Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Wednesday - July 05, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BTP-1   WIN (6/7/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/1/2)-(6/7/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/1/2)-(6/7/1/2)-(6/7/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/1/2)-(6/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/7/1/2)-(6/2/3)-(3/2/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-2   WIN (6/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/3)-(6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (6/2/3)-(3/2/6)-(6/3/1/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-3   WIN (3/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/6)-(3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/2/6)-(6/3/1/2)-(4/3/2/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
BTP-4   WIN (6/3/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/1/2)-(6/3/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/1/2)-(6/3/1/2)-(6/3/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/1/2)-(4/3/2/1)-(1/5) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
BTP-5   WIN (4/3/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/2/1)-(4/3/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/2/1)-(4/3/2/1)-(4/3/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/3/2/1)-(1/5)-(6/10/12/4/5) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
BTP-6   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/5)-(1/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (1/5)-(6/10/12/4/5)-(3/4/8) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
BTP-7   WIN (6/10/12/4/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/10/12/4/5)-(6/10/12/4/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/10/12/4/5)-(6/10/12/4/5)-(6/10/12/4/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/10/12/4/5)-(3/4/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
BTP-8   WIN (3/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/8)-(3/4/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/8)-(3/4/8)-(3/4/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   07/05/2023 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($23.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUTPOST GIRL Apr25 Apr10       (barker scot)JIMENEZ J 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FORT LARNED out of GOOSE SKYWALKER by STRATEGIC MISSION)
2  TWILIGHT BEAUTY May19 May04 Apr10 Mar21   (donjuan sergi)CANUTO THIAGO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SHACKLEFORD out of MIDNIGHT BEAUTY by PROSPECTOR'S BID)
3  WILD BLUE BIRD Sep20         (haehn terry)LAGUNES GABRIEL 125 20.00    
  (by MADDY BIRD out of WILD BLUE WONDER by WILD WONDER)
4  APPALACHIAN SPIRIT Jun08 May04 Apr10     (cline rob)CORREA L 119 5.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of PRETTY MUCH MINE by HALF OURS)
5  SHEZ IN A TIZZY Jun09         (adams l)HESS SARA 120 3.50    
  (by TIZNOW out of FLY INTO MISCHIEF by INTO MISCHIEF)
6  BUCKEYE BELLE         (drury jr)MCKEE J 119 3.00 47% 1.10    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of LION BELLE by LION HEART)
7  WHISKEY DIAMOND Oct29 Oct10 Sep16     (bush s)BUSH V 119 2.50 28% 2.50    
  (by CORFU out of MY MOM SANTINA by STREET BOSS)
 
BTP-2   07/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I SAID HEY Jun03 Apr28 Apr12 Mar25 Mar10 (house gary)MCKEE J 120 3.50    
2  MOON PARTY Jun10 Apr27 Mar17 Feb16 Jan13 (haehn r)BUSH V 120 5.00 24% 3.20    
3  AIN'T SHE A PISTOL Jun10 May05 Apr26 Mar17 Feb10 (danner do)CORREA L 120 3.00 13% 6.80    
4  C V THUNDER Jun24 Jun10 Jun04 May19 May05 (hernandez ja)MARCANO Y 115 4.50    
5  SHARP JUSTICE Jun14 May18 May11 Apr26 Dec11 (donjuan sergi)CANUTO THIAGO 120 6.00    
6  PINKY TUSCADERO Jun10 May31 Apr28 Mar18 Feb18 (smith larry)OUZTS W 117 2.50 35% 1.90    
 
BTP-3   07/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SPEEDY G Jun08 May25 Apr30 Apr09 Mar03 (lopez elias)REYES ANGEL 121 5.00    
2  EXCLAIM Jun23 May15 Mar10 Feb17 Jan27 (rodak geraldi)LEBRON VICTOR 123 4.00 22% 3.50    
3  TWOBIRDSONESTONE Jun22 Jul22 Jun25 May26   (lauer mich)MICHEL MICKAELLE 121 6.00 30% 2.30    
4  FATHER PATRICK Jun17 Jun08 May18 Apr29 Apr13 (hernandez ja)MARCANO Y 116 4.50    
5  GENERATOR Jun07 May06 Apr14 Mar18 Mar02 (grubbs jamie )JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 3.00    
6  DROP ANCHOR Jun16 May20 Apr23 Apr05 Mar24 (adams l)HESS SARA 116 2.50 20% 3.90    
 
BTP-4   07/05/2023 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($23.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIZ MORNING LIGHT Oct04 Sep21       (howard d)REYES R 125 4.50 8% 11.50    
  (by MORNING LINE out of LITTLE GREEN LIGHT by SMARTY JONES)
2  SHAKA'S LYRIC Jun09 Nov15 Oct31     (jackson jacqu)ZONETT KEYNER 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LEA out of PRAY FOR GRACE by SONGANDAPRAYER)
3  COMPUTER WHIZ Jun09 May04       (brafford mich)CANUTO THIAGO 119 3.00 16% 5.30    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of TIE by EVEN THE SCORE)
4  INCREDIBLE MARINI Mar08 Feb20 Jan26 Jan11   (bogart rober)MARCANO Y 114 15.00    
  (by JACK MILTON out of JUSTINCREDIBLE by MARINO MARINI)
5  BREATH OF HEAVEN Sep12         (bush george)LAGUNES GABRIEL 119 5.00    
  (by CORFU out of CAMP FAIRFAX R N by FOREST CAMP)
6  LA CORONA Jun14 May04 Aug01 Jul07   (hamm timo)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 119 2.00 53% 0.90    
  (by PAYNTER out of SPRING WATER by SPRING AT LAST)
7  SHE'S A SOLDIER         (reed r)MCKEE J 119 6.00    
  (by GREEK SUN out of GUMBOOTS by STORM BOOT)
8  SUPER SCAMP Jun08 Aug02       (cline robert)TAPARA BRANDON 119 12.00    
  (by OPTIMIZER out of LIEGE by THEATRICAL (IRE))
 
BTP-5   07/05/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOME WOULD SAY Jun18 May25 May05 Apr28 Apr10 (lopez carlos )JIMENEZ ALBIN 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  FUTURE FLAY Jun09 May17 Apr28 Feb25 Jan25 (esquivel )CORREA L 124 5.00 13% 6.70    
3  POQUITO ROSE Jun07 May24 Apr27 Mar18 Mar02 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 124 2.50 15% 5.60    
4  SUMMER STORM Jul10 Jun18 May26 May01 Feb25 (rice anthony)CALLEJA ANDRES 119 4.00 44% 1.30    
5  HIGH MEADOWS Jun14 May25 May17 May05 Feb02 (morelos mateo)CANUTO THIAGO 124 8.00    
6  FIVE QUEENS Jun21 Jun03 May24 Apr28 Apr01 (adams l)REYES R 124 5.00    
7  TENAKEE May19 May05 Feb18 Jan28 Nov09 (alessi james)HESS SARA 119 20.00    
8  JOLIE RULER Apr02 Mar01 Feb06 Dec31 Dec18 (ramos franci)TAPARA BRANDON 124 3.50    
 
BTP-6   07/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($23.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PEDAL TO DA KETTLE Jun14 Mar29 Mar06 Feb14 Jan24 (barker scot)JIMENEZ J 120 2.00 40% 1.50    
  (by KETTLE CORN out of HERONETTA by MARCHFIELD)
2  PAYMASTER GENERAL Jun01 May18 Apr25 Mar09 Feb21 (barker w)MCKEE J 120 3.50    
  (by FORT LARNED out of OCTOBER SONG by BERNSTEIN)
3  LEWIS AND CLARK Jun01 Apr25 Apr13 Feb09 Aug21 (wilson davi)LAGUNES GABRIEL 125 3.00    
  (by SHAKIN IT UP out of ESPIRITU CHIJULLA by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  A K A FIBBER MCGEE Mar13 Feb16 Jan04 Sep21 Sep07 (skeens jerem)MARCANO Y 120 4.50    
  (by LIGHTNIN N THUNDER out of JOAQUINA by HOLY BULL)
5  TOP HAT MENSCH         (adams l)HESS SARA 115 4.00 31% 2.30    
  (by FORT LARNED out of THEDOCTORSCAT by TALE OF THE CAT)
 
BTP-7   07/05/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($17.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUARIA BRAVA Jun10 May09 Mar31 Jan18 Nov03 (lobo)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 123 8.00    
SCR  MS HAYLEY May20 May03 Apr08 Mar11 Feb19 (wong jonathan)MACHADO LUAN 118 6.00    
3  WASSER Jun16 May25 Apr05 Mar22 Feb15 (salcedo ra)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 123 20.00    
4  ZING Apr19 Mar11 Feb12 Jan29 Jan16 (claire alex)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 4.00 12% 7.50    
5  IT FACTOR May19 Apr29 Mar09 Feb16 Jan01 (anderson )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  LUMINIST Jun15 May16 Apr16 Mar30 Mar18 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 123 3.50 22% 3.60    
7  DAWN Jun10 Oct30 Sep18 Aug13 Jun23 (mackey wayne)ARAGON ROLANDO 123 20.00    
8  GIN N SIN May31 May14 Apr08 Mar11 Jan25 (faircloth ave)CANUTO THIAGO 123 15.00    
SCR  LONG BLACK VEIL Jun16 May31 Mar30 Mar09 Feb09 (jarvis kath)LAGUNES GABRIEL 118 8.00    
10  LAVISH HABITS Jun10 Mar05 Feb12 Dec31 Sep03 (hiles a)MCKEE J 123 2.00 21% 3.70    
11  RUNAWAY WILLIE Jun07 Apr29       (ward dean)LEBRON VICTOR 118 20.00    
12  DAISY BEE May20 Mar15 Feb08 Oct13 Sep10 (arnold george )CHUAN MARTIN 123 5.00 19% 4.10    
13  FREE TIME Jun08 May08 Apr26 Nov10 Oct13 (esquivel )CORREA L 118 12.00    
SCR  LA DAME DE FER Jun29 Jun10 May26 May12 Apr23 (james gerald)REYES R 120 12.00    
 
BTP-8   07/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DESOTO'S WAR Jun14 May04 Jan18 Dec22 Dec05 (wong jonath)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 120 2.00    
SCR  LAST ROO Jun14 May19 Apr29 Mar15 Feb22 (beck rowena)MACHADO LUAN 120 8.00    
3  ELLE'SBIGSEACRET Jun14 May16 Apr27 Apr12 Mar30 (shifflett cher)AYALA ISAIAS 120 3.50 40% 1.50    
4  EL BOHEMIO May18 Apr27 Mar13 Feb03 Jan04 (esquivel )CORREA L 120 5.00 19% 4.30    
5  GEMO RAIN Jun23 Jun09 May20 May06 Apr22 (adams nancy )MARCANO Y 115 15.00    
6  ZIP IT SCOTTY Jun14 May27 May13 Apr27 Mar18 (jazdzewski jon)MCKEE J 120 6.00    
7  MIDNIGHT NIGHTMARE Jun08 May04 Apr14 Feb18 Jan26 (mcvickers lamar)OUZTS W 120 4.50    
8  FRISCO LINE Apr27 Mar30 Feb03 Jan18 Dec16 (locker timoth)CANUTO THIAGO 120 15.00 17% 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.