Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Turfway Park
Friday - March 21, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TP-1   WIN (7/4/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/8/6)-(7/4/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/8/6)-(7/4/8/6)-(7/4/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/8/6)-(9/4/3/2/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/4/8/6)-(9/4/3/2/1)-(3/5/9/2) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TP-2   WIN (9/4/3/2/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/4/3/2/1)-(9/4/3/2/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/4/3/2/1)-(9/4/3/2/1)-(9/4/3/2/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/4/3/2/1)-(3/5/9/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/4/3/2/1)-(3/5/9/2)-(9/4/1/8/2) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
TP-3   WIN (3/5/9/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/9/2)-(3/5/9/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/9/2)-(3/5/9/2)-(3/5/9/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/9/2)-(9/4/1/8/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/5/9/2)-(9/4/1/8/2)-(7/4/5/3/10) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
TP-4   WIN (9/4/1/8/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/4/1/8/2)-(9/4/1/8/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/4/1/8/2)-(9/4/1/8/2)-(9/4/1/8/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/4/1/8/2)-(7/4/5/3/10) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (9/4/1/8/2)-(7/4/5/3/10)-(3/9/7/2) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
TP-5   WIN (7/4/5/3/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/4/5/3/10)-(7/4/5/3/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/4/5/3/10)-(7/4/5/3/10)-(7/4/5/3/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/4/5/3/10)-(3/9/7/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/4/5/3/10)-(3/9/7/2)-(10/4/1/11/5) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
TP-6   WIN (3/9/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/9/7/2)-(3/9/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/9/7/2)-(3/9/7/2)-(3/9/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/9/7/2)-(10/4/1/11/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/9/7/2)-(10/4/1/11/5)-(8/6/10/5) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TP-7   WIN (10/4/1/11/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/4/1/11/5)-(10/4/1/11/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/4/1/11/5)-(10/4/1/11/5)-(10/4/1/11/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/4/1/11/5)-(8/6/10/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TP-8   WIN (8/6/10/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/10/5)-(8/6/3/10/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/6/10/5)-(8/6/3/10/5)-(8/6/3/10/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TP-1   03/21/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($21.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WE WILL CONQUER Feb28 Feb07 Jan17 Sep14 Aug23 (armstrong stev)CEDILLO ABEL 124 12.00    
EL ROSILLO Feb28 Apr24 Apr16 Feb22 Feb09 (ellio)ULLOA PATRICIO 124 10.00    
FACTUM'S STAR Mar08 Aug16 Aug02 Jul11 Jun19 (johnston rebe)CANUTO THIAGO 124 20.00    
OSCARSSON Feb27 Jan18 Dec13 Jul28 Jun23 (delacour arnau)MACHADO LUAN 124 2.00 18% 4.50    
BUSK Mar08 Feb22 Feb05 Dec06 Oct22 (chavez manue)BARBOSA CARLOS 124 2.50    
FEDERAL EXCHANGE Mar08 Feb23 Jan31 Jan18 Jan04 (mcgoey monica)JIMENEZ ALBIN 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
ON PALM SUNDAY Feb13 Jan23 Jan02 Oct29 Oct01 (davis jos)CORREA L 124 3.00 58% 0.70    
FASTER Feb28 Feb05 Jan18 Dec21 Sep18 (tooley jennife)DOYLE SOPHIE 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
PAPA KATZ Mar08 Jun20 Apr26 Oct08 Sep23 (mcgoey monica)PAULY SUMMER 114 15.00    
 
TP-2   03/21/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($24.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRUHAHA Feb27 Jan29 Jan03     (paquette )CORREA L 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
DELIGHTED (IRE) Apr14 Mar01 Feb08 Dec27   (reavis micha)MONCADA IRVING 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
HI'IAKA Mar13 Feb22 Feb07 Jan18 Oct25 (ennis john)DOYLE SOPHIE 125 2.00 9% 10.60    
ARRASOU Oct11 Aug22 Jul27 Aug25 Jul30 (davis chri)CORRALES GERARDO 125 2.50 25% 3.00    
SCR  LITTLE JUANITA         (deegan c)MOJICA JR 125 15.00    
B. SWIFTY         (bahena i)RODRIGUEZ A 118 15.00    
SUMMER DANCE Oct21 Sep23 Aug20 Oct03 Sep21 (reed r)LAGUNES GABRIEL 125 20.00    
HIDDEN SPIN Jan26 Jul29 Jul07     (lobo h)RAMOS D 125 12.00    
TIZ SWEET EMOTION Jan29 Dec07 Nov13 Oct16 Sep03 (smith larry)JIMENEZ ALBIN 125 4.00 46% 1.20    
10  SAUER POWER Feb22 Jan18       (lobo h)MACHADO LUAN 125 15.00    
 
TP-3   03/21/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  YAREE D TAT Jan16 Dec26 Mar21 Feb28 Feb07 (gilliam james)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 124 8.00    
GREATEST MOMENT Feb26 Feb07 Jan26 Dec06 Nov13 (cazares jose)SERPA ANGEL 124 30.00 5% 19.00    
ANNIE'S HOPE Feb27 Nov03 Sep27 Aug29 Aug02 (morey william )CEDILLO ABEL 124 5.00 41% 1.50    
CAPTIVE STAR Mar07 Feb15 Jan17 Dec18 Oct14 (cline robert)RAMOS D 127 6.00    
FLOWERY PATH Feb07 Dec06 Oct28 Aug31 Feb21 (murphy conor)ASHTON GAVIN 124 12.00 19% 4.20    
HUIXTLA Feb28 Jan31 Jan17 Oct30 Aug24 (gutierrez fa)MONCADA IRVING 112 5.00    
STANDBYFORTAKEOFF Feb27 Jan24 Dec26 Nov28   (kenneally eddi)MACHADO LUAN 117 4.00    
LAUGHING OUT LOUD Feb21 Jan03 Dec06 Nov22 Oct10 (esquivel gus)BARBOSA CARLOS 124 10.00    
HONEYTOWN Feb07 Jan29 Dec06 Sep21 Sep11 (anderson sus)TERRAZA GERMAN 124 30.00 9% 10.30    
SCR  SPRAT Jan01 Dec07 Oct22 Oct08 Sep18 (corrigan )CORREA L 124 3.00    
SCR  TOTAL BLISS Dec21 Nov03 Jun24 Apr28 Mar30 (schenk ellen )JIMENEZ ALBIN 124 30.00    
 
TP-4   03/21/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($27.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOLIDAY HOUSE Feb27 Jan18 Dec20 Oct17 Aug27 (garcia genar)BARBOSA CARLOS 120 10.00 18% 4.60    
ZOOMBIE Feb07 Dec06 Oct30 Sep26 Jul20 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 120 8.00 6% 16.50    
ORB OF THE BORO Mar07 Dec01 Nov13 Oct30 Oct15 (crozier jeff)CANUTO THIAGO 120 15.00    
ONE LUCKY DAY Mar07 Feb07 Oct22 Oct03 Sep14 (hernandez rey)SANJUR SANTO 120 3.50 19% 4.30    
SHAKIN LOOSE Feb28 Feb07 Jan03 Dec07 Nov15 (molloy thomas)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 6.00    
CLASSIC DANCER Feb27 Dec28 Nov24 Oct27 Sep19 (esq)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 3.00    
SCR  COMMUNICATION MEMO Mar05 Feb15 Jan04 Dec13 Nov16 (hancock dana)RAMOS D 120 6.00    
I LUCKED OUT Mar13 Feb15 Jan30 Jan18 Dec12 (girten tim)CEDILLO ABEL 120 15.00 9% 10.40    
MAJOR WAGER Feb27 Jan29 Dec28 Dec12 Oct10 (grubbs jamie )JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 4.00 20% 4.00    
 
TP-5   03/21/2025 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOOLISH FRONT FIFI Mar07 Feb07 Jan18 Nov12 Jul06 (hancock l)SAEZ GABRIEL 125 8.00    
  (by COAL FRONT out of FOOLISH PATRIOT by AWESOME PATRIOT)
SCR  BERMUDA CAY         (corrigan )CORREA L 118 15.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of HAYLIE BRAE by BERNARDINI)
KIMBER SPICE Jun15 May17 Apr18 Mar03   (lovell michell)DOYLE SOPHIE 125 5.00 7% 12.80    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of SWEET PROMISES by BERNARDINI)
ONE FRONT WAR Feb14 Oct23 Aug31 Jul11   (maker michael )MACHADO LUAN 125 4.00 18% 4.60    
  (by WAR FRONT out of SINGLE SOLUTION by FLATTER)
MISS SUSAN B Mar07 Feb21 Feb07 Oct10 Sep04 (labra rogelio)SANJUR SANTO 125 6.00 12% 7.20    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of MISS SPOT ON by UNION RAGS)
SCR  WIMBERLY Feb21 Sep07 Aug10 Jul05 Apr28 (green amelia )CANNON DECLAN 125 15.00    
  (by CURLIN out of DREAM TREE by UNCLE MO)
STRIFE Feb21 Sep21 Aug23 Jul14 Jun16 (drury thomas)MONCADA IRVING 120 3.00 38% 1.60    
  (by WAR FRONT out of BLACK DYNAMITE by MORE THAN READY)
MINK STOLE Feb21 Jan17 Dec27 Nov28 Oct31 (ortiz alex)ACHARD ALEX 125 8.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of MINX by TAPIT)
MISS JO SEE BRAVO Jan18         (gutierrez fa)CONTRERAS LUIS 125 30.00    
  (by SUPER SAVER out of ONE JUNE by ALLUVIAL)
10  ROCKAWAY REEF Feb21 Feb05 Jul27 Jul04 Jun12 (miller kenny)ROMAN A 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of CLEVER COOKIE by SMART STRIKE)
11  UNKEPT PROMISES         (esquivel)RODRIGUEZ A 118 15.00    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of CHEERS DARLING by CUVEE)
 
TP-6   03/21/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($27.8K) 3 F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WIZ THE BOMB Feb13 Dec11 Oct25     (leitch daniel)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 15.00    
SQUARE BABY Feb28 Nov24 Oct24 Aug17   (jacobson david)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
OCEAN WINDOWS Feb13 Jan23       (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 4.00 44% 1.30    
WILLOW OAK Feb13 Aug29 Jul13 Jun17   (danner kelsey)DOYLE SOPHIE 120 6.00    
SCR  POUNDS IN TOWN Jan31 Nov24 Oct23 May19 May02 (garcia genar)BARBOSA CARLOS 120 15.00    
SCR  GO TOWN Mar01 Dec26 Nov07 Oct11 Sep14 (ennis john)MACHADO LUAN 120 1.20    
COOKIN THE BOOKS Dec11 Nov02 Oct08     (watkins j)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 120 20.00 13% 6.80    
PERMANENT PROBLEM Mar01 Jan29 Jan15 Dec20   (livers charl)RAMOS D 119 20.00    
HEARTS UNITED Feb26 Jan26 Nov24 Sep28 Sep14 (tomlinson micha)LANERIE J 120 3.50 19% 4.30    
 
TP-7   03/21/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($27.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  OATHBREAKER Feb23 Jan23 Oct28 Sep26 Aug15 (martinez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 125 8.00 10% 9.10    
SCR  GUCCI MAN Mar01 Feb08 Jan29 Dec20 Oct29 (castanon j)CORRALES GERARDO 125 8.00    
COLLATOR Mar01 Feb13 Jan25 Dec21 Oct08 (fle)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 125 15.00    
ONLY THE GOOD Jan30 Dec19 Nov22     (smith larry)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 8.00 24% 3.20    
HASKELLED Mar01 Jan29 Oct29 Sep26 Aug30 (van tho)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
ADIOS ASHWOOD Feb13 Jan24 Dec21 Dec11 Oct30 (cazares jose)SERPA ANGEL 125 20.00    
ONLY FRANK KNOWS Mar01 Feb08 Jan26 Dec19 Nov29 (paye )ULLOA PATRICIO 125 20.00    
WAR DEPT CALLING Feb27 Jan23 Dec13     (foster eric)RAMOS D 120 10.00    
GAGLIARDI Jan25 Dec21 Nov14 Oct24 Oct03 (richardvi)CORREA L 125 8.00    
10  MANABI Mar05 Sep09 Aug03     (delacour arnau)MACHADO LUAN 125 3.50 36% 1.80    
11  ACTING DEBUT Feb23 Jan18 Dec05 Oct29 Oct08 (armstrong ste)CANUTO THIAGO 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
12  BAIE LONGUE Mar01 Jan29 Jan18 Dec11 Nov23 (toye kar)RODRIGUEZ A 125 3.00    
 
TP-8   03/21/2025 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($18.5K) 3 F PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KIM'S MONEY Mar08 Feb12 Jan29 Jan01 Sep10 (foster eric)MONCADA IRVING 115 10.00    
WALL STREET MAGIC Mar01 Feb12 Jan08 Dec21 Nov29 (mcgoey monica)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 3.50    
DON'T POST IT Mar12 Feb02       (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 6.00    
LOB Feb05 Dec20 Nov17 Sep08 Aug10 (arnold george )ASHTON GAVIN 120 10.00    
J'S NAUGHTY ANGEL Feb12 Jan24 Jul30     (davis jos)CORREA L 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
MISS KENZIE Oct28 Sep26 Sep10 Aug29   (gorostieta ci)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 120 15.00 7% 13.90    
WAITINBYTHENILE Feb23 Jan23 Dec26     (axmaker w)MACHADO LUAN 120 5.00    
DOC'S LUV         (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 120 4.00 69% 0.40    
SCR  TEENAGE DIPLOMAT         (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 120 4.50    
10  LALILY Feb23 Feb05 Dec26 Jul31 Jul06 (hancock l)SANJUR SANTO 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.