Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Wednesday - May 01, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-4   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/2)-(6/5/2)-(5/4/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TUP-5   WIN (6/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/2)-(6/5/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/5/2)-(6/5/4/2)-(6/5/4/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/5/2)-(5/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/5/2)-(5/4/2)-(6/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TUP-6   WIN (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/2)-(5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/2)-(6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/4/2)-(6/7)-(1/3/9/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
TUP-7   WIN (6/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/7)-(6/7/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/7)-(6/7/3)-(6/7/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (6/7)-(1/3/9/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/7)-(1/3/9/8)-(6/11/9/3) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
TUP-8   WIN (1/3/9/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/9/8)-(1/3/9/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/9/8)-(1/3/9/8)-(1/3/9/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/9/8)-(6/11/9/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/3/9/8)-(6/11/9/3)-(1/5/4/8/10) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TUP-9   WIN (6/11/9/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/11/9/3)-(6/11/9/3/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/11/9/3)-(6/11/9/3/2)-(6/11/9/3/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/11/9/3)-(1/5/4/8/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TUP-10   WIN (1/5/4/8/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/5/4/8/10)-(1/5/4/8/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/5/4/8/10)-(1/5/4/8/10)-(1/5/4/8/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-4   05/01/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET AND EZ Apr08 Mar14 Feb19 Sep17   (eikleberry kevi)CORBETT W 124 2.00 66% 0.50    
  (by EZ EFFORT out of R SWEET ADDICTION by OLD FASHIONED)
2  LA DELHOMME'S SHOW Apr16 Apr04 Mar26 Feb19 Feb06 (zi)DA FAUSTO 124 6.00 7% 14.30    
  (by DELHOMME out of LA PROFESORA by WELL INFORMED)
3  EZ ALL THE WAY Apr17 Apr03 Mar19     (martine)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 2.50    
  (by EZ EFFORT out of R LA PATRONA by BENCHMARK)
4  BRIEF NOTE Apr04 Mar16 Dec10     (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 124 0.80    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of NOTE MAKER by TOP HIT)
 
TUP-5   05/01/2024 5280ft TURF RC2 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CY'S SILKSTOCKING Apr17 Apr06 Dec10 Oct22   (belvoir vann)CRUZ M 124 12.00    
2  SUZZIE'S DARLIN Apr10 Mar15 Sep08     (fuentes)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  DANDY DAY Apr23 Apr04       (silva l)ARBOLEDA ALDO 118 10.00    
4  SENT BY ANGELS Apr17 Mar27 Jul09 Jun11 Apr19 (belvoir van)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 4.50 ★    
5  MARK OF VICTORY Apr17 Mar27 Mar14 Nov10 Aug30 (lund valorie)LOPEZ KARLO 124 2.50 24% 3.20    
6  HERON BAY Mar27 Dec31 Dec10 Aug03 Jun10 (drysdale neil)AYUSO ARMANDO 124 4.00 51% 0.90    
7  STAKEMAKER Apr06         (freeman r)PENA BRYAN 118 3.50    
8  SUMMER RUSS Apr17 Apr03       (kenney ryan)CORBETT W 118 6.00    
 
TUP-6   05/01/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($34K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IMPOSSIBLE TASK Apr11 Mar28 Feb12 Jan05 Dec17 (ortiz sr)CORBETT W 122 10.00    
2  SAXON SAGA Oct22 Oct07 Sep23 Sep13 Aug29 (anderson gonzalo)PENA BRYAN 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
3  KEEN HEIR Apr11 Mar28 Mar06 Feb20 Feb06 (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.00    
4  DESHAMBEAU Apr11 Mar14 Feb12 Dec09 Nov18 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 122 3.50 10% 8.70    
5  TONY'S TAPIT Apr23 Mar28 Mar14 Feb15 Jan29 (si)DA FAUSTO 122 2.50 56% 0.80    
SCR  RACE HOME Apr17 Mar18 Oct21 Sep19 Aug25 (silva jr)CRUZ M 122 4.00    
 
TUP-7   05/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($34K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INTERSTELLA Sep30 Aug27 Aug11 Jul21 Jun23 (eikleberry)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 4.00    
2  PRESENT TIME Mar26 Feb13 Dec19 Nov13 Sep17 (eikleberry kevi)CORBETT W 124 2.50    
3  OCTANE (BRZ) Apr20 Feb24 Jan20 Dec30 Oct21 (si)DA FAUSTO 124 4.50 ★    
SCR  SAILING ALONG Mar26 Mar11 Feb29 Feb13 Jan30 (silva l)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 5.00    
5  LOVELY LOLA Apr22 Apr08 Mar05 Feb14 Dec13 (simpson shannon)PENA BRYAN 124 10.00    
6  DIPLOMATICA Apr09 Mar26 Mar05 Oct11 Aug24 (martinez )VALENZUELA A 124 3.00 31% 2.20    
7  MISSCZECH Mar28 Mar05 Oct21 Sep30 Sep16 (anderson gonzal)CRUZ M 124 8.00 26% 2.80    
 
TUP-8   05/01/2024 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($31.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EMILY SMILES Mar20 Feb29 Dec20 Nov21 Nov13 (evans justin)REYES R 122 2.50 35% 1.80    
SCR  MINEDANDREFINED Apr09 Feb15 Feb05 Oct08 Aug17 (silva l)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 6.00    
3  COCKTAIL SLIPPERS Apr03 Mar18 Feb27 Sep04 Jul23 (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 122 5.00 18% 4.60    
4  WE ALL AGREE Mar28 Mar20 Feb29 Sep27 Sep11 (barrio ser)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 12.00    
5  QUEEN MYSTIC Apr23 Apr10 Feb26 Jun16 Jun04 (dennis cl)IRONEYES R 117 20.00    
6  PACIFIC ZIP Jan19 Jan06 Dec26 Oct30 Jul30 (silva jose )MORALES ROBERTO 122 3.50    
7  SWEET SONNY Mar20 Feb29 Feb14     (uranga je)VALENZUELA A 122 4.50    
8  SAVONA (IRE) Sep13 Aug27 Jul13 Jun10 May29 (perren )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  HIGH GUNNER Mar25 Mar04 Feb06 Dec05 Nov20 (belvoir vann)CRUZ M 122 10.00 15% 5.90    
 
TUP-9   05/01/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($14K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAMALONA Apr23 Apr10 Mar26 Mar11 Feb26 (soto antoni)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00    
2  CLAY'S OPAL INDY Feb07 Jan25 Nov21 Sep02 Jul31 (alvarez se)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 5.00 ★    
3  CIELO DIAMANTE Apr08 Jul07 May28 May20 Apr15 (alvarez sergio)PENA BRYAN 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  FOLK HERO Apr23 Apr10 Mar26 Mar18 Feb26 (gomez aleja)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 20.00    
SCR  DANIELLE'S SECRET Apr18 Mar12 Feb26 Oct09 Sep25 (lawrence he)MORALES ROBERTO 124 20.00    
6  MARY MARGARET Apr08 Mar11 Feb06 Jan21 Jan06 (eikleberry kevi)CORBETT W 124 4.00 37% 1.70    
7  PALACE STAR Apr16 Mar26 Mar13 Feb26 Feb06 (perkins fr)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 6.00    
SCR  SHOUT IT OUT Apr10 Mar13 Feb26 Feb06 Dec30 (bainum kelly)MAWING A 124 4.50    
9  COLLECTING STARS Feb01 Jan17 Dec19 Nov26 Nov04 (hop mike)IRONEYES R 119 20.00 18% 4.60    
10  MISS JOANNIE Apr24 Apr10 Mar25 Mar05 Feb21 (uranga je)VALENZUELA A 124 15.00    
11  JASMINE CHIEFTAIN Apr16 Apr08 Mar19 Mar03 Feb09 (woolley bennie )LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.00 24% 3.20    
12  MY CRAFTY GAL Apr22 May02 Apr01 Aug11 Jul17 (leon priscill)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 8.00    
 
TUP-10   05/01/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INESPERADO (FR) Apr08 Mar05 Feb07 Dec18 Sep04 (eikleberry kevi)CORBETT W 124 4.00 33% 2.00    
2  EMPEROR'S CHOICE Apr15 Apr03 Mar18 Mar05 Feb12 (leon alexis)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 20.00    
3  MEET JOE Apr16 Mar19 Feb19 Sep02 Aug07 (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 124 8.00    
4  JOKER MATT Apr18 Mar26 Mar05 Feb20 Feb06 (bourdieu martin)CRUZ M 124 5.00 9% 9.70    
5  IRISH HEATWAVE Apr15 Jan27 Oct15 Sep30 Aug27 (bainum kel)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 2.50 23% 3.30    
6  HONKY TONK HERO Apr03 Mar18 Oct31 Oct08 Sep10 (wolf ashlee)AYUSO ARMANDO 124 20.00    
7  JOHNNY DAR Oct22 Sep23 Jul28 Jul09 Jun10 (silva jr)PENA BRYAN 124 6.00    
8  PLAYOFF BOUND Apr08 Mar13 Aug25 Jul28 Jul07 (toye jo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 6.00 6% 15.90    
SCR  MOUNTAIN BREEZE (IRE) Apr18 Mar28 Aug24 May20 May07 (moreno car)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 20.00    
10  MACEDONIAN RULER (AUS) Apr16 Apr08 Mar25 Mar13 Feb22 (silva l)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WEAR THE CROWN Apr15 Mar26 Mar13 Aug26 Aug12 (toye joe)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.