04 Feb17 Jan11 (d'a)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
TUMBLES Jul04 Jun20 May29 May16 May02 (iorio jr)GOMEZ O 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
FL-8   07/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUSTING CREDIT Jun19 May23 May02     (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 124 3.00 18% 4.50    
SCR  SUPERB SURPRISE Jun21 May24 Apr24 Mar17   (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 124 3.00    
2B  HYPER SPEED Jun21 May23 Apr27 Apr08 Feb24 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 3.50    
SCR  COLOR COMMISH Jun28 Jan01 Dec11 Nov16 Nov02 (englehart je)HARKIE K 120 3.50    
SHORTSINTHEWINTER Jun26 Jun12 Nov16 Oct19 Sep29 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 6.00    
HIGH STRIKE Jun25 Apr22 Mar17 Feb10 Jan25 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 120 4.00 24% 3.10    
B C GLORY DAYS Jul10 Jun21 May06 Mar25 Mar18 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 124 8.00    
SCR  MOUNT VERNON BOY Oct26 Oct18 Sep28 Sep13 Jul25 (ashley )NAVARRO J 124 20.00    
SCHIFFHAUER STRONG Jun21 May24 May08 Apr24 Sep28 (lecesse )DAVIS A 120 6.00 17% 4.90    
MATT DOYLE Jun28 Feb11 Jan22 Dec15 Nov11 (grusmark karl)PEREZ E 124 10.00 11% 8.00    
 
FL-9   07/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FUNNY PURSUIT Jun19 May24 Apr24 Nov16 Oct31 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 122 10.00    
CAT GLASSES KATHY Jul04 Jun19 Nov14 Oct18 Oct03 (wright james )DAVILA A 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
DOSAGE AND MIMOSAS Jul04 Jun19 May24 Nov21 Oct31 (ferraro an)BARBOSA CARLOS 112 8.00    
TREATHERLIKESTAR Jun19 Nov21 Nov02 Oct19 Oct04 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 122 2.50 57% 0.70    
SHANE'S RISK Jul10 Nov09 Oct26 Oct05 Sep06 (d'alessandro)HARKIE K 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  KATERI EMPIRE Jul05 Jun21 May31 May17 Nov02 (cabrera josep)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 6.00    
STARSHIP PRECIOUS May16 Apr15 Mar18 Mar05 Feb04 (ferraro anth)COA J 122 4.00    
A DAB WILL DO Jul04 Nov21 Oct26 Oct10 Sep20 (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 122 3.00 20% 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.