Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Presque Isle Downs
Thursday - July 04, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PID-1   WIN (2/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/3)-(2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/3)-(3/7/2/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (2/1/3)-(3/7/2/1)-(5/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PID-2   WIN (3/7/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/2/1)-(3/7/2/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (3/7/2/1)-(3/7/2/1)-(3/7/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/2/1)-(5/2) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/7/2/1)-(5/2)-(1/6/5/7) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
PID-3   WIN (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/2)-(5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/2)-(1/6/5/7) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/2)-(1/6/5/7)-(3/2/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PID-4   WIN (1/6/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/5/7)-(1/6/5/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (1/6/5/7)-(1/6/5/7)-(1/6/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/5/7)-(3/2/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (1/6/5/7)-(3/2/6)-(6/4/5/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PID-5   WIN (3/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/6)-(3/2/5/8/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (3/2/6)-(3/2/5/8/6)-(3/2/5/8/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/2/6)-(6/4/5/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (3/2/6)-(6/4/5/2)-(5/2/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-6   WIN (6/4/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/5/2)-(6/4/5/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (6/4/5/2)-(6/4/5/2)-(6/4/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/5/2)-(5/2/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (6/4/5/2)-(5/2/6)-(10/12/7/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PID-7   WIN (5/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/6)-(5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/6)-(10/12/7/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
PID-8   WIN (10/12/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/12/7/4)-(10/12/7/11/4) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    TRI (10/12/7/4)-(10/12/7/11/4)-(10/12/7/11/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PID-1   07/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HALF BIRTHDAY Jun18 May29 Oct26 Oct19 Oct12 (kintz ma)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 5.00 17% 4.90    
FORGOTTEN PEACE May29 Nov29 Oct26 Oct12 Jul05 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 122 1.00 46% 1.20    
WHEELINGNDEALING Jun18 May27 May04 Apr17 Mar23 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 4.00 5% 19.00    
RUSTY MY BROTHER Jun18 May29 May08 Oct26 Sep11 (girten t)GALLARDO A 124 2.00    
ABITIBI Jun06 May17 Apr19 Mar27 Mar09 (rodrigue)MARTINEZ A 122 12.00    
 
PID-2   07/04/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHEERFUL TROUT Jun25 Jun03 May27 Mar26 Mar14 (valdez moi)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BOISTEROUS out of BUCK TROUT'S NIECE by WAQUOIT)
BLAME THE WARRIOR         (judd cassandr)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 6.00 17% 5.00    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of DEFROCK by BLAME)
SISTER EVE Jun17 May27       (girten t)MARTINEZ A 120 4.50 27% 2.70    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of SKY MYSTIC by SKY MESA)
UPTOWN CAT Jun10 Feb25 Jan31 Jan19 Dec16 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 120 4.50    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of GOLDEN GEM by GOLDEN DODGER)
SENSIBLE MARRIAGE Jun24 Jun11 May28 Mar27 Mar13 (valdez moises)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 8.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of MARY BERNICE by BERNARDINI)
SHE'S GOT RHYTHM Jun17 May27 Sep26 Sep06   (russell randal)ALLEN D 124 3.00    
  (by SOCIAL INCLUSION out of CHAMPAGNE RHYTHM by EDDINGTON)
BESS' CANDY May27         (delacour)GALLARDO A 120 2.50 23% 3.30    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of BILLESDON BESS by DICK TURPIN)
 
PID-3   07/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILD DELIGHT May27 Nov02 Sep11 Aug16 Jul24 (rogers mich)ROJAS MARTINA 122 4.50    
TRIPLE R RATED May27 Oct18 Oct03 Jun26 Jun12 (russell )MARTINEZ A 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TIZ PROMISING RVF Jun25 Jun10 May28 Oct16 Oct04 (valdez moises)CARPIO JAIMEN 122 8.00    
SCR  SERENADE A KITTEN Jun04 May27 Apr20 Mar30 Mar16 (valdez moises)MARTINEZ W 122 4.00    
RED PIXIE Jun25 Jun04 Dec02 Nov10 Oct23 (brooks geral)AYALA J 122 1.80 59% 0.70    
SCR  NO EASY ANSWER May24 May04 Mar27 Feb21 Sep06 (mcclellan eri)MORALES PABLO 122 2.50    
 
PID-4   07/04/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIZ TACT TOE Jun19 Jun05 May28 Feb20 Oct24 (rojas eduardo)ROJAS MARTINA 124 2.50 28% 2.60    
ORAZIO Jun19 Jun04 May21 Oct17 Oct10 (pappada micha)WALKER M 122 3.50    
SECRETARY OF WAR Jun19 Mar29 Mar02 Feb07 Jan13 (kintz ma)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 8.00    
WARRIOR'S PLACE Jun13 Mar20 Feb23 Jan31 Jan11 (west w)MORALES PABLO 124 6.00    
CREATIVE CHOICE Jun19 Jun10 May28 Oct18 Oct09 (allen lisa)BAYS BROOKE 115 4.50 11% 8.30    
TEMPLET Jun12 May28 Oct07 Sep10 Aug23 (connelly)GALLARDO A 124 3.00 20% 3.90    
BLUEBERRY Jun24 Jun03 Nov29 Oct26 Oct18 (musarro josep)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
PID-5   07/04/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOLLOW THROUGH Jun17 Oct11 Oct02 Sep11 Sep04 (fennessy john)WALKER M 122 5.00    
RIA FORMOSA Jun17 May29 May11 Apr04 Mar23 (fennessy john)MORALES PABLO 122 3.50 25% 2.90    
JAZZ TIME GIRL May28 Oct10 Sep27 Aug15 Jul31 (morrell just)ALENCAR WALBER 122 2.50 46% 1.20    
SUSIE'S SAVER Jun17 Jun03 Apr27 Apr12 Mar22 (amaya joan)DELGADO DAVID 122 12.00    
PATH TO VICTORY Jun04 May29 Oct12 Sep21 Sep12 (herring)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 4.00    
MISS CLAUDETTE Jun11 May28 Apr06 Mar17 Feb24 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
BLUEBERRY PIE Jun25 Jun03 Sep19 Jun20 May26 (rogers j)MARTINEZ A 122 10.00    
HALEY'S HAPPY GIRL Jun05 Mar21 Feb14 Jan25 Dec26 (wismer s)BAYS BROOKE 111 6.00    
ZORA Jun19 Jun03 Sep11 Aug30 Aug16 (carr-rozantz c)ALLEN D 122 15.00    
 
PID-6   07/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHEWY CHEWY GOOD Aug02 Jun27 May29 May17 Apr10 (russell randa)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 6.00    
ULTIMATE BARONESS Jun19 Jun04 Oct10 Sep28 Sep15 (morrell r)SPIETH S 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SO MOXIE Jun19 Jun04 May21 Apr19 Sep05 (skawinski car)MORALES PABLO 122 3.50    
SONG OF INDY Jun19 May21 Aug29 Aug09 Jul24 (rogers mich)ROJAS MARTINA 122 4.00 24% 3.20    
WILD LOOKER Jun19 Jun04 May21 Apr19 Oct25 (kleine bernard)ALLEN D 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
KATESALUCKYGIRL May29 Jul12 Jun13 May23 Jul24 (depasquale ki)WALKER M 122 1.60 49% 1.10    
EMERALD CITADELLE Jun19 Jun04 May21 Sep25 Sep11 (wilson b)FOX CHRIS 122 12.00    
LIGHT HEARTED Jun10 May19 Oct25 Oct17 Oct02 (herrington ca)GONZALEZ ALEX 122 20.00    
DOWN TO EARTH Jun19 Oct25 Oct11 Sep27 Sep11 (ruberto )GALLARDO A 122 8.00    
 
PID-7   07/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WROTE IN STONE Jun05 May20 Oct26 Oct10 Aug23 (fennessy)GALLARDO A 122 8.00    
DIAMOND DUST Jun12 May27 Oct28 Sep18 Aug12 (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 124 1.80 21% 3.90    
BRUMBA WAFFLE TOES Jun24 Jun05 May02 Apr19 Oct23 (rice kevin)AYALA J 122 5.00    
SCR  SPIRITED SOL Jun12 May27 Sep02 Aug18 Aug10 (depasquale ki)WALKER M 122 4.50    
LEGENDS CAN'T DIE Dec09 Oct27 Sep24 Mar04 Jan14 (rice kevin)ALENCAR WALBER 122 2.00 42% 1.40    
UNRAPTURED Jun04 Apr18 Mar14 Feb24 Dec08 (rogers mich)JARA FERNANDO 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
PID-8   07/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAD AS JOHN Jun10 May28 Jul03 Jun05 May15 (depasquale ki)DELGADO DAVID 124 15.00    
ELUSIVE CHANGE Jun18         (russell )MARTINEZ A 124 8.00    
OVERTIME CHARLIE Jun10 May20 Sep19 Aug29 Aug07 (depasquale ki)WALKER M 124 12.00    
GET READY SET FIRE Mar03 Dec15 Nov23 Sep25   (gonzalez alda)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 30.00 5% 19.00    
FAST LEARNER Jun18 May18 Jan19 Dec06 Nov02 (rogers mich)ROJAS MARTINA 120 8.00    
NOT TODAY GOVERNOR Jun10 May20 Feb22     (hayes leland)ALLEN D 124 10.00    
MAKE THE BED Jun18 Jun04 May06 Mar27   (herrington ca)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 10.00 9% 10.30    
SCR  BRIAN Jul03 May29 May04 Aug13 Jul15 (mott ril)GALLARDO A 120 2.50    
MR. IMPATIENT Jun12 May20 Oct24     (morrell just)ALENCAR WALBER 120 15.00    
10  YANKEE TEA PARTY Jan29 Sep06 Aug08 Jul11 May16 (vitali j)BAYS BROOKE 117 4.00 45% 1.20    
11  ELM STREET Jun17 May27 May04 Apr12 Feb23 (west w)MORALES PABLO 120 5.00    
12  TRUSTME IAMADOCTOR Jun18 May22 Jan11 Dec07 Oct28 (trombetta mi)AYALA J 124 6.00 23% 3.40    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.