Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Churchill Downs
Sunday - June 15, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-1   WIN (6/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/3)-(6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/3)-(4/7/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/2/3)-(4/7/2/3)-(4/2/3/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CD-2   WIN (4/7/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/2/3)-(4/7/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/2/3)-(4/7/2/3)-(4/7/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/2/3)-(4/2/3/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/7/2/3)-(4/2/3/7)-(6/4/7/9) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CD-3   WIN (4/2/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/3/7)-(4/2/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/3/7)-(4/2/3/7)-(4/2/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/2/3/7)-(6/4/7/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/2/3/7)-(6/4/7/9)-(1/5/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CD-4   WIN (6/4/7/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/7/9)-(6/4/7/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/7/9)-(6/4/7/9)-(6/4/7/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/7/9)-(1/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/4/7/9)-(1/5/4)-(5/3/4/10/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CD-5   WIN (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/4)-(1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/4)-(5/3/4/10/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/5/4)-(5/3/4/10/2)-(1/6/5) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
CD-6   WIN (5/3/4/10/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/3/4/10/2)-(5/3/4/10/2/9) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    TRI (5/3/4/10/2)-(5/3/4/10/2/9)-(5/3/4/10/2/9) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
    DD (5/3/4/10/2)-(1/6/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/3/4/10/2)-(1/6/5)-(1/7/3) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
CD-7   WIN (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/5)-(1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/5)-(1/7/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/6/5)-(1/7/3)-(2/1/6/7/4) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
CD-8   WIN (1/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/3)-(1/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/3)-(1/7/3)-(1/7/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/7/3)-(2/1/6/7/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/7/3)-(2/1/6/7/4)-(6/2/7/9) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CD-9   WIN (2/1/6/7/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/1/6/7/4)-(2/1/6/7/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/1/6/7/4)-(2/1/6/7/4)-(2/1/6/7/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/1/6/7/4)-(6/2/7/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CD-10   WIN (6/2/7/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/7/9)-(6/2/7/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/7/9)-(6/2/7/9)-(6/2/7/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CD-1   06/15/2025 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  START MO UP May31 May08 Oct05 Sep07   (lejzerowicz jo)ORTIZ L 118 3.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of JAGGERMAMA by HIGH COTTON)
2  FREEDOM MAKER May17 Mar14 Dec04 Nov03 Oct10 (rice lind)TORRES A 125 6.00 26% 2.90    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of LADY ASPEN by GRAND REWARD)
3  WISH CAREFULLY May14 May01 Mar19 Mar05 Feb05 (lovell miche)TORRES A 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MITOLE out of FORGIVENESS by MEADOWLAKE)
4  ABBI FEDE May17 Apr08 Aug05     (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 4.00    
  (by ENTICED out of JENNYS PRAYER by TAPIT)
5  LEBOMBO May08 Mar28 Mar07 Feb01 Dec04 (medina robert)SAEZ LUIS 125 2.50    
  (by CUPID out of DARING GREATLY by EVEN THE SCORE)
6  SOLE LUTE May08 Mar28 Feb14 Jan27   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 2.00 36% 1.80    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of SOLE MISS by COLONEL JOHN)
 
CD-2   06/15/2025 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($62K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STRING THEORY Apr24 Apr06 Mar09 Jan18 May04 (moquett ro)ASMUSSEN J 123 5.00    
2  EXPLOSIVELY May26 Apr30 Mar27 Mar01 Feb06 (moger jr)GUTIERREZ MARIO 123 2.00 16% 5.10    
3  ZINFATUATION Oct15 Sep11 Aug13 Jul28 Jul07 (norris step)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 30.00 5% 19.00    
4  OUTDOOR CAT May25 Apr26       (medina robert)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50 24% 3.10    
5  FARM TEAM May10 Apr11 Mar05 Nov24 Feb17 (arnold r)LANERIE J 123 6.00    
6  SPRINT OUT PASS May23 Apr29 Apr06 Mar08 Feb14 (diodoro r)TORRES A 118 15.00    
7  PLAY THE TRUMPET Jun04 Jan13 Dec15 Sep25 Sep05 (jacobson david)ORTIZ L 123 3.00 24% 3.10    
 
CD-3   06/15/2025 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  STORMY PASSAGE May16 Apr25 Jul14     (kenneally eddie)CURTIS BEN 124 3.00    
SCR  PACE YOURSELF May30 May10 Aug13 Jun16   (tomlinson mi)TORRES A 124 3.50 8% 11.00    
3  CAJUN CRUISER Apr30 Apr19 Mar14 Aug21 Jun28 (pomier chasey)MORALES EDGAR 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  ZOHERE Apr30         (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00 62% 0.60    
5  LIVEHAPPY Jun04 May08 Apr13 Mar01 Feb13 (radosevich)HERNANDEZ J 124 8.00    
6  GOOD NEWS ROCKET Apr13 Apr04 Mar07 Jan25 Nov10 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 124 8.00    
7  RAISING KANE Jun01 May10 Mar20 Jan27 Dec19 (desormeaux ke)LANERIE J 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  STRAIGHTAWAY Jun01 Apr30       (baker james)MONCADA IRVING 113 6.00    
9  SET ABOUT Jun23         (simms jr)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 6.00    
 
CD-4   06/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($48K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHE'S NO ANGEL May09 Mar21 Nov22 Aug02 May27 (eurton peter)ORTIZ L 124 3.00    
2  REST OF THE WORLD Oct25 Sep24       (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 10.00    
SCR  MY KENTUCKY LILY         (ennis john)ORANTES CESAR 108 15.00    
4  TRUTHORCONSEQUENCE Jun01 Apr16 Mar14 Feb01 Dec26 (reavis l)JUAREZ NIK 118 4.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  MARY MOONGLOW May22 Apr22 Jun23     (rivelli )RODRIGUEZ A 118 5.00    
6  INNOCENT NYGHT May30 May11 Mar13 Feb22 Jan26 (michael)DE CRUZ 124 4.50 37% 1.70    
7  FUNDING SOURCE May01 Feb01       (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00 13% 6.90    
8  BERRYVILLE         (ortiz alexan)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00    
9  SMARTY PANTS Jul29 Jul10 Jun26 Jun18 Aug02 (norris step)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
CD-5   06/15/2025 4950ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAP TO THE STARS May23 Apr08 Mar04 Jan30 Dec22 (mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 123 2.50 35% 1.90    
2  OPTICAL May23 May03 Jan30 Jan18 Nov24 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 118 3.00    
3  DIVE BOMBER Aug29 Jun08 May04 Sep02 Jul22 (lynch a)ORTIZ L 123 3.50    
4  IMPERIAL GUN May03 Apr19 Feb01 May18 Apr20 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  ALSTON Nov04         (eurton pe)PEDROZA MARCELINO 123 6.00 20% 4.10    
SCR  MASTER CONTROLLER May24 Nov03 Oct17 Sep01   (vanden britt)EMIGH A 120 5.00    
7  BOURBON'S FAULT May17 Apr18 Mar09 Feb17 Jan04 (shorter aaro)TORRES A 123 8.00    
 
CD-6   06/15/2025 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MO JACKSON May15 Aug10       (tomlinson mi)TORRES A 125 10.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of DAVERON by BLACK SAM BELLAMY)
2  NU WHAT'S NEW May18         (divito jam)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of HEAVENLY SCAT by SCAT DADDY)
3  PLENSA Apr13 Nov09 Oct12     (arnold georg)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.50 23% 3.30    
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of PROXIMITY BIAS by FLATTER)
4  OUR STARRY NIGHT May08         (bauer philip )GARCIA MARTIN 118 4.00 22% 3.60    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of BERNCREDIT by BERNSTEIN)
5  LEBOWSKI May11 Apr13 Mar05 Feb13 Jan20 (asmussen m)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50 26% 2.90    
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of BECKY'S BEST by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
6  WARTANK May24         (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 118 12.00    
  (by TAPIT out of UNENCHANTEDEVENING by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
7  MAKI MONARCHY Sep29 Sep15       (beckman whitwo)CURTIS BEN 118 10.00    
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of SUSHI EMPIRE by EMPIRE MAKER)
8  ESH May24         (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00    
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of PURELY LUCKY by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
9  TIMAYYYY Mar30 Feb22       (walsh brendan )ORTIZ L 118 6.00 ★    
  (by WAR FRONT out of BLACK DYNAMITE by MORE THAN READY)
10  THIRTEEN G'S May24 Apr19 Mar29     (hartman chri)RAMOS D 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of PRETTY LADY by SCAT DADDY)
11  NYTTIME STORY May08 Jun27       (michael bria)CALLEJA ANDRES 125 20.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of TIGRESS TALE by TALE OF THE CAT)
12  SOUTHERN BULLET May08         (begley greg)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00    
  (by COPPER BULLET out of CAROLINA SOUTH by DIXIE UNION)
SCR  SWIRLING EIGHTS May11 Jan04 Dec07 Oct27 Sep28 (maker mich)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of HACHI by SEEKING THE DIA)
 
CD-7   06/15/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($64K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BETTE DAVIS May30 May15 Apr10 Feb15 Jan23 (diodoro r)TORRES A 120 3.00 36% 1.80    
2  BROUGHTY FERRY Apr06 Feb23 Jan20 Nov13 Sep27 (amoss thomas)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.00    
SCR  IHEARTRAINACOMN Jun14 May30 May15 May05 Apr19 (labra rogeli)BURGOS ALBERTO 118 15.00    
4  TAKE SHAPE Apr30 Mar22 Oct26 Sep27 Sep05 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 118 5.00    
5  BEST PERFORMER Apr04 Feb14 Jan28 Dec14 Nov16 (esquivel je)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 10.00 16% 5.20    
6  AWESOME ANNMARIE May10 Mar28 Mar15 Feb03 Jan03 (d'angelo jos)MONCADA IRVING 113 4.50 18% 4.40    
SCR  SWEET CHABLIS May08 Apr06 Mar12 Feb13 Jan29 (mckeever andrew)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50    
8  BEAU SOLEIL May10 Mar17 Feb15 Dec15 Nov24 (reavis mi)ESQUIVEL VALENTIN 111 10.00    
 
CD-8   06/15/2025 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRIPOLINA May30 Apr26 Mar28 Feb24 Feb02 (hartman chris)MACHADO LUAN 121 3.50 48% 1.10    
SCR  MISS ENCHANTED May24 Apr13 Mar12 Nov27 Oct09 (romans dale)LANERIE J 121 10.00    
3  WHEELINGNDEALING May22 Apr30 Apr05 Mar15 Mar02 (mendieta a)VILLARREAL OSCAR 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  TAPIT QUICK May03 Mar01 Jan27 Jan04 Nov09 (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 121 8.00    
5  NAY V BELLE Nov27 Nov14 Oct20 Aug23 Jun28 (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 121 4.50    
SCR  ABSINTHE May01 Mar07 Jan18 Apr27 Mar30 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 121 6.00    
7  POPPERINA May01 Apr19 Mar29 Jan18 Dec07 (moquett ronald)ORTIZ L 123 5.00 15% 5.50    
SCR  EVERYONELOVESLINDA Apr18 Mar22 Feb01 Dec12 Oct19 (dutrow e)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.00    
9  BOURBON BREEZE May02 Apr10 Feb13 Jan01 Dec19 (brisset r)TORRES A 123 10.00    
 
CD-9   06/15/2025 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SCATTITUDE May08 Mar23 Aug12     (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.00 31% 2.20    
2  OBSTREPEROUS May17 Apr20 Mar14 Feb02 Jan04 (d'angelo fra)SAEZ LUIS 123 3.00 31% 2.20    
3  GOLD DEL MAR May20 Apr10 Jul17 Jul03 Jun06 (salas marceli)GARCIA MARTIN 123 20.00    
4  CARLISLE BAY Apr17 Oct26 Aug23 Jul13 May26 (foley greg)ORTIZ L 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  LA FORET May17 Apr16 Mar08 Feb06 Nov22 (catalano wayne )LANERIE J 123 4.50    
6  PERFECT FIGURE May15 Nov02 Sep20 Jul31   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.50 17% 5.00    
7  ANTIQUE SILVER May17 Feb01 Jan03 Nov27 Nov09 (jacobson )TORRES A 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  COASTER May24 Apr19 Feb24 Jan18 Sep27 (moquett ronald)ROMAN A 118 12.00    
9  MODERN SOUND May17 Mar13 Jun06 Mar07 Dec31 (maker michael)MORALES EDGAR 123 20.00    
SCR  BOURBON SERENGETI Jun11 May11 Mar06 Jan01 Dec18 (dutrow ri)LEPAROUX R 123 15.00    
11  ALL ABOUT ALICE Jul09 Jun06 May11     (kinmon keith)MACHADO LUAN 123 30.00    
 
CD-10   06/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($45K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAY ZONE May31 Mar02 Feb07 Dec22 Oct19 (crichton r)HUSBANDS J 113 8.00    
2  KANT BEAT THE ROCK May10 Apr09 Mar03 Jan17 Jan05 (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 21% 3.90    
SCR  TOP GUN TOMMY May06 Mar22 Mar08 Feb08 Nov20 (jacobson david)ORTIZ L 118 3.00    
4  SOUTHERN SUNSET May16 Apr26 Apr11 Mar22 May31 (moquett ronald)ROMAN A 118 15.00    
SCR  ONE COOL DUDE May31 Oct12 Sep13 Jul29 Jun21 (blair jordan)TORRES A 118 6.00    
6  CRITICAL THREAT May10 Apr12 Jan30 Jan05 Nov16 (esquivel jes)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 12.00 40% 1.50    
SCR  JUILLIARD Apr24 Mar16 Feb24 Jan04 Dec14 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 118 10.00 12% 7.50    
8  APPEAL DENIED May10 Feb14 Dec29 Nov14 Oct09 (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 120 2.50    
9  BRIGHT LEAF May29 Apr11 Jan24 Jan05 Oct16 (sims p)MACHADO LUAN 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  IMPROBABLE STORY May29 May16 Apr26 Apr16 Mar13 (king bar)RODRIGUEZ A 118 20.00    
11  READY PURSUIT May29 May10 Apr26 Mar27 Feb23 (gonzalez reina)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.