Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Monmouth Park
Sunday - June 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MTH-1   WIN (2/5/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/6/7)-(2/5/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/6/7)-(2/5/6/7)-(2/5/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-2   WIN (6/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/3)-(6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-3   WIN (5/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/7)-(5/7) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
MTH-4   WIN (1/6/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/3/2)-(1/6/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/3/2)-(1/6/3/2)-(1/6/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-5   WIN (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/4)-(1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-6   WIN (7/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/8/6)-(7/8/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/8/6)-(7/8/6)-(7/8/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-7   WIN (5/6/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/4/3)-(5/6/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/4/3)-(5/6/4/3)-(5/6/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-8   WIN (2/6/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/4/3)-(2/6/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/4/3)-(2/6/4/3)-(2/6/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-9   WIN (1/4/3/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/3/9)-(1/4/3/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/3/9)-(1/4/3/9)-(1/4/3/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-10   WIN (4/2/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/8/6)-(4/2/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/8/6)-(4/2/8/6)-(4/2/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MTH-1   06/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($57.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STRAIGHT ARROW         (dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 123 8.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of LULU'S NUMBER by NUMEROUS)
2  ABADIN May06         (pletcher)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 1.00 47% 1.20    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of NARRATE by HONEST PLEASURE)
3  ROMPING RUNNER         (margotta antho)MOYA F 118 12.00    
  (by BATTALION RUNNER out of ROMPING ROSIE by BODEMEISTER)
4  NO QUIT         (sweezey j)VARGAS A 118 10.00    
  (by WEST COAST out of BLUSHING JUSTINE by JUSTIN PHILLIP)
5  VESPUCCI         (reynolds pat)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 3.00 19% 4.20    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of MAPIT by TAPIT)
6  DUKE OF GLOUCESTER May21 Apr14 Mar31 Feb11 Dec03 (pierro ashle)BATISTA A 118 6.00 13% 6.70    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of STRIKE FIRST by SMART STRIKE)
7  JUST BEAT THE ODDS         (sacco gregor)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of BELLA D'ORO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
 
MTH-2   06/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  EL DE LEO Dec24 Nov26 Nov05 Oct09 Sep24 (gonzalez claud)COTTO L 117 10.00    
2  LITTLE LUCA May14 Mar31 Mar11 Dec10 Jun24 (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 1.50 29% 2.50    
3  CANTANKEROUS CAT May20 Apr21 Apr01 Aug22 Aug06 (dini mike)IORIO MELISSA 111 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  FACE ABARRIO Apr16 Oct08 Sep24     (perez l)CAMACHO SAMY 117 4.00    
5  LOOKIN' SUPER May20 Apr08 Mar26 Feb10 Dec30 (bennett gerald)MARIN SAMUEL 117 5.00    
6  ONE AMERICA May21 Mar10 Feb22 Jan12 Dec16 (gonzalez )RODRIGUEZ A 121 2.50 42% 1.40    
 
MTH-3   06/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($12.5K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DURKIN'S CALL May04 Apr07 Mar25 Feb17 Jan21 (baker charlt)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 15.00    
SCR  KING OF HOLLYWOOD May27 Apr08 Mar24 Feb15 Jan25 (sacco gregor)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 3.50    
SCR  HEY PORTER May29 Apr22 Mar25 Feb26 Jan26 (perez carlos)ARROYO S 120 10.00    
4  CARAMEL CHIP May04 Apr12 Mar23 Feb25 Jan20 (d'angelo jose )CAMACHO SAMY 122 1.20    
5  DRENA'S STAR Mar16 Feb20 Jan22 Dec10 Nov09 (hollendorfer jer)JUAREZ NIK 120 6.00 28% 2.50    
6  HUSHION May13 Apr25 Mar28 Feb13 Jan30 (cole-davis ti)TREJOS JOSEPH 124 4.00    
7  RAISE THE RENT May21 Mar11 Jan01 Aug19 Jul24 (breen ke)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 5.00 22% 3.50    
 
MTH-4   06/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NICE BABY Aug05 Jul16 Jun24     (delgado jorg)SANTIAGO EDDIE 118 2.50 60% 0.70    
2  VIRTUAL BEAUTY Apr22 Mar24 Feb26 Feb10 Jan22 (goberdhan ch)BAILEY O 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  DUSTED Sep23 Sep10 Aug20 Jul02 Jun12 (ortega leopo)BATISTA A 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  ELIKA Oct16 Sep17       (gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR 118 4.50    
5  SUGAR SIN Apr30 Apr09 Mar01 Feb02 Jan06 (gonzalez c)RIVERA R 111 4.00    
6  R TOOTSIE GLITTER Feb18 Jan29 Jan07     (bennett s)FERRER C 118 3.00 17% 5.00    
7  PAINT ME BEAUTIFUL Aug28 Aug12       (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 4.00    
 
MTH-5   06/11/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIANA B Apr16 Mar02 Feb02 Dec14 Jun05 (kimmel)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 3.00 46% 1.20    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of CHOCOLATE BROWN by LION HEARTED)
2  SUNNYRIDGE JAIME May20 Apr23       (mcburney patri)LUZZI J 123 15.00    
  (by WAR DANCER out of JAIME by HOLY BULL)
3  PAYOUT RATIO (IRE) Mar12         (brown c)CAMACHO SAMY 118 2.50 23% 3.40    
  (by KINGMAN out of POLLY'S MARK by MARK OF ESTEEM (IRE))
4  CLASSIC PERFORMER May27         (camejo j)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 4.00 9% 10.10    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of HIGH PERFORMER by CANDY RIDE)
SCR  MISS SENSIBLE May20 Apr22       (delgado jorg)BATISTA A 118 10.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of HOLDERS SEASON by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SCR  HIGH HIGH HOPES         (sacco gregor)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 8.00    
  (by TAPIZAR out of NICKSAPPEALINGLADY by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
7  NICKYS NOTION Dec14 Nov21 Oct10 Sep06 Aug13 (martin f)TORRES JOMAR 123 8.00    
  (by BOURBON COURAGE out of NICK'S FUNNYBONE by D' FUNNYBONE)
8  BOLT OF PARADISE May27         (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 118 5.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of PARADISE ALLEY by FLOWER ALLEY)
 
MTH-6   06/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAMPTOWN RACES May29 Apr19 Mar18 Mar04 Jan28 (torres r)MARIN SAMUEL 124 10.00    
SCR  STARLITE WALKER Jun03 Dec01 Sep03 Jul30 Jul10 (navarro m)VARGAS A 124 10.00    
SCR  DILETTANTE Mar09 Feb10 Dec10 Nov25 Nov13 (holl)HUAYAS (JASON) 119 4.00    
4  SHIELD OF FAITH Jun03 May15 Apr30 Dec12 Nov27 (farro patrici)SOSA LAUREANO 117 20.00    
5  CACTUS JACK Jun03 Mar25 Jan27 Jan08 Dec09 (russo fran)RIVERA R 117 6.00    
6  J WASS Oct18 Sep05       (crook-dem)RODRIGUEZ A 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  IN THE LOOP Mar15 Feb01 Jan07     (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 124 1.80 67% 0.50    
8  COMMANDING GENERAL Jun03 May19 Mar25 Mar11 Feb08 (ramirez)GONZALEZ LUIS 124 3.00 7% 13.60    
 
MTH-7   06/11/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOY IS IT HOT Jun02 Jan24 Jan03 Dec07 Oct18 (king clare)MITCHELL RICHARD 117 30.00    
2  EQUALJUSTICEFORALL May27 Nov10 Oct14 Sep04 Aug19 (milne )ROJAS EDUARDO 123 10.00    
3  DIABLO DADDY May27 Aug22 Aug15 Jul31 Jul17 (foglia )GONZALEZ LUIS 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  AMERICAN DAY May14 Mar14 Oct14 Sep04 Jul31 (mc joh)BATISTA A 123 6.00 12% 7.00    
5  CARLIN CLAN May27 Apr15 Mar03 Feb04 Oct23 (falcone n)JUAREZ NIK 118 1.60 33% 2.00    
6  PLEASE BABY May26 Apr15 Jan19 Dec01 Oct23 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 2.50 31% 2.20    
7  SAMARITANO May21         (o'connell kat)SOSA LAUREANO 111 8.00    
SCR  WEDNESDAYNIGHT LAD May20 Mar25 Jan21     (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 6.00    
9  RECUSED Jul08         (huston k)TORRES JOMAR 118 20.00    
 
MTH-8   06/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Friendly Lover Purse ($85K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMATTEROFTIME May21 May02 Feb19 Jan30 Jan15 (ramirez s)RODRIGUEZ A 119 5.00    
  (by ESKENDEREYA out of VICTORY POOL by VICTORY GALLOP)
2  HE'SPUREGOLD Apr01 Feb04 Jan01 Oct13 Sep19 (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 1.80 61% 0.60    
  (by VANCOUVER out of SMART N CLASSY by SMART STRIKE)
3  IRISH MEADOW May21 Nov24 Sep17 Aug28 Jul24 (gonzal)ROJAS EDUARDO 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by IL POSTINO out of CHARLIES DREAM by DEPUTY WARLOCK)
4  PICKIN' TIME May21 Apr26 Aug28 Jul16 May15 (breen ke)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 3.00 8% 11.80    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of BORN TO ROYALTY by KING OF KINGS (IRE))
5  LIB'S CONTENTO Jun02 Oct21 Sep17 Aug08 Jul24 (huston k)MARIN SAMUEL 117 8.00    
  (by EL PADRINO out of SPEAK LIB by PRIVATE INTERVIEW)
6  LAST ROMANCE May21 Sep17 Aug28 Jul10 Jun11 (lynch cathal)RENDON JAIRO 117 4.00 8% 11.70    
  (by TAPITURE out of FAKE ROMANCE by NOT FOR LOVE)
7  IRISH BOOLUM Mar01 Jan15 Nov26 Oct27 Sep17 (lynch cathal)ARROYO S 116 6.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of IRISH SCORE by EVEN THE SCORE)
 
MTH-9   06/11/2023 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($57.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIZ BIZ BUZZ Feb19 Dec23 Nov05 Oct20 Sep12 (trombetta mi)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 2.50 62% 0.60    
SCR  SNEAKINESS May21 May13 Apr19 Mar15 Feb28 (flores-coba )ARROYO S 120 15.00    
3  TWO STEPPIN KLUKI Apr16 Mar12 Jan08 Nov26 Sep18 (pimental john )MARIN SAMUEL 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  TAPIO (IRE) May20 Mar04 Jun24     (stidham michae)CAMACHO SAMY 115 4.50 12% 7.10    
SCR  CHIEF ENGINEER May29 May21 Mar24 Feb25 Jan21 (cash j)TORRES JOMAR 120 20.00    
6  TRAINER PLEASE Jun02 May06 Nov20 Sep28 Aug23 (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 8.00    
7  TIZ A PRINCE May29 Dec16 Oct28 Sep14 Aug12 (margotta antho)MOYA F 120 5.00    
8  IKIGAI May19 Apr20 Mar04 Feb11 Jan14 (giangiuli)VARGAS A 120 3.00    
9  SOUPER ENERGIZER Apr02 Mar15 Feb26 Feb08 Jan25 (pantaleo josep)GOLIBRZUCH S 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
MTH-10   06/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BARFLY May28 Apr27 Sep24     (hills timoth)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 5.00    
2  FATIH Mar01 Feb10 Dec30     (breen ke)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 3.50 26% 2.90    
SCR  POLISH UP         (duarte jorge)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 3.50    
4  CRUISING DEREK Apr21 Apr12 Mar17 Feb24 Jan18 (mazza joseph)BATISTA A 118 4.00 31% 2.30    
5  CHICO CHARLIE Mar15         (o'connell kath)RENDON JAIRO 118 8.00    
6  WEST STAR May05 Apr16 Mar18 Mar03 Jan29 (swee)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  MR. PENNY PINCHER May21         (mcburney patri)LUZZI J 118 15.00    
8  WASABI BOY May14 Jul24 Jul02 May27   (falcone n)JUAREZ NIK 118 3.00 23% 3.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.