Handicappers' Racing Form

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Charles Town
Thursday - March 02, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CT-1   Win (4/2/6/3/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CT-2   Win (7/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CT-3   Win (5/6/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CT-4   Win (6/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CT-5   Win (3/9/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CT-6   Win (8) 1 $2.00 $2.00
CT-7   Win (3/1/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CT-8   Win (10/1/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
CT-1   03/02/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($9.7K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UPSY DAISY DO Jan13 Dec03 Nov18 Nov12 Oct22 (aylor william )MARRERO CARLOS 122 15.00    
TINA'S SONG Feb16 Jan20 Dec03 Oct19 Sep28 (aylor willi)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 8.00 19% 4.30    
FONDA ROMANA Jan13 Oct22 Sep10 Sep01 Jul30 (hummer a)PELTROCHE F 122 10.00 7% 12.70    
CALL ME JELLY ROLL Jan16 Dec02 Oct14 Sep21 Sep07 (dunham g)HO WESLEY 122 1.20 37% 1.70    
CREEDIBILITY Feb06 Jan11 Dec20 Nov30 Nov15 (lane j)ADAMS L 115 1.40    
MOONLIGHT MISS Dec03 Nov09 Oct19 Oct01 Sep10 (shanley timothy)BAEZ M 115 12.00 8% 11.50    
UNEXPECTEDLY Jan07 Dec10 Feb04 Jan15   (rangel ricardo)LOPEZ DERECK 112 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-2   03/02/2023 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($21.2K) 3 ALL PT- 7:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DANNY'S WINKSTER Feb11 Feb01 Jan11 Dec03 Nov04 (mancilla carlo)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 2.50 5% 19.00    
BUY HERE PAY HERE Feb08 Jan14       (farrior anth)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 6.00    
TAKE AIM Feb18 Feb01 Dec09 Nov25 Oct27 (jones michael)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.00 22% 3.60    
SCREAMING JEREMY Feb14         (poole c)THORPE DARIUS 122 10.00    
SCR  CAJUN FUN Feb20 Feb10       (allard t)CRUZ ANGEL 118 4.50    
BODYSLAM Feb18 Feb01 Dec09 Nov25   (pickett g)BOCACHICA O 122 6.00    
BUSTINUPISHARDTODO Feb11         (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 122 3.50 45% 1.20    
 
CT-3   03/02/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMERICAN ROCKY Jan21 Nov16 Oct25 Oct14 Sep17 (hillegass alexa)THORPE DARIUS 122 20.00    
STAVANGER Feb10 Jan19 Dec17 Oct26 Oct15 (farrior anth)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 4.50    
DAKOTA BOY Feb10 Nov23 Nov11 Oct15 Sep05 (reggetts step)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
LIL TOUGHMAN Feb10 Jan19 Jan07 Dec15 Nov30 (johnson r)ARAUJO DENIS 124 2.50    
TYRY TYRANNOSAURUS Feb16 Feb02 Jan13 Dec16 Dec02 (pennella m)ADAMS L 117 4.00 43% 1.30    
HERETODAYGONMANANA Feb16 Jan07 Dec03 Nov03 Sep30 (kirlew lenwort)MARRERO CARLOS 119 5.00 15% 5.80    
LIGHTNING LAD Feb09 Jan26 Nov26 Oct29 Oct13 (milosevic milan)HO WESLEY 124 3.00 10% 9.10    
DOMINANT FACTOR Feb09 Jan20 Dec14 Oct04 Sep21 (hillegass alexand)BOCACHICA O 124 15.00    
 
CT-4   03/02/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.9K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRUE HEIRESS Feb10 Jan18 Dec16 Nov04 Oct12 (gazzier kri)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 6.00 14% 6.40    
CAPTAIN SAM Feb09 Jan13 Dec14 Nov23 Nov02 (patterson kevin)THORPE DARIUS 122 3.00 17% 4.80    
CLEARLY VISIBLE Feb11 Jan21 Dec16 Nov02 Oct12 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 6.00    
SCARLET TANAGER Feb10 Jan20 Nov23 Nov10 Oct12 (spriggs toschi)LEWIS M 117 12.00    
MS HEADLEY Feb10 Jan18 Dec14 Nov23 Nov10 (pickett g)BAEZ M 117 5.00    
DEEMED ESSENTIAL Feb11 Jan28 Nov23 Sep28 Sep03 (farrior anth)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 3.50 39% 1.60    
GARY DOING BIZ Nov10 Sep28 Sep02 Jul23 Jul02 (walters l)PELTROCHE F 124 4.50    
FORTES Feb17 Jan27 Jan14 Jan06 Nov24 (serey jr)ARAUJO DENIS 126 12.00    
 
CT-5   03/02/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ORANGEBURG Jan27 Jan12 Nov23 Nov16 Oct29 (meehan elizabe)WHITACRE GRANT 122 5.00    
MIO GRACELAND Feb15 Jan12 Dec16 Nov26 Oct22 (sanderson s)RODRIGUEZ V 124 12.00 12% 7.30    
FELICIAS CASTLE Jan27 Nov30 Nov10 Oct22 Sep21 (pennella m)BAEZ M 117 4.00 52% 0.90    
YDOUHAVETOBESOMEAN Feb23 Jan12 Dec10 Nov30 Nov18 (atkins michae)RAMGEET R 122 15.00    
S S ALASKAN CRUZ Jan27 Dec10 Nov30 Nov10 Oct12 (lucas anthony)BOCACHICA O 124 3.50    
BERNIE THE GAMBLER Dec10 Nov18 Nov09 Oct19 Sep28 (jones michael)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 12.00    
WINDSOR'S TRACKER Feb15 Dec10 Nov26 Sep09 Jul02 (brown ro)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 3.00    
MADDEYE MOODY Jan27 Dec10       (carson laura)THORPE DARIUS 122 15.00    
JEFFERSON SECURITY Jan11 Sep24 Sep03 Aug13   (grams timot)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 5.00 12% 7.20    
 
CT-6   03/02/2023 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:21
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BANK CARD Feb22 Feb02 Jan11 Dec15 Nov24 (pickett cryst)RAMGEET R 126 6.00 6% 15.40    
JACKYSINTHECASTLE Feb24 Feb08 Jan18 Dec15 Sep17 (petty kristy)THORPE DARIUS 118 12.00    
BOWMANS LAZY GIRL Feb22 Nov30 Nov09 Oct13 Sep22 (bowman d)LEWIS M 117 20.00    
ONLY ROMANCE Feb11 Jan26       (perez ernesto)RODRIGUEZ V 118 15.00    
SHOWTHEMONEYHONEY Feb04 Jan21 Jan06 Dec02   (petty kristy)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 12.00    
KEY TO THE CASTLE Nov30 Nov09 Oct20 Sep28 Sep07 (espinosa victor )ARAUJO DENIS 124 8.00    
SCR  VAN HOOK Jan26 Jan06 Nov19 Oct13 Sep23 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 118 1.60 61% 0.60    
IMINCHARGENOW Feb02 Jan11 Dec17 Nov17 Sep16 (schottro)LOPEZ EDUARDO 126 4.50 6% 16.40    
AWESOME MOON Feb11 Feb04 Jan21 Jan06 Nov04 (jones michael)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 4.00    
 
CT-7   03/02/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:49
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NAVY SWORD Feb09 Jan19 Nov05 Oct08 Sep07 (runco c)LEWIS M 119 1.40 24% 3.20    
TIZBIT Feb01 Jan19 Dec03 Nov25 Nov05 (gillespie ryan )SIMPSON JASON 126 30.00 6% 15.10    
SOMEDAY IS TODAY Feb09 Jan19 Dec03 Nov05 Oct22 (farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 126 1.60 39% 1.60    
SIRJUS DREAM Feb09 Dec12 Nov30 Oct20 Sep25 (stephen anthony)ACOSTA D 122 3.50    
VILLAREGGIA Feb20 Jan29 Dec18 Dec02 Nov24 (libertini jaso)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 15.00 10% 8.70    
LACE REVOLUTION Feb09 Jan19 Nov25 Nov04 Oct14 (shanley )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 12.00    
SCR  JILL BABE Sep04 Aug09 Jul18 May06   (stephen anthony)HO WESLEY 122 15.00    
 
CT-8   03/02/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAKE THE WAY CLEAR Feb09 Jan26 Jan04 Dec03 Nov11 (pickett crys)ALMODOVAR GERALD 124 6.00 20% 4.10    
REVERE NOTE Jan14 Oct09 Sep08 Aug24 Jul22 (carlisle c)RIVERA JAVIER 118 15.00    
JOHNNY SWISH Feb10 Jan21 Dec15 Nov19 Oct20 (knoblauch-perez m)BOCACHICA O 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
BELMULLET Feb10 Jan21 Dec09 Nov17 Oct21 (runco c)LOPEZ DERECK 114 20.00 5% 19.00    
BET ON BITZ Feb09 Jan20 Dec03 Nov19 Oct27 (pickett cryst)RAMGEET R 124 4.50    
OLD FORTY FIVE Feb21 Feb06 Jan11 Dec13 Nov30 (poole c)THORPE DARIUS 124 6.00    
SCR  DR RAGS Jan13 Dec30 Dec04 Nov14 Oct21 (walters henr)RIVERA R 117 5.00    
MONEYFORNOTHING Jan11 Nov17 Oct06     (farrior anth)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 15.00    
SCR  GORUN Feb09 Jan20 Dec17 Nov26 Oct15 (lane j)CULLUM W 124 12.00 11% 7.80    
10  HAPPY CHARLIE Jan06 Dec22 Dec09 Mar10 Feb24 (viands stacey )MARRERO CARLOS 124 1.80 33% 2.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.