Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Saturday - August 17, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BTP-1   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3)-(2/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/3)-(6/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
BTP-2   WIN (6/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/5)-(6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (6/1/5)-(5/2/4)-(4/2/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-3   WIN (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/4)-(5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (5/2/4)-(4/2/6)-(2/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-4   WIN (4/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/6)-(4/2/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/2/6)-(4/2/1/6)-(4/2/1/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/6)-(2/6)-(2/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
BTP-5   WIN (2/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/6)-(2/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
BTP-6   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/7/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/1)-(2/7/1)-(2/7/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    PK3 (2/1)-(5/4/1)-(7/10/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-7   WIN (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/1)-(5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/1)-(7/10/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
BTP-8   WIN (7/10/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/10/3)-(7/10/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/10/3)-(7/10/3)-(7/10/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   08/17/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($15K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DREAM TRAVELER Jul24 Jul11 Jun08 May21 Apr23 (wittek karyn)LEBRON VICTOR 123 10.00    
2  LEGAL TITAN Jul24 Jul17 Jun06 May04 Dec01 (ewing mich)VILLARREAL OSCAR 113 3.50 58% 0.70    
3  BOSPHORUS BLUE Jul24 Jun19 Sep02     (sancal murat)MOJICA JR 121 6.00 11% 8.20    
SCR  LIBERTY BLUE Jul27 Feb23 Jan31 Jan11 Dec29 (kriple zvi)BATISTA X 121 15.00    
5  ROCKY'S EXPRESS Jun08 May02 Mar25 Mar07 Feb07 (hamm timothy)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 12.00    
SCR  FAVORITE HAUNT Aug07 Jul17 Jun12 May15 Mar21 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 118 8.00    
SCR  LUCKY LESSON Jul17 Jun19 Jun12 Mar16 Nov17 (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 113 2.50    
8  BOAT HOUSE Jul13 Jul06 Jun19 Jun06 May29 (galindo-torre)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 118 5.00    
SCR  STEP ON IT Jul29 Jul17 Jul02 Jun12 Apr27 (bush s)MOJICA O 123 4.50    
 
BTP-2   08/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMICABLE (IRE) Aug03 Jul20 Jul10 Dec17 Dec03 (vaughn terry)MURGIA A 123 6.00 23% 3.40    
2  PERJURY Jul27 Jul13 Jun22 May23 Oct16 (cross r)MCKEE J 125 4.00    
3  FAST FELIX Jun06 May23 May02 Apr25 Mar27 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 123 3.50    
4  SHAMMAH Aug03 Jul19 Jun06 May23 Feb17 (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 123 3.00    
5  CAPE MARCO DRIVE Aug03 Jul10 Oct24 Sep28 Sep20 (lopez e)SERPA ANGEL 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  JAHEZ Aug08 Jun22 May23 May15 Apr26 (fernandez e)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 2.00 27% 2.70    
 
BTP-3   08/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($20K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BIG TRUCK Aug08 Jul17 Jun07 Jan24 Dec28 (smith larry)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 4.00    
2  THEDAYOFTHEGREY May23 May04 Apr11 Feb14 Dec26 (cline robert )BRACHO A 123 6.00 19% 4.30    
3  BLAZING BURROUGHS Aug08 Jul18 Jun28 Sep20 Aug26 (smith larry)OUZTS W 125 3.50    
4  THE PINK Z Jun26 May25 Apr11 Mar25 Mar04 (silva ferna)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  STARTDFROMDABOTTOM Jul27 Jun21 Jun07 Feb28 Feb03 (ennis john)MONCADA IRVING 118 2.00 47% 1.10    
6  WHAT A RUSH Jul26 Jul04 Jun07 May30 May15 (cline robert )LEBRON VICTOR 123 4.50    
 
BTP-4   08/17/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($9.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPECIAL A Jul25 Jul06 Jun19 May22 May03 (alvarez ne)VILLARREAL OSCAR 119 4.00 ★    
2  SILENT CHAOS Aug02 Jun14 Oct07 Sep20 Aug29 (smith larry)JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 2.50 35% 1.80    
3  CONNECT ME Aug08 Jul20 Jul03 Jun13 May11 (estvanko richard)AVILES YAN 122 4.50    
4  IOYA AGAIN Jul18 Mar16 Nov17 Sep03 Aug09 (van thomas)MCKEE J 122 3.50 40% 1.50    
5  DAWN WEST Aug02 Jul03 Jun13 May30 Feb28 (ocasio osv)BATISTA X 122 6.00    
6  SHAKEM N BREAKEM Aug02 Jul03 Jun14 May17 Apr24 (dominguez )SANCHEZ LEXANDER 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  THISPOINTINTIME Aug08 Jul19 Jul03 Jun13 May16 (figueroa cesar )SERPA ANGEL 122 5.00    
 
BTP-5   08/17/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BRIC A BRAC Jun21 May31 Jan25 Dec14 Nov09 (brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 125 3.50    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of SENADA by PULPIT)
2  TAAMUQ Jul20 Nov07 Oct10 Sep06   (cox h)PETERSON FERRIN 119 4.50 37% 1.70    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of TAKREES by DAAHER)
SCR  MO SASHAY Jul27 Jun25 Jun08     (sharp joe)MCKEE J 119 5.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of RED SASHAY by BIG BROWN)
4  MUCHO MACHO CHICK Jul20 Mar14 Feb22 Jan04 Dec07 (toye lin)MURGIA A 125 8.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of IVANKA by FARMA WAY)
SCR  MY WORD May09 Apr17       (mackey wayne)ARAGON ROLANDO 119 20.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of OH MY by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
6  NATIVITY Jul20 Jun21 Sep20 Aug10   (drury thomas)MONCADA IRVING 114 4.00 35% 1.90    
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of FASHION WEEK by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SCR  FOREVER HOPEFUL Oct12 Sep16       (west w)LEBRON VICTOR 119 10.00    
  (by WEST COAST out of MY HOPEFUL HEART by STRONG HOPE)
8  CAT'S SYMPHONY Jul11 Jun04 May04 Apr13 Feb14 (oliver victor)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 2.50    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of CATRAGEOUS by D. J. CAT)
SCR  MISS TEN K Jan26 Dec23       (caramori c)VILLARREAL OSCAR 120 6.00    
  (by AMIRA'S PRINCE out of IMPERIAL LANE by IMPERIALISM)
 
BTP-6   08/17/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($18.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OILER Aug05 Jul18 Jun27 Jun15 Jun01 (faulkner ro)PETERSON FERRIN 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  COME SEE ABOUT IT Jul26 Jun27 Apr04 Mar19 Feb20 (cahill f)BUSH V 125 4.50 66% 0.50    
SCR  OUT WORK'N Jul26 Jun26 May03 Oct11 Sep08 (alessi jame)BLANCHE RISHAWN 117 12.00    
4  FALCONS FURY Jul05 Jun12 May29 May10 Feb23 (ocasio osvaldo)SERPA ANGEL 122 8.00    
5  MY ROMEO LIMA Jul17 Jun23 Jun02 May12 May02 (brownfield claude)MCKEE J 122 2.50    
6  NAVY CROSS Aug03 Jul17 Jun26 Sep20 Aug23 (engler jeff)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 4.00    
7  TIMELESS BOUNTY Jul15 Jun27 Jun02 May10 Feb17 (ocasio osvald)JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 3.50 ★    
 
BTP-7   08/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($27.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CONCORDSDIFFERENCE Aug03 Jul10 May17 May31 May04 (melancon paul)BUSH V 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
2  FACTISIMFLASHY Nov22 Oct21 Aug26 Jul22 Jun30 (antonuik)RODRIGUEZ A 122 4.00    
3  I'M LEGIT Aug03 Dec07 Nov22 Nov08 Oct21 (melancon paul)MURGIA A 122 3.50    
4  DANZANITEAWAY Aug03 Jul12 Jun28 May24 May15 (barker scot)JIMENEZ J 118 2.00 20% 3.90    
5  RONNI'S WIND Jul31 Jul10 Jun18 May28 May07 (cline robert )BRACHO A 122 3.00 38% 1.60    
 
BTP-8   08/17/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($9.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  COURT STAR Feb17 Jan20       (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 119 6.00    
2  VALENTINE CRASHER Jul27 Jun01 May18 Aug26 Aug04 (moger jr)MCKEE J 125 4.50    
3  MABEE WICKEDNWILD Jul06 Dec20       (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DESPERATE TIMES Jul29 May31 Mar15 Feb23 Jan24 (bright derrick)MURGIA A 119 30.00    
SCR  GAMBI Jul24 Jun22 Jul29 Jul14 Jun29 (alessi jam)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 125 8.00    
SCR  CACHACEIRA Dec16         (caramori edua)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 119 20.00    
7  BLUE VORTEX Jul26 Jul05 Jun07 Apr11 Mar08 (cahill f)BUSH V 119 3.50 63% 0.60    
SCR  MISS PLA Jul27 Jul05 Jun13 May11 Nov12 (ramos rafae)BLANCHE RISHAWN 114 20.00    
9  SECORD Jul27 Jun20 May29 Apr26 Mar27 (esqu)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119 12.00    
10  KATNAPPING Jun28 Jun12 May31 Oct07 Sep16 (aguirre r)PENA L 125 12.00 9% 10.30    
SCR  ORDERLY TRANSITION (GB) Jul11 Jun08 May04 Apr13 Mar30 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 125 2.50    
SCR  SALTY MAMA Jul06 Jun28       (kriple zvi)BATISTA X 125 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.