Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Wednesday - February 26, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/5)-(1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/5)-(6/4/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/5)-(6/4/7/1)-(4/6/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-2   WIN (6/4/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/7/1)-(6/4/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/7/1)-(6/4/7/1)-(6/4/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/7/1)-(4/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/4/7/1)-(4/6/5)-(5/8/3/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-3   WIN (4/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/5)-(4/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/5)-(4/6/5)-(4/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/5)-(5/8/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/5)-(5/8/3/2)-(7/5/1/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-4   WIN (5/8/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/3/2)-(5/8/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/3/2)-(5/8/3/2)-(5/8/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/8/3/2)-(7/5/1/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/8/3/2)-(7/5/1/4)-(7/6/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-5   WIN (7/5/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/1/4)-(7/5/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/1/4)-(7/5/1/4)-(7/5/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/1/4)-(7/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/5/1/4)-(7/6/3)-(6/8/1/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-6   WIN (7/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/3)-(7/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/6/3)-(7/6/3)-(7/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/6/3)-(6/8/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/6/3)-(6/8/1/2)-(5/4/2/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-7   WIN (6/8/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/1/2)-(6/8/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/1/2)-(6/8/1/2)-(6/8/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/8/1/2)-(5/4/2/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/8/1/2)-(5/4/2/6)-(2/5/8/3) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-8   WIN (5/4/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/2/6)-(5/4/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/2/6)-(5/4/2/6)-(5/4/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/2/6)-(2/5/8/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/4/2/6)-(2/5/8/3)-(4/8/1/3/10) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
MVR-9   WIN (2/5/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/8/3)-(2/5/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/8/3)-(2/5/8/3)-(2/5/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/8/3)-(4/8/1/3/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
MVR-10   WIN (4/8/1/3/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/8/1/3/10)-(4/8/1/3/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/8/1/3/10)-(4/8/1/3/10)-(4/8/1/3/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   02/26/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP M/F PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ACT LIKE A LADY Jan28 Dec19 Sep15 Aug27 Feb19 (skelton t)STOKES J 126 1.80 40% 1.50    
2  BAND OF ROSES Jun10 May12 Dec06 Nov15 Aug31 (gonzalez)MARTINEZ A 126 3.00    
3  QUARANTINA Jan28 Jan08 Dec27 Nov19 Oct21 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 6.00    
4  BAREBACK FUN Jan28 Dec19 Aug14 Jul22 Jul03 (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 126 2.50 23% 3.30    
5  BIG JAVA Feb12 Feb03 Jan24 Dec16 May27 (vazquez ivan)YARANGA Y 126 8.00 15% 5.70    
6  SECRET SEDUCTION Feb12 Jul08 Jun19 Jun03 Apr03 (spiess sha)SMITH DIOGDINABI 126 15.00    
SCR  I GOT HOPE Jan13 Nov18 Aug29 Aug05 Jul17 (romero jose )TAVARES JAVIER 126 20.00    
 
MVR-2   02/26/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.1K) 3UP M/F PT-12:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIVINE MARTHA Oct21 Oct14 Sep03 Aug11 Jul01 (bernardini jay )TAPARA LUIS 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  TATTERED HEART Jun24 Jun03 May13 Apr01 Mar18 (juarez-mendo)HALDAR J 126 5.00    
3  CEVICHE Jan28 Jan08 Dec27 Nov19 Oct21 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 3.00    
4  HALF BIRTHDAY Jan28 Jan08 Oct22 Sep10 Sep04 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 126 3.50 26% 2.90    
5  BIG GINGER Jan13 Nov22 Oct31 Oct14 Sep30 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 126 8.00    
6  TIZ INDEPENDENCE Jan28 Jan15 Dec23 Dec03 Nov19 (skerrett)MARTINEZ A 126 2.50 50% 1.00    
7  CAGUA Feb12 Jan15 Jun23 May28 May12 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-3   02/26/2025 3630ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($30.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOADED ONCE MORE Feb10 Jan25 Dec27 Nov21 Oct28 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 5.00    
2  RED HOT LASS Dec10 Nov25 Oct01 Jul11 Jun22 (skerrett jeff)BRACHO A 124 4.00    
3  SHARP AZ CAN BE Feb10 Dec28 Nov18 Oct13 Sep16 (urieta j)FERNANDEZ R 124 10.00    
4  BACK TO OHIO Dec10 Oct26 Oct03 Sep05 Aug13 (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 1.60 46% 1.20    
5  THE SWEATY FOX Dec10 Nov25 Sep26 Aug13 Jul25 (skerrett)MARTINEZ A 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  LARIMAR Nov06 Oct07 Sep29 Sep09 Aug18 (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00 17% 4.70    
 
MVR-4   02/26/2025 5280ft DIRT RC9 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($23.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DERBY INCLUDED Feb04 Jan08 Dec05 Nov18 Nov04 (cline c)PEREZ E 124 20.00    
2  BISCUITS AND GRITS Feb10 Dec18 Nov26 Nov18 Nov04 (skerrett jef)HALDAR J 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  RAISE THE PURSES Feb04 Jan08 Dec16 Nov26 Oct07 (morales saul )BRACHO A 126 3.50 8% 11.30    
4  GOLDEN MONEY Feb12 Feb04 Jan08 Dec05 Nov13 (higham nicole)STOKES J 124 8.00    
5  THAT'S THE WAY Dec18 Nov25 Sep26 Aug30 Aug12 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.50 49% 1.00    
6  STUNT MAN Feb04 Jan16 Dec18 Dec05 Nov18 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.00    
SCR  VISUAL MISSION Feb12 Jan23 Dec16 Nov11 Nov02 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 124 5.00    
8  SERENDIPITOUS Feb11 Jan25 Dec19 Nov26 Oct26 (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 124 6.00 16% 5.40    
 
MVR-5   02/26/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DR SCHUSTER Feb13 Jan28 Dec08 Nov12 Oct30 (schuster r)WEATHERLY BAILEY 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  LITTLE VAQUERO Feb13 Oct14 Sep24 Sep16 Aug26 (gonzalez don)TAVARES JAVIER 124 15.00    
3  DON'T STOP Feb06 Jan02 Dec11 Nov06 Oct16 (galloway khade)HOUGHTON D 126 3.50    
4  MARIACHI JUSTICE Feb08 Oct30 Oct10 Sep26 Jul29 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  CAPTURE MI Feb08 Jan28 Dec28 Dec11 Nov07 (vlaun )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00 7% 12.40    
SCR  RUN FOR REAGAN Feb08 Jan13 Dec28 Dec10 Nov27 (maddox racha)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 3.00    
7  MANSION PARTY Feb08 Jan23 Dec27 Dec10 Nov26 (short thomas)STOKES J 124 2.50 71% 0.40    
8  CLOAK AND DAGGER Feb12 Jan23 Dec12 Nov07 Sep16 (skerrett jef)HALDAR J 124 6.00    
9  EL BANDIDO Feb13 Jan28 Dec28 Dec05 Nov25 (tumblin a)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 20.00    
 
MVR-6   02/26/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CARSON N SPENCE Feb11 Jan09 Dec10 Sep25 Sep06 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 124 4.00    
2  WHO CAN'T WAIT Feb11 Jan28 Jan09 Oct11 Sep05 (va)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 10.00    
3  BOBBY ROB Feb11 Jan15 Nov27 Nov13 Oct28 (szczepanski em)DIAZ I 116 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  DUSTY BILLY Jan15 Dec28 Dec16 Nov13 Oct28 (bird danny)WEATHERLY BAILEY 116 3.50    
SCR  DRILL'S BOY Jan09 Dec19 Nov13 Oct28 Oct09 (romero a)CEDILLO MAURO 116 3.00    
6  SO CO MANHATTAN Jan27 Dec26 Nov21     (tooley jennif)BRACHO A 124 6.00 18% 4.50    
7  STRIKE PLATE Feb11 Jan27 Jan09 Dec27 Dec10 (langley joshua)YARANGA Y 124 2.50 45% 1.20    
 
MVR-7   02/26/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MALICED Feb04 Dec23 Nov19 Oct23 Sep26 (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  CANDYMONIUM Nov18 Sep26 Sep05 Aug15 Jul16 (skerrett jeffrey)PEREZ E 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  STARLIGHT LOVE Jan29 Nov29 Oct29 Sep25 Aug09 (lobo h)TAPARA BRANDON 126 3.50    
SCR  MAGIC PALACE Feb04 Dec23 Aug15 Jul16 Jun22 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 20.00    
5  SOMEDAY IS TODAY Feb04 Dec23 Nov09 Oct12 Jun22 (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 126 1.80    
6  GRAY ROYALITY Feb04 Dec03 Nov05 Apr23 Mar27 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 5.00 61% 0.60    
7  LIBERTY BELLE Feb04 Dec10 Nov25 Oct10 Sep11 (winters mi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 6.00    
8  PRINCESS HALIME Feb04 Dec27 Dec03 Nov05 Oct20 (yoder susan)NUNEZ Y 124 15.00 12% 7.30    
SCR  MY SUZIE Q Feb10 Jan29 Dec23 Nov27 Nov05 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 126 10.00    
10  R THREE ANGELS Feb04 Dec23 Oct26 Sep23 Aug10 (dacosta jason)HOUGHTON D 124 20.00    
 
MVR-8   02/26/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOONSHINE JOE Feb11 Jan28 Jan09 Dec26 Dec10 (r)RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 126 5.00    
2  EARL'S STORMY WIND Feb11 Jan27 Jan09 Nov11 Oct26 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  WHY KENNY WHY Feb08 Jan27 Jan07 Nov12 Oct21 (casalinova ti)SIMPSON JASON 124 20.00    
4  FORT GRANDE Feb11 Jan27 Jan09 Dec27 Dec10 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 124 2.50 22% 3.60    
5  GUESS AGAIN Feb11 Jan27 Jan09 Dec27 Oct26 (hamm timothy)BARBARAN ERIK 124 1.60 54% 0.90    
6  SEEKING FREEDOM Feb11 Jan27 Jan09 Dec27 Dec10 (faulkner c)STOKES J 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  WEEKEND RETREAT Feb11 Jan28 Oct07 Sep16 Aug29 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 4.00    
 
MVR-9   02/26/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LESOTHO Feb10 Dec27 Sep23 Sep06 Aug21 (cline c)PEREZ E 124 20.00    
2  RAPIDA Feb10 Dec26 Oct14 Sep20 Aug03 (skerrett je)NUNEZ Y 116 3.00 32% 2.20    
3  COMPLEXITY GIRL Dec26 Dec11 Nov26 Nov13 Oct26 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 116 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  BEAUTIFUL CHARADE Feb10 Dec09 Nov21 Nov05 Sep17 (hamm timothy)BRACHO A 124 8.00    
5  DREAMING OF WAR Jan24 Oct09 Sep09     (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 116 2.50 22% 3.70    
SCR  GOGO NEV'S Feb05 Jan24 Oct05 Sep25 Sep11 (campos paulo)TAPARA BRANDON 126 12.00    
7  STICK AROUND Dec27 Nov21 Sep23 Aug10 Jul22 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 10.00    
8  NAKSU Feb05 Jul24       (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 5.00 17% 4.70    
9  FLAME FOR REAL Feb10 Dec27 Nov21 Oct21 Oct07 (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 4.00    
 
MVR-10   02/26/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3 F PT- 4:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PIRINOLA         (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 10.00 21% 3.70    
  (by DYNAMIC RACER out of WHAT A TWIT by UNBRIDLED MAN)
SCR  COWGIRLTAKEMEAWAY Nov07         (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 122 6.00    
  (by FORT LARNED out of BLESSINGSOFLIBERTY by CONSTITUTION)
3  VICKY'S GIFT Feb10         (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DRILL out of WICKED VICKY by TALE OF THE CAT)
4  MO SWIFT Feb10 Jan15       (rone penny)RIVERA R 122 2.50 30% 2.40    
  (by DRILL out of MO SMART by UNCLE MO)
5  COUNT ON ME Feb10 Oct23 Oct08 Sep24 Sep12 (gorham m)PEREZ E 122 20.00    
  (by MEDAL COUNT out of MIDTOWN MISS by YES IT'S TRUE)
6  BIONIC SAINT Feb05 Dec26 Dec09 Nov21 Nov07 (faulkner r)WEATHERLY BAILEY 122 20.00    
  (by BIONDETTI out of DENIRO'S SAINT by SAINTS N' SINNERS)
7  TAPIT VOLUME Feb10         (faulkner c)STOKES J 122 20.00    
  (by TIDAL VOLUME out of SWEET LIL PUNKY by LIMIT OUT)
8  ROSETTA Feb10 Jan15       (radosevich je)BRACHO A 122 3.00 23% 3.30    
  (by BIONDETTI out of CHANSON D'AMOUR by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
9  CATTY REMARK Feb10 Sep24       (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 122 3.50    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of HARD LESSON by DYNAFORMER)
10  SHARP LADY Feb05 Jan15 Dec26 Nov21 Nov07 (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by JAC'S FACT out of STRUMMING by CURE THE BLUES)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.