Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fair Grounds
Thursday - March 23, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FG-1   WIN (4/7/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/3/2)-(4/7/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/3/2)-(4/7/3/2)-(4/7/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/3/2)-(4/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/7/3/2)-(4/8/6)-(5/4/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FG-2   WIN (4/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/8/6)-(4/8/6/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/6)-(4/8/6/1/7)-(4/8/6/1/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (4/8/6)-(5/4/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/8/6)-(5/4/7)-(10/8/6/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FG-3   WIN (5/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/7)-(5/4/7/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/4/7)-(5/4/7/2)-(5/4/7/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/4/7)-(10/8/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/7)-(10/8/6/7)-(7/1/4/10/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FG-4   WIN (10/8/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/8/6/7)-(10/8/6/7/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/8/6/7)-(10/8/6/7/1)-(10/8/6/7/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (10/8/6/7)-(7/1/4/10/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (10/8/6/7)-(7/1/4/10/2)-(2/5/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FG-5   WIN (7/1/4/10/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/1/4/10/2)-(7/1/4/10/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/1/4/10/2)-(7/1/4/10/2)-(7/1/4/10/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/1/4/10/2)-(2/5/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/1/4/10/2)-(2/5/6)-(2/7/9) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
FG-6   WIN (2/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/6)-(2/5/6/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/6)-(2/5/6/3/7)-(2/5/6/3/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/5/6)-(2/7/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/5/6)-(2/7/9)-(5/10/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
FG-7   WIN (2/7/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/9)-(2/7/9/3/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/9)-(2/7/9/3/10)-(2/7/9/3/10) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/7/9)-(5/10/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/7/9)-(5/10/2)-(7/2/8) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
FG-8   WIN (5/10/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/10/2)-(5/10/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/10/2)-(5/10/2)-(5/10/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/10/2)-(7/2/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/10/2)-(7/2/8)-(11/7/8/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FG-9   WIN (7/2/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/8)-(7/2/8/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/2/8)-(7/2/8/9)-(7/2/8/9) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/2/8)-(11/7/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FG-10   WIN (11/7/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (11/7/8/6)-(11/7/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (11/7/8/6)-(11/7/8/6)-(11/7/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FG-1   03/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUEEN'S MISSION Mar08 Jan22 Jan06 Nov20 Nov12 (lopez elias)BARRERA J 116 6.00    
2  BECCA'S BOUQUET Jan28 Dec19 Dec03 Oct29 Aug05 (turner patti)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 5.00 8% 11.50    
3  BIND ON EARTH Feb17 Feb01 Jan19 Apr15 Apr06 (west henry)RIVERA JOSEAN 118 8.00 11% 7.80    
4  MELODY ROSE Mar12 Dec16 Sep25 Aug13 Jul05 (mouton patric)VARGAS P 121 3.50 35% 1.80    
5  NEW YEAR'S PARTY Mar04 Feb09 Jan19 Dec29 Dec04 (mouton patri)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 3.00    
SCR  ACTION POTENTIAL Feb17 Nov19 Oct27 Sep24 Jul21 (brown i)STOKES A 121 5.00 ★    
7  IZEONPOINT Mar08 Feb20 Jan29 Jan06 Dec11 (barkley jaso)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 4.50 21% 3.80    
 
FG-2   03/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHIEFWEAVE Mar05 Feb11 Jan22 Jan06 Sep24 (wilson shane)VARGAS P 122 8.00 ★    
2  MAGNOLIA RIDGE Jan22 Jan01 Dec16 Nov25 Oct15 (schwandt em)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 20.00    
SCR  COTTONCLUB SOLDIER Feb18 Feb09 Jan21 Dec20 Nov17 (zenon shelto)BARRERA J 117 20.00    
4  ROYAL UNLIMITED Mar12 Feb16 Jan01 Jul22   (faucheux r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 125 3.50 45% 1.20    
SCR  LONE STAR MAX Mar02 Feb09 Jan20     (balderas )PEDROZA MARCELINO 114 5.00    
6  OURQUICKDRAWMCGRAW Mar05 Jan22 Dec16 Dec01 Sep24 (duhon joseph )MORALES EDGAR 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
7  REVERENT Mar05 Feb17 Jan22 Jan08 Dec16 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 122 6.00 ★    
8  WAR TROLLEY Mar08 Feb17 Jan22 Jan06 Nov27 (west g)GRAHAM J 122 3.00 21% 3.70    
9  OLE STUD MUFFIN Mar04 Feb24 Feb10 Jan08 Dec01 (ladner herman)MELANCON G 122 8.00    
 
FG-3   03/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE MISSING PIECE Feb26 Jan05 Nov25 Sep20 Aug07 (hargrave k)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 10.00    
2  WENDY WILECAT Feb26 Jan26 Dec18 Dec04 Oct20 (thomas lee)CULP BRIANNE 120 10.00 ★    
3  SUGAR STAR Jan21 Dec29 Dec15 Nov16 Oct29 (culotta ray)BARANDELA SOFIA 117 10.00    
4  SUNSHINE STAR Feb26 Jan14 Aug25 Jul27   (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 6.00 18% 4.50    
5  WHAT CAN I SAY Feb10 Dec22 Oct06 Aug06 Jul04 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 114 2.50 45% 1.20    
SCR  MYDEALOFTHEDAY Mar11 Jan26 Dec07 Oct29 Aug27 (constantine )BARRERA J 117 8.00 5% 17.40    
7  PAT HAND GIRL Feb26 Feb05 Dec04 Sep25 Aug16 (hargrave kenneth )SINGH R 122 8.00 8% 11.50    
8  SUMITUP Mar01 Feb04 Jan12 Dec18 Nov18 (dandridge )ALBERT S 117 3.00    
 
FG-4   03/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOTTEMINABIND Feb22 Feb10 Jan21 Dec21 Dec09 (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 125 5.00 ★    
2  CHARMING KAT Feb15 Jan25 Jan11 Nov11 Oct13 (senegal dalton)GREEN AUBRIE 125 10.00    
3  ZIPPITY ZOODA RED Mar10 Feb02       (dussette a)ALBERT S 112 30.00    
4  REINA ACES Mar10 Feb17 Feb03 Jan13 Dec16 (richards )HERNANDEZ J 117 6.00    
SCR  KEEP ON DREAMING Mar03 Nov18 Oct20 Aug02 Jul03 (journet albe)BARRERA J 120 30.00    
6  WHORL GIRL Feb24         (roberts roy)VARGAS P 117 8.00 10% 8.90    
7  HOT PATOOTIE Mar03 Feb20 Jan27 Dec29 Dec15 (ney john)BARANDELA SOFIA 120 4.50 6% 16.30    
8  BOSTON MILLIE Feb20 Feb05 May15 Apr16 Jan22 (schmidt denise)MURRAY M 125 4.00 24% 3.10    
9  SANGIOVESE Mar10 Feb17 Feb05 Jan01   (sauvan eric)MELANCON G 125 20.00    
10  MINT JULIUS Feb15 Feb02 Apr30     (landry ray)STOKES J 125 3.00 36% 1.80    
 
FG-5   03/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMMERCIAL FLASH Mar04 Jan16 Dec29 Dec04 Mar11 (hodges e)GRAHAM J 121 4.50 13% 6.40    
2  ROSE CROWN Feb17 Jan26 Nov09 Oct13 Jul30 (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 15.00 5% 17.60    
3  PRAYERS SAVED Feb17 Jan18 Dec10 Dec01 Nov11 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 121 15.00    
4  PEACEFUL VISION Mar02 Feb09 Jan19 Dec29 Sep13 (thomas lee)CULP BRIANNE 121 6.00 6% 15.80    
5  AMERICAN REBEL Jan16 Dec17 Nov16 Oct21 Aug11 (zenon shelto)BARRERA J 116 30.00    
6  A. K. A. GRAMS Mar02 Feb04 Jan19 Dec09 Sep06 (landry allen)GEROUX FLORENT 121 4.50    
7  FORTY NINE MODEL Apr20         (faucheux r)ALBERT S 116 3.00 46% 1.20    
8  POINT OF VICTORY Mar02 Feb20 Jan19 Dec29 Dec04 (alfortish sean)HEBERT J 121 8.00    
9  KASEN'S SISTER Mar02 Feb09 Jan16 Dec29 Nov09 (leblanc jean)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 15.00    
10  THEBOYZGALAXY Mar02 Feb09 Jan19 Dec29 Dec04 (dandridge c)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 4.00 6% 17.20    
 
FG-6   03/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($25K) 3 F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TATTERED HEART Mar03 Feb10 Jan15 Dec19 Dec02 (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 117 8.00    
2  MIDSUMMER SOIREE Jan20 Nov20 Oct30     (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 3.50 52% 0.90    
3  DE' ANS EIGHTY Feb25         (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 4.50 ★    
4  KISS ME ON OCONEE Dec29 Nov15 Oct24 Sep17 Aug14 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 119 3.50    
5  SHE'S JERSEY TUFF Feb25 Feb10 Jan28 Jan16 Dec31 (govea cesar)BARANDELA SOFIA 114 3.00 14% 6.20    
6  THE RAGE OF ART Mar03 Feb04       (alonzo howard)GREEN AUBRIE 119 6.00 7% 13.00    
7  MYSTIC STORM Feb10 Jan28 Oct14 Sep23   (robertson)PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 6.00 ★    
 
FG-7   03/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($51K) 3 ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ASTROLOGYSPROTEGE Mar10 Feb21 Feb01 Jan15 Dec30 (thompson kevin)GREEN AUBRIE 119 20.00    
2  COMANCHE WARRIOR Mar09 Nov19       (faucheux r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 2.00 42% 1.40    
3  CALICOCO Feb24 Feb05 Dec31 Dec10 Nov19 (wilson shane)PARKER L 119 5.00 ★    
4  LIFEASWEKNOWIT Mar08 Feb17 Dec17 Nov10 Oct08 (mouton pat)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 15.00    
5  ALL OF US Feb28 Jan27       (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 119 12.00    
6  SONO Feb24 Feb05 Jan15     (lovell michel)MORALES EDGAR 119 20.00    
7  LORDY LORDY Feb24 Jan20       (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 4.00 26% 2.90    
8  HOOSIER Feb24 Feb04 Dec23 Dec08 Dec01 (camejo m)LANERIE J 119 10.00    
9  CLEAR AS A BELE Feb24 Feb10       (dandridge )ALBERT S 114 6.00 6% 14.50    
10  RAP ARTIST Jul23         (gibson)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 8.00 ★    
 
FG-8   03/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($28K) 3 ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WOODYTHEBIDSPOTTER Feb18 Dec26       (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 4.00 20% 3.90    
2  KNOCK'EM OUT JERRY Feb23         (duhon o)MELANCON G 122 20.00 6% 15.90    
SCR  JULIA'S WARRIOR Mar02 Jan20 Nov27     (alfortish sean)HEBERT J 122 6.00    
SCR  GREEN BEANS Feb25 Jan07 Oct14 Sep16   (gabriel t)HERNANDEZ J 122 12.00    
5  FREE RAMBLING MAN         (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 3.50 26% 2.80    
6  BIG POPPER Oct01 Sep08       (sharp joe)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 12.00    
SCR  WAR RASCAL Feb23         (pomier chas)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 20.00 7% 13.00    
8  BLUEGRASS LUTE Feb10 Dec10 Nov13     (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 122 20.00    
9  MO MOVES Feb25 Jan20 Nov18 Jul12 Jun19 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 122 10.00    
10  OLE CRAZY BONE         (calhoun william )PARKER L 122 5.00 19% 4.30    
11  ODDSONTONY Feb25 Jan21 Dec26     (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 122 6.00    
SCR  ATTACHE         (desormeaux ke)COHEN DAVID 122 12.00    
 
FG-9   03/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($51K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PALACEIN Feb04 Dec14 Nov21 Oct22 Oct01 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 15.00    
2  CARSON'S PRINCESS Jan15 Dec09 Sep25 Jul18 Jun12 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 12.00 17% 5.00    
SCR  CARNELIAN Feb04 Jan16 Jul20 Feb19   (stidham mic)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 3.50 17% 4.90    
4  CAVE CREEK Mar12 Feb23 Feb11 Jan27 Jan13 (dussette a)ALBERT S 115 15.00    
5  LOVE OF MY LIFE Feb05 Dec14 Nov17 Oct21 Sep16 (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 4.00    
6  MA CHERIE Mar03 Jan05 Dec15 Oct29 Mar17 (cohn g)CULP BRIANNE 120 12.00    
7  BEAUXS ARTES Feb16 Apr28 Mar27     (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 122 4.50 35% 1.90    
8  TOTAL MALICE Mar08 Feb09 Dec11 Nov18 Oct13 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 120 8.00 8% 11.90    
9  DANCE IT Jan21 Jan01 Jun26 May27 Mar31 (asmussen ste)GEROUX FLORENT 120 3.00 ★    
 
FG-10   03/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  STRUMMIN MARY         (ney john)BARANDELA SOFIA 112 15.00 ★    
2  TALENTS HOT DEAL Feb24 Jan14 Dec20 Oct27 Oct13 (gelner scott)BARRERA J 120 5.00    
3  SADIE'S PORT Feb12 Jan14 Dec15 Aug27 Aug06 (ladner chad)CULP BRIANNE 125 12.00    
4  SWEET LITTLE ROSE Mar10 Feb26       (hodges james)NIEVES EMANUEL 125 12.00    
5  SILK NOT SATIN         (williams kevi)VARGAS P 117 12.00    
6  CUSTOMIZED TWIN Feb26         (calhoun william )MURRAY M 117 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  PRISSY JADEN Mar23 Feb26 Jan13     (wilson shane)PARKER L 125 3.50 12% 7.20    
8  ZIPPING MOLLY Mar03 Feb17 Jan27 Jan13   (ducoing s)HERNANDEZ J 117 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PINCHING PENNIES Jan26         (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 117 20.00    
10  PENNIE'S MAGIC Feb23 Feb01 Jan21 Jan07 Dec19 (melanc)GUERRERO ANDRES 125 15.00    
11  CALLING Mar12 Feb18 Jan27 Dec29   (stall albe)HERNANDEZ J 117 3.00 52% 0.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.