Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Thursday - May 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BTP-1   WIN (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/4)-(5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/4)-(5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/3/4)-(5/2)-(5/3/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-2   WIN (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/2)-(5/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (5/2)-(5/3/4)-(1/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
BTP-3   WIN (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/4)-(5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (5/3/4)-(1/5)-(4/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
BTP-4   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/5)-(1/5/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/5)-(1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    PK3 (1/5)-(4/2)-(7/1) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
BTP-5   WIN (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/2)-(4/2/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2)-(4/2/7/6)-(4/2/7/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/2)-(7/1)-(6/4/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
BTP-6   WIN (7/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/1)-(7/1/6/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/1)-(7/1/6/8)-(7/1/6/8) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/1)-(6/4/2)-(5/1/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
BTP-7   WIN (6/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/2)-(6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/2)-(5/1/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
BTP-8   WIN (5/1/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/4/2)-(5/1/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/4/2)-(5/1/4/2)-(5/1/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   05/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAINT SISTA Oct20 Sep05 Jul08 Jun03   (toye lin)ELLIOTT JANE 125 4.50    
2  FLAT OUT FAY Jan27 Dec30 Oct07     (blevins bill)ROMERO GREGORY 125 6.00    
3  ROLLESTON Feb24 Dec30 Dec15 Nov09 Sep28 (smith larry)OUZTS W 125 1.80 35% 1.90    
4  ONTOTHENEXT Apr25 Apr06 Mar18 Feb18 Jan26 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 119 3.50 7% 12.40    
5  HAPPYSECRET Feb09 Jan05 Dec07 Nov10 Oct12 (smith larry)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 2.50 37% 1.70    
 
BTP-2   05/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($12.7K) 3UP ALL PT-12:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KANTPAYTHETOLL Mar09 Feb09 Jan14 Dec16 Sep14 (delong ben)MARCANO Y 116 3.00    
2  SAG HARBOR Apr22 Apr01 Mar11 Feb08 Dec14 (delong ben)MAYTA J 121 4.00 15% 5.70    
SCR  BLUE SKY PAINTER Jun08 May21 May13 Apr18 Mar26 (mitchell je)JIMENEZ J 121 5.00    
4  SUGGESTED Mar18 Feb02 Jan18 Dec31 Dec08 (johnston rebe)CANUTO THIAGO 121 3.50    
5  DESOTO'S WAR Jan18 Dec22 Dec05 Nov17 Oct14 (wong jonathan)REYES R 121 1.80 43% 1.30    
 
BTP-3   05/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HESTON Mar30 Mar04 Jan20 Dec29 Dec07 (engler jeff)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 3.50    
2  LIMITED D'ORO Apr18 Dec28 Nov27 Nov14 Sep29 (pinzon maria)ROMERO GREGORY 117 4.50    
3  TOM'S LAST GENERAL Apr13 Mar30 Dec17 Nov25 Oct30 (hernandez ja)MARCANO Y 118 6.00 21% 3.70    
4  SENSE SHINES Apr18 Mar30 Mar04 Feb16 Jan11 (mcvickers lam)CANUTO THIAGO 123 5.00 18% 4.70    
5  P K WOOD Mar15 Jan26 Dec30 Oct31 Aug21 (ennis john)MCENTEE GRACE 123 4.00 31% 2.20    
6  DROP IT Apr18 Oct06 Sep27 Aug12 Jul19 (edwards willia)ELLIOTT JANE 123 2.50    
 
BTP-4   05/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHUTUPANDSHAKEIT Mar28 Feb22 Jun01     (reed r)FELIX E 121 1.80 43% 1.30    
2  MIND YOUR OWN Mar15 Jan28 Dec13 Nov30 Oct02 (hetrick kris)MAYTA J 121 8.00 ★    
SCR  RATTRAPANTE Apr27 Mar30 Sep23 Aug20 Aug08 (delong ben)MARCANO Y 116 6.00    
4  LOVELY LISA Mar07 Feb14 Jan19 Dec12 Nov10 (hern)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 121 4.50    
5  ABITIBI Apr12 Mar09 Feb23 Feb01 Jan05 (esquivel jesu)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 3.50 30% 2.30    
6  AWESOMELY SHY Mar15 Feb14 Jan09 Dec08 Oct26 (west m)OUZTS W 121 4.00    
 
BTP-5   05/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($16.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOOT RUB LOVE Apr23 Mar26 Mar05 Feb25 Dec02 (hernandez)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 121 8.00    
2  MAUREENLOVESFRANK Apr19 Apr05 Mar17 Mar04 Jan28 (haehn r)FELIX E 121 2.50 31% 2.30    
3  BELIEVING (IRE) Apr10 Mar17 Mar09 Feb09 Nov03 (smith larry)OUZTS W 123 3.50    
4  QUICKY DESIRE Mar09 Aug23 Jul13 Jun28 May16 (lobo h)MCKEE J 121 4.50 40% 1.50    
5  HABOBANERO Mar16 Feb08 Jan20 Oct07 Sep24 (esquivel jesu)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 5.00    
6  MY DARK SECRET Mar23 Feb25 Dec02 Nov21 Nov01 (grubbs )DE CRUZ 121 10.00 ★    
7  AFERDITA Mar28 Mar15 Feb20 Dec19 Nov09 (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 121 4.00 ★    
 
BTP-6   05/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24K) 3 F PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET SHILD O MINE Mar25 Feb18       (sharp joe)FELIX E 123 2.50 17% 5.00    
  (by MINESHAFT out of TO BE DETERMINED by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
2  WHYNAUGHTY         (reed r)MCKEE J 123 8.00    
  (by TENKOZ out of WOODYS NIGHT WATCH by MONDAVI)
3  TWILIGHT BEAUTY Apr10 Mar21       (salcedo ram)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 20.00    
  (by SHACKLEFORD out of MIDNIGHT BEAUTY by PROSPECTOR'S BID)
4  APPALACHIAN SPIRIT Apr10         (cline rober)CHIRINOS ROIMES 123 8.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of PRETTY MUCH MINE by HALF OURS)
5  OHIO LADY Apr12 Mar16 Mar08 Feb15 Jan16 (smith larry)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 5.00    
  (by PAYNTER out of IMPATIENT LADY by PLEASANT TAP)
6  COMPUTER WHIZ         (brafford miche)ELLIOTT JANE 123 4.50 ★    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of TIE by EVEN THE SCORE)
7  LA CORONA Aug01 Jul07       (hamm timo)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 123 3.50 56% 0.80    
  (by PAYNTER out of SPRING WATER by SPRING AT LAST)
8  PRONTO CHARLI Mar30 Mar08 Feb20 Jan16   (cline robert)TAPARA BRANDON 123 6.00 ★    
  (by PROTONICO out of INDIANISTA by INDIAN CHARLIE)
 
BTP-7   05/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOWN HOME KITTEN Mar24 Mar04 Feb04 Jan25 Dec28 (anderson )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 125 12.00    
2  FRANKIE BARONE Dec13 Nov08 Oct26 Sep19 Jul27 (west m)ACHARD ALEX 125 4.00 10% 8.80    
3  MIDNIGHT J J Apr25 Mar13 Feb09 Jan07 Nov17 (brownfield cl)JIMENEZ ALBIN 125 2.50    
4  CAPPY HOUR Mar24 Mar10 Feb09 Jan11 Dec22 (adams l)REYES R 125 3.50 13% 6.60    
SCR  ZONIC Apr14 Mar18 Dec02 Oct28 Oct13 (mardif james )MCENTEE GRACE 125 15.00    
6  LOOKS GOOD N A TUX Apr10 Mar22 Feb21 Feb02 Jan23 (cline robert)TAPARA BRANDON 125 5.00 42% 1.40    
7  LUCKYINKENTUCKY Mar09 Feb22 Dec01 Sep14 Aug22 (brafford c)MCKEE J 125 4.50    
 
BTP-8   05/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KNELCOCK Apr19 Mar18 Mar02 Feb08 Feb01 (quezada ino)JIMENEZ J 123 6.00 20% 4.00    
2  SCAPITURE Feb23 Jan13 Jul01     (wells duane)OUZTS W 123 3.50 5% 17.80    
3  LOTTA MOSCATO Apr10 Jan02 Nov27 Oct10 May27 (reed r)FELIX E 117 5.00    
4  WARIS Mar24 Feb22 Jan27 Jan06 Dec28 (beck rowena)ACHARD ALEX 123 4.00 11% 8.40    
5  BROOKLYNN'S DABOMB Mar11 Feb22 Jan25 Jan05 Nov18 (anderson susan )REYES FRANK 123 2.50 37% 1.70    
SCR  LA MAMA CHULA Mar13 Jan13 Nov30 Sep28 Sep18 (chapman james )REYES R 123 6.00    
7  CONCORDSDIFFERENCE Sep08 Aug30 Aug24 Aug12 Jul12 (jordan rick)BUSH V 123 20.00    
8  GRANADICA Feb20 Jan13 Dec21 Nov30 Oct31 (sandy s)MCKEE J 123 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.