Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fair Grounds
Thursday - January 30, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FG-1   WIN (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/2)-(3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/2)-(3/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/1/2)-(3/6/5)-(2/6/1/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FG-2   WIN (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/5)-(3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/5)-(2/6/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/5)-(2/6/1/7)-(1/3/8/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FG-3   WIN (2/6/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/1/7)-(2/6/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/1/7)-(2/6/1/7)-(2/6/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/1/7)-(1/3/8/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/6/1/7)-(1/3/8/7)-(5/3/7/6) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
FG-4   WIN (1/3/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/8/7)-(1/3/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/8/7)-(1/3/8/7)-(1/3/8/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/8/7)-(5/3/7/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/3/8/7)-(5/3/7/6)-(6/3/2/1) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
FG-5   WIN (5/3/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/7/6)-(5/3/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/7/6)-(5/3/7/6)-(5/3/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/7/6)-(6/3/2/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/3/7/6)-(6/3/2/1)-(4/7/1/2) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
FG-6   WIN (6/3/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/2/1)-(6/3/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/2/1)-(6/3/2/1)-(6/3/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/2/1)-(4/7/1/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/3/2/1)-(4/7/1/2)-(7/3/6/2) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
FG-7   WIN (4/7/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/1/2)-(4/7/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/1/2)-(4/7/1/2)-(4/7/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/1/2)-(7/3/6/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/7/1/2)-(7/3/6/2)-(2/3/6/8) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
FG-8   WIN (7/3/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/6/2)-(7/3/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/6/2)-(7/3/6/2)-(7/3/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/3/6/2)-(2/3/6/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FG-9   WIN (2/3/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/6/8)-(2/3/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/6/8)-(2/3/6/8)-(2/3/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FG-1   01/30/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COTTON CANDY ANNIE Jan05 Dec15 Dec05 Oct19 Oct10 (litfin veronica)MCMAHON J 121 3.00 23% 3.40    
2  DIXIE MORNING Dec16 Oct22 Oct08 Oct01 Sep23 (carter ange)ASTUDILLO FELIX 116 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  TYRONA Jan04 Oct20 Sep29 Sep02 Jun26 (schultz lindsa)ORTIZ L 121 1.40 43% 1.30    
SCR  IRISH KITTEN Jan10 Nov25 Aug24 Aug09 Jul15 (west henry)ALBERT S 121 20.00    
5  REBA ATTACK Jan05 Nov24 Oct19 Oct03 Sep19 (childers v)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 8.00    
6  HURRICANE LASSIE Dec16 Oct31 Oct15 Sep25 Jul17 (heitzman eric)COHEN DAVID 121 2.50    
 
FG-2   01/30/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($20K) 3 ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOTOWN STAR Jan09 Nov30 Sep25     (maker mich)WELLINGTON KYLIE 115 4.00    
2  SHRINER Dec22 Aug29       (heitzman eric)COHEN DAVID 120 4.50    
3  BRANZINO         (vaccarezza nic)ORTIZ L 120 2.00 39% 1.60    
4  GOOD TO BE PRINCE Dec22 Dec07 Nov22 Sep26 Sep08 (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 120 1.60    
5  DOES NOT COMPUTE Jan09 Dec29 Nov30 Sep26   (burkes bobby)RIQUELME J 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  WEDDING GIFT         (alonzo how)ALBERT S 120 12.00 27% 2.70    
 
FG-3   01/30/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($30K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILLTORUN Jan05 Nov30 Mar14 Feb13 Dec31 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 120 6.00 11% 7.90    
2  BOSS' DIALIN IN Nov30 Apr21 Mar14 Feb24 Jan27 (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 4.00 39% 1.60    
3  SUPREMELY Dec28 Dec06 Nov16 Oct16 Sep12 (munoz yovani)TORRES A 120 10.00    
4  SEEKING SAWYER Dec06 May15 Mar20 Dec07 Aug20 (duhon o)ORTIZ L 122 6.00    
5  TALONS TIME Jan05 Dec13 Oct13 Sep05 Aug08 (tracy tanner)MCMAHON J 122 3.00    
6  WENT WEST Nov20 Nov02 Oct13 Sep12 Aug21 (munoz yovan)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 2.50 27% 2.70    
7  CORTESE Jan05 Oct17 Sep12 Jun08 May11 (rodriguez )LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
FG-4   01/30/2025 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($60K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEER CROSSING Jan01 Jul11 Jun22 May11 Mar14 (delhomme jeff)GRAHAM J 120 4.50 48% 1.10    
2  HOUSE BOURBON Jan11 Jan01 Dec14 Dec05 Oct19 (govea ces)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 3.50    
3  TUSSLING CHARLIE Jan01 Nov23 Oct30 Jun15 May30 (thomas lee)GREEN AUBRIE 120 3.00 25% 3.00    
4  WISE VERDICT Jan11 Dec27 Nov23 Oct11 Aug31 (munoz yovani)TORRES A 120 6.00    
5  COFFEE COUNTY Jan01 Dec05 Jul11 May31 Apr19 (cuccia j)WELLINGTON KYLIE 115 6.00    
6  FRAN'S STAR Jan01 Dec14 Nov23 Jul29 Jul13 (wilson sha)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 8.00    
7  CITY OF LOVE Jan04 Dec12 Jul19 Feb02 Jan06 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  MI SOLUTION Dec14 Nov22 Mar14 Feb29 Jan13 (bourgeois ke)GEROUX FLORENT 120 8.00 5% 17.90    
 
FG-5   01/30/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($21K) 3 ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAP THE TEQUILA Jan08 Dec13 Nov22 Nov09 Jul25 (gelner sc)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 12.00    
2  MONEY KINGDOM Jan11 Dec14 Oct18 Aug15   (calhoun willia)ORTIZ L 119 4.50    
3  MAXIMUM GRACE Jan02 Dec08 Nov05 Sep26 Sep16 (jeansonne )LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 3.50 26% 2.80    
SCR  BEARCAT Dec21 Nov14       (klanfer al)HERNANDEZ J 119 5.00    
SCR  GIFT GIVER Dec19 Oct11 Aug31 Aug10   (calhoun wil)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 3.00 35% 1.90    
6  LOUISIANA NATIVE Jan09 Dec19 Sep16     (dandridge court)MCMAHON J 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  SOPHIE'S PAINTER Jan09 Dec06 Nov05 Aug15   (gelner sco)ROWLAND MADELINE 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  AMPITUP Jan09 Dec13 Nov02 Aug31 Aug13 (foster jos)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 4.50    
 
FG-6   01/30/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($24K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWOKO BAY Jan09 Dec16 Nov24 Nov02 Sep21 (scherer ga)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  OPTIMUS KAT Jan09 Dec16 Aug22 Jul04 Jun14 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 121 4.00 7% 13.40    
3  GENTLE SOUL Jan09 Dec19 Nov28 Oct24 Sep30 (calhoun wil)CONCEPCION AXEL 124 2.50 12% 7.40    
SCR  MAHONEY ROAD Jan09 Oct10 Sep05 Aug08 Jul11 (tracy tanner)MCMAHON J 121 12.00    
5  X J RASCAL (IRE) Jan19 Dec03 Nov05 Oct09 Sep04 (jeansonne )ROWLAND MADELINE 121 8.00    
6  BATTLE SCARS Dec19 Oct13 Sep12 May25 Mar23 (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 3.00 59% 0.70    
7  PROWLING TIGER Jan09 Dec19 Nov08 Jul08 May19 (roberson k)CURTIS BEN 121 6.00    
8  SIVAKO Dec19 Nov24 Oct13 Aug25 Jun28 (ramirez-r)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 10.00    
9  INTERSTELLAR Jan09 Dec16 Nov24 Oct16 Sep11 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 10.00    
SCR  EMBER Jan10 Nov20 Oct13 Sep21 Sep05 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 121 5.00    
SCR  JUST JIMMY Jan11 Nov27 Nov03 Sep22 Sep07 (forster grant)MORALES EDGAR 121 8.00    
 
FG-7   01/30/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($59K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PINFIRE Jan09 Nov22 May30 Jan12 Dec09 (tomlinson mi)TORRES A 122 2.50 15% 5.80    
2  SAINT PETER'S BAY Jan17 Dec08 Jun02 Apr27 Mar15 (mouton ch)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  SEAPORT LANE         (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 120 4.50    
4  COMANCHE WARRIOR Jan01 Dec05 Aug09 Jul05 May09 (terre david)COHEN DAVID 117 5.00 40% 1.50    
5  LUCKY ROMANCE Jan01 Dec05 Nov03 Sep29 Sep07 (flint steve)MCMAHON J 120 5.00    
6  ONCOMING TRAIN Jan10 Dec26 Nov14 Sep15 Aug10 (richards coral)GREEN AUBRIE 120 12.00    
7  MAP TO THE STARS Dec22 Nov22 Apr21 Mar13 Feb13 (mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.00 20% 3.90    
 
FG-8   01/30/2025 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($59K) 3 ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLYING MOHAWK Oct27 Sep28 Sep01 Jul27   (beckman d )LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 4.50    
2  LUCKY MISCHIEF Nov30 Nov08 Oct12 Sep11 Aug18 (stewart dalla)MORALES EDGAR 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  EXECUTOR Dec26 Nov28 Oct25 Oct03 Sep08 (block chris)COHEN DAVID 119 12.00 23% 3.40    
SCR  DEEP MANHATTAN Nov28         (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 119 3.00    
5  DATE THE PRINCE Jan11 Dec29 Oct27 Sep23   (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 119 20.00    
6  OPTICAL Jan18 Nov24 Nov01 Oct05 Sep18 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  STATES' RIGHTS Nov28 Oct05 Jul27 Jun20   (devaux cheri)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.50 47% 1.10    
SCR  INSTANT REPLAY Dec13 Nov09 Sep27 Aug12   (cox h)HERNANDEZ J 119 5.00    
9  HOT PROPERTY Jan04 Nov24       (cox brad )PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 4.50    
SCR  INFINITE LUCK Dec06 Nov28 Oct23 Oct07   (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 119 6.00    
SCR  FULLY VOLATILE Jan12 Nov29       (heitzman eric)COHEN DAVID 122 5.00    
 
FG-9   01/30/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($60K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET ALEXIS Dec15 Nov22 Oct11 Aug31 Jul18 (devereux p)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 6.00    
2  SWEET DARLIN Jan28 Nov25       (calhoun wi)HERNANDEZ J 120 1.80 55% 0.80    
3  MO FOR US Dec22 Nov29 Nov09 Sep29 Jun16 (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 122 2.00 16% 5.40    
4  WUPKAR Nov14 Oct29 Oct03 Sep04 Aug04 (jeansonne )LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 12.00    
5  A RUNNIN AFLEET Jan11 Dec15 Nov24 Aug23 Jun29 (schwandt emile)MCMAHON J 122 15.00    
6  COUNTRY LADY Dec05 Sep25 Aug19 Jul01 Jun07 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 120 15.00 7% 12.50    
7  ROYAL O'HAIGAIN Jan11 Dec15 May03 Apr10 Mar14 (terre david)CURTIS BEN 120 6.00    
8  PLATINUM MINIT Jan04 Dec15 Jun14 Mar23 Feb04 (ducoing s)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.