Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fair Grounds
Wednesday - March 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FG-1   WIN (7/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/5)-(7/2/5/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/5)-(7/2/5/6/8)-(7/2/5/6/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (7/2/5)-(6/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/2/5)-(6/1/2)-(7/5/1/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FG-2   WIN (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/2)-(6/1/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/1/2)-(6/1/2/3)-(6/1/2/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/1/2)-(7/5/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/1/2)-(7/5/1/6)-(5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FG-3   WIN (7/5/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/1/6)-(7/5/1/6/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/5/1/6)-(7/5/1/6/2)-(7/5/1/6/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/5/1/6)-(5/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (7/5/1/6)-(5/3)-(3/6/1/12) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
FG-4   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/3)-(5/3/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3)-(5/3/1/6)-(5/3/1/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (5/3)-(3/6/1/12) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/3)-(3/6/1/12)-(7/6/2/8) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
FG-5   WIN (3/6/1/12) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/1/12)-(3/6/1/12) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/1/12)-(3/6/1/12)-(3/6/1/12) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/1/12)-(7/6/2/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/6/1/12)-(7/6/2/8)-(5/1/7/11) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
FG-6   WIN (7/6/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/2/8)-(7/6/2/8/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/6/2/8)-(7/6/2/8/5)-(7/6/2/8/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/6/2/8)-(5/1/7/11) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/6/2/8)-(5/1/7/11)-(4/1/8/3) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
FG-7   WIN (5/1/7/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/7/11)-(5/1/7/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/7/11)-(5/1/7/11)-(5/1/7/11) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/7/11)-(4/1/8/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/1/7/11)-(4/1/8/3)-(12/1/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FG-8   WIN (4/1/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/8/3)-(4/1/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/8/3)-(4/1/8/3)-(4/1/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/8/3)-(12/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FG-9   WIN (12/1/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (12/1/8)-(12/1/8/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (12/1/8)-(12/1/8/5/4)-(12/1/8/5/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FG-1   03/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MRS. NECAISE Feb12 Jan14 Dec29 Dec08 Nov26 (ladner herma)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 6.00    
2  ASHLEY'S GIRL Feb02 Jan14 Dec29 Dec02 Nov18 (zenon shelto)BARRERA J 117 4.00 11% 8.10    
3  MO DIXIE DIVA Feb23 Jan20 Jan06 Nov17 Nov03 (melancon d)ALBERT S 122 20.00    
4  KATIE'S C Feb02 Jan06 Nov18 Oct27 Aug27 (mojica e)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 6.00    
5  PARAMOUR Feb02 Dec31 Nov27 Sep17   (jeanson)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 114 4.50 5% 19.00    
6  B B GUN BULLSEYE Feb23 Feb02 Jan14 Dec15 Sep25 (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 5.00 ★    
7  JANISTHEBEAUTY Jul27 Mar23 Feb18     (faucheux )PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 3.50 61% 0.60    
8  TENPINS TEMPEST Feb28 Jan28 Jan14 Jan05 Nov09 (thomas lee)CULP BRIANNE 122 6.00 ★    
 
FG-2   03/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDUSTER Feb11         (landry ray)STOKES J 125 2.50 21% 3.80    
2  TAPISTAR         (calhoun william )MURRAY M 125 3.00 15% 5.50    
3  PREMIUM Feb03 Oct27 Sep24 Aug19   (husak j)VARGAS P 117 10.00 ★    
SCR  ROULETTE         (johnson )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 125 3.50 ★    
5  JUSTFORSPEIGHTOFIT Feb20 Feb02 Jan08 Apr22 Mar19 (rubley kel)MURRILL MITCHELL 125 4.50    
6  BOXSTER Feb20 Jan19 Jan07 Nov13 Oct02 (silva car)PEDROZA MARCELINO 117 4.00 39% 1.50    
 
FG-3   03/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANYOTHERQUESTIONS Jan01 Sep24 Sep05 Jul09 Jun18 (duhon o)GRAHAM J 121 8.00 19% 4.20    
2  DUKE OF BLUE RIDGE Feb23 Jan28 Jan08 Dec02 Nov02 (scherer er)ALBERT S 116 3.50 ★    
3  JEFFROW Mar03 Jan11 Dec17 Nov30 Nov04 (brinkman bre)BARRERA J 116 6.00    
4  QUARTER RAT Jan28 Jan08 Dec01 Nov16 Aug24 (delahoussaye g)GREEN AUBRIE 121 6.00    
5  MONARCH'S MISCHIEF Feb10 Dec29 Nov17 Oct26 Oct06 (turner patti)HERNANDEZ V 121 4.00 22% 3.60    
6  MR ELVIN Feb23 Jan27 Jan08 Dec01 Oct26 (broberg k)HERNANDEZ J 121 6.00 11% 8.20    
7  BATTLE OF WILL Feb02 Jan12 Dec19 Nov19 Sep05 (wilson shane)PARKER L 121 2.50 23% 3.30    
 
FG-4   03/15/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FATHER RED Feb17 Jun04 Apr09     (stidham m)HERNANDEZ J 125 2.50 ★    
2  CLASSIC RUNNER Feb25 Dec02 Nov18 Oct20 Mar19 (larrosa a)GREEN AUBRIE 125 10.00    
3  SPINSTRAWINTO GOLD Feb20 Jan29 Jan13     (scherer t)CULP BRIANNE 125 8.00 7% 13.30    
SCR  G'S MILLION Jan14 Dec19       (west g)PARKER L 125 4.00    
5  MIDNIGHT OIL Feb11 Jan19 Dec19 Oct21 Sep10 (landry ray)STOKES J 125 4.00 42% 1.40    
6  LET'S GO RANDOM Feb24 Feb03 Jan07 Dec23 Nov19 (richards corale)LANERIE J 117 12.00 ★    
7  ICE AXE Mar01 Jan13 Jan01 Dec19 Dec09 (dorochenko gen)CHAVEZ ORIEL 125 15.00    
SCR  BELLA'S GATSBY Jan19 Dec19 Nov22 Sep18 Jul23 (gomez rafael)BARRERA J 117 4.00 27% 2.70    
 
FG-5   03/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KNOCKALITTLELOUDER Mar03 Feb02 Jan01 Dec19 Dec03 (ney john)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 8.00 12% 7.20    
2  MUCHO MARVIN Mar01 Feb04 Jan20 Dec27 Nov16 (courville ricky)LANERIE J 121 8.00    
3  BORN AGAIN GEORGE Feb04 Dec30 Dec18 Dec09 Nov18 (bourgeois ke)BARRERA J 116 4.00 25% 2.90    
SCR  HEARTTHROB HALO Mar02 Jan22 Jan06 Dec16 Nov25 (jeansonne justin)PARKER L 124 4.50 8% 11.90    
5  LOVEU AND PROUDOFU Feb16 Jan12 Dec19 Dec02 Aug12 (richards cor)CARROLL DECLAN 121 30.00    
6  RECKLESS RANSOM Feb02 Jan15 Dec10 Aug29 Aug02 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 3.50 22% 3.50    
7  MR. PRIORITY Mar04 Feb21 Jan12 Dec19 Dec09 (husak gary )GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 12.00    
8  CRUSADER EXPRESS Feb10 Jan29 Jan12 Dec23 Dec03 (landry jacob)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 12.00    
SCR  SR. CLARKY Nov23 Oct29 Jul28 Jul07 Jun15 (leblanc john )VARGAS P 121 30.00    
10  MR. NASTY TIME Feb02 Aug20 Jul23 Apr29 Mar03 (zenon charles)MURRAY M 121 30.00    
11  LT. BONURA Feb02 Jan12 Dec19 Jul24 Jun11 (faucheu)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 8.00    
12  FLASHY BREW Mar01 Feb04 Dec23 Nov18 Mar24 (camejo jos)ALBERT S 116 8.00 10% 9.00    
 
FG-6   03/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($51K) 3 F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DON'TCALLMEPATSY Feb04 Dec10 Nov18 Sep04   (wilson shane)PARKER L 119 15.00    
2  COOL HOT CHIC Feb18 Dec16 Nov22     (landry ray)STOKES J 119 3.50 11% 8.30    
3  HOPEITSMYLUCKYDAY Feb25 Feb04 Dec31 Dec09 Nov18 (hodges james)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 10.00    
4  PRAY FOR US Feb03 Jan13 Dec29 Dec09   (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 20.00    
5  A RUNNIN AFLEET Feb04 Dec22 Nov02     (schwandt e)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 4.00 ★    
6  SHES A LUCKY REBEL Feb18 Jan21 Dec31 Dec09 Nov18 (wilson shane)GEROUX FLORENT 122 3.50 16% 5.30    
7  MICHELLES LIL STAR Feb04 Dec29 Nov18     (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 2.50 39% 1.60    
8  BANDIT'S PRIDE Feb23 Oct15       (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 119 8.00 9% 10.50    
 
FG-7   03/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($53K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TINCANDANCE Feb24 Feb04 Nov02 Oct13 Jul03 (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 8.00 20% 4.00    
2  COURTLY DOC Feb11 Jan25 Dec29 Dec09 Nov04 (nelson r)GREEN AUBRIE 121 10.00    
3  GATOR PROUD Feb17 Jan28 Jan01 Dec09 Nov04 (boxie jose)ALBERT S 116 20.00    
SCR  VISIONOFWILDTIMES Feb17 Jan22 Dec01 Aug20 Aug06 (wilson shane)GEROUX FLORENT 121 12.00    
5  MEDLEY Feb17 Jan28 Dec31 Dec03 Nov18 (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 121 4.50 25% 3.00    
6  OUR LITTLE GIRL Feb17 Feb04 Dec29 Dec16 Nov22 (mojica edith)BARRERA J 116 12.00    
7  VALE MALE Feb17 Jan22 Dec31 Dec03 Oct13 (hodges james)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 4.50 15% 5.50    
8  SHE'S GONE D'WILD Feb20 Jan16 Dec10 Nov18 Oct07 (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 121 8.00    
SCR  SPEEDY DUDETTE Feb26 Jan29 Jan01 May29 Mar04 (duhon josep)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  EILEEN ALEXANDRA Feb24 Feb04 Dec29 Dec09 Nov26 (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 121 10.00    
11  WHOLELOTTAMO Mar04 Jan28 Jan01 Dec10 Nov18 (gelner ja)HERNANDEZ J 121 3.50 13% 6.70    
 
FG-8   03/15/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($51K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AIN'T BROKE Feb16 Dec22 Nov27 Oct15 Mar09 (calhoun william)LANERIE J 120 3.00 21% 3.80    
2  MY ALIBI Sep25 Aug28 Aug08 Jul18 Jun26 (duhon joseph )VARGAS P 120 15.00    
3  PRECURSORY Feb23 Oct14 Aug25 Jul04 Jun09 (tomlinson)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.50 9% 10.30    
4  HEARTYCONSTITUTION Jul02 Jun03 Apr02 Feb26 Jan23 (sharp joe)GRAHAM J 120 4.00 27% 2.70    
5  CHATON ROUGE Feb20 Jan13 Dec10 Nov25 Oct27 (schmidt deni)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 10.00    
6  LIVY B Feb16 Jan19 Oct14 Jul24 Jul13 (leonard i)PARKER L 120 10.00    
7  NOW YUS CANT LEAVE May15 Mar12 Feb12 Jan15   (rubley kel)HERNANDEZ J 120 5.00    
8  MONEY WELL SPENT Nov25 Sep10 Jul20 Jun24 Mar20 (ducoing)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 117 6.00 19% 4.30    
SCR  COLONEL ABY B Nov08 Oct13 Aug29 Aug06 Jun30 (williamson brian)RIQUELME J 120 6.00    
SCR  SWIZZLECITY Jan29 Dec03 Sep10 Aug08 Jun26 (wilson shane)MELANCON G 120 12.00    
SCR  SENSE YOU LEFT Feb09 Jan15 Aug29 Aug09 Jul11 (claire ale)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00 ★    
SCR  MARINA'S GOLD Feb12 Dec22 Dec03 Oct24 Sep30 (austin a)CULP BRIANNE 120 8.00    
SCR  CECILITA Feb16 May28 Apr28 Mar12 Jan15 (rubley kel)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 6.00    
 
FG-9   03/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMOOTH COLLIERY Feb25 Feb16 Jan05 Nov03 Oct20 (larrosa a)GREEN AUBRIE 121 6.00 24% 3.10    
2  FULL POWER Feb23 Jan14 Dec30 Dec07 Nov10 (derousselle p)VARGAS P 124 20.00    
3  QUEST FOR AVETTE Feb21 Jan12 Dec19 Mar20 Mar03 (ney john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 8.00    
4  C'MON VE Mar02 Feb16 Jan29 Jan12 Jan01 (landry jacoby)RIQUELME J 121 12.00 ★    
5  GRACIDA Feb17 Feb02 Jan12 Dec28 Dec03 (broberg kar)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 4.50 ★    
6  ZONG TOUGH Jan01 Sep26 Sep17 Aug07 Jul10 (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 20.00    
7  BUNKIE'S SONG Feb16 Feb02 Jan04 Dec10 Oct29 (landry ray)STOKES J 121 12.00    
8  SCHNELL Feb16 Dec15 Nov24 Oct08 Sep05 (faucheu)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 3.50 16% 5.20    
9  CHIMNEY ROCK Jan27 Jan04 Nov23 Sep20 Jul20 (ducoing s)HERNANDEZ J 121 8.00    
10  PAT ME DOWN Feb21 Feb09 Jan27 Jan14 Dec30 (west henry)MELANCON G 121 30.00    
11  NOSY BANKER Feb21 Feb02 Jan01 Dec02 Nov19 (richards co)BARANDELA SOFIA 116 8.00    
12  TACTICAL PRIORITY Jul19 Jun02       (thomas lee)CULP BRIANNE 121 6.00 32% 2.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.