Handicappers' Racing Form

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Penn National
Thursday - July 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PEN-2   Win (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PEN-3   Win (6/2/9/4/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00
PEN-4   Win (6/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PEN-5   Win (7/6/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
PEN-6   Win (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PEN-7   Win (5/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
PEN-1   07/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOOKIN BACK LUCKY Jun29 Jun20 Oct19 Sep02 Jul28 (crane clovis)INIRIO J 120 2.50 42% 1.40    
SUMMER ASH Jun30 May17 May04 Mar17 Mar01 (lucas bonnie)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 3.00 18% 4.40    
ALMOND CIDER Jul09 Jun29 Jun05 May17 Apr26 (perez a)RUIZ ELISEO 115 2.00 18% 4.60    
BUCK WILD Jun30 Jun14 Jun02 May17 May04 (jacavone j)ROJAS MARTINA 113 6.00    
BRANTLEYS BIG GUN Jul06 Jun02 May17 Apr27 Apr19 (bobadilla f)BEATO INOEL 122 30.00    
BUFF AND SHINE Jul06 Jun14 May17 Apr27 Mar22 (graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.00    
 
PEN-2   07/20/2023 5490ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SACHMO Jul07 Jun21 May29 Nov29 Oct11 (salvaggio michae)CONNER TYLER 120 2.50 67% 0.50    
GAMBLING TZAR Jun30 May23 Mar05 Jan20 Jan06 (alvarado diane)CHIAPPE R 120 4.50    
JUMP FOR THE WIN Jul05 Jun02 May11 Apr28 Mar23 (kreiser timot)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SPIRITUAL KING Jul13 Mar04 Feb25 Jan19 Jan05 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.50    
SCR  LUCID Feb05 Dec28 Dec03 Oct07   (cruz jesus)MARIN SAMUEL 118 3.00    
GALILEE Jul06 Aug24 Aug10 Apr22 Mar16 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SKIMBLE SHANKS Jul13 Jun20 Jun02 May10 Apr19 (beattie sande)INIRIO J 120 12.00    
SCR  SUPER REIGN Jun29 Jun14 May31 Nov21 Nov14 (albright george)TUNON JORDANO 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-3   07/20/2023 3300ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:58
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DATHOSS Jul03 Jun19 May31 May15 Apr18 (arce josue)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 10.00    
FLASHINTHENIGHT Jul05 Jun21 May28 May07 Apr16 (salvaggio jr)CORA D 120 3.00 19% 4.20    
GOLDEN TREASURE Jun14 May19 Mar29 Feb28 Jan24 (crook-demasi kat)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00    
CONDITION ONE Jun21 May31 May10 Mar24 Mar03 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 10.00 10% 8.70    
MORNING MARCH Jul10 Jun07 Oct25 Oct05 Sep09 (gordon-watson a)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 6.00    
CASH IN A FLASH Jul05 Jun21 May31 May10 Mar30 (kreiser tim)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.50 25% 3.00    
SCR  UNCLE REMI Jul14 Jul09 Jun19 Jun09 May31 (smith lawrenc)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 120 15.00    
BUFFALO SHUFFLE Jun27 May23 May10 Apr05 Feb28 (dunham bernard)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 12.00 6% 15.70    
HOLY MOLY MOSES Jun16 May23 Mar13     (crook-demas)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.50 16% 5.20    
10  EYE OF GUNFIGHTER Jul12 Jun09 May13 May07 Mar31 (smith m)BEATO INOEL 120 30.00    
11  BEACH WARRIOR Jun09 May10 Oct26 Sep24 Sep18 (farro patricia)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 5.00    
 
PEN-4   07/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:28
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHA CHA CHIQUITA Jun30 Nov30 Nov01 Oct18 Oct04 (arnold pame)VARGAS L 122 4.50    
HI HEELED WARRIOR Jul12 Jun02 May10 Apr27   (kulp brando)HERNANDEZ A 120 5.00    
WARISHA Jul12 Jun20 May25     (rathman elisha)CONNER TYLER 120 12.00 8% 11.80    
NOWYOUSCAN'TLEAVE Feb15 Jan20 Dec28 Nov15 Oct12 (aristone phil)DE KEMICH 113 6.00    
ROSE VALLEY Jun30 Jun20 May18 Apr26 Sep23 (beattie m)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 2.50 26% 2.80    
ME DARLIN KATHLEEN Jun30 Jun22 May11 Apr20 Mar30 (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 1.50 45% 1.20    
 
PEN-5   07/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEYOND THE BEND Jun30 Jun09 May12 Apr28 Apr01 (graci a)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
NICE WEATHER Jul06 Jun15 May31 May12 Nov04 (ferreira fernando)AGUILAR M 122 3.00    
YES SIR ROBERT Jun29 Jun01 May17 Apr20 Mar12 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 2.50    
TURNPIKE BOB Apr19 Mar31 Mar10 Jan11 Nov15 (stites flin)HERNANDEZ A 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
HIDE THE RANSOM Jul10 Jun28 Jun13 May29 May17 (perez a)RUIZ ELISEO 111 10.00    
CARGO SHIP Jun20 May31 May17 Apr19 Mar16 (beattie cod)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.50 23% 3.30    
MR. PETE Jul12 Jun15 May27 May13 Apr19 (kreiser timot)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 4.00 50% 1.00    
 
PEN-6   07/20/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SALTO DE TIGRE Jun18 Jun09 May27 May17 May04 (jacobson da)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.50 21% 3.90    
EAGLES CRY Jun29 Jun13 May17 Apr11 Dec13 (stites flin)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
HERE'S WALDO Jun14 Apr20 Mar22 Jan26 Dec16 (lucas bonnie)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 4.50    
STRAWBERRY TREAT Jun16 Apr26 Mar29 Nov29 Nov02 (zalalas michael)CHIAPPE R 118 12.00    
FAMISHED Jun29 Jun01 May17 Mar30 Mar04 (lucas bonnie)AGUILAR M 120 3.50    
DEE JAY Jun29 Jun02 May10 Mar22 Feb10 (lawrence l)CONNER TYLER 120 1.60 51% 1.00    
 
PEN-7   07/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JIMMY THE KID May28 May13 Apr15 Apr06 Mar25 (martin r)RODRIGUEZ E 120 8.00    
FED CHAIR Jul07 Jun09 Apr26 Mar17 Feb15 (kreiser timot)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 2.50 16% 5.10    
SCR  EDWARD MADDEN Jun30 Jun01 May10 Apr19 Mar29 (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 12.00    
SPOOKY ONE Jul06 Jun28 Jun14 Jun01 May10 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 124 3.50    
I SEE THE STARS Jun30 May17 Apr28 Mar30 Mar03 (graci a)AGUILAR M 120 3.00 37% 1.70    
DIXIE CANNONBALL Jun30 Jun16 Jun01 Apr26 Mar24 (graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.50 17% 4.70    
OBROTHER ITSYLVIA Jun30 Jun21 May26 May12 Apr28 (shea lydee)INIRIO J 122 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.