Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Monday - July 29, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PID-1   WIN (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/4)-(6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/4)-(6/4/2/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (6/3/4)-(6/4/2/3)-(7/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PID-2   WIN (6/4/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/2/3)-(6/4/2/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (6/4/2/3)-(6/4/2/3)-(6/4/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/2/3)-(7/3) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/4/2/3)-(7/3)-(2/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
PID-3   WIN (7/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/3)-(7/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (7/3)-(2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (7/3)-(2/4)-(3/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
PID-4   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    TRI (2/4)-(2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (2/4)-(3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/4)-(3/1)-(4/7/3/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
PID-5   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/1)-(3/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    TRI (3/1)-(3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (3/1)-(4/7/3/8) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/1)-(4/7/3/8)-(6/2/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PID-6   WIN (4/7/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/3/8)-(4/7/3/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (4/7/3/8)-(4/7/3/8)-(4/7/3/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/3/8)-(6/2/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (4/7/3/8)-(6/2/1)-(2/8/10/7/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PID-7   WIN (6/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/1)-(6/2/4/8/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (6/2/1)-(6/2/4/8/1)-(6/2/4/8/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (6/2/1)-(2/8/10/7/3) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
PID-8   WIN (2/8/10/7/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/8/10/7/3)-(2/8/10/7/3) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (2/8/10/7/3)-(2/8/10/7/3)-(2/8/10/7/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   07/29/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOMINANT STRANGER Jun26 Jun11 May22 Sep19 Sep05 (judd cassandr)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 4.00    
2  AZTEC PRINCESS Apr07 Feb25 Oct24 Oct05 Sep06 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 122 4.50    
3  VINOS ANGEL Jul03 May30 Apr25 Oct02 Aug12 (morey wi)GALLARDO A 120 1.60 32% 2.20    
4  REAL GOOD VYBZ Jul10 Jun24 Jun03 May20 Oct23 (williams omani)STANLEY O 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  SIGN AND SEAL Feb24 Feb09 Dec29 Oct10 Sep26 (hamm timothy)ROJAS MARTINA 122 10.00    
6  MILLE DREAMS (FR) Jul08 Jun24 Apr12 Mar02 Feb14 (kintz matthew)BAYS BROOKE 115 2.50 35% 1.90    
 
PID-2   07/29/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BACALL Jun20 May25 May16 Apr26 Apr05 (rathman elish)ROJAS MARTINA 118 12.00    
2  WORKIN ECLIPTICAL Apr27 Feb01 Dec08 Oct24 Sep09 (connelly)RODRIGUEZ O 122 4.50 19% 4.40    
3  METANOIA Jul08 Jun24 Jun08 May06 May12 (uhacz wendy)MORALES PABLO 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  LADY FREE WILL Jun24 Jun06 May16 Apr12 Mar27 (bernard)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 6.00 22% 3.60    
5  LEIPZIG Jul07 Jun08 May12 Jul15 May26 (rodrigue)GALLARDO A 122 2.50    
6  GOOD ENOUGH FOR ME Jul23 Jul03 May29 Mar30 Feb28 (pappada micha)WALKER M 118 1.80 23% 3.30    
7  ZORA Jul17 Jul04 Jun19 Jun03 Sep11 (carr-rozantz c)ALLEN D 122 8.00    
 
PID-3   07/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOVE RESTRAINED Jul10 May20 Oct13     (morley t)GALLARDO A 120 1.80    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of JOINT RETURN by INCLUDE)
SCR  BOTITA Jul10 Jun26 Jun12 Feb08 Jan06 (antus lawrence)ALLEN D 124 6.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of NESSO by ROMAN RULER)
3  ALL AMERICAN ROSE Jul12         (brafford mic)ALENCAR WALBER 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KARAKONTIE out of AMERICA'S BLOSSOM by QUIET AMERICAN)
SCR  U AIN'T THAT LUCKY Jul11 Jun06       (danner kelsey)MORALES PABLO 120 2.50    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of SEEKING LUCK by SEEKING THE GOLD)
5  LENA KAHLENA         (russell randall)BAYS BROOKE 113 8.00    
  (by DISCO PARTNER out of KATHY'S CAUSE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  OPHELIAS DREAM Jul10 May27 Oct18 Sep26   (wismer s)STANLEY O 124 12.00    
  (by SOCIAL INCLUSION out of HOLY HEARTLY by LION HEART)
7  SMARTY PANTS Jul10 Jun26 Jun18 Aug02 Jul21 (norris stepha)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 4.00 38% 1.70    
  (by BAL A BALI out of SMART AND FANCY by NOT FOR LOVE)
 
PID-4   07/29/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DHABAB (IRE) Apr19 Dec30 Oct08 Sep02 Jul30 (vaughan )GALLARDO A 122 1.60    
2  DR. STEVE Jul15 May08 Jan31 Dec28 Nov30 (stites w)TORRES JOMAR 122 1.80 54% 0.90    
3  MEANT TO BE LUCKY Jul09 Jun24 Jun10 May22 Oct19 (bourke joh)ALENCAR WALBER 124 6.00 ★    
4  GOOSE HUNTER Jul15 Jul01 Jun11 Dec06 Nov10 (rice kevin)AYALA J 122 4.50 12% 7.20    
5  EPIC LUCK Jul01 Jun05 May27 Apr26 Apr13 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 12.00    
6  UNRAPTURED Jul04 Jun04 Apr18 Mar14 Feb24 (rogers mich)MORALES PABLO 122 8.00    
 
PID-5   07/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHEELINGNDEALING Jul04 Jun18 May27 May04 Apr17 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 8.00 23% 3.30    
2  STACY ATTACK Jul02 Jun16 Jun04 May11 Apr25 (bernardi)GALLARDO A 122 2.50    
3  WILD DELIGHT Jul16 Jul04 May27 Nov02 Sep11 (rogers mich)ROJAS MARTINA 122 3.50 26% 2.80    
4  NO EASY ANSWER Jul13 May24 May04 Mar27 Feb21 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 4.50    
5  SOLAIR Jul08 Jun17 May27 Dec27 Dec06 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 122 6.00 ★    
6  TRIPLE R RATED Jul04 May27 Oct18 Oct03 Jun26 (russell )MARTINEZ A 124 3.00    
SCR  LOADED ONCE MORE Jun25 Jun17 May26 May05 Mar27 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 122 15.00    
SCR  VACCINA Jul17 Jun25 Jun03 Oct17 Oct04 (judd cassandr)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 20.00    
 
PID-6   07/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ROBO WARRIOR Jul22 Jul03 Jun05 May22 Mar12 (rojas ed)MARTINEZ A 122 10.00    
2  CARENTAN Jul04 Jun01 Apr14     (matz mich)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00    
3  REELED IN Jul03 Jun12 May22 Oct17 Sep25 (martin w)GALLARDO A 122 5.00 18% 4.60    
4  HECTOR Jul02 Jun17 May20 May04 Apr14 (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 1.60 33% 2.00    
5  THORN OF HEARTS Jul03 Jun12 May20 Aug09   (miller d)BAYS BROOKE 111 20.00    
6  MISTER B Jun11 Apr30 Mar05 Feb10   (maker michael)MORALES PABLO 118 6.00    
7  FORCE OF JUSTICE Jul03 Jun08 May17 Apr21 Mar30 (rojas eduardo)ROJAS MARTINA 118 2.50 28% 2.50    
8  FLASHINTHENIGHT Jul09 Jul03 Jun12 May22 Nov19 (cheeks k)RODRIGUEZ O 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
PID-7   07/29/2024 5490ft DIRT RC11 FAST Princess Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANOINT May31 Nov10 Oct24 Oct05 Sep18 (brion ker)CARRASCO R 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of WARM GLOW by SKY CLASSIC)
2  ROSIE'S ALIBI Jun18 May21 Jan27 Nov23 Oct14 (trombett)GALLARDO A 118 12.00 16% 5.20    
  (by JUSTIFY out of ESSENTIAL ROSE by BERNARDINI)
3  GENEVIEVE'S Z VA Jul16 Jun25 Jun12 Oct24 Oct12 (carr-rozantz c)ALLEN D 118 30.00    
  (by ALPHA out of LADY CARSON M D by LORD CARSON)
4  NEW HIRE May31 Apr22 Mar13 Feb17 Jan31 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 118 3.50 ★    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of GWENDOLYN by LION HEARTED)
5  STERN CHASER Jun27 May31 Feb17 Jan14 Oct19 (matz micha)SANCHEZ J 122 4.50    
  (by ASTERN out of MYSTERIOUS WAYS by HAY HALO)
6  FOXY JUNIOR Jul11 May24 May02 Dec20 Nov22 (houghton thoma)TORRES JOMAR 118 2.50 60% 0.70    
  (by CUBA out of FOXY DRUMMER by FLATTER)
7  LOVELY EVER AFTER Jul04 Jun05 Oct17 Aug21 Jul24 (girten tim)STANLEY O 118 30.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of LOVELY REWARD by GULCH)
8  ON THE SHORTLIST Jul04 Jun18 May31 Nov11 Oct01 (mcclellan)RODRIGUEZ R 118 4.00 ★    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of GWENDOLYN by LION HEARTED)
9  IN A SPIN Jun27 May31 Dec31 Dec14 Nov04 (matz r)RUIZ JORGE 118 6.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of MYSTERIOUS WAYS by HAY HALO)
10  LADY OUTOFTHE BLUE Jul04 May31 Feb17 Jan19 Dec26 (matz mich)HERNANDEZ A 118 8.00    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of CUBIST by ROYAL ACADEMY)
 
PID-8   07/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ELUSIVE CHANGE Jul17 Jul04 Jun18     (russell )MARTINEZ A 124 8.00    
2  FAST LEARNER Jul15 Jul04 Jun18 May18 Jan19 (rogers mich)ROJAS MARTINA 120 3.50 25% 3.10    
3  OVERTIME CHARLIE Jul17 Jul04 Jun10 May20 Sep19 (depasquale ki)DELGADO DAVID 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  MR. IMPATIENT Jul04 Jun12 May20 Oct24   (morrell )RODRIGUEZ O 120 30.00    
5  THAT'S JUST GREAT Jul15 Jul01 Dec14 Nov10 Oct24 (kintz ma)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 120 5.00    
6  EXCLUSIVE ENTRY Jul01 Jun10 May29 May20 Aug17 (bourke joh)AYALA J 124 2.00    
7  LAST POST Jun25 Mar16 Feb04 Dec24 Nov11 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
8  COCOA BANANA         (girten t)GALLARDO A 120 10.00 24% 3.10    
9  NOT TODAY GOVERNOR Jul17 Jul04 Jun10 May20 Feb22 (hayes leland)ALLEN D 124 10.00    
10  DUKE OF SICILY         (martin willia)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 10.00 24% 3.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.