Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Mountaineer Park
Monday - August 12, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MNR-1   WIN (2/1/5/6/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/1/5/6/10)-(2/1/5/6/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    DD (2/1/5/6/10)-(8/7/2) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
MNR-2   WIN (8/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/7/2)-(8/7/4/6/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (8/7/2)-(8/7/4/6/2)-(8/7/4/6/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
    DD (8/7/2)-(8/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (8/7/2)-(8/6)-(9/3/6/2/1) 30 $2.00 $60.00 
MNR-3   WIN (8/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/6)-(8/2/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (8/6)-(9/3/6/2/1) 10 $2.00 $20.00 
MNR-4   WIN (9/3/6/2/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/3/6/2/1)-(9/3/6/2/1) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (9/3/6/2/1)-(9/3/6/2/1)-(9/3/6/2/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    DD (9/3/6/2/1)-(5/3/2/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
MNR-5   WIN (5/3/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/2/4)-(5/3/2/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (5/3/2/4)-(5/3/2/4)-(5/3/2/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
MNR-6   WIN (4/1/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/3/6)-(4/1/3/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (4/1/3/6)-(4/1/3/6)-(4/1/3/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (4/1/3/6)-(1/4/3/8)-(4/3/7/1) 64 $2.00 $128 
MNR-7   WIN (1/4/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/3/8)-(1/4/3/2/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    DD (1/4/3/8)-(4/3/7/1) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
MNR-8   WIN (4/3/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/7/1)-(4/3/7/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (4/3/7/1)-(4/3/7/1)-(4/3/7/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MNR-1   08/12/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAWEETIE GIRL Jul21 Jun18 Jun03 May19 Apr28 (gotera car)LEON A 120 3.00 16% 5.40    
OH POLLYANNA Jul17 Jun09 Mar29 Mar15 Feb15 (estvanko rich)BRACHO A 120 4.50 30% 2.30    
DEE DEE B Jun13 May08 Mar15 Mar01 Feb16 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 6.00    
SCR  THE HONORABLE EYE Jul29 Jul03 Jun23 Jun09 Mar27 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 123 5.00    
FREEDOM'S ALLURE Jul21 Jul09 Jun25 Jun03 May20 (ramgeet ti)WEATHERLY BAILEY 115 6.00 15% 5.60    
RIBBONS AND LACE Jul21 Jul02 Jun13 May21   (cluley denn)BARRIOS RICARDO 116 3.50 13% 6.50    
SCR  RED DELICIOUS Jul29 Jul15 Jun25 Jun10 May06 (carrillo rams)TOLEDO S 120 20.00    
CONNECT IT Jul31 Jul21 Jul09 Jun16 Jun03 (logston c)HERNANDEZ H 120 20.00    
SHARP LIFE Jun19 Mar26 Feb20 Nov01 Jun10 (preston rand)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 20.00    
10  ARTISTIC ALIBI Jul15 Jun25 Jun03 Apr30 Dec10 (mcdonald willi)DIAZ I 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
11  RAINOUT Jul29 Jun05 Sep10 Aug11 Jul21 (stansbury julie)NEGRON LUIS 120 20.00    
 
MNR-2   08/12/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COAL'S MAGNOLIA Jul31 Jul21 Jun26 May27 Apr25 (mcdonald w)WEATHERLY BAILEY 115 20.00    
NELL'S BELLS Jul15 Apr03 Feb27 Jun06 May16 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
ARTUME Jul24 May20 Dec27 Dec03 Nov19 (brinsfield brook)AVILES YAN 120 20.00    
BULLET VALENTINA Jul21 Jul07 Jun22 May19 Apr28 (montano wilfrid)NEGRON LUIS 120 3.00    
NOGRATZ Jul24 Jul15 Jun26 May19 May05 (fiesman r)HERNANDEZ H 120 30.00    
MACI'S WORLD Jul31 Jul16 Jun24 Jun03 May21 (stanoszek sara)WHITACRE B 116 6.00    
ZIPSY ROSE LEE Jul23 Feb22 Feb06 Jan09 Dec26 (fiesman robe)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 8.00 17% 4.90    
IN TO THE NIGHT Jul31 Jul21 May27 Mar20 Feb28 (shuler r)VEGA L 120 2.00 57% 0.70    
DASHING LASS Jul13 Jun01 May23 May11 Apr11 (shanley timoth)CHILO MAXIMO 120 3.50    
 
MNR-3   08/12/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MONEYSLOT Jul31 Jun30 Jun15 Apr21 Mar16 (gerich fr)HERNANDEZ H 116 20.00    
  (by MASTERY out of TIMESLOT by FIRST DEFENCE)
HONORS LEGACY Apr17 Feb14 Jan18     (mcentee paul)MURGIA A 116 1.60    
  (by HONOR CODE out of TARLOW by STORMIN FEVER)
KINGDOM'S SPIRIT Oct01 Aug27 Jul30 Jul22 Jun30 (cook de)BRAVO MISAEL 118 15.00    
  (by SKY KINGDOM out of NANETTE'S SPIRIT by WAR PASS)
MAYBE SARDONIC Jul29 Jun23 Jun03 May19   (cluley denn)BARRIOS RICARDO 116 12.00    
  (by TIZ SARDONIC JOE out of IDONTKNOW MAYBE by DONERAILE COURT)
TEST YOUR FAITH Jul23 Jul16 Jul03 Jun23 May27 (wade justi)WEATHERLY BAILEY 118 8.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of TAYLORS IRISH by DREWMAN)
ECHO Jun19 Apr24 Mar22 Feb29   (monday kevin)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SOUPER SPEEDY out of COUNTRY SUNSHINE by IRON (FR))
QUICKSTYLE Jul29 Jul11 Jun19 Jun04 May08 (galloway khade)DIAZ I 123 6.00    
  (by LEA out of SIMPLISTIC by ANDROMEDA'S HERO)
FRACING WILDCAT Jun23 Jun03 Apr27     (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 2.00 72% 0.40    
  (by UNION RAGS out of K P WILDCAT by INCLUDE)
 
MNR-4   08/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAJUN CHAOS Dec06 Jul19 Jul05 Jun28 May26 (montano wilfrid)NEGRON LUIS 123 30.00 5% 19.00    
BLAME BISHOP May03 Apr19 Mar29 Mar12 Sep15 (cordero-)GONZALEZ HENDERSON 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
PATIO PARTY Jul16 May21 May06 Apr21 Feb14 (blankenshi)WEATHERLY BAILEY 118 4.50 16% 5.40    
LOST IN MANHATTAN Jul03 Jun11 May22 Apr30 Dec28 (crago ter)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 123 5.00    
NIGHT BOSS Jul21 Jun17 Jun02 Dec04 Jul18 (sanders m)HERNANDEZ H 123 30.00    
MY MAE DAY Jul29 Jul03 May21 Dec11 Nov20 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 123 15.00 15% 5.60    
DEBDURITE Jul21 Jul10 Jun25 May20 Dec27 (ortiz-ruiz carm)LEON A 123 10.00    
INDOCTRINATE Jul15 Jun12 Jun03 May27 Mar05 (viands gregory)VEGA L 123 6.00    
CATES SWOOSH Jul16 Jul03 Jun24 Dec13 Nov20 (cain crystal)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 3.50 42% 1.40    
SCR  HARD LOVE Jul15 Jun11 May28 May10 Apr07 (crago terry)WHITACRE B 123 3.00    
11  THE WAYNE FACTOR Dec06 Oct29 Oct08 Aug07 Jul26 (stanoszek sara)DAVILA M 123 30.00    
SCR  RIVERBOAT GAMBLER Jul08 May27 Nov21 Oct31 Sep18 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 123 2.50    
 
MNR-5   08/12/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUTTON VALLEY Jul24 Jun23 Jun04 May20 May07 (hetrick n)AVILES YAN 120 2.50    
SOUTHERN SENSE Jul21 Jul08 Jun24 Jun17 Jun04 (silva pabl)NEGRON LUIS 120 3.00 15% 5.60    
FOWL NATION Jul30 Jul14 Jun01 May18 Apr29 (clouston edwa)CEDILLO MAURO 123 3.50 18% 4.70    
THE FILTER Jul09 Jun26 Jun11 Jan30 Nov05 (spiess shane)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
DYRDEK Jul22 Jul08 Jun24 Dec10 Nov19 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 120 4.50 34% 2.00    
OFFUTT COLE Jul08 Jun11 May20 May05 Nov01 (snatchko a)VEGA L 120 8.00    
KAZTHAROS Jul22 Jul15 Jul08 Jun19 Jun11 (inman rober)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 5.00    
 
MNR-6   08/12/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INDEFATIGABLE Jul10 Jun23 May10 Apr27 Mar27 (norris stepha)BRACHO A 120 8.00 31% 2.30    
ROYAL SPY Jul12 May25 Apr27 Apr13 Feb24 (shanley timoth)CHILO MAXIMO 120 15.00    
QUICK ENTRY Jul22 Jul09 May21 Apr23 Jan15 (sanders melinda)LEON A 123 8.00 9% 10.10    
MUNI MUNI SLEW Aug05 Jul15 Jun24 Jun05 May13 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 120 4.00 35% 1.90    
DREAMING OF SMARTY Jul21 Jun07 May23 Apr27 Mar27 (davidovich jamen)AVILES YAN 123 2.00    
STEALTHTHIRTYFOUR Jul30 Jun23 May26 May06 Apr22 (gotera ju)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
ELUSIVE VIRTUE Jul30 Jul23 Jul08 Jun25 May26 (montano wil)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 8.00    
CALL ME GUSTO Jul21 Jul01 Jun17 May23 Apr27 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 120 3.00    
 
MNR-7   08/12/2024 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($18.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUT OF CENTS Jul01 Jun18 May28 May13 Apr23 (treharne dave)BRACHO A 120 2.50 44% 1.30    
FIELDSTONE Jul01 Jun08 May17 Apr27 Apr06 (hetrick n)AVILES YAN 120 4.00    
SPEIGHTY WAR Jul21 Jun25 Jun10 Oct29 Oct11 (crago terr)WEATHERLY BAILEY 115 8.00 6% 16.60    
SENSEI LAWRENCE Jun18 May28 May13 Apr21 Mar28 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 120 3.50 28% 2.60    
CATFISH Jul29 Jun24 May27 Mar07 Feb16 (shuler r)VEGA L 120 10.00    
FLY HOME Jun08 Mar20 Mar05 Jan22 Dec21 (monday kevin)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 20.00    
MIGHTY ANGEL May29 May02 Sep06 Jul28 Jun25 (flick julia)LEON A 120 30.00    
KOZY'S WILDCAT Jun18 May27 May12 Apr21 Dec20 (sanders mel)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
DAVID'S GEM Jul15 Jun24 May08 Apr08 Mar19 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 123 4.50    
 
MNR-8   08/12/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROMANTIC JEWEL Jul21 Jul07 Jun25 Jun10 May05 (crago terry)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
SHELLY THE ROCKET Jul08 May21 Apr30 Feb13 Feb05 (logston chris)CEDILLO MAURO 120 30.00    
HIDDEN IDENTITY Jul28 Jun10 May20 May05 Apr23 (barker r)AVILES YAN 120 4.50 19% 4.40    
DANSEUR D'ORO May05 Mar16 Jan25 Dec27 Dec06 (joy j)WHITACRE B 120 2.50 42% 1.40    
SCR  WARRIOR EMPRESS Jul21 Jul02 May14 Dec06 Nov08 (clouston edward)NEGRON LUIS 120 5.00    
LADY MARVEL Jul17 Jul03 Dec06 Nov21 Nov07 (van denni)VEGA L 120 6.00    
GLORY DIA Jul21 Jun10 May20 Apr30 Dec05 (clouston e)WEATHERLY BAILEY 115 5.00 12% 7.30    
KINGSTON TIME Jul28 Jul10 Jun11 Mar17 Dec13 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 120 8.00    
SCR  SHE DAZZLE Jul23 Jun23 Jun01 Apr19 Mar17 (crago ter)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 8.00    
10  GALILEO'S AFFAIR Jul28 Nov14 Oct18 Oct02 Sep03 (ortiz-ruiz carm)LEON A 120 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.