Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Horseshoe Indianapolis
Wednesday - April 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
IND-1   WIN (4/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/7)-(4/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/7)-(4/5/7)-(4/5/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/7)-(2/5/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/5/7)-(2/5/7)-(1/4/6/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
IND-2   WIN (2/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/7)-(2/5/7/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/5/7)-(2/5/7/4)-(2/5/7/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/5/7)-(1/4/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/7)-(1/4/6/8)-(2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
IND-3   WIN (1/4/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/6/8)-(1/4/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/6/8)-(1/4/6/8)-(1/4/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/6/8)-(2/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/4/6/8)-(2/1)-(5/4/8/9) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
IND-4   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/1)-(2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (2/1)-(5/4/8/9) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/1)-(5/4/8/9)-(5/9/6/2/3) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
IND-5   WIN (5/4/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/8/9)-(5/4/8/9/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/4/8/9)-(5/4/8/9/3)-(5/4/8/9/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/4/8/9)-(5/9/6/2/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/4/8/9)-(5/9/6/2/3)-(3/5) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
IND-6   WIN (5/9/6/2/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/9/6/2/3)-(5/9/6/2/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/9/6/2/3)-(5/9/6/2/3)-(5/9/6/2/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/9/6/2/3)-(3/5) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (5/9/6/2/3)-(3/5)-(2/6) 20 $0.50 $10.00 
IND-7   WIN (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/5)-(3/5/7/11) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5)-(3/5/7/11)-(3/5/7/11) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (3/5)-(2/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (3/5)-(2/6)-(6/3) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
IND-8   WIN (2/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/6)-(2/6/7/10/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (2/6)-(2/6/7/10/4)-(2/6/7/10/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6)-(6/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
IND-9   WIN (6/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/3)-(6/3/8/2/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (6/3)-(6/3/8/2/5)-(6/3/8/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
IND-1   04/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($12.5K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FORGLO Mar11 Feb03 Jan14 Jan04 Dec17 (brownfi)DE CRUZ 122 20.00    
SCR  EVERYOTHERWON Mar10 Jan20 Dec15 Nov24 Oct27 (lauer mic)PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 10.00    
3  OCELIA Nov23 Nov01 Oct18 Oct05 Sep12 (haran john)PEREZ E 119 20.00    
4  MAUREENLOVESFRANK Apr05 Mar17 Mar04 Jan28 Jan10 (finucane richard)PRESCOTT R 122 4.50 40% 1.50    
5  RICHIES NOBLE GIRL Mar17 Mar04 Feb16 Jan25 Dec29 (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 6.00 10% 9.30    
SCR  SENSE YOU LEFT Feb09 Jan15 Aug29 Aug09 Jul11 (claire alexis)PARKER L 122 5.00 14% 6.40    
7  ARDIS Feb05 Jan06 Dec10 Nov26 Oct07 (eggleston)BERMUDEZ E 122 3.50 10% 9.50    
8  TELLER TO SING Mar24 Feb16 Jan19 Nov12 Oct26 (brownfield c)RAMOS D 122 2.00    
 
IND-2   04/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UTOPIAN TREASURE Feb22 Jan11 Dec22 Nov11   (calvo kel)BERMUDEZ E 120 20.00    
2  DOMHNALL Mar23 Feb15       (paquette raym)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 2.50 46% 1.20    
3  SMALL SAILOR Dec09 Nov11 Oct13 Sep26 Sep06 (garcia ge)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 20.00    
4  BARRY'S MUSIC Aug12         (davis chr)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 5.00 ★    
5  UNCAPTURED DREAM Mar31 Mar15 Feb26 Mar26 Mar05 (garcia genaro)SANJUR SANTO 124 1.60 21% 3.80    
6  VELOCIMO Mar17 Feb24 Jan11 Dec30 Nov27 (hiles j)DE CRUZ 120 8.00    
7  YOLO SANTIAGO Mar09 Jan28 Jan19 Dec08 Nov19 (razuri)BAILON JADHIR 124 12.00 6% 14.50    
8  FLOYD G Feb17 Dec30 Sep20 Sep06 Aug11 (sturgeon ro)PETERSON FERRIN 124 6.00    
 
IND-3   04/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOSSIER Nov22 Nov03 Oct24 Oct12 Oct04 (garcia genaro)BAYS BROOKE 109 2.50 33% 2.10    
2  CAN'T SAY ELLY MAE Nov16 Nov03 Oct04 Sep12 Aug08 (nance w)PRESCOTT R 119 15.00    
3  TOUR THE MOON Nov11 Oct26 Oct12 Aug29 Aug18 (duran antoni)RAMOS D 122 8.00    
4  BRENTSPENCE Jan07 Dec17 Nov23 Nov02 Oct18 (langemeie)BERMUDEZ E 122 1.60 22% 3.50    
5  SMILE LIKE KYLE Mar26 Mar05 Jan28 Nov17 Sep09 (pompell r)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 119 12.00    
6  MALIBU CLASSIC Nov03 Sep01 Aug15 Jun30 Jun07 (gorham m)PEREZ E 122 4.50 14% 6.20    
7  GO EARLY STAY LATE Nov22 Nov15 Oct26 Oct04 Sep12 (wisner )DE CRUZ 119 10.00    
8  TRAPPE THE GOLD Jan17 Jan07 Nov27 Oct27 Oct11 (sanchez j)SANJUR SANTO 122 20.00 11% 8.50    
 
IND-4   04/19/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZING Mar11 Feb12 Jan29 Jan16 Nov03 (claire alexis)PARKER L 122 3.50 7% 13.20    
2  FORTUNE BOUND Mar25 Feb15 Jan20 Dec21 Nov21 (sims phil)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 3.00 52% 0.90    
SCR  OPENING NIGHT Mar26 May04 Feb11     (cox bra)DE CRUZ 124 4.50 10% 8.60    
4  FREDERICIA Feb22 Jan05 Oct30 Aug28 Jul23 (klopp randy)LEAHEY HANNAH 115 12.00    
5  GRAY FROST Mar23 Feb02 Dec03 Nov02 Oct01 (garcia genaro)SANJUR SANTO 120 10.00    
6  BALLOT INITIATIVE Mar02 Feb01 Jul18 Jun30 Jun08 (klopp randy)FRANKLIN MALCOM 122 8.00 ★    
7  MIDNIGHT TANGO Feb25 Nov24 Nov06     (pitts hel)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 5.00    
8  JE SUIS RAPIDE Apr01 Feb25 Jan20 Dec21 Nov11 (king l)CANNON DECLAN 122 6.00    
 
IND-5   04/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILD FOX Mar30 Dec02 Nov18 Oct28 Oct14 (watkins m)MOJICA O 122 10.00    
2  IDEA MAN Sep13 Aug22 Jul06 May25 May12 (reid r)SANJUR SANTO 119 20.00    
3  HIGH TONE Feb21 Jan20 Dec29 Oct26 Oct13 (shirer a)ACHARD ALEX 122 3.50 ★    
4  VIOLENT GIGI Mar26 Mar09 Dec10 Nov27 Nov14 (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 2.50 15% 5.60    
5  POPULIST Mar24 Feb21 Dec31 Dec03 Nov18 (leonard i)PARKER L 122 4.50 36% 1.80    
SCR  FEELING IT Mar16 Jan18 Dec21 Dec08 Oct13 (sherman just)MARCANO Y 115 30.00    
7  TRIKITRAKI Mar24 Feb04 Jan07 Nov25 Sep02 (davis j)DE CRUZ 124 10.00    
8  MELTDOWN Nov16 Oct27 Sep29 Sep14 Aug15 (nance w)PRESCOTT R 119 6.00 14% 6.20    
9  TUFFER THAN TUFF Feb09 Feb03 Jan14 Nov21 Nov02 (hammond k)BERMUDEZ E 119 8.00 11% 7.80    
10  HIGHEST PRAISE Nov01 Oct11 Sep13 Sep01 Aug22 (haran john)MORALES JOSHUA 119 20.00    
 
IND-6   04/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GIFT WRAPPED Oct24 Oct04 Sep22 Sep01 Aug02 (mullins sco)BLANCHE RISHAWN 112 15.00    
2  SENTIMENTALJOURNEY Sep12 Aug29 Aug10 Jul18 Jul07 (hammond kim)PEREZ E 119 5.00 8% 12.30    
3  ECLIPSED Jan21 Jan12 Jan05 Dec16 Nov18 (garcia genaro)BAYS BROOKE 112 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  MEDWAY QUEEN Apr06 Feb28 Feb03 Jan13 Dec08 (silva h)MOJICA O 122 15.00    
5  JE SUIS BELLE Nov01 Sep01 Aug15 May31 May23 (mullins scot)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 2.50 28% 2.50    
6  WHERETHEMONEYWENT Apr02 Feb23 Feb02 Jan20 Nov21 (klopp randy)FRANKLIN MALCOM 122 3.50 16% 5.20    
7  SHANNON'S GIRL Mar18 Feb23 Feb02 Jan19 Dec11 (andrade hugo)MARCANO Y 115 20.00    
8  HOPPESTRY Mar26 Mar09 Feb01 Dec16 Nov20 (jones jef)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 119 12.00    
9  AZURITA Nov11 Oct25 Oct05 Sep07 Aug17 (haran john)MORALES JOSHUA 119 4.50 18% 4.50    
 
IND-7   04/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36K) 3 ALL PT- 5:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JACK THE BIRD         (andrade hugo)MARCANO Y 113 15.00    
  (by JACK MILTON out of BIRDGIRL by STRAVINSKY)
2  CARNACK ON TOUR Nov22 Nov09 Oct18 Oct10 Sep20 (douglass )BERMUDEZ E 120 20.00    
  (by CARNACKS CHOICE out of CARLY ON TOUR by TOUR D'OR)
3  RUN AWAY ROJO Sep27 Aug29       (stewart dallas)PARKER L 120 1.60 68% 0.50    
  (by RUN AWAY AND HIDE out of AUNT SHERRI by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
4  STARLITE RUN Nov09 Oct10 Aug29 Aug08 Jul09 (gorham m)PEREZ E 120 10.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of SHADES OF LIGHT by SOUVENIR COPY)
5  PAYNTER'S CANVAS Oct10 Sep27 Sep13 Aug17 Aug09 (lauer micha)FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 6.00 6% 15.80    
  (by PAYNTER out of MIZZEN MY MOMMA by MIZZEN MAST)
6  MY PAL GREG         (richardville tia)PRESCOTT R 120 15.00    
  (by PALACE out of UNBRIDLED BROOKE by UNBRIDLED SPRING)
7  BAD BOY GEIST         (garcia ge)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 12.00 ★    
  (by FLAT OUT out of EASY VICTORY by LOST VICTORY)
SCR  BIG STORMY         (dunn d)MOJICA O 120 20.00 ★    
  (by GET STORMY out of BLACK TULIP by ROCK HARD TEN)
9  BUCKLE UP Oct10 Sep20       (duran antonio)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 15.00    
  (by BUCCHERO out of SMART KIT by KITALPHA)
10  MAS ORO Nov22 Nov09 Oct18 Oct10 Sep27 (garcia ge)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 4.50    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of MY PEG by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
11  GRAY MIKE         (haran john)ANDERSON MCKENNA 113 20.00 ★    
  (by BIG BAD MIKE out of POSH RULER by ROAD RULER)
 
IND-8   04/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLOWERPECKER Nov22 Oct31 Oct05 Sep13 Aug18 (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 15.00    
2  SAMURAI PRINCE Mar18 Feb24 Jul01 May29 May05 (morey w)DE CRUZ 122 2.50 71% 0.40    
3  KEEPIN IT CLASSY Oct17 Sep22 Aug06 Jul13 May16 (eggleston)BERMUDEZ E 122 10.00    
4  STOP HAMMERTIME Nov23 Nov08 Oct31 Oct05 Sep14 (richardville)RAMOS D 119 10.00 ★    
SCR  BOCA BOY Apr06 Mar04 Jan14 Dec03 Nov02 (winebaugh ch)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 20.00    
6  FENESTRA Mar16 Feb24 Jan27 Dec30 Sep23 (garcia genaro)SANJUR SANTO 122 8.00 7% 13.70    
7  SOARING BIRD Mar10 Feb09 Jan01 Dec11 Nov13 (garcia ge)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 5.00 ★    
8  CAP DE FUEGO Nov22 Oct27 Oct04 Sep13 Jul07 (duran antonio)PARKER L 119 10.00    
9  LATIGO Oct05 Sep15 Aug24 Aug03 Jul09 (klopp randy)MOJICA O 119 12.00    
10  CLASSIC MAX Nov17 Nov08 Oct20 Oct06 Sep14 (richardville tia)PRESCOTT R 119 6.00 ★    
SCR  PALACE KITTEN Mar30 Feb18 Jan13 Dec22 Nov26 (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 122 20.00    
 
IND-9   04/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  YOUDEVILYOUCECILIA Apr06 Mar18 Jan06 Dec21 Nov09 (short thomas)WISEMAN ISAIAH 122 15.00    
2  HAPPY SAILS Mar26 Feb24 Feb09 Jan19 Nov18 (silva h)SANJUR SANTO 122 20.00 ★    
3  BOWS N LACE Apr08 Mar17 Feb24 Dec18 Dec04 (broberg k)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 4.50 38% 1.70    
4  SHADOW BELLE Feb01 Jan12 Nov11 Jul09 Apr02 (douglass )BERMUDEZ E 122 15.00    
5  DREAMING ALWAYS Mar18 Jan12 Dec07 Nov02 Sep22 (grubbs )DE CRUZ 118 8.00 ★    
6  KNELCOCK Mar18 Mar02 Feb08 Feb01 Dec22 (quezada inoc)TERRAZA GERMAN 115 2.50 38% 1.60    
7  JERSEY GOLD Mar18 Mar02 Feb01 Nov22 Nov01 (pittman bonn)MORALES JOSHUA 122 5.00    
8  MORNING ANGEL Feb01 Dec28 Dec01 Oct17 Sep22 (richardville)RAMOS D 122 3.50 ★    
9  BANNED FROM MIDWAY Apr05 Mar04 Sep19 Aug26 Jul21 (caramori eduar)LEZCANO ABEL 122 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.