Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fort Erie
Tuesday - May 28, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FE-1   WIN (7/4/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/1/3)-(7/4/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/1/3)-(7/4/1/3)-(7/4/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/1/3)-(8/2/3/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FE-2   WIN (8/2/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/3/1)-(8/2/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/3/1)-(8/2/3/1)-(8/2/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/2/3/1)-(6/8/7/5/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
FE-3   WIN (6/8/7/5/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/8/7/5/1)-(6/8/7/5/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/8/7/5/1)-(6/8/7/5/1)-(6/8/7/5/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/8/7/5/1)-(8/7/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
FE-4   WIN (8/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/7/2)-(8/7/2/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/2)-(8/7/2/3/5)-(8/7/2/3/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (8/7/2)-(4/1/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FE-5   WIN (4/1/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/8)-(4/1/7/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/1/8)-(4/1/7/8)-(4/1/7/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/1/8)-(1/2/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FE-6   WIN (1/2/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/4/8)-(1/2/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/4/8)-(1/2/4/8)-(1/2/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/4/8)-(5/1/3/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FE-7   WIN (5/1/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/3/4)-(5/1/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/3/4)-(5/1/3/4)-(5/1/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/3/4)-(4/9/8/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FE-8   WIN (4/9/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/9/8/5)-(4/9/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/9/8/5)-(4/9/8/5)-(4/9/8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/9/8/5)-(6/9/1/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FE-9   WIN (6/9/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/9/1/5)-(6/9/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/9/1/5)-(6/9/1/5)-(6/9/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FE-1   05/28/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIXYURHAIRUPRETTY May19 Apr29 Apr04 Mar25 Mar12 (silva juan)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 8.00 18% 4.70    
2  IMPOSSIBLE BERTIE Oct03 Sep26 Aug28 Aug21 Aug10 (albu k)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 12.00    
3  PICK A PENNY Nov02 Oct09 Sep26 Aug28 Jul31 (fourni)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  HERMIONE GRANGER Sep26 Aug29 Aug15 Jul31 Jul10 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 120 3.50 19% 4.40    
5  LULU'S LULLABY Nov16 Oct26 Oct13 Sep21 Aug24 (squires a)BYNOE DESEAN 117 4.50    
6  GRADEVOLE May17 May04 Nov16 Oct28 Sep14 (dixon patrick)SALLES LEO 120 4.00    
7  TAMANA Nov16 Nov02 Oct07 Sep15 Aug27 (simms c)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 2.50 40% 1.50    
8  MISS SCHILLER Sep26 Aug29 Jul31 Jul10 Jun13 (robillar)BUCHANAN Z 120 12.00    
 
FE-2   05/28/2024 3300ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWO YEAR CONTRACT Oct16 Oct10 Oct03 Sep18 Aug13 (capi m)KERR CHEYENNE 110 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  BAILS HIM OUT May07 Feb13 Dec30 Dec09 Nov18 (silva juan)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 3.00 20% 4.00    
3  HEEZESPEEDY Nov23 Nov09 Oct20 Sep29 Sep15 (cathcart steven)MAILHOT P 122 4.00 12% 7.20    
4  EYE GOT IT GOOD Nov04 Oct26 Oct12 Sep26 Aug21 (humber)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 117 5.00    
5  RELOAD BULLET May12 Dec17 Dec01 Nov17 Oct16 (agostino g)JOHNSON KIRK 120 8.00    
6  GUS'S GAMBLE Oct27 Sep14 Sep01 Aug18 Aug07 (albu)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 6.00    
7  PHILBIN ROAD May07 Apr23 Mar21 Mar13 Feb21 (silva pabl)VIVES SOFIA 117 10.00    
8  ANARCHY Dec01 Nov02 Oct12 Sep01 Jul16 (mileni nick)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 3.50 46% 1.20    
SCR  SENSING HOLIDAY Oct27 Oct16 Sep04 Aug21 Jul31 (wills )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 6.00    
 
FE-3   05/28/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOBILIZER Oct17 Sep25 Sep12 Sep04 Aug21 (keen howard)JOHNSON KIRK 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  EXCEED Dec01 Nov12 Oct07 Sep19 Sep12 (agosti)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 124 15.00    
3  BOUND LUCKY Nov12 Oct16 Oct09 Sep26 Aug29 (ceccato shar)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 119 12.00    
4  BIG BROWN BREWSKII Oct16 Oct03 Sep18 Aug28 Aug22 (blake )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 124 8.00    
5  GREAT GO GO Nov05 Oct21 Oct11 Sep02 Aug12 (mcma)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 124 3.00 5% 19.00    
6  PALACE PRINCE Jan11 Dec10 Nov22 Nov13 Oct17 (silva juan)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 4.00 45% 1.20    
7  JAMAICAN JIMMY Nov12 Sep18 Sep05 Aug28 Aug13 (fournier mark)ZENTENO EDGAR 124 5.00 14% 6.30    
8  BIG TIME LOUIE Dec01 Nov12 Sep18 Sep04 Aug01 (agostino ge)VIVES SOFIA 119 2.50 16% 5.40    
9  CRUMLIN EXPERIENCE Dec05 Nov06 Oct16 Sep26 Sep12 (robillard julie)SALLES LEO 122 20.00    
 
FE-4   05/28/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOUR KNIGHTS Oct10 Sep19 Aug29 Aug07 Jul24 (blake j)MORENO OMAR 124 10.00    
2  REDOUTE'S LIGHT Nov15 Nov01 Oct17 Oct03 Sep19 (robill)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  CRYPTIC CREED Sep26 Sep12 Jul24 Jun27 Jun13 (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 122 15.00 ★    
4  A I INITIATIVE Nov24 Nov18 Oct03 Sep19 Sep05 (ceccato shar)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 119 6.00    
5  BEYOND MY DREAMS May06 Feb14 Dec27 Dec13 Nov05 (robillard jul)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 8.00 ★    
6  HADDASSAH'S DEVIL Apr09 Mar14 Feb27 Feb01 Jan18 (davis m)MAILHOT P 124 3.00    
7  LOQUACIOUS Oct16 Oct09 Oct03 Sep18 Sep05 (chudobiak gary)CRAWFORD J 124 4.50 18% 4.50    
8  HICKSY Nov03 Sep15 Aug13 Jul02 Jun11 (loes)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 124 2.00 59% 0.70    
9  HALF LIT Dec08 Nov24 Nov12 Oct29 Oct16 (keen how)BUCHANAN Z 124 30.00    
 
FE-5   05/28/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PERFECT PROVISION May11 Dec14 Nov23 Jul13 May19 (agostino geo)SALLES LEO 122 5.00 36% 1.80    
2  NICOLE'S SONG Oct17 Sep26 Sep04 Aug15 Aug01 (blake j)MORENO OMAR 122 8.00    
3  SPIRIT BELLE Nov16 Nov04 Oct17 Oct10 Sep26 (meli salvator)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 8.00    
4  SPRING HIGH May14 Sep26 Sep04 Aug25 Aug05 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 122 3.00 38% 1.60    
5  DOODLE DANDY May11 Oct16 Oct03 Sep12 Aug29 (hoad lindsay)CHEYNE A 122 20.00    
6  STOLE THE RING Dec01 Nov16 Oct19 Sep28 Sep09 (chudobiak gary)MAILHOT P 122 6.00    
7  STRIKE THE POSE Oct17 Oct06 Sep15 Sep03 Aug06 (mile)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 2.00 ★    
8  T'PRING May17 Apr28 Dec14 Nov30 Nov10 (clemmer krista)SINGH S 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
FE-6   05/28/2024 3300ft DIRT RC11 SLOPPY Summer Solstice Cup Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMI'S GIRL May12 Apr28 Dec16 Nov25   (butt)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 1.80 48% 1.10    
  (by AMI'S HOLIDAY out of RAILTOWN GIRL by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
2  AMONG THE ROSES Dec02 Oct14       (humber)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 3.00 14% 5.90    
  (by CURLIN out of PRIVATE CLIENT by KITTEN'S JOY)
3  GAMBLER'S POSE Oct26 Oct13 Aug26 Aug18 Jul30 (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 122 12.00    
  (by GAMBLE'S EXCHANGE out of TREE POSE by OLD FORESTER)
4  KNOTTY AND NICE Jul16 Jun25 Jun03 May05 Nov10 (robillar)BUCHANAN Z 122 5.00 14% 5.90    
  (by BIG SCREEN out of KNOTTY PINE by PIVOTAL (GB))
5  ROHESE May11 Nov11 Sep23     (willi)GASKIN ZAVIER 120 20.00    
  (by HYPER out of MOUNTAIN ASTOR by AFTER MARKET)
6  BAMBOO'S BABE Apr27         (cathcart steven)SINGH S 122 10.00    
  (by STEPHANOATSEE out of BAMBOO STICK by FREUD)
7  ALMONTE PRINCESS May05 Jan09 Dec14 Dec07 Nov23 (powell a)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 6.00    
  (by PRINCEPS SENATUS out of PRETTY CHRISTINA by TOUCH GOLD)
8  BELLASPINA Nov09 Oct13 Sep22 Sep10 Sep01 (newland george)VIVES SOFIA 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TURFISTE out of MALASPINA by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
 
FE-7   05/28/2024 3300ft DIRT RC11 SLOPPY Sprint Into Summer Cup Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUSTA GROOVE Apr28 Dec08 Nov25 Nov09 Oct13 (agostino geo)SALLES LEO 122 3.00 18% 4.50    
  (by ARPISTA out of SYDNEY'S SPIRIT by GIANT GIZMO)
2  SCREEN LEGEND Dec17 Dec08 Nov12 Oct26   (robillard jul)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 5.00    
  (by BIG SCREEN out of AWESOME LASS by AWESOME AGAIN)
3  FOLLOW ME HOME         (buttig)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 8.00 15% 5.60    
  (by UNKNOWN out of GREATEST ESCAPE by GAME PLAN)
4  DRILLHALL Nov26 Nov03       (husbands anthon)VIVES SOFIA 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SOCIETY'S CHAIRMAN out of SUNSET COCKTAIL by PRECISE END)
5  OPEECHEE Apr28 Nov12 Oct27 Oct02 Sep25 (cecc)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 4.00 36% 1.80    
  (by COLD HARBOR out of MS. FORUM by OPEN FORUM)
6  FAJARDO Sep26 Sep11 Aug25 Aug11 Oct02 (warner k)MAILHOT P 122 15.00    
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of CABRIOLE by FLATTER)
SCR  AUTUMN'S SO FLASHY Dec08 Nov25 Nov10 Oct20 Sep04 (chudobiak ga)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 122 6.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of FLASHY WAYS by BO JINSKY)
8  DISCOVERY CHART Dec15 Dec02 Nov23 Oct27 Oct06 (wills daniel)JOHNSON KIRK 122 3.50    
  (by CHART TOPPER out of LADY DISCOVERY by MALIBU MOON)
 
FE-8   05/28/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($18.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TANGERINE TWIST Dec14 Nov17 Oct26 Oct13 Oct03 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 120 8.00    
2  WICKEN CENTS Oct03 Aug13 Jul31 Jul16 May30 (benne)GASKIN ZAVIER 115 20.00    
3  HELECONIA Dec16         (capi m)KERR CHEYENNE 110 15.00    
4  CHROME'S BIG BREAK May12 May06       (silva juan)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 3.00 30% 2.40    
5  ALWAY'S ROSIE Oct09 Sep26 Sep11 Aug28 Aug13 (albu k)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  KINDOFBLUEKITTEN Apr27 Mar04 Feb10 Jan28 Jan08 (cathcart steven)MAILHOT P 122 6.00    
7  FRAULEIN VICTORIA Sep28 Sep07 Aug24 Jul13 Jun15 (alderson antho)BYNOE DESEAN 115 10.00    
8  JIMMY IS A BREEZE Nov30 Nov17 Oct26 Oct02 Sep11 (simms c)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 4.50 22% 3.60    
9  SHES HOT TO TROT Oct22 Sep20 Sep12 Aug28 Jun13 (robillard julie)SALLES LEO 120 3.50 28% 2.50    
SCR  FREED BY MAGIC May05 Dec26 Dec09 Nov26 Nov18 (cath)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 20.00    
 
FE-9   05/28/2024 3300ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($23.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KID FORESTER May05 Mar24 Dec17 Nov18 Oct27 (robill)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  FREE SQUARE Apr30 Apr22 Feb05 Dec29 Nov25 (robillar)BUCHANAN Z 122 2.50    
3  TRULY MISCHIEF Mar17 Feb18 Feb04 Jan14 Dec13 (adamo anthony)VIVES SOFIA 117 3.00    
SCR  WESTWARD LOOK May04 Mar21 Feb20 Feb06 Oct27 (silva juan)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 120 12.00    
5  CORE Sep19 Sep04 Aug21 Aug01 Jul18 (warner k)MAILHOT P 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  STRONG ENDING Nov05 Oct16 Oct10 Sep25 Sep04 (davi)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 8.00 44% 1.30    
7  HALF TO RELOAD Nov05 Oct16 Oct09 Sep25 Sep11 (blake )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 15.00    
8  MISTER BANJOMAN Apr28 Apr13 Apr03 Mar20 Mar09 (keen howard)WOLFE TENECA 122 6.00    
9  VICTORY MARCH Dec03 Oct16 Sep25 Aug08 Jul03 (simms c)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 5.00 28% 2.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.