Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Tuesday - April 08, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/1)-(5/2/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/1)-(5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (5/1)-(1/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (5/1)-(1/3)-(2/8/4/3) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
MVR-2   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/4/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/3)-(1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (1/3)-(2/8/4/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/3)-(2/8/4/3)-(1/4) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
MVR-3   WIN (2/8/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/4/3)-(2/8/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/4/3)-(2/8/4/3)-(2/8/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/8/4/3)-(1/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/8/4/3)-(1/4)-(7/8/1/5) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
MVR-4   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/4)-(1/2/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/4)-(1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (1/4)-(7/8/1/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/4)-(7/8/1/5)-(3/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MVR-5   WIN (7/8/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/1/5)-(7/8/1/2/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/8/1/5)-(7/8/1/2/5)-(7/8/1/2/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/8/1/5)-(3/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/8/1/5)-(3/2/6)-(3/7/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-6   WIN (3/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/6)-(3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/6)-(3/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/2/6)-(3/7/1)-(4/2/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
MVR-7   WIN (3/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/1)-(3/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7/1)-(3/7/1)-(3/7/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/7/1)-(4/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
MVR-8   WIN (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/1)-(4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   04/08/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP ALL PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE DRAKE Mar06 Feb08 Jan09 Sep16 Aug06 (flores christian)AVILES YAN 126 6.00 16% 5.40    
2  SEEING RED Feb27 Jan29 Dec26 Dec02 Nov17 (musarro jo)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 126 2.50 ★    
3  NOSEY POWER Mar31 Jan27 Dec17 Oct27 Apr04 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 126 20.00    
4  UNCLEJACKOMO Mar20 Mar06 Feb08 Jan15 Dec28 (faulkner rodney )VIGIL NOEL 126 10.00    
5  FEELTHEBEAT Mar20 Mar06 Dec06 Nov15 Oct21 (robillard jul)CEDILLO MAURO 126 0.50 39% 1.50    
 
MVR-2   04/08/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP M/F PT-12:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEAUTIFUL MANDATE Mar25 Feb12 Jan29 Dec06 Nov07 (erdel john)PEREZ A 124 2.50 53% 0.90    
2  TOVIA Mar25 Mar13 Feb12 Feb04 Jan07 (ccamaque marc)BARBARAN ERIK 124 8.00    
3  SAND WEDGE Mar25 Mar13 Feb28 Jan03 Nov22 (morales saul)TAVARES JAVIER 124 6.00 6% 14.60    
4  SHE'S A SAINT Mar17 Sep17 Aug19 Jul17 May23 (reed r)TAPARA BRANDON 124 2.00 ★    
SCR  OCHO'S SECRET Apr01 Dec06 Nov13 Oct30 Oct16 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 124 4.00    
6  POOTOOGOOK Mar25 Mar17 Jan26 Sep12 Aug21 (yoder d)CEDILLO MAURO 116 4.50    
 
MVR-3   04/08/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLORIDA GATOR Mar28 Oct13 Sep21 Sep07 Aug16 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 126 3.50    
2  ERNIE'S MARTINI Mar19 Dec28 Nov07 Oct22 Sep24 (buttigieg kevi)GONZALEZ A 124 2.00 23% 3.30    
3  REINVEST Jan29 Nov19 Nov06 Oct11 Aug20 (johnson gary)BERRIOS HECTOR 124 12.00 8% 11.20    
4  DON'T CROSS JACK Oct16 Sep29 Aug11 Jul24 Jun18 (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 126 4.00 16% 5.20    
5  CUGINE Mar19 Mar01 Jan29 Jan09 Nov19 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 10.00    
6  STAR ENTERTAINER Mar19 Dec19 Oct23 Oct08 Sep04 (johnson ga)WEATHERLY BAILEY 126 12.00    
7  MORETHANREADYEDDIE Mar19 Mar01 Feb03 Dec11 Nov20 (g)RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 126 8.00    
8  HITSVILLE Mar11 Mar01 Feb05 Jan23 Dec03 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 5.00 20% 3.90    
 
MVR-4   04/08/2025 3630ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THIS TIME Sep11 Jul27 Jun07 May04 Apr06 (maker mich)WELLINGTON KYLIE 124 1.20 53% 0.90    
2  POLSTER Mar24 Mar05 Feb08 Jan04 Nov08 (brown h)AVILES YAN 124 1.60 ★    
3  VINNY AND LEO Sep30 Sep10 Aug15 Jul24 Jun02 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 4.00    
4  CLASSIC RICHIE Feb26 Feb08 Dec28 Nov20 Jul09 (tumblin andr)HALDAR J 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  MO SNOW Sep24 Sep03 Aug27 Jul10 Jun22 (winters mi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 15.00    
 
MVR-5   04/08/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IVORY SKY Mar19 Feb08 Jan07 Aug05 Jul15 (fadlovich me)HALDAR J 126 4.50 11% 8.00    
2  FACTUM'S STAR Mar21 Mar08 Aug16 Aug02 Jul11 (johnston rebecca)YARANGA Y 124 2.50 ★    
3  LONE BOY Jan13 Dec09 Nov06 Sep16 Aug26 (haehn r)GONZALEZ A 124 20.00    
4  WHISKEY HELPS Mar24 Mar04 Jan13 Dec23 Dec03 (salcedo ra)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 20.00    
5  GOLDSTRIKER Mar18 Mar04 Dec03 Nov21 Nov12 (morales )FERNANDEZ R 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  LOTSA MATCHA Mar24 Feb08 Jan13 Dec23 Dec03 (g)RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 124 15.00    
7  PARTY POOPER Mar24 Mar04 Feb08 Dec12 Nov26 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 124 2.00 46% 1.20    
8  ROLLIN MY WAY Mar24 Mar04 Feb08 Jan13 Dec23 (zielinski ric)CEDILLO MAURO 124 6.00 20% 4.00    
9  ONE STEP ASIDE Mar24 Mar04 Feb08 Jan13 Dec23 (dacosta jason)HOUGHTON D 124 15.00    
 
MVR-6   04/08/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRINCESSTAPITURE Feb28 Feb03 Jan15 Dec02 Nov16 (andrade hu)WEATHERLY BAILEY 124 15.00    
2  SHEWEARSMYRING Mar04 Feb06 Jan06 Dec03 Nov12 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 4.50 10% 8.90    
3  ARMY KITTEN Feb08 Jan24 Jan06 Nov14 Nov04 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 124 1.60 53% 0.90    
4  LATE NITE LIZZIE Mar24 Mar05 Feb13 Nov10 Oct28 (juarez-mendoz)BARBARAN ERIK 126 2.50    
5  Q BOND Mar24 Mar04 Feb12 Jan24 Dec02 (short travis )CEDILLO MAURO 124 10.00    
6  WILDCAT DREAM Mar24 Feb12 Jan24 Dec18 Dec04 (salcedo ra)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 6.00 8% 10.80    
SCR  ONE NIGHT STAND Mar18 Jan15 Dec26 Nov11 Oct20 (poole c)BRACHO A 124 8.00    
 
MVR-7   04/08/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($30.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIVINE FASHION Mar05 Feb03 Jan03 Nov29 Nov08 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 123 8.00 9% 10.70    
SCR  GRACIE DANCE Apr01 Mar11 Jan24 Dec23 Nov27 (skerre)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 20.00    
3  RED HOT LASS Mar27 Feb26 Dec10 Nov25 Oct01 (skerrett jeff)BRACHO A 126 1.50 45% 1.20    
4  NEEDED Dec23 Nov13 Nov04 Oct21 Oct01 (gilmartin br)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 15.00    
5  SHEISTHEHERO Mar27 Mar05 Feb10 Jan25 Dec28 (loudin-smith lori)PEREZ A 123 12.00    
SCR  LIBERTY BELLE Mar27 Feb26 Feb04 Dec10 Nov25 (winters mi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 6.00    
7  FLOWER MOUND Mar17 Mar05 Jan25 Jan18 Dec28 (vecchio caryn)HERMAN NOEL 118 4.50 23% 3.40    
8  LUCKY COUGAR Apr10 Mar18 Feb15 Jan31 Dec28 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 3.00    
 
MVR-8   04/08/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SECRET TROUBLE Jan23 Jan06 Nov22 Oct23 Sep30 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 116 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GUT INSTINCT Mar01 Jan23 Jan06 Dec03 Nov07 (skerrett)MARTINEZ A 124 6.00 10% 8.60    
3  JUDGE RULES Mar20 Oct24 Sep27 Aug11 Jul26 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 126 8.00    
4  GAMBOLING GHOST Mar22 Mar05 Feb12 Jan16 Aug21 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 1.60 57% 0.70    
5  VERBIER (IRE) Mar22 Mar01 Feb12 Jan23 Jan06 (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 4.00    
6  RUNWITHHEART Aug25 Jul21 Jun23 Jun01 May04 (holsapple hutch)BOWEN ROCCO 124 2.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.