Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fair Grounds
Sunday - January 05, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FG-1   WIN (3/7/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/4/2)-(3/7/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/4/2)-(3/7/4/2)-(3/7/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/4/2)-(6/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/7/4/2)-(6/3/2)-(5/11/6/7/13) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FG-2   WIN (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/2)-(6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/2)-(5/11/6/7/13) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/3/2)-(5/11/6/7/13)-(6/9/4) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
FG-3   WIN (5/11/6/7/13) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/11/6/7/13)-(5/11/6/7/13) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/11/6/7/13)-(5/11/6/7/13)-(5/11/6/7/13) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/11/6/7/13)-(6/9/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/11/6/7/13)-(6/9/4)-(5/9/2) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
FG-4   WIN (6/9/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/9/4)-(6/9/2/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/9/4)-(6/9/2/5/4)-(6/9/2/5/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (6/9/4)-(5/9/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/9/4)-(5/9/2)-(1/5/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
FG-5   WIN (5/9/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/9/2)-(5/9/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/9/2)-(5/9/2)-(5/9/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/9/2)-(1/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/9/2)-(1/5/3)-(10/1/9/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FG-6   WIN (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/3)-(1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/3)-(10/1/9/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/3)-(10/1/9/4)-(4/8/3/1/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FG-7   WIN (10/1/9/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/1/9/4)-(10/1/9/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/1/9/4)-(10/1/9/4)-(10/1/9/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (10/1/9/4)-(4/8/3/1/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
FG-8   WIN (4/8/3/1/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/8/3/1/7)-(4/8/3/1/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/8/3/1/7)-(4/8/3/1/7)-(4/8/3/1/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FG-1   01/05/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REBA ATTACK Nov24 Oct19 Oct03 Sep19 Sep01 (childers v)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 10.00    
2  MY LADY SLEW Oct13 Aug22 Aug01 Jun23 May11 (rodriguez j)ASTUDILLO FELIX 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  COTTON CANDY ANNIE Dec15 Dec05 Oct19 Oct10 Aug25 (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 124 1.80 39% 1.60    
4  FLOWERSFORSHANTELL Nov24 Nov02 Oct06 Sep02 Jul28 (tracy tanner)MCMAHON J 121 3.50 13% 6.60    
5  BYE LOVE GOTTA GO Dec15 Nov24 Sep22 Sep07 Aug18 (guillory hen)JOURNET JARRED 121 10.00    
6  SERIOUSLY SASSY Dec15 Nov22 Oct23 Sep10 May13 (singh s)SINGH R 121 8.00    
7  ZOOM ERIN Dec15 Nov24 Sep23 Sep10 Aug07 (hargrave kenneth)RIQUELME J 121 3.00 20% 4.10    
 
FG-2   01/05/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($30K) Purse ($30K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TALONS TIME Dec13 Oct13 Sep05 Aug08 Jul14 (tracy tanner)MCMAHON J 120 4.50    
2  JERRY'S EIGHTY Dec13 Nov30 Aug14 Feb12 Apr15 (duhon o)ORTIZ L 120 5.00 6% 15.80    
3  CORTESE Oct17 Sep12 Jun08 May11 Apr21 (rodriguez )LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 5.00 16% 5.10    
SCR  SPEITFUL SAM Dec13 Nov05 Sep13 Aug07 Jul20 (londono genevieve)GRAHAM J 120 6.00    
5  PRINCIP Nov02 Sep26 Jul15 Jun27 Jun02 (foley greg)CANNON DECLAN 120 3.00    
6  WILLTORUN Nov30 Mar14 Feb13 Dec31 Nov17 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 120 1.80 53% 0.90    
 
FG-3   01/05/2025 5280ft DIRT RC6 MUDDY Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PASTA SALAD RHONDA Dec15 Oct06 Sep25 Jun29 May26 (robertson )MURRILL MITCHELL 120 6.00    
SCR  IRISH KITTEN Nov25 Aug24 Aug09 Jul15 Jun28 (west henr)HERNANDEZ J 120 12.00    
3  LAYLA'S SONG Nov15 Sep26 Jul25 Jul01 Jun12 (antwine michael)MCMAHON J 120 12.00    
SCR  LUMINOUS FLIGHT Dec14 Nov21 Aug31 Aug15 Jun01 (robbins ha)WELLINGTON KYLIE 112 20.00    
5  BERLAINE Nov24 Sep17 Aug20 Jul20 Jun03 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 120 3.50 32% 2.10    
6  START SINGING Dec05 Sep17 Aug27 Jul31 Jun18 (duke steven)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 6.00 10% 9.30    
7  XCARET Dec05 Nov21 Nov01 Aug25 Feb15 (guillory j)RIQUELME J 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  APRIL'S GEM Oct13 Oct06 Sep22 Aug25 Aug04 (lopez elia)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 5.00    
9  BIRDIE CALL Dec27 Dec14 Nov29 Oct18 Aug31 (mouton ch)PEDROZA MARCELINO 117 10.00    
10  PAT HAND GIRL Dec21 Nov28 Oct18 Sep10 Aug12 (hargrave ke)ASTUDILLO FELIX 112 20.00    
11  MISS DISTINCTIVE Dec13 Dec05 Nov22 Oct17 Aug22 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 120 4.00 26% 2.80    
SCR  DIFFERENTLY Dec15 Dec05 Oct28 Sep26 Aug20 (delacruz m)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 4.50    
13  CRYSTAL D'ORO Dec06 Nov01 Oct18 Aug03 Jul20 (landry al)PEDROZA MARCELINO 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
FG-4   01/05/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOROSTIETA'S LOVE Dec07 Sep14 Aug28 Jul19 Jul05 (mouton cha)ALBERT S 122 20.00    
2  COWBOY CAUSE Dec04 Nov21 Sep25 Sep12 Aug29 (litfin ver)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 4.00 ★    
3  REGIMENTAL Oct17 Sep29 Sep08 Aug11 Jul21 (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 122 3.50    
4  MOONOVERMONTGOMERY Dec15 Oct16 Aug10 Jul27 Jun22 (sanchez juan )VARGAS P 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  JOEYBONES Dec15 Nov23 Oct22 Oct07 Sep24 (carter angelle)RIQUELME J 122 6.00 ★    
6  TIVERTON (GB) Jan02 Dec15 Dec04 Nov23 Nov13 (delacruz meji)MORALES EDGAR 122 3.00 57% 0.80    
7  SURPRISE ROAD TRIP Dec15 Nov20 Sep26 Sep09 Aug12 (guillory hen)TORRES A 122 6.00    
8  COUNTRY CUT Dec15 Nov23 Sep16 Aug28 Aug19 (burkes bobby)SMITH R 122 20.00    
9  MR. FAVERSHAM Dec04 Aug12 Jul28 Jul04 Apr14 (cano m)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 12.00 18% 4.60    
 
FG-5   01/05/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($24K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  INTERLUDE Nov29 Oct10 Jun08 Nov25 Sep08 (simpson daniel)COHEN DAVID 122 12.00    
2  WHOLEHEARTEDLY May30 May11       (williamson)WELLINGTON KYLIE 117 20.00 11% 8.50    
SCR  NUMERO SIETE Dec15 Nov24 Oct29 Sep29   (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 122 4.50    
SCR  ITS JUST MONEY Dec15 Oct13 Sep22 Sep06 Aug11 (flint stev)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 20.00    
5  THE JIG IS UP (IRE) Dec15 Nov29 Oct30 Oct09 Mar30 (maker mich)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 4.50 39% 1.50    
6  NA PALI JOE Nov24 Oct30 Sep08 Aug03   (correas ignac)CANNON DECLAN 122 8.00    
7  MO HOPE Nov22 Oct30 Sep12 Jun21 Jun05 (mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 122 8.00    
SCR  STRADIVARIAN Dec15 Nov17 Nov03 Sep20 Aug26 (forster t)GRAHAM J 122 3.50    
9  HIGGINSVILLE Dec15 Nov29 Jul15 Jul05 Jun06 (hartman chris)MORALES EDGAR 122 6.00 15% 5.80    
SCR  SEAVILLE Jul26 Jun28 May08 Apr26 Apr12 (ladner chad)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 15.00    
11  AMENTUM Sep19 Aug24 Jul28     (walsh p)CURTIS BEN 122 8.00    
SCR  SHARP STRIKE Nov24 Sep05 Aug08 Jun08 Apr13 (simpson daniel)COHEN DAVID 122 12.00    
SCR  TWO WEEKS NOTICE Nov23 Sep14 Aug13 Jul17 May14 (vincent ja)ALBERT S 122 20.00    
SCR  ROSENOW Nov06 Sep20       (heitzman )HERNANDEZ J 122 20.00    
 
FG-6   01/05/2025 5610ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($60K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HALL OF FAME (ARG) Dec01 Mar23 Feb17 Jan20 Nov26 (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 122 1.40 67% 0.50    
2  UXMAL Dec26 Dec07 Nov02 Aug26 Aug02 (guillory hen)TORRES A 120 10.00    
3  WINTERS LION Dec01 Oct18 Sep07 Jul22 Jan13 (sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  CAT ON TIME Dec27 Dec05 Nov21 Oct20 Sep26 (claire ale)HERNANDEZ J 122 8.00    
5  CHROME BABY Dec07 Nov23 Nov08 Aug02 Jul06 (larrosa j)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 6.00 12% 7.50    
SCR  SNEAD Dec07 Oct24 Sep29 Dec23 Nov23 (walsh bren)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 1.80    
 
FG-7   01/05/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($58K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FROST MOUNTAIN Dec22 Mar02 Feb03 Aug03   (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 122 3.00 31% 2.30    
  (by FROSTED out of TIZAQUEENA by TIZNOW)
SCR  BERKUS (FR)         (stall m)GRAHAM J 122 6.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of DECORATING by GALILEO (IRE))
3  FLAME ROCK FIRE Dec08 Oct31 Sep26 Aug10 Jul28 (camejo jos)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 8.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of MISSILETOE KISS by GOLDEN MISSILE)
4  DROBNY Jul05 May17 Mar07 Feb12 Jan12 (hartman ch)WELLINGTON KYLIE 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TOURIST out of SUSIE BEE by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
5  HEN HEN Jan18         (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 122 8.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of MAY LILY by BROKEN VOW)
SCR  THAT'S APRIORITY         (thomas lee)GREEN AUBRIE 119 6.00    
  (by APRIORITY out of THAT REAL WORLD by ROGER THAT (GB))
SCR  CHASTE ONE Dec08 Sep09 Aug05 Jul23 Jun26 (sharp j)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 20.00    
  (by FIELD COMMISSION out of SHARP AND CRAFTY by CRAFTY FRIEND)
8  UNBRIDLED PLEASURE May18         (hartman chris)CANNON DECLAN 122 5.00    
  (by GORMLEY out of K K'S BUCKEYE by ALCINDOR)
9  WORLD CHAOS Nov22         (beckman d )LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 4.00 8% 11.90    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of HARVESTFORTHEWORLD by SO YOU THINK (NZ))
10  SPIELMAN Dec22 Nov24 Nov05 Sep21 Aug19 (desormeaux )CONCEPCION AXEL 122 3.50 40% 1.50    
  (by HARD SPUN out of SASSY IMAGE by BROKEN VOW)
 
FG-8   01/05/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($20K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WISE ANCHOR Dec06 Aug26 Jul17 Jun08 May22 (foster jos)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  FLASHY PREMO Aug24 Jul26 Jun29 May16 Apr26 (morrell cy)ALBERT S 121 30.00    
3  HOORAY AUSTIN Nov24 Aug15 Jul18 Jun27 May09 (charles keith)COHEN DAVID 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  RISKY PRIORITY Dec15 Nov24 Oct25 Jul26 Jul09 (terre dav)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 4.00 35% 1.80    
5  ORDER UP Dec05 Oct16 Aug23 Jul18 Jun29 (sanchez juan)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 6.00    
6  DIXIE STREET Dec22 Nov30 Sep26 Aug05 Jul09 (ducoing sturges )CURTIS BEN 121 10.00    
7  DRILLING REPORT Dec15 Nov02 Jun27 May31 Apr19 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  DREWMAZING Dec15 Dec05 Oct23 Aug16 Jul18 (schwandt e)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 5.00 34% 1.90    
9  CRYPTOZONIC Nov05 Sep25 Sep09 Aug20 Jul03 (gibson jonas)ORTIZ L 121 3.00    
10  FATHER GOOSE Nov27 Nov08 Apr21 Mar22 Mar05 (courville ricky)MCMAHON J 121 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.