Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Belmont At The Big A
Friday - May 23, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BAQ-1   WIN (1/5/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/4/2)-(1/5/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/4/2)-(1/5/4/2)-(1/5/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/4/2)-(11/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/5/4/2)-(11/8)-(8/11/12) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
BAQ-2   WIN (11/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (11/8)-(11/8) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (11/8)-(8/11/12) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (11/8)-(8/11/12)-(7/5/2/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
BAQ-3   WIN (8/11/12) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/11/12)-(8/11/12) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/11/12)-(8/11/12)-(8/11/12) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/11/12)-(7/5/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/11/12)-(7/5/2/6)-(4/2/6/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
BAQ-4   WIN (7/5/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/2/6)-(7/5/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/2/6)-(7/5/2/6)-(7/5/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/2/6)-(4/2/6/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/5/2/6)-(4/2/6/8)-(5/2/6/4) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
BAQ-5   WIN (4/2/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/6/8)-(4/2/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/6/8)-(4/2/6/8)-(4/2/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/2/6/8)-(5/2/6/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/2/6/8)-(5/2/6/4)-(12/5) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
BAQ-6   WIN (5/2/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/6/4)-(5/2/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/6/4)-(5/2/6/4)-(5/2/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/6/4)-(12/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/2/6/4)-(12/5)-(1/2/7/5) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
BAQ-7   WIN (12/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (12/5)-(12/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (12/5)-(1/2/7/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (12/5)-(1/2/7/5)-(9/5/6/4) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
BAQ-8   WIN (1/2/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/7/5)-(1/2/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/7/5)-(1/2/7/5)-(1/2/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/7/5)-(9/5/6/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
BAQ-9   WIN (9/5/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/5/6/4)-(9/5/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/5/6/4)-(9/5/6/4)-(9/5/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
BAQ-1   05/23/2025 3300ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 2 F PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SNOW FACE PRINCESS         (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 119 1.40 39% 1.60    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of CRUSIN ALONE by HONOR CODE)
LOVE YOU         (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00 6% 16.50    
  (by GLOBAL CAMPAIGN out of THIS JUST IN by WAR FRONT)
LOOKS TO KILL May03         (chichakly ami)PANAIJO JORGE 119 15.00    
  (by WAR OF WILL out of PREMURA by BERNARDINI)
VERNON VALLEY         (casse mark)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 6% 15.30    
  (by CONTESTED COLORS out of VALLEY CAMPAIGN by CHINATI)
PRINCE OF BROADWAY         (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 119 2.50 19% 4.40    
  (by VOLATILE out of AMERICAN QUEEN by QUIET AMERICAN)
STREET SUE         (giddings melan)ROSARIO JOEL 119 8.00    
  (by AUTHENTIC out of LOVISA by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
KEF         (barre)HERNANDEZ OMAR 119 20.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of BEACH WALTZ by TREASURE BEACH (GB))
 
BAQ-2   05/23/2025 6270ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  INESPEREE Mar30 Mar02 Jan19     (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 118 8.00    
  (by FLINTSHIRE out of TERRESTRE by MOTIVATOR)
SCR  MORE FOR SURE (IRE) May02 Mar02 Jan08 Dec05 Oct25 (dutrow anthony)LUZZI J 118 6.00    
  (by CRACKSMAN out of CASCELLA by IFFRAAJ)
SCR  MENDEE May02 Nov14 Oct10 Aug31 Jun17 (brion keri)CASTELLANO J 125 5.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of REVA by MONARCHOS)
SCR  CAILIN DANA Apr20 Mar28 Dec27 Oct31 Oct06 (drysdale ne)ALVARADO JUNIOR 125 6.00    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of ENTRECHAT by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  MAGNUM'S MICROBRST Apr23 Feb08 Jan10     (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 8.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of MATTY'S MAGNUM by EVEN THE SCORE)
SCR  QUEENS FABLE (IRE) Mar15 Jun20 Jan20 Dec02   (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 125 5.00    
  (by FRANKEL out of RYMSKA by LE HAVRE)
SCR  GREEN JOBS Jan19 Nov14       (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of GENTLE RULER by COLONEL JOHN)
DIMENSIONALITY Mar30 Jan24 Jan01 Nov21 Nov02 (terranov)SANTANA JR 118 10.00 32% 2.20    
  (by CARACARO out of DIVIDED BY THREE by SHACKLEFORD)
UNLIMITED SPENDING (JPN) Mar23 Dec22       (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 118 10.00    
  (by ORFEVRE out of UNLIMITED BUDGET by STREET SENSE)
10  LUCKFORYOU May02 Apr17 Mar22 Feb27 Jan23 (romero jesu)GONZALEZ MELVIS 113 20.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of SCAT MAGGIE by SCAT DADDY)
11  RAGTIME SIZZLE Apr25         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 2.50 43% 1.30    
  (by UNION RAGS out of JOLEE by LEMON DROP KID)
 
BAQ-3   05/23/2025 7260ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($88K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  MIKEALICIOUS May09 Apr13 Mar22 Feb22 Jan25 (martin f)DAVIS KATIE 124 4.00    
SCR  STARTING OVER Apr19 Jul20 Mar02 Jan27 Oct08 (russell britta)LEZCANO JOSE 124 4.00    
SCR  CLASSIC CREATION Mar02 Feb01 Oct31 Sep29 Aug23 (terranova john )CARMOUCHE K 124 6.00    
SCR  BETTRLUCKYTHANGOOD Nov08 Oct12 Sep15 Aug17 Jul21 (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 124 3.00    
SCR  OCALA DREAM Apr26 Apr06 Feb08 Jan03 Oct11 (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 124 20.00    
SCR  ST JAMES THE GREAT Aug22 Jul27 Jul08 May25 Apr19 (brion keri)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 15.00    
SCR  OMNI KING Apr26 Mar01 Dec14 Nov09 Oct11 (kelly bl)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 119 12.00    
SCR  PALAZZI Apr19 Oct05 Sep07 Jul27 Jun29 (casse mark)ORTIZ JR 124 4.00    
BOURBON DAY Feb15 Jan25 Dec28 Nov16 Sep29 (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 124 2.50 54% 0.90    
WILD BANKER Apr17 Apr05 Mar08 Feb15 Feb01 (metivier)VILLA FAVINHO 124 50.00    
10  WAITLIST May10 Feb22 Feb02 Jan11 Oct19 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 124 3.00    
11  SMILE MON Apr26 Apr13 Feb22 Jan24 Jan05 (abreu fernando)RIDER TBA 124 3.50 20% 4.10    
12  FIRST TRUMPET May08 Apr10 Mar29 Feb28 Jan30 (delauro edward)ROSARIO JOEL 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
BAQ-4   05/23/2025 5940ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($32K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COMMANDPERFORMANCE Apr27 Apr06 Mar08 Feb15 Jan19 (barre)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 8.00    
BOLD VICTORY Apr26 Mar14 Feb27 Feb13 Feb01 (rodriguez gu)CASTELLANO J 118 4.00 14% 6.00    
TIBERIUS MERCURIUS Apr26 Mar29 Mar07 Feb08 Jan18 (potts w)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 5.00    
TIZ A BEAST Apr16 Apr05 Mar22 Feb26 Feb05 (paragallo j)GONZALEZ MELVIS 115 20.00    
O P FIRECRACKER Apr27 Mar14 Feb27 Dec12 Nov15 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 120 2.00 20% 4.10    
PERFECT FLIGHT Apr12 Mar21 Mar07 Feb21 Jan26 (shivmangal loli)DAVIS KATIE 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
KHAFRE Apr27 Apr06 Mar21 Mar02 Jan19 (quick j)DAVIS DYLAN 120 1.80 32% 2.10    
 
BAQ-5   05/23/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($30K) Purse ($43K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCARBOROUGH FAIR May01 Apr10 Mar23 Mar09 Feb13 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 125 3.00    
CLASSY LASS Apr03 Mar10 Feb26 Jan24 Jan07 (vitali )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 120 8.00 10% 9.00    
VALENTINE GIFT Apr11 Jan24 Jan04 Nov30 Oct24 (morley thomas)CARMOUCHE K 123 5.00    
SCR  SHE'S WICKED SMART Apr24 Apr06 Mar02 Feb13 Jan24 (morey e)DAVIS DYLAN 125 4.00 60% 0.70    
LAST GLORY Apr26 Mar28 Jan23 Jan10 Dec15 (arenas marc)GONZALEZ MELVIS 118 20.00    
LADY SRIRACHA May01 Mar28 Mar01 Feb02 Dec16 (moore m)RUIZ ELISEO 125 8.00 7% 12.40    
DESPO'S DREAM May09 May01 Apr04 Mar22 Feb15 (abreu fernando)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 2.50    
DASHING DELLA May01 Apr18 Mar28 Mar07 Feb22 (arenas m)SANTANA JR 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
BAQ-6   05/23/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 MUDDY Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3 ALL PT- 3:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUST CLARITY Apr26 Mar23 Feb23 Jan31 Nov23 (donk david)FRANCO MANUEL 122 8.00    
LOU May08 Apr10 Mar16 Feb01 Nov30 (rice linda)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 2.50 18% 4.70    
TAPWRITS TEMPER Apr26 Mar23 Feb28 Jan31 Jan17 (potts wa)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 115 12.00    
COOL HAND RICH May02 Jan26       (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
SOCIAL HOUR Mar21 Jan11 Nov07 Oct13 Aug17 (dutrow richar)ORTIZ JR 122 3.00 26% 2.90    
FRANTIC Apr10 Mar15 Feb16     (pletcher a)DAVIS DYLAN 122 8.00 17% 5.00    
CONSIDER IT DONE Apr24 Mar22 Feb08     (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 4.00    
SHOOT THE NICKEL Apr26 Mar08 Feb02 Jan09 Nov28 (devaux adrianne)DAVIS KATIE 120 4.50    
 
BAQ-7   05/23/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($82K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MARCO T. Apr20 Nov14 Oct10 Sep13 Aug08 (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.50    
BAM'S BLISS KISS Apr13 Mar21 Mar02 Dec14 Nov17 (duggan dav)RIVERA R 120 12.00    
SCR  STRICTLY TABOO Sep13 Jul13 Jun06 Oct26 Jul03 (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 123 6.00    
JACKSON'S DIXIE May02 Apr19 Mar29 Mar14 Feb27 (figueroa carlo)LUZZI J 123 15.00    
SOHANA Apr05 Jul17 Jun14 May10 Apr14 (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 8.00 28% 2.50    
SCR  LATEST EDITION Feb07 Jan10 Nov14 Nov07 Oct10 (follett norman)BROWN DALTON 123 12.00    
SCR  SUGAR BEE Apr27 Jan23 Jan04 Nov30 Nov03 (milosevi)SANTANA JR 123 15.00    
SCR  BEING BETTY Oct13 Sep22 Jun14 Apr27 Nov17 (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 123 6.00    
SCR  KERRY Mar15 Jan12 Jul25 Jun29 May26 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 123 8.00    
SCR  SNOWY EVENING Nov15 Oct13 Sep26 Aug22 Jul24 (donk david)CASTELLANO J 123 10.00    
SCR  SLIGHTLY BUSY Apr24 Jul31 Jul05     (green amelia )ORTIZ JR 120 3.50    
12  LA BANQUERA Apr25 Mar29 Mar14 Feb08 Jan18 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 125 1.20 43% 1.30    
 
BAQ-8   05/23/2025 5280ft DIRT RC9 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOP GUN ROCKET Apr19 Mar01 Jan29 Nov22 Oct31 (synnefias panag)DAVIS DYLAN 126 1.60 35% 1.90    
1A  GOLDEN SYMPHONY May01 Mar07 Dec27 Dec04 Nov17 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 126 1.60    
2B  MAD BANKER May13 Apr21 Apr04 Mar07 Feb16 (ness jam)SANTANA JR 126 5.00 21% 3.70    
SCR  DEVIL'S CAY Apr12 Feb23 Feb02 Jan26 Jan04 (ness jam)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 121 5.00    
SCR  WARP NINE Apr29 Apr12 Mar12 Feb17 Dec27 (wyner harold)CASTELLANO J 126 12.00    
RAGAZZO DIABOLICO Apr12 Mar22 Feb02 Jan03 Nov15 (lugovich lisa )LUZZI J 124 15.00    
TIMAEUS Apr12 Apr04 Mar09 Jan24 Jan04 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
STREET VIEW Apr18 Mar21 Feb22 Jan31 Dec29 (schaue)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 6.00    
PINEAPPLE MAN Apr11 Feb21 Jun16 May12 Apr20 (nevin m)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 121 12.00 14% 6.40    
SCR  HOULTON Apr17 Mar15 Feb22 Jan24 Dec28 (dutrow richard )CARMOUCHE K 126 6.00    
MR. PAPAGIORGIO Apr13 Sep21 Aug07 Jun15 Jun07 (dutrow richar)ORTIZ JR 124 8.00    
 
BAQ-9   05/23/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARLIN CONTENTION May04 Apr19       (ryerson jam)GONZALEZ MELVIS 113 12.00    
SCR  FREE DANCE Apr25 Mar13 Feb14 Jan11 Dec08 (handal)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 4.50    
KLIMT MASTER May09 Mar30 Mar09 Feb02 Jan26 (jo)VILLAOBOS FRANK 108 50.00    
KINGS AND QUEENS Apr27 Mar14       (sacco gr)VILLA FAVINHO 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
TIOTE May04 Mar29 Feb21     (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.50 31% 2.20    
ROCKED OUT Apr05 Dec28 Nov15 Oct05 Sep02 (engleha)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 113 15.00 5% 19.00    
RUNAMOR May11 Mar28 Jan26 Jan04 Nov30 (devaux adr)RIVERA R 118 6.00    
SCR  MAGIC BEACH May03 Apr11 Apr05 Mar08 Feb28 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 8.00    
OMAHA PISTOL Apr24 Mar14 Jan25 Sep02   (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 118 2.50 44% 1.30    
10  CAPT JAX PARROW Apr24 Mar28 Mar08 Jan25   (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.