Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belmont At The Big A
Friday - October 14, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BAQ-1   10/14/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($95K) 2 ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CRUPI Sep03 Aug06       (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 1.20 53% 0.90    
1A  MINDTAP Sep03         (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 119 1.20 ★    
2  SIGNATOR Sep16         (mcgaughey cl)CASTELLANO J 119 1.80 ★    
SCR  FIGHTERTOWN Sep03         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 8.00 ★    
4  WEEKEND TIZZY Sep18         (boniface ke)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 12.00 25% 3.00    
5  TABEGUACHE         (brown c)ORTIZ L 119 8.00    
6  INFLATIONARY         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 5.00 ★    
 
BAQ-2   10/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALPINE QUEEN Sep29 Aug04 Jun03 May01 Mar18 (camejo m)ORTIZ JR 123 2.50 38% 1.60    
2  SHE'S A BLACK BELT Sep29 Aug08 Aug01 Jul03 Jun19 (jones ed)DAVIS A 121 6.00 17% 4.70    
3  SHADOLAMO Sep29 Sep15 Aug14 Aug03 Jun02 (toscano t)DAVIS DYLAN 123 6.00    
4  ALARM CLOCK Oct01 Aug29 Aug05 Jul23 Jul04 (camejo j)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 8.00 15% 5.70    
SCR  MISSING LINK Aug14 Aug04 Jul08 Jun26 May14 (persaud randi)CASTILLO AMIN 121 15.00    
6  QUALITY STONES Sep18 Aug06 Jun17 May19 Apr29 (quick)HERNANDEZ OMAR 114 4.00 ★    
7  OK HONEY Aug18 Jul15 Jun02 May05 Mar26 (rodriguez gust)LEZCANO JOSE 121 2.00 ★    
 
BAQ-3   10/14/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($85K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  EDDIE THE GREAT Sep25 Sep04 Jun24 Jun05 Apr23 (barker r)DAVIS DYLAN 118 30.00    
2  MARINARA SAUCED Aug17 Jul16 Jun19 May21   (friedman mit)CASTELLANO J 118 3.00 ★    
SCR  FATIMA'S BLESSING Sep11 Aug21 Jul30 Jul03 Jun25 (dini mike)CARMOUCHE K 122 12.00    
SCR  FRANK'S ART Sep04 Aug10 Jul09     (clement christ)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 1.60 59% 0.70    
SCR  SHINSUN Aug17 Jul23 Jun17     (tagg barclay)LEZCANO JOSE 118 8.00    
SCR  GOLQUIST Oct01 Sep04 Aug10 Jul08 Jun18 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 118 10.00    
7  BALDIZAR Sep23         (bond harold)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 6.00    
SCR  BREADMAN Aug10 Jun24 May28 May01 Feb24 (terranova joh)ORTIZ JR 124 6.00    
SCR  TOP ENVOY Sep04 Aug11       (gyarmati)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 30.00    
10  ALITE Oct02 Sep17 Jul24 Jul08 Jun19 (pringle edmun)CASTILLO AMIN 122 50.00    
SCR  BATTLE SCARS Aug10         (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  UNCLE GEORGE Aug25 Jun18 May21 Apr23   (morey willi)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CITIZEN K Sep04 Jul16 May21 Apr28   (de horacio)ORTIZ L 122 4.00    
SCR  SALUTE TO AMERICA Apr30 Apr07 Feb05     (solares axe)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 10.00    
SCR  BOURBON'S HOPE Sep16 Aug15 Jul19 Jun22 Jun07 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 8.00    
SCR  DANGEROUS EDGE Aug20 Jul28 Jul02 Jun16 May28 (atras rob)RIDER TBA 124 2.00 9% 9.90    
 
BAQ-4   10/14/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CICCIOBELLO         (ryan s)DAVIS DYLAN 121 6.00 ★    
2  TUESDAY'S CHILD Jul22 Jul02 May28 May05 Apr03 (sciacca )GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 4.00 ★    
3  SIGHT UNSEEN Aug11 Jul03       (hennig ma)VARGAS A 121 10.00    
4  MAKART Aug05 Jul22 Jun18 May15 Feb25 (ryerson t)CARMOUCHE K 121 6.00 ★    
5  SINFUL DANCER Oct07 Aug31 Jul28 Jul03 Jun09 (kantarmaci mert)CANCEL ERIC 124 1.20 63% 0.60    
SCR  CLASH A. J. Feb24 Feb13 Jan22 Jan09 Jan01 (jones ed)DAVIS A 121 4.50 7% 13.00    
7  SECRET SANCTUARY Aug11 Jul09 Jun19     (klesaris ro)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 15.00    
 
BAQ-5   10/14/2022 6270ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($110K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MOONEY LOVE (IRE) Jul27         (mott i)PRAT FLAVIEN 126 3.00 ★    
SCR  MONTAUK SUMMER Sep18 Sep03 Aug20 Jul23 Jun24 (dini mike)CARMOUCHE K 124 15.00    
SCR  KINENOS Aug21 Jul31 Jul01 May05   (maker michael )LEZCANO JOSE 122 4.50    
SCR  NATHAN DETROIT Oct02 Sep25 Aug22 Aug13 Jul27 (cash nor)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 20.00    
5  SHAWDYSHAWDYSHAWDY Sep23 Aug28 Jul30 Jul02 May06 (abreu r)ORTIZ L 124 6.00    
SCR  SPACE LAUNCH Sep16 Jul01 May29     (clement chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 4.00 ★    
SCR  MEGAYACHT Sep16 Jul31 Jun03 May01 Mar12 (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 122 10.00    
8  LAUGHING BOY Aug28 Jul01 Jun05 May07 Apr13 (goodman gedalia)CANCEL ERIC 122 20.00    
SCR  LARGENT Sep07 Jul11 Apr22 Feb19 Jan08 (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 124 3.50 22% 3.50    
10  GIRL DAD Sep10 Aug24 Jul22 Jun23   (maker michae)CASTELLANO J 124 30.00    
11  KINETIC SKY Sep24 Aug10       (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 1.20 53% 0.90    
12  TWO THIRTY FIVE Sep30 Aug19 Jul17 Jun18 May07 (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 122 1.60 ★    
 
BAQ-6   10/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($95K) 2 F PT- 3:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROYAL POPPY Sep17 Aug14       (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 119 3.00    
2  LOOKINFORBARGAINS         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00 ★    
3  DIVINE CROSS         (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00 ★    
4  SPUN SPECIAL Sep17 Aug21       (gyarmati lea)CASTELLANO J 119 3.50    
5  AZARIA         (albertra)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  INTERPOLATE Aug14         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 1.60 58% 0.70    
7  MATERIAL WITNESS         (atras rob)ORTIZ L 119 10.00 ★    
 
BAQ-7   10/14/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MATTY'S MARAUDER Sep16 Aug21 Apr28 Apr01 Mar05 (donk david)ORTIZ L 122 6.00 5% 18.50    
SCR  LORD BROWNIE Sep01 Jul24 May28 May13 Apr24 (sciacca gary)HARKIE K 120 30.00    
3  PRINCE OF JOY Sep17 Aug03 Jul08 May06 Apr10 (legall r)DAVIS A 122 15.00    
4  B C GLORY DAYS Sep17 Sep01 Aug10 Jul16 Jul09 (barre)HERNANDEZ OMAR 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  LORD GATLING Jul28 May08 Apr07 Feb12 Jan16 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 4.50 29% 2.40    
6  MIDNIGHT WORKER Sep03 Aug13       (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50 31% 2.20    
7  ONCE A GIANT Sep01 Jul24 Jun04 May08 Apr08 (d'angelo jo)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 5.00    
8  INSPIRATION POINT Sep16 Aug19 Jul04 May29 Apr10 (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 122 10.00    
9  SPEIGHT'SPERCOMETE Sep25 Sep02 May04 Mar24 Feb28 (brown r)DAVIS DYLAN 122 8.00 5% 17.30    
10  ZUZUDINI Sep15 Aug12 Jul01 Apr21 Mar18 (barker e)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 6.00    
 
BAQ-8   10/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($120K) 3 F PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  POPPY FLOWER Sep13 Aug11 Jul15 Jun19 May19 (mott i)ORTIZ L 122 1.80 30% 2.30    
2  EVERYONELOVESLINDA Jun19 May07 Mar27 Feb25   (barker r)CARMOUCHE K 120 30.00    
3  MUSIC AMORE Sep03 Aug06 Jul07 Jun06 May31 (klesaris robert)CANCEL ERIC 122 30.00    
4  SAIL BY Sep18 Aug20 May28 Apr24   (gyarmati lea)CASTELLANO J 118 8.00    
5  HALF IS ENOUGH Sep02 Aug11 Jul09 Jun04 May01 (trombetta m)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 12.00    
6  GAL IN A RUSH Aug12 Jul09 May19     (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00 26% 2.90    
SCR  GIRL WITH A DREAM Mar05 Feb05       (cox h)ORTIZ JR 124 8.00 ★    
SCR  ZELDA (FR)         (clement christ)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.00 22% 3.60    
SCR  TASWEYA Aug06 Jul02 Jun06 Feb22   (pino michae)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 20.00    
10  WONKA Aug25 May28 Mar27 Jan30   (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 5.00 ★    
 
BAQ-9   10/14/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($47K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FLYWHEEL EFFECT         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 3.50 32% 2.10    
SCR  LINEAR THINKING (IRE) Aug14         (abreu r)ORTIZ L 124 3.50    
2  GEOMETRIQUE Aug21 Jun30 Jun10 May13   (ribaudo robe)SAMUEL L 120 30.00    
3  BELLESHAZZA Aug21 Jul28 Jul03 Jun10 May20 (sciacca )GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 8.00    
SCR  LADY FIREFOOT Sep22 Aug19 Jul30     (reynolds patri)LEZCANO JOSE 124 6.00    
5  SINGALONG (GB) Aug20 Aug13 Jul03 May30   (klesaris rob)CASTELLANO J 120 20.00    
SCR  LINN PIER Sep22 Sep05 Jul17 Jun10 May15 (toscano j)VARGAS A 120 30.00    
SCR  EXOTIC CAT Aug20 Jul23 Jul03 Jun10   (pregm)HERNANDEZ OMAR 117 30.00    
8  BRISKY FROLIC Apr09 Feb13 Jan02     (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 120 4.00 17% 5.00    
SCR  BIRTHDAY TIME (GER) Sep22 Aug19 Jul28 Jun04 Apr10 (sharp joe)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00 15% 5.50    
10  MISCREANT Aug21 Jul03 Jun09 May20   (ryerson james )ORTIZ L 120 10.00 ★    
11  TEMERITY Sep22 Jul20 Jun30 Jun10   (abreu fernando)USKE S 120 20.00    
SCR  VAGARIES (IRE) Aug21 Jun25       (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 120 4.50 14% 6.10    
13  IRONIC LADY Aug21         (o'brien )GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 30.00    
SCR  THE SWEATY FOX Sep10         (brion keri)CARMOUCHE K 120 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.