Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Finger Lakes
Monday - September 23, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FL-1   WIN (3/8/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/8/2)-(3/8/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/8/2)-(3/8/5/2)-(3/8/5/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/8/2)-(4/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-2   WIN (4/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/6)-(4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/6)-(5/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-3   WIN (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/1)-(5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/1)-(3/2/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-4   WIN (3/2/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/7/8)-(3/2/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/7/8)-(3/2/7/8)-(3/2/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/7/8)-(2/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-5   WIN (2/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/1)-(2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/1)-(6/9/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-6   WIN (6/9/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/9/3/7)-(6/9/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/9/3/7)-(6/9/3/7)-(6/9/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/9/3/7)-(2/4/9/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FL-7   WIN (2/4/9/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/9/3)-(2/4/9/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/9/3)-(2/4/9/3)-(2/4/9/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/9/3)-(2/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-8   WIN (2/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/1)-(2/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/1)-(2/6/1)-(2/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/1)-(8/5/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-9   WIN (8/5/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/3/4)-(8/5/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/5/3/4)-(8/5/3/4)-(8/5/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FL-1   09/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($11K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GANDY DANCING Sep04 Aug21 Aug07 Jul17 Jul08 (ronen assaf)DAVILA A 122 3.00    
SCR  DEE BO Jun18 May28 May13 Apr30 Mar22 (davis edmund)HARKIE K 118 3.00    
2  SNEADS Sep10 Aug21 Jul29 Jul08 Jun26 (murphy tim)DE EMANUEL 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  RIBBONS AND MEDALS Sep10 Aug11 Jul29 Jul19 Jun29 (potts wa)DAVIS A 122 2.50 56% 0.80    
4  RINGGOOD Sep10 Aug21 Jul24 Jul17 Jun26 (bond bren)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 124 20.00    
5  BRACIOLE Sep10 Aug27 Jan12 Jun17 May06 (gutierrez luis )ROHENA JR 122 3.50 ★    
SCR  PERUVIAN BOY Sep10 Mar02 Feb08 Jan27 Dec21 (sells rachel)PEREZ E 122 10.00    
7  MATTY'S EXPRESS Sep10 Aug21 Aug13 Jul10 Jun26 (oyola david)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 6.00    
8  CONFORMIST Sep02 Aug06 Jul23 Jun26 May14 (englehart chris)ROHENA M 124 5.00 16% 5.30    
 
FL-2   09/23/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STAY HOME MAMA Sep11 Aug26 Aug07 Jul17 Jul02 (miller-saul beth)CRUZ JOEL 124 3.50 18% 4.60    
2  MELISSA'S SMILE Sep11 Aug26 Aug07 Jul22 Jul10 (pettine jame)HARKIE K 124 6.00    
3  KAUFY FUTURES Aug19 Aug07 Jul24 Jul16 Jun25 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 124 4.00    
4  RUXTON ROCKS Aug19 Aug05 Jun12 Jan13 Dec07 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 124 3.00 56% 0.80    
SCR  CAR LADY Aug30 Aug08 Jun25 May22 Mar22 (graci a)AGUILAR M 124 2.50    
6  WINE TRAIL Sep09 Aug19 Jul24 Jul01 Jun04 (gibbs jermaine)ROHENA JR 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
FL-3   09/23/2024 3630ft DIRT RC11 SLOPPY Lady Finger Purse ($98.912K) 2 F PT- 1:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHO'S GOT THE TIP Sep09         (d'ales)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 10.00 11% 7.90    
  (by SOLOMINI out of NO PESO NO SAYSO by SCAT DADDY)
2  STONE SMUGGLER Aug22         (abreu r)COA J 120 2.50 32% 2.20    
  (by HONEST MISCHIEF out of BUSTINATTHESEAMS by BUSTIN STONES)
3  TRIPLE SWEET Jul30 Jun23 May16     (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 120 8.00    
  (by BIG BROWN out of SUNDAE'S A MEESE by ARTAX)
4  MISCHIEF LADY Aug14         (barker ed)DETTORI LANFRANCO 120 5.00    
  (by HONEST MISCHIEF out of MISS BUFF by FRIEND OR FOE)
5  IDYLL GOSSIP Aug26 Jul30       (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 120 2.00 35% 1.80    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of COZZY SPRING by SPRING AT LAST)
6  PRINCESS MISCHIEF Aug22         (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 3.50    
  (by HONEST MISCHIEF out of PRINCESS CONSORT by DIXIELAND BAND)
 
FL-4   09/23/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET INVASION Sep09 Jul30 Jul09 Jun26 Jun05 (acquilano jame)COA J 124 3.00    
2  THE NEW MIAMI Sep09 Aug21 Jul30 Jul17 Jun26 (vasquez r)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 124 4.00 8% 11.20    
3  LAUGHTER Aug28 Aug06 Jul24 Jul04 Jun19 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 3.50 48% 1.10    
4  CHRISTMAS DINNER Sep09 Aug21 Aug07 Jun25 Jun10 (breed a)CRUZ JOEL 124 8.00    
5  BETTY RUBBLE Sep09 Aug07 Jun26 May28 May07 (sells ra)DAVIS A 124 12.00    
6  WABAUNSEE Sep04 Aug21 Jul30 Jul02 Jun17 (pettine jame)HARKIE K 124 5.00    
7  COMFORTABLE CAT Sep26 Sep13 Aug29 Aug15 Aug01 (marino e)ROHENA JR 124 10.00 7% 12.50    
8  INVESTMENT GRADE Sep02 Aug21 Aug05 Jul24 Jul15 (morales samuel)PEREZ E 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
FL-5   09/23/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($26.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  SHELLY Aug27 Aug05 Jul02 Jun05 May22 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  INTENTIOUS Sep03 Aug12 Jul23 Jun25   (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 5.00    
2B  LIKA ROLLING STONE Sep09 Aug26 Aug12 Jul01 Nov26 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 121 3.00 31% 2.30    
SCR  STONE CREATOR Aug27 Dec31 Apr21 Mar03 Feb09 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 3.00    
3  BAVARIAN CREME Apr21 Mar05 Feb10 Nov26 Oct29 (buckley jonathan )PEREZ E 122 3.50 27% 2.70    
SCR  BUSTIN TIME Aug05 Jul04 Jun18 May14 May06 (davis ed)DAVIS A 119 10.00    
SCR  JACKSON AVENUE Sep02 Aug18 Aug05 Jul04 Jun18 (breed jr)DAVIS KATIE 122 4.50    
6  UNICORN CAKE Aug26 Jul19 Jun15 Jan19 Dec14 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 119 2.50    
7  STARR'S DELIGHT Aug14 Aug05 Jul04 Jun04 May21 (torelli stac)HARKIE K 122 15.00    
 
FL-6   09/23/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIVE DESTINATIONS Aug19 Aug05 Jul22 Jun10 May20 (acquilano )DE EMANUEL 124 8.00    
  (by DESTIN out of CINCO by PANCHO VILLA)
SCR  SUPPORT THE CAT Sep04 Aug26 Aug05 Jul22 Jun24 (sells rachel)ALVARADO R 124 15.00    
  (by COURAGEOUS CAT out of SUPPORTER by HOOK AND LADDER)
3  VIOLENT SWING         (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 121 4.00 7% 12.60    
  (by VIOLENCE out of JUDY'S CHANCE by FIRST DUDE)
4  WITT DASHING SPEED Sep04 Aug19 Aug05 Jul22 Jul08 (progno michael )ROHENA JR 124 20.00    
  (by ENCAUSTIC out of SHE'S GOT THEFEVER by GOLD FEVER)
SCR  PAINTING STONES Sep09         (barrow paul)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 4.50    
  (by BUSTIN STONES out of PINCELADA by WILDCAT HEIR)
6  BUSTINO SANTINO Sep13 Jul31 May17 Dec07 Nov10 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 3.00 40% 1.50    
  (by BUSTIN STONES out of AMULAY by IT'S NO JOKE)
7  SOLO FLIGHT         (d'a)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of SKY GAL by SKY MESA)
8  ALPHA SONNY May25 Apr28 Apr11 Mar14 Feb03 (lopez d)FRET STEVEN 124 7.00    
  (by ALPHA out of JO'S SUNSHINE by DIXIE BRASS)
9  RALEIGH ST. CLAIR Mar03 Feb02 Dec10 Nov02   (ryerson james )COA J 121 3.50 29% 2.40    
  (by STREET BOSS out of HEARTS OF RED by LION HEART)
 
FL-7   09/23/2024 3630ft DIRT RC11 SLOPPY Aspirant Purse ($131.892K) 2 ALL PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BRINK Sep09 Aug21 Aug14 Jul25 Jun21 (davis ed)DAVIS A 121 15.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of EQUANT by ORB)
2  MR. SUGAR DADDY Aug14         (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 121 3.50 28% 2.50    
  (by BLAME out of CRACK YOUR WHIP by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
3  KING'S LEAP Sep09 Aug21 Aug03 Jul12   (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KING FOR A DAY out of MINE AS WELL by MINESHAFT)
4  BOSTONTONIAN Jun22         (ward wesl)DETTORI LANFRANCO 121 2.50 22% 3.50    
  (by BERNARDINI out of FALCONESS by FOOLISH PLEASURE)
5  DON LUIS         (monserrate marisa)CRUZ JOEL 121 20.00    
  (by GORMLEY out of SAPPHIRE SKY by SKY MESA)
6  ARCH'S ASSAULT         (baker )MARAGH RAMSAY 121 12.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of ARCH'S SMILE by ARCH)
7  YOHEDA MONEY MAKER         (gutierrez)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 121 25.00    
  (by YOSHIDA out of STORMY SALUTE by STORMY ATLANTIC)
8  SOONTOBEKING Aug25 Jul13 May24 May10   (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 121 1.80    
  (by KING FOR A DAY out of SWAYED by FREUD)
9  CAST A COIN Sep09         (falk jacqueline)FRET STEVEN 121 12.00 20% 4.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of LIGHT THE DYNAMITE by INTO MISCHIEF)
 
FL-8   09/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 SLOPPY Leon Reed Memorial Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY'S GOLDEN GUY Jul10 Jun12 May27 May06 Nov15 (breed debra)FLORES JEREMIAS 118 15.00 14% 6.20    
  (by GOLDEN TICKET out of VALUABLE LADY by VALUE PLUS)
2  ROTKNEE Aug08 Jun08 May02 Mar02 Jan28 (mak)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 3.50 43% 1.30    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of IN SPITE OF MAMA by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
3  TACONY ROAD Aug28 Jul22 Jun26 Jun11 May29 (murphy tim)DE EMANUEL 120 20.00    
  (by KLIMT out of FINGERPAINTER by NOBIZ LIKE SHOBIZ)
4  ALLURE OF MONEY Jul08 May27 Nov15 Oct16 Sep25 (baker )MARAGH RAMSAY 120 12.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of ALANA'S ALLURE by SHACKLEFORD)
SCR  LOOMS BOLDLY Aug08 Jun08 May10 Apr05 Aug13 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 124 1.80    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of SEE THE FOREST by FORESTRY)
6  THE INSTITUTE Sep03 Jul10 May27 May06 Mar29 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 120 10.00 15% 5.80    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of PRINCESS VIOLET by OFFICER)
SCR  JAK N BURNY Aug01 Jul09 May27 Nov22 Nov08 (breed a)CRUZ JOEL 124 2.00    
  (by DESTIN out of BETTY'S CHANCE by DUCKHORN)
8  POMPOUS PRINCE Aug25 Aug01 Jul09 Jun05 Apr29 (ferraro anth)COA J 120 10.00    
  (by PALACE out of POMPOUS LADY by POMEROY)
 
FL-9   09/23/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MASSEY HALL Sep11 Aug28 Jul08 Jun19 Jun10 (babcock edwa)BERRIOS C 124 5.00    
2  TOWN JAK Sep11 Aug28 Aug20 Aug06 Jul24 (murphy tim)DE EMANUEL 124 10.00    
3  MASKED MARAUDER Sep11 Jun26 Aug22 Jul18 Jun27 (saul dana)BAEZ JOSE 124 4.00 13% 6.70    
4  TUCKABUCKAWAY Aug28 Aug20 Jul24 Jul08 Jun26 (thompson marcus)FRET STEVEN 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  PLAY BALL Sep11 Aug12 Jul16 Jul03 Jun22 (loaiza il)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 124 3.00 19% 4.30    
6  DOUBLE VISION Sep11 Aug20 Aug06 Jul24 Sep25 (progno michael )ROHENA JR 124 15.00    
7  HE IS BONAFIDE Aug23 Jun30 Jun16 Jun02 Dec15 (garza hector)ALVARADO R 124 20.00    
8  WARRIORS REVENGE Aug27 Aug12 Jun12 May06 Mar08 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 2.00 37% 1.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.