Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Horseshoe Indianapolis
Monday - October 14, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

IND-1   WIN (10/8/7/6/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/8/7/6/9)-(10/8/7/6/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/8/7/6/9)-(10/8/7/6/9)-(10/8/7/6/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/8/7/6/9)-(5/1/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (10/8/7/6/9)-(5/1/6)-(4/2/5/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
IND-2   WIN (5/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/6)-(5/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/6)-(5/1/6)-(5/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/6)-(4/2/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/6)-(4/2/5/6)-(5/9/7/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
IND-3   WIN (4/2/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/5/6)-(4/2/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/5/6)-(4/2/5/6)-(4/2/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/2/5/6)-(5/9/7/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/2/5/6)-(5/9/7/1)-(10/3/5/8/4) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
IND-4   WIN (5/9/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/9/7/1)-(5/9/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/9/7/1)-(5/9/7/1)-(5/9/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/9/7/1)-(10/3/5/8/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/9/7/1)-(10/3/5/8/4)-(5/10/8/1/12) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
IND-5   WIN (10/3/5/8/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/3/5/8/4)-(10/3/5/8/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/3/5/8/4)-(10/3/5/8/4)-(10/3/5/8/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/3/5/8/4)-(5/10/8/1/12) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (10/3/5/8/4)-(5/10/8/1/12)-(11/2/7/5/10) 125 $1.00 $62.50 
IND-6   WIN (5/10/8/1/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/10/8/1/12)-(5/10/8/1/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/10/8/1/12)-(5/10/8/1/12)-(5/10/8/1/12) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/10/8/1/12)-(11/2/7/5/10) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (5/10/8/1/12)-(11/2/7/5/10)-(5/8/3/6/2) 125 $0.50 $62.50 
IND-7   WIN (11/2/7/5/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/2/7/5/10)-(11/2/7/5/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/2/7/5/10)-(11/2/7/5/10)-(11/2/7/5/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (11/2/7/5/10)-(5/8/3/6/2) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
IND-8   WIN (5/8/3/6/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/8/3/6/2)-(5/8/3/6/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/8/3/6/2)-(5/8/3/6/2)-(5/8/3/6/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
IND-1   10/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ONCOMING TRAIN Sep15 Aug10 Jun22 May18 Apr07 (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 122 20.00    
ONE FOR RICHIE Oct01 Sep15 May16 Apr27 Apr12 (foster eric)MACHADO LUAN 122 2.50    
FOREVER LASTING Oct03 Sep19 Sep06 Aug13 Jul11 (haran john)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 30.00    
VERSATILE Sep26 Sep10 Aug17 Aug04 Jul03 (wisner j)PEREZ E 122 20.00    
DEUS EX MACHINA Oct01 Aug20 Jun27 May23 Apr23 (garcia gen)ANDERSON MCKENNA 125 3.50    
SCR  RIVER BOY Sep26 Aug29 Jul09 Jun27 Jun06 (garcia israel )SANJUR SANTO 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
GORMLEYS GOT GAME Sep25 Sep13 Aug20 Aug01 Jul15 (swingley duwayne)MCKEE J 122 6.00 14% 6.10    
DOMHNALL Sep26 Sep05 Jun20 May30 Apr30 (paquett)DE CRUZ 122 5.00 19% 4.40    
IMTAKINITTOTHEBANK Sep19 Aug24 Aug12 Jul28 Jun27 (dimmett james)ROCCO S 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
10  HE TAKES CHARGE Sep11 Aug29 Aug16 Mar16 Feb23 (klopp randy)LEAHEY HANNAH 122 4.50 42% 1.40    
 
IND-2   10/14/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($38K) 2 ALL PT- 2:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ILLEGAL CONTACT Oct02 Sep11       (klopp randy)PEREZ E 122 3.50 16% 5.20    
SPECIAL CREED Oct02 Jun04 May20 May09   (elliott)DE CRUZ 120 3.00    
RAPID JUSTICE Sep10 Aug21 Jun27 Jun05   (medina tomas)SANJUR SANTO 117 15.00    
CHARMING CHACHA Sep20 Aug25       (cluley denni)RAMOS D 117 5.00    
TAP TAP TAP IT IN Sep11 Aug22       (eggleston)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 1.40 58% 0.70    
ISMYBUSINESS Oct02 Sep10 Aug21 Jul02   (silva)ULLOA PATRICIO 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
IND-3   10/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($43K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MYGALJUSTICE Sep16 Sep06 Aug19 Jul29 Jun24 (labra rogelio)SANJUR SANTO 122 4.00    
RAFAELLA Oct02 Sep06 Aug15 Jun06 May22 (elliott)DE CRUZ 118 10.00 15% 5.90    
MARTZ CREEK MUSIC Sep24 Aug08 Jul17 Jul09 Sep29 (douglass dev)RAMOS D 124 15.00    
SHANGHAI EXPRESS Oct03 Apr16 Mar17 Mar01 Feb10 (haran john)ROMAN A 122 1.40 37% 1.70    
NO LACA CHARM Aug06 Jul03 Jun12 May22 May04 (brownfield cl)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 6.00 14% 5.90    
COMP Sep09 Aug06 Jul10 Jul03 Apr25 (labra rogelio)MOJICA O 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
ALLABOUTTHEIMAGE Sep16 Aug19 Jun24 Jun06 May08 (mcgovern shannon)PRESCOTT R 122 3.00    
 
IND-4   10/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43.52K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AHUMADO Oct03 Sep12 Aug27     (meredith char)CANUTO THIAGO 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of BEN'S HONOR by BEN BULBEN)
MARAVICH Feb03         (rider m)PRESCOTT R 120 20.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of JENNIFER'S DREAM by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
MASTER SWITCH Dec28 Dec09 Nov01 Sep17 Aug11 (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 20.00    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of KISS THE KING by ROMAN RULER)
ZAPPING STRIKE Sep23 Jul16 Jun26 May30   (labra rogeli)CALLEJA ANDRES 113 6.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of STRIKING BEAUTY by CURLIN)
MR DISCOUNT Sep17 Aug05 Jul06 Jun26 Sep14 (davis jos)CORREA L 120 4.50 41% 1.50    
  (by UNIFIED out of LEAVINGISWINNING by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SCR  MIDTERM Aug29 Aug04 Jul14 Jun02 May11 (miller r)MOJICA O 120 20.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of BETRUETOYOURSCHOOL by SILVER TREE)
SHALLUS Sep18 Aug29 Aug06 Jul10 Jun26 (labra rogeli)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 2.00 13% 6.70    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of STRIKE FREE by CONCERN)
BREWING Aug29         (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 120 10.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of JUST CAT by CITY ZIP)
SWEET AS SIN Sep23 Aug31 Aug06 Jul16 Apr26 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 115 3.00 24% 3.20    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of GIANT MOVER by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
 
IND-5   10/14/2024 4950ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($25.84K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIVELY REMARK Sep28 Sep04 May01 Apr21 Mar29 (esquivel j)VILLARREAL OSCAR 117 15.00    
CHAR Sep24 Sep05 Aug08 Jul20 Jun28 (jarvis kathy)CALLEJA ANDRES 113 30.00    
ZIVA Sep25 Aug19 Jul22     (hughes g)SANJUR SANTO 124 2.50 19% 4.20    
ONMYWAYTOSAVTHDAY Jul16 Jun18       (reed r)MCKEE J 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
PRISON BOUND Sep30 Sep09 Aug19 Jun26 May31 (meah m)MONCADA IRVING 113 10.00 13% 6.60    
DESPERATE TIMES Oct05 Jul29 May31 Mar15 Feb23 (bright derric)CANUTO THIAGO 120 30.00    
TAMARAC LADY Sep24 Aug19 Jul03 Jun11 Oct12 (holden j)PEREZ E 121 20.00    
CAPTIVE STAR Sep13 Jun13 May16 Mar06 Feb02 (cline r)DE CRUZ 124 12.00 6% 16.00    
MY SPRING SUNSHINE Sep27 Sep13 Aug23     (pinzon maria)SERPA ANGEL 120 6.00    
10  COME TO MAMA Sep07 Aug18 Sep09     (davis chr)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 1.60 37% 1.70    
SCR  CHARLINA Sep25 Aug19 Apr27     (shorter aaro)RAMOS D 124 15.00    
SCR  CHARM OF THE SONG Aug26 Jul21 Jul04 Jun05 May12 (foster eric)MACHADO LUAN 120 5.00    
SCR  I BE GONE Aug30 Aug16 May03 Apr04 Mar01 (west henry)PARKER L 120 20.00    
SCR  FROLICKING LADY Mar14 Dec16 Nov17 Aug19   (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 120 20.00    
 
IND-6   10/14/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38.5K) 2 ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BELLA'S CHARM         (cline r)DE CRUZ 122 15.00 7% 13.90    
  (by CHARMING KITTEN out of BELLA COUTURE by PULPIT)
MI SARGENTO Sep25 Sep06 Aug15 Jul18 Jun05 (duran antonio)PARKER L 122 8.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSONG out of LIL SUCRETTE by GEMOLOGIST)
SCR  READY TO SEIZE         (lauer michae)CALLEJA ANDRES 115 20.00    
  (by READY'S IMAGE out of SEVEN SEIZE by NORTHERN AFLEET)
TO FLY AND FIGHT Sep04 Aug15 Jul18     (garcia ge)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 30.00    
  (by UNBRIDLED EXPRESS out of MISS BLOSSOM by MUNNINGS)
FOREVER GREEDY         (richardville )LEAHEY HANNAH 122 6.00 31% 2.20    
  (by FOREVER D'ORO out of GREEDY AMERICAN by QUIET AMERICAN)
SCR  CITY PRAYERS Sep23 Aug29 Aug07     (haran john)ROMAN A 119 3.00    
  (by PRAYER FOR RELIEF out of CITY SEDUCTION by CITY WEEKEND)
UP N UP         (lauer michael)ASHTON GAVIN 122 10.00    
  (by READY'S IMAGE out of MIZZEN MY MOMMA by MIZZEN MAST)
TROUBLE OR NOTHIN         (gorham m)PEREZ E 122 8.00 8% 11.80    
  (by UNBRIDLED EXPRESS out of TROUBLENSHELBYVILE by LANTANA MOB)
MOORE GOLD Sep25 Sep04       (west aaro)BERMUDEZ E 122 12.00    
  (by FOREVER D'ORO out of JEWELISA by BLUEGRASS CAT)
10  BOLD JUSTICE Sep25 Sep04 Aug13 Jul18   (garcia genaro)SANJUR SANTO 122 4.00 17% 5.00    
  (by HARRY'S HOLIDAY out of PRAIRIE PRIZE by PURE PRIZE)
SCR  MOLLY'S POTION         (fontenot daw)RAMOS D 119 15.00    
  (by PATAKY KID out of MOLECULES by EINSTEIN (BRZ))
12  GIN AND WHISKEY         (douglass d)VILLARREAL OSCAR 115 30.00 7% 13.90    
  (by ELNAAWI out of MISS ARTIE by ARTIE SCHILLER)
 
IND-7   10/14/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($29.92K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BOSSY JEANS Sep22 Aug14 Jul04 Nov02 Sep15 (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 118 5.00    
CALLAS Sep18 Aug17 Jul04 May03 Apr12 (house g)DE CRUZ 122 4.50 20% 4.00    
MAIRSILS FIRST Jul20 May29 Apr28 Apr06 Mar16 (west henry)PARKER L 122 30.00    
SCR  LUCKY LESSON Sep18 Sep11 Jul17 Jun19 Jun12 (corrigan ji)LEONARD KILLIAN 118 8.00    
PRINCESS KALAMOH Sep13 Aug26 Jun25 Feb14 Jan10 (matthews randy)PRESCOTT R 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FLOWERY PATH Aug31 Feb21 Dec30     (murphy conor)CANNON DECLAN 118 30.00    
AMAZINGNESS Sep06 Aug15 Aug05 Jul15 Jun12 (granitz anth)BURGOS ALBERTO 119 2.50 11% 7.90    
SOUTHERN MESA Sep18 Aug15 Jul15 Jun24 Apr23 (hughes byron)CALLEJA ANDRES 115 20.00    
STREETCORNER Sep04 Aug11 Jul20 Jun27 Sep28 (stidham m)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 15.00    
10  LAST LEGACY Sep05 Jul17 Jun28 May31   (gonzalez lili)FLACO ARCELIO 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
11  NOSHUGFORPOP Sep18 Jul04 Jun10 Apr05 Mar13 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 6.00 45% 1.20    
12  SWEET ENCHANTMENT Aug14 Jul31 Jun19 May18 May03 (hernandez rey)SANJUR SANTO 118 15.00    
SCR  AL TIRAH Sep11 Aug20 Aug05 Apr11 Mar01 (torres concepci)SERPA ANGEL 122 15.00    
SCR  LEFTOVER SUSHI Sep13 Sep03 Aug17     (navarrete anna)SANJUR SANTO 118 10.00    
 
IND-8   10/14/2024 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($27.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOG RED Sep19 Aug14 Jul03 Jun06 May13 (cunningham)VILLARREAL OSCAR 115 8.00    
DEVILS RED Sep20 Sep14 Sep05 Aug11 Jul18 (finucane richard)PRESCOTT R 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
ENGLISH CHALLENGE May21 Mar30 Mar21 Mar07 Feb09 (estvanko ric)RAMOS D 122 8.00 18% 4.60    
MY GRASS IS BLUE Sep13 Aug13 Jul20 Jun20 May16 (toye lin)DOYLE SOPHIE 122 12.00    
AUTHORITARIAN Sep21 Aug22 Aug08 Jul24 Jun26 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 124 3.50 29% 2.50    
LIAM THE BRAVE Sep19 Aug19 Jun21 May12 Apr11 (esquivel jesu)JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 4.50 9% 10.00    
TAKECHARGEJUSTICE Sep11 Aug19 Aug05 Jul23 Jun25 (cluley )DE CRUZ 119 20.00    
GAMER Sep16 Aug20 Jul13 Jun21 May30 (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 122 6.00 18% 4.60    
SCR  COMMUNICATION MEMO Oct06 Aug17 Jul29 Jul15 Jun21 (hancock dana)SANJUR SANTO 122 5.00    
10  LEAVE IT TO KITTEN Sep19 Sep04 Aug17 Jul27 Jun27 (jarvis kathy)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 15.00    
11  I AM THE GAME Sep07 Aug14 Jul03 Jun06 May21 (chavez manue)CALLEJA ANDRES 115 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.