Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Emerald Downs
Monday - July 03, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
EMD-1   WIN (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/2)-(5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/2)-(1/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2)-(1/6/3)-(5/4/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
EMD-2   WIN (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/3)-(1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/3)-(5/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/6/3)-(5/4/3)-(3/7/6/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
EMD-3   WIN (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/3)-(5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/3)-(3/7/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/3)-(3/7/6/2)-(10/8/4/6/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
EMD-4   WIN (3/7/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/6/2)-(3/7/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/6/2)-(3/7/6/2)-(3/7/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/6/2)-(10/8/4/6/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/7/6/2)-(10/8/4/6/5)-(5/6/7/4) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
EMD-5   WIN (10/8/4/6/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/8/4/6/5)-(10/8/4/6/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/8/4/6/5)-(10/8/4/6/5)-(10/8/4/6/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/8/4/6/5)-(5/6/7/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (10/8/4/6/5)-(5/6/7/4)-(8/1/7/6) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
EMD-6   WIN (5/6/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/7/4)-(5/6/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/7/4)-(5/6/7/4)-(5/6/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/7/4)-(8/1/7/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/6/7/4)-(8/1/7/6)-(3/2/6/1) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
EMD-7   WIN (8/1/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/7/6)-(8/1/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/7/6)-(8/1/7/6)-(8/1/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/1/7/6)-(3/2/6/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/1/7/6)-(3/2/6/1)-(2/3/6/8) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
EMD-8   WIN (3/2/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/6/1)-(3/2/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/6/1)-(3/2/6/1)-(3/2/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/6/1)-(2/3/6/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
EMD-9   WIN (2/3/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/6/8)-(2/3/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/6/8)-(2/3/6/8)-(2/3/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
EMD-1   07/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUVAHAPPYENDING Oct16 Oct10 Sep18 Sep10 Jul24 (mccanna tim)NEGRON LUIS 125 2.50 27% 2.70    
2  BABY MARTINI         (navarr)DIAZ-LOPEZ FRANCISCO 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  FLYING SYLVIA Jun10 May21 Nov24 Oct30 Oct14 (mccanna )AMADOR RUIZ 125 3.50    
4  HASTA LUEGO Nov24 Oct16 Sep25 Sep10 Aug06 (navarro jose)ANAYA V 125 12.00    
5  PERCY'S SIS Jun11 Jun26 Jun05 May22   (bullock steve)CRUZ M 125 1.80 49% 1.00    
6  PISTA GIRL Jun17 Jun03 May13     (martinez b)RADKE K 121 4.50    
 
EMD-2   07/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ABOVE THE REST         (velasquez rigo)ENRIQUEZ D 121 2.50 49% 1.00    
2  AIN'T NO SISSY Jun16 Sep02 Jun25 Jun10   (essex charles)CRUZ M 125 3.00    
3  NIGHT TO REMEMBER Jun16         (patino faustino)MONTALVO C 125 3.50 11% 8.40    
4  HOWDOYALIKEMENOW Jun23 Jun03 May06 Apr16 Mar26 (bozell alan)ZUNINO L 121 4.00    
5  PEDAL TO THE METAL Jun16 Sep02       (boyd preston)ZACHERLE LOUIS 125 10.00    
6  UHTREDSONOFUHTRED         (cryderman candi)NEGRON LUIS 121 6.00 15% 5.80    
 
EMD-3   07/03/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SECRET LIFE STYLE Feb28 Nov01 Sep17 Apr09 Mar03 (roberson don)MATIAS J 125 15.00    
2  WARFRONT FIGHTER Jun17 May28 May14 Mar08 Feb20 (bean a)CRUZ M 125 4.50    
3  IRON ROB Jun18 May29 Sep11 Aug27 Aug06 (nunnally jen)ZACHERLE LOUIS 125 6.00 7% 13.20    
4  SIERRA MELODY Jun10 May28 May06 Apr15 Mar26 (kereluk edward)RADKE K 125 2.00 34% 1.90    
5  ZACCHEUS Jun23 Jun04 May21 Dec09 Nov18 (gibson vince)NEGRON LUIS 121 1.80 37% 1.70    
6  SENOR FABULOSO Jun24 Sep18 Sep09 Aug26 Aug14 (perez hilar)ORTIZ A 125 30.00    
SCR  FIRST STYLE Nov13 Nov04       (perez hilario)ANAYA V 125 6.00    
 
EMD-4   07/03/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NORTHERN BLEND Jun11 May27 Sep04 Aug21 Jul30 (dronen sam)NEGRON LUIS 123 5.00    
2  STREET DEMAND Jun24 Jun03 Oct16 Oct07 Sep18 (bean a)RADKE K 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  SILENT DECLARATION Jun09 May21 May13 Feb28 Feb11 (pierce michae)VALDES ALEXIS 125 1.60 49% 1.00    
4  PAPAWASAROLLNSTONE Jun09 Jun19 May28     (kowalski liz)MONTALVO C 123 6.00    
5  CONTINUE ON VICTOR Jun18 May21 Sep10 Aug28 Aug06 (gibson vince)CRUZ M 123 3.50    
6  THIRSTY KISS May27 May13 Mar12 Feb21 Feb01 (gibson vince)MATIAS J 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  UNBRIDLED TIGER Jun23 Jan24 Jan02 Nov23 Nov08 (peery de)AMADOR RUIZ 123 6.00 24% 3.10    
 
EMD-5   07/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PLATINUM PHANTOM Jun16 May29       (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 121 10.00    
  (by MOHAYMEN out of JOY'S JAGUAR by KITTEN'S JOY)
2  DRAGON WORKS         (cooper kay)MONTALVO C 121 6.00    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of SPRING AGAIN by SKY MESA)
3  MY PERFECT TOWN         (toye joe)ANAYA V 121 20.00    
  (by PERFECT TIMBER out of RAGING TOWN by JERSEY TOWN)
4  SECRET HOTTIE Jun16 May29 May14     (jenne bonnie)ZUNINO L 121 10.00 5% 18.80    
  (by RAISED A SECRET out of JADELET by SKIP AWAY)
5  SENSIBLE LUTE Jun03 May20       (simkins rosie)NEGRON LUIS 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LUTES GIFT out of SENSIBLE by EL PRADO (IRE))
6  SHE HAD A SECRET May21 Apr29 Apr16 Mar28 Oct18 (roberson don)MATIAS J 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HE'S HAD ENOUGH out of CARMEN'S SECRET by DISTINCTION)
7  AVANTI LEAH Jun16         (cooper kay)VALDES ALEXIS 121 6.00    
  (by LEA out of COURTING DELILAH by FLOWER ALLEY)
8  CHAMP OF PAGNE         (martinez)AMADOR RUIZ 121 4.00 23% 3.40    
  (by HARBOR THE GOLD out of CHAMPAGNE EXCHANGE by EXCHANGE RATE)
9  ENGLISH MEADOW May29         (leonard w)WHITAKER J 125 20.00    
  (by CONNECT out of ENGLISH GARDEN by BERNARDINI)
10  FANNY BAY ALI Jun16 May22       (gilker robert)RADKE K 121 2.00 48% 1.10    
  (by COUNTERFORCE out of CHILLI CHINES by KATOWICE)
11  STAY SASSY Sep17         (essex charles)CRUZ M 121 15.00    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of PIPPA BOU PEEP by HARBOR THE GOLD)
 
EMD-6   07/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP M/F PT-10:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CIELO DIAMANTE May28 May20 Apr15 Mar25 Mar05 (cruz pea)NEGRON LUIS 125 8.00    
2  RED NOVA Jun10 May28 Sep18 Sep03 Aug13 (morris michael)ANAYA V 123 15.00    
3  WARREN'S MEMORABLE Jun10 May28 May14 Apr19 Mar25 (metz jeffrey)MONTALVO C 125 12.00    
4  SEVEN SISTERS May28 Mar01 Feb15 Jan31 Jan11 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 123 5.00 8% 11.40    
5  MO CONNELLY Jun16 Jun04 May28 Mar06 Feb18 (metz jef)AMADOR RUIZ 123 3.00 33% 2.10    
6  WILLING TO BURN Sep10 Aug27 Aug05 Jul16 Jun18 (essex charles)RADKE K 123 6.00 19% 4.20    
7  SUMMEROFTHESAMURAI May27 May14 Apr08 Mar21 Feb21 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 123 4.00 19% 4.20    
8  LAFONDA Jun16 May28 May14 Aug27 Aug12 (harwood m)MATIAS J 125 20.00    
9  SLICE OF PIE May21 Sep18 Aug20 Jul31   (lucarelli fra)VALDES ALEXIS 125 8.00    
SCR  MISS AGGIE BLING May13 Mar29 Mar04 Feb19 Feb08 (rosales jorg)OROZCO E 123 10.00    
 
EMD-7   07/03/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT-10:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NAPOLEONIC CODE Jun25 Apr17 Mar29 Mar18 Nov05 (evans justin)CRUZ M 121 2.50 22% 3.50    
2  SARGENT KLINE Jun11 May28 May13 Apr11 Mar19 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 123 6.00    
3  AGRIGENTO Jun17 Jun03 Dec04 Oct23 May08 (raudales jos)OROZCO E 125 12.00    
4  MISTER MAFIOSO Jun17 May27 Apr03 Mar07 Feb26 (patino faustino)MONTALVO C 121 12.00    
5  PERFECT ONE Jun17 Sep10 Aug14 Jul30 Jul02 (lucarelli fra)VALDES ALEXIS 123 8.00    
6  GOLD RUSH JUNIOR May14 Aug28 Jul31 Jul10   (cryderma)AMADOR RUIZ 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  WITHEE Jun16 May27 May13 Sep10 Aug28 (bullock steve)RADKE K 121 8.00 9% 10.40    
8  PESO Jun10 May27 Aug18 Jul24   (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 123 2.00 46% 1.20    
 
EMD-8   07/03/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT-11:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IN THE RED May20 Mar29 Mar11 Jan28 Dec15 (pierce micha)SARMIENTO RIGO 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  EMERALD SEA Jun09 May27 Sep18 Aug14 Jul22 (velasquez rigo)ENRIQUEZ D 123 3.50 25% 3.00    
3  HOLLYWOOD MISTRESS Jun16 Jun04 May21 Apr01 Feb22 (toye joe)RADKE K 123 4.50 29% 2.50    
4  OREO'S DREAM Jun09 May20 Jan06 Dec16 Oct15 (moore a)CRUZ M 123 8.00    
5  RED PANTY NIGHT Jun16 Jun03 May21 May06 Apr15 (bullene )AMADOR RUIZ 123 5.00    
6  SHESAHEATWAVE Jun16 Jun03 May05 Apr18 Apr08 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 123 1.80 21% 3.80    
7  KERRALIA Jun10 May21 Sep03 Aug05 Jul08 (wisdom anne)ZUNINO L 123 15.00    
 
EMD-9   07/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT-11:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE CALABRESE KID Jun23 May28 Apr08 Mar18 Mar09 (perez hilario)ANAYA V 123 6.00    
2  EL CHAVO DEL OCHO Jun16 May29 May14 Feb26 Feb02 (gibson vince)MATIAS J 123 2.50 52% 0.90    
3  UPPER ROOM Jun09 May29 May21 Apr24 Mar28 (toye joe)RADKE K 123 5.00 10% 8.70    
4  QUIET CHARM Jun18 May21 Feb25 Feb12 Feb04 (perez hilar)ORTIZ A 123 15.00    
5  DENNARD Jun09 Sep03 Aug21 Jul29 Jul02 (essex charles)CRUZ M 123 6.00    
6  CROOKED FINGER RAY Jun16 Aug28 Aug12 Jul22 Jul01 (wenzel tom)ZUNINO L 123 4.50 9% 10.60    
7  D K'S CROWN Jun16 May29 May14 May01 Apr04 (silva-martinez )NEGRON LUIS 123 4.00    
8  MAHI MAHI Jun09 May21 Apr08 Feb16 Jan31 (garcia valen)OROZCO E 123 10.00 6% 17.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.