Handicappers' Racing Form

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Mahoning Valley Race Course
Tuesday - November 29, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
MVR-1   11/29/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOHNSBUCKEYEBADBOY Oct26 Oct06       (erde)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 6.00    
1A  BIG TIME FLIRT Oct05 Sep19 Sep01 Jul28 Jul11 (erdel john)CORREA L 124 6.00    
LINO'S KID Nov10 Oct06 Sep20 Sep05 Aug01 (zielinski richard)RIVERA R 124 1.60 51% 1.00    
PLAYING BALL Nov09 Oct26 Oct05 Sep12 Sep01 (murillo rodrigue)DIAZ I 124 5.00    
ROLLIN SO PERFECT Nov10 Oct10 Sep13 Aug31 Jul26 (estvanko r)MARTINEZ LUIS 124 1.20 24% 3.10    
OXBOW'S RIDE Nov10 Oct27       (bird danny)CEDILLO MAURO 119 10.00    
 
MVR-2   11/29/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:13
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BISCOTTINI Oct03 Sep06 Jul26 Jun27 May07 (sweazey scott)GONZALEZ A 126 2.00 51% 1.00    
LUCKY ROAD Nov14 Oct31 Oct03 Sep22   (faulkner c)VELEZ J 126 12.00    
SHE'S NOT BLUFFING Nov16 Oct18 Oct05 Sep12 Aug29 (maver edu)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 3.00    
IMMACULATE HEART Nov14 Oct03 Sep14 Aug02 Jul19 (atal)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 2.50 25% 2.90    
TIZ THIRSTY Oct03 Sep20 Aug24 Jul25 Jul11 (pappada j)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 126 4.00    
MIA PROMESSA Nov15         (bird danny)CEDILLO MAURO 121 8.00    
 
MVR-3   11/29/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:41
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CUMBER Nov08 Oct22 Oct14 Sep28 Sep21 (urieta johanna)TAPARA BRANDON 124 4.00 5% 19.00    
IMTHEPRINCE Nov07 Oct26 Oct14 Sep19 Aug31 (jones e)DIAZ I 124 5.00    
TOE TAPPIN LUKE Oct25 Sep30 Sep16 Sep07 Aug24 (short thomas)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 10.00    
LUCKY ANDY Oct24 Oct03 Sep12 Aug10 Jul26 (sweazey scott)GONZALEZ A 124 2.50 38% 1.60    
ALGORIX Nov07 Oct19 Oct05 Sep12 Aug29 (vecchio caryn)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 6.00 14% 6.30    
SMASH Nov16 Nov08 Oct26 Oct12 Sep29 (rivera n)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00 18% 4.60    
TRIGZ TOO Nov14 Oct24 Oct09 Oct03 Sep25 (bernardini jay )CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00    
 
MVR-4   11/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:09
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIKIO Oct14 Sep21 Aug12 Jul16 Jul01 (cline c)HALDAR J 124 1.00    
INSACIABLE PRINCE Nov02 Oct12 Sep14 Aug30 Aug10 (rome)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.50 16% 5.20    
SCR  MAHAL KITA Aug28 May27 May21 May11 Apr19 (hinds lonnie)KEISER CHELSEY 124 10.00    
UNEXPECTABLE Nov09         (bond brent)PEREZ E 124 8.00    
CHARTED         (waltz brian)FELICIANO R 124 5.00 37% 1.70    
ROCKY'S EXPRESS Oct27 Oct14       (hamm timo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 6.00 16% 5.40    
 
MVR-5   11/29/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:37
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JURISDICTION Nov12 Oct27 Sep30 Sep21 Aug23 (rive)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 2.50 43% 1.30    
CONDUCIVE Nov12 Oct27 Oct05 Sep14 Sep06 (langley joshua)CEDILLO MAURO 124 15.00    
TRUST AND OBEY Nov19 Oct31 Oct11 Sep26 Sep12 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 124 20.00    
GOTSOMEMOJO Aug08 Jul20 Jul13 Jun22 May06 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
I BELONG TO BECKY Nov02 Oct13 Sep21 Sep06 Aug15 (hay r)AVILES YAN 119 8.00 7% 12.60    
GLIDING ALONE Oct27 Sep28 Sep14 Jul20   (erwin andrew)DIAZ I 124 20.00    
SCR  GONE ROGUE Sep29 Sep01 Aug24 Jul20 Jul13 (wilson j)HALDAR J 124 8.00    
BLAME IT ON EDDIE Nov16 Nov03 Oct24 Oct06   (vecchio caryn)TAPARA BRANDON 124 6.00    
FRED'S COUNTRY BOY Nov12 Oct27 Sep20 Aug10 Jul20 (ruberto l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.50 14% 6.30    
10  KING ANDRES Nov12 Oct27 Sep26 Sep08 Aug25 (faulkner rodney )HOUGHTON D 124 4.00 9% 10.10    
 
MVR-6   11/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NORTHERN JOURNEY Nov17 Oct11 Sep07 Aug04 Jun30 (calderon ivan)AVILES YAN 121 2.50 18% 4.60    
CAT'S RHYTHM Aug29 Aug13 Jul25 Jul14 Jun29 (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 126 3.00 21% 3.80    
PENNY SHOTS Nov03         (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 126 2.00 16% 5.30    
DIVA POWER Nov15 Oct22 Apr28 Jan26   (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 121 4.50    
HAMPTON DANCER Nov17 Aug17 Jun21 Jun03 May18 (anderson susan )BRACHO A 126 6.00    
PISTOL PACKIN BOS Nov03 Sep21 Aug22 Jul05 Jun01 (hurley l)KEISER CHELSEY 126 12.00    
 
MVR-7   11/29/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SACRED KIKI BIRD Nov08 Oct24 Sep25 Sep02 Jul25 (anderson l)AVILES YAN 121 4.50    
THE COOKIE MAN Nov02 Oct23 Sep28 Sep01 Aug16 (rive)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 2.00    
SCR  WHERE YA GOIN OWEN Nov16 Nov08 Oct31 Oct17 Oct03 (maver edu)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 20.00    
HIDDEN RULER Nov08 Oct24 Sep25 Sep03 Aug13 (cline c)HALDAR J 126 3.50 62% 0.60    
GEMO Nov08 Oct22 Apr18 Apr01 Mar19 (spiess s)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 8.00    
RULING EMPIRE Oct24 Sep27 Sep13 Sep01 Aug16 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 126 5.00    
SHADOW SURPRISE Nov07 Oct22 May23 May01 Apr05 (pizzurro jo)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 126 6.00    
POWER SONG Nov15 Oct31 Sep27     (trevino g)STANLEY O 126 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-8   11/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($36.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:01
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUTINY Nov07 Oct14 Oct03 Sep13 Aug09 (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 117 10.00    
TO WIN Feb15 Jan14       (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 124 5.00    
SCR  SUSIE'S KID Nov12 Oct25 Oct10 Sep21 Sep06 (rettele ric)CORREA L 124 4.50    
MIDNIGHT WARSHIP Oct25 Oct10 Sep27 May21 May02 (radosevich jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 124 15.00    
HIP HIP HOORAY Oct29 Jun03 May06 Apr09 Mar22 (gorham m)PEREZ E 122 6.00 5% 18.00    
SIMON SAYS Sep16 Aug04 Jul01 Jun03 May21 (smith larry)FELICIANO R 122 4.00 9% 10.50    
EMPIRE'S FIRE Nov07 Oct03 Jan19     (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 1.40 59% 0.70    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.