Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Thursday - February 09, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-2   WIN (6/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/3)-(6/1/3/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/3)-(6/1/3/2/4)-(6/1/3/2/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (6/1/3)-(2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/1/3)-(2/1)-(8/2/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TUP-3   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1/3/7/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (2/1)-(2/1/3/7/6)-(2/1/3/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1)-(8/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/1)-(8/2/7)-(7/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
TUP-4   WIN (8/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/2/7)-(8/2/7/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/7)-(8/2/7/6/5)-(8/2/7/6/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (8/2/7)-(7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (8/2/7)-(7/4)-(6/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
TUP-5   WIN (7/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/4)-(7/4/6/3/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (7/4)-(7/4/6/3/1)-(7/4/6/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4)-(6/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (7/4)-(6/1)-(2/1) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
TUP-6   WIN (6/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/1)-(6/1/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1)-(6/1/3/5)-(6/1/3/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (6/1)-(2/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (6/1)-(2/1)-(8/9/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
TUP-7   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1)-(2/1/3/7)-(2/1/3/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (2/1)-(8/9/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
TUP-8   WIN (8/9/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/9/1)-(8/9/1/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/9/1)-(8/9/1/7/6)-(8/9/1/7/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-2   02/09/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHOTGUN RIDER Jan31 Jan18 Jan04 Dec20 Nov28 (evans justin)VALDES ALEXIS 124 2.50 28% 2.50    
2  SPIRE Jan25 Jan12 Dec20 Oct28 Oct14 (rycroft rile)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 6.00 ★    
3  BIG BARREL Jan10         (mcfarlane l)LEON A 124 5.00 17% 4.90    
4  NEW EAGLE Jan23 Dec11 Nov24 Nov13 Oct21 (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 124 4.00 ★    
5  CALIBOGEE Dec26 Nov28 Sep12 Aug08 Jul16 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 6.00    
6  DYNAMIC RULER Jan18 Nov07 Oct23 Jul30 Jun30 (woolley ben)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.50 30% 2.40    
7  ROBS LUCKY SPIRIT Jan12 Dec15 Sep17 Aug21 Aug05 (garcia valenti)ANAYA V 124 10.00    
 
TUP-3   02/09/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WAY TO FIRE Jan19 Jan02 Dec21 Dec01 Nov21 (silva jose )WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 4.00 10% 9.40    
2  REIGN OF FIRE Jan31 Jan19 Jan03 Dec26 Nov14 (si)DA FAUSTO 124 3.00 65% 0.50    
3  BOUNTY OF GOLD Jun11 May19 May07 Apr20 Apr08 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 2.50 ★    
4  IMA TROUBLE MAKER Jan02 Dec17 Nov14 Sep04 Aug13 (eikleberry k)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 8.00    
5  MADIGAN SQUEEZE Nov14 Sep17 Sep03 Apr08 Apr01 (wolf ashlee)DEONAUTH P 124 12.00    
6  AMAAZA Feb01 Jan23 Jan04 Nov24 Oct30 (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.50 ★    
7  RAGING LADY Feb01 Jan11 Jan02     (torres-casas je)CRUZ M 124 10.00 ★    
 
TUP-4   02/09/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOTHEMOONANDBACK Jan23 Jan11 Jan02 Dec17 Nov19 (lavanway day)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 6.00    
2  MULLIGAN Jan19 Dec26 Sep10 Aug22 Aug01 (villamar candel)LEON A 124 10.00 14% 6.30    
3  WRIGHT WINGED Jan02 Dec17 Nov14 Sep10 Aug08 (gutierrez)VALENZUELA A 124 8.00    
4  BIG BLUE NOTE Jan18 Jan04 Dec21 Nov19 Sep03 (woolley ben)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.00    
5  DODROPIN Jun24 Jun17 Jun04 May15 May03 (toye joe)ANAYA V 124 10.00 ★    
6  APPOINTED STAR Jan19 Dec17 Nov19 Nov07 Sep11 (potts ashle)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 5.00 ★    
7  MAYBEE A DIVA Nov28 Sep04 Aug22 Aug01 Jul18 (williams dew)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 8.00 11% 8.10    
8  MADISON'S QUARTERS Jan19 Nov28 Nov05 Sep19 Sep03 (diodoro rober)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 2.00 48% 1.10    
 
TUP-5   02/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEW EVERY MORNING Jan26 Jan18 Jan04 Dec19 Nov29 (villamar ca)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00 ★    
2  WARFRONT FIGHTER Jan10 Dec27 Dec13 Nov05 Sep17 (baze lisa)ANAYA V 124 10.00    
3  GO ADMIRAL GO Jan30 Dec13 Nov28 Sep24 Aug01 (silva juan )WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 6.00 ★    
4  PARLEY STREET Jan30 Jan10 Dec20 Nov15 Nov04 (ferguson cur)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 3.50 13% 6.60    
5  TEXAS LONHRO Nov19 Oct28 Oct14 Sep23 Sep04 (kenney dan)LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00    
6  OLDER BROTHER Jan26 Dec26 Oct23 Sep17 Aug28 (evans justin)CRUZ M 124 2.50 ★    
7  TEXAS LONG BOW Jan14 Jan02 Dec20 Dec01 Nov14 (peery debbi)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 3.00 63% 0.60    
 
TUP-6   02/09/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RECKONING DAY Dec18 Oct21 Sep25 May30 May06 (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 124 2.50 7% 14.10    
2  AUTISM CAN DO Dec22 Sep17 Aug22 Aug06 Jul18 (wolf ashlee)VALDES ALEXIS 124 15.00    
3  FIRECRACKER STAND Jan31 Jan05 Dec13 Nov09 Oct02 (bullene mic)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.50 ★    
SCR  AFTER THE CANDY Feb05 Jan12 Dec27 Dec13 Nov25 (si)DA FAUSTO 124 3.00 ★    
5  D K'S CROWN Jan18 Jan05 Sep17 Sep03 Aug22 (villamar candelari)GARCIA F 124 15.00 ★    
6  CAPTAIN N. BARRON Sep25 Aug28 Feb20     (crotts ja)VALENZUELA A 124 4.00 64% 0.60    
7  MOJAVE (GB) Jan26 Sep17 Sep04 Aug21 Jul30 (garcia valenti)ANAYA V 124 10.00    
8  MIAMI CROCKETT Jan05 Nov21 Aug31 Aug17 Jun26 (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 124 8.00    
 
TUP-7   02/09/2023 4950ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($21.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THIRTY SECONDS OUT Jan19 Nov28 Nov12 Aug31 Aug11 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 3.00 24% 3.10    
2  MOONLITE GRAHAM Dec14 Nov21 Nov05 Jul23 Jun26 (barraza rafael )VERGARA P 122 3.50 31% 2.30    
3  MR. WHO Jan23 Dec08 Nov07 Sep08 Sep01 (chambers mi)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.50 ★    
SCR  FORT LANGLEY Jan19 Dec20 Nov16 Oct15 Sep25 (leaney patricia)CRUZ M 122 5.00 13% 6.50    
5  SECRET POTION Dec17 Oct31 Oct05 Aug27 Jul03 (hone bart)CORBETT W 122 8.00    
6  LIGHT CRUISER Jan30 Jan07 Dec17 Nov15 Oct06 (bullene m)VALENZUELA A 122 6.00    
7  MOVE OVER (GB) Jan25 Dec20 Dec08 Nov21 Sep09 (belvoir vann)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 8.00 ★    
 
TUP-8   02/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHESAHEATWAVE Jan19 Dec26 Sep03 Jun25 May28 (ferguson curt)ZUNINO L 124 10.00 7% 13.70    
2  ELEGANT CRICKET Dec19 Nov21 Nov05 Sep30 Aug27 (silva pabl)LEON A 124 6.00    
3  CHICKS DIG MUNNY Jan23 Dec21 Mar30 Mar21 Mar07 (gale bryce)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 20.00    
4  JAZZY EINSTEIN Jan26 Jan04 Dec19 Nov25 Sep17 (finch sherry)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 20.00    
5  SUPERSTAR BEA Jan24 Jan14 Dec19 Nov19 Nov04 (si)DA FAUSTO 124 5.00    
6  TIMBERLAKE GAGE Jan30 Oct15 Oct10 Aug27 Aug20 (ba)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 4.00 ★    
7  CONVINCE Jan31 Dec17 Oct29 Oct15 Oct01 (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 3.50 ★    
8  LE TUB Jan19 Jan02 Dec17 Aug27 Aug06 (toye joe)CRUZ M 124 3.00 34% 1.90    
9  BONITA RAPIDS Jan03 Dec26 Nov21 Oct10 Sep15 (woolley ben)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 8.00 29% 2.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.