Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Friday - June 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/3)-(5/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/3)-(1/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/3)-(1/5/6)-(6/5/3/2/1) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
PEN-2   WIN (1/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/6)-(1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/6)-(6/5/3/2/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/5/6)-(6/5/3/2/1)-(3/1/6) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
PEN-3   WIN (6/5/3/2/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/5/3/2/1)-(6/5/3/2/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/5/3/2/1)-(6/5/3/2/1)-(6/5/3/2/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/5/3/2/1)-(3/1/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/5/3/2/1)-(3/1/6)-(1/8/6) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
PEN-4   WIN (3/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/6)-(3/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/6)-(3/1/6)-(3/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/6)-(1/8/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/1/6)-(1/8/6)-(5/1/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PEN-5   WIN (1/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/8/6)-(1/8/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/8/6)-(1/8/6)-(1/8/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/8/6)-(5/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/8/6)-(5/1/3)-(4/1/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PEN-6   WIN (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/3)-(5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/3)-(4/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
PEN-7   WIN (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/5)-(4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   06/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZOOMSTER Jun09 May18 Apr29 Jan07 Sep05 (lucas bonnie)AGUILAR M 119 10.00    
SCR  NORTHERN SPY May15 Mar17 Jan11     (agnew naois)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 1.60    
3  TORRID Apr21 Mar24 Feb08     (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.00 29% 2.40    
4  SPELLED WELL May06 Apr19 Mar17 Mar01 Dec13 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 119 4.00    
5  POLSAR Jun09 May27 May13 May05 Apr15 (moreno-barb)VASQUEZ WILFRED 122 3.00 49% 1.00    
 
PEN-2   06/30/2023 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PERFECT HIDEAWAY May25 Apr27 Mar24 Feb22 Jan19 (beattie tod)INIRIO J 120 2.50 38% 1.70    
2  ONE MORE KELLY Jun18 Jun02 May18 Apr27 Mar24 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00    
3  NO EASY ANSWER May06 Mar16 Feb24 Jan12 Dec20 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 5.00    
4  SWAN POINT Jun02 Apr27 Nov30 Nov08 Oct18 (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 4.50    
5  DOCTOR ABBIE May26 Apr28 Apr12 Mar03 Feb10 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 119 4.00 31% 2.20    
6  BILLIEANNE May31 May05 Apr24 Apr10 Mar28 (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-3   06/30/2023 3300ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET MESA Apr20 Mar10 Apr29 Apr06 Mar02 (stites flin)INIRIO J 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  BAY AND GOLD May09 Apr19 Mar13 Jul27 May23 (dunn john)HERNANDEZ ANDY 119 12.00 6% 17.00    
3  PRINCESS RUNAWAY Nov02 Sep07 Jul20 Jun16   (crook-demasi k)TORRES JOMAR 122 3.00 13% 6.70    
4  MY LADY'S AUNT MA Jun02 May19 Apr20 Jun16 May20 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 5.00    
5  ME DARLIN KATHLEEN Jun22 May11 Apr20 Mar30 Feb18 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 119 4.00 19% 4.10    
6  HAPPY RIDE Jun22 Jun10 May12 Apr21 Mar24 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.50 41% 1.40    
7  COSMOLOGICAL Jun02 May12 Apr20 Apr10 Mar16 (ramirez ricardo)BEATO INOEL 122 10.00    
8  CAN I GET AN AMEN Jun21 May31 May16 Feb16 Jan28 (rogers ronal)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 6.00    
9  CHA CHA CHIQUITA Nov30 Nov01 Oct18 Oct04 Aug31 (arnold pa)VARGAS L 122 15.00    
 
PEN-4   06/30/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRIPLE TITOS May24 May04 Feb26 Feb01 Jan20 (allen a)ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 2.00 28% 2.60    
SCR  THRUSTER Jun11 May25 May04 Apr13 Mar25 (barr h)CHIAPPE R 122 5.00    
3  DYNAMITE DUKE Jun14 May25 Apr26 Apr03 Jan14 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 122 1.80 30% 2.30    
4  BROBRO CORMAN Jun14 May25 Apr27 Feb25 Feb03 (rathman elisha)CONNER TYLER 119 6.00    
5  SUMMER ASH May17 May04 Mar17 Mar01 Feb02 (lucas bonni)INIRIO J 122 6.00    
6  BUCK WILD Jun14 Jun02 May17 May04 Apr19 (jacavone john)ROJAS MARTINA 112 8.00 18% 4.70    
 
PEN-5   06/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TUDOX OPPORTUNITY         (rathman elisha)CONNER TYLER 121 3.00 36% 1.80    
SCR  NORTHERN VIRGINIA Jun14         (stites flin)INIRIO J 124 8.00    
3  ONEOFTHEGOODGUYS         (salvaggio)RODRIGUEZ R 121 5.00    
4  BEAR OR BULL May03         (agnew naois)CORUJO LEONARDO 121 8.00    
SCR  UNCLE GEORGY         (meister willia)HIRALDO JOHN 121 8.00    
6  BANJO         (houghton thomas)CORA D 121 4.50 9% 9.90    
SCR  SJO AMERICANEMPIRE May29 Nov05 Sep16     (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 6.00    
8  ROCKIN THE BANK         (lucas bon)HERNANDEZ A 121 4.00 24% 3.10    
 
PEN-6   06/30/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROSE VALLEY Jun20 May18 Apr26 Sep23 Aug24 (beattie tod)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 1.60 34% 1.90    
2  FINISHING TOUCH Jun22 Jun02 May06 Apr27 Mar29 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 119 6.00    
3  BO RUNKLE May24 May05 Apr26 Mar15 Feb24 (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 122 2.50 10% 9.50    
4  CHARLYS WILD ANGEL May24 Apr17 Mar29 Mar21 Mar07 (beattie s)RODRIGUEZ R 122 8.00    
5  SCOREBOARD LILY Jun22 May18 May06 Mar30 Mar09 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 2.00 36% 1.80    
 
PEN-7   06/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEYOND THE BEND Jun09 May12 Apr28 Apr01 Mar16 (synnefias pana)CONNER TYLER 124 3.50 31% 2.20    
2  OBROTHER ITSYLVIA Jun21 May26 May12 Apr28 Dec21 (shea lydee)INIRIO J 122 10.00    
3  EDWARD MADDEN Jun01 May10 Apr19 Mar29 Dec07 (houghton thomas)CORA D 121 4.50    
4  I SEE THE STARS May17 Apr28 Mar30 Mar03 Feb15 (graci a)AGUILAR M 122 2.00 33% 2.00    
5  DIXIE CANNONBALL Jun16 Jun01 Apr26 Mar24 Mar09 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 124 1.80 14% 6.40    
6  REFUND RIGLER Jun13 May31 Apr26 Apr12 Mar21 (guerrero mele)PEREZ M 120 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.