Handicappers' Racing Form

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Turf Paradise
Thursday - February 22, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TUP-3   Win (2/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00
TUP-4   Win (4/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-5   Win (1/2/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TUP-6   Win (7/3/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TUP-7   Win (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-8   Win (6/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
TUP-3   02/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:51
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GO LAKER GO Dec05 Nov14 Oct21 Sep30 Sep03 (barraza s)MAWING A 122 5.00    
BRAYBRAY Aug26 Jul31 Jul15 Jun17 Mar06 (martinez a)RADKE K 122 3.50 64% 0.60    
MIGHTY TIGER Feb06 Aug18 Jun25 May27 May01 (caraman michael)LULL E 122 8.00    
ECONOMICAL Feb06 Oct21 Sep24 Sep08 Aug18 (silva jua)BRAVO MISAEL 117 4.00    
CURLY ESA Feb06 Jan26 Dec30 Oct07 Sep24 (homer jason)PENA BRYAN 122 3.00    
YOU ENJOY MYSELF Feb06 Jan12 Dec30 Dec09 Nov17 (fuentes rube)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 2.50 7% 12.70    
 
TUP-4   02/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:19
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOUND MY BALL Feb01 Jan25 Jan11 Dec06 Nov22 (silv)DA FAUSTO 122 2.50    
SCR  BRAZEN BULL Feb01 Jan11 Dec01 Aug26 Jun23 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 3.00    
RESPECT THE UNION Mar14 Feb27 Jan31 Jan05 Sep18 (ferguson cu)VALENZUELA A 122 4.00 12% 7.10    
I AM FREAKY FAST Apr04 Mar11 Feb18 Jan26 Jan05 (ferguson curt)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.50 55% 0.80    
AWESOME MOVE Sep03 Aug04 Jul09 Dec03 Oct30 (birdwell tena)CRUZ M 122 6.00    
THIRSTY JOHN Feb12 Feb01 Dec02 Nov03 Mar11 (silva jua)BRAVO MISAEL 117 5.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-5   02/22/2024 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Luke Kruytbosch Purse ($60K) 3 ALL PT- 4:49
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHARP LORENZO Feb02 Jan15 Dec30 Dec16 Nov23 (campu)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 121 3.00 30% 2.30    
FERRARI RED Oct14 Sep10 Aug13 Jul16   (martinez a)CORBETT W 121 6.00 23% 3.30    
R BARRACUDA Jan30 Jan07       (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 121 6.00    
WELL IMAGINE THAT Jan14 Dec29 Sep17 Aug19 Jul30 (lucarelli frank)CRUZ M 121 8.00    
SHINING TIGER Feb05 Sep17 Jul28     (koler steve)RADKE K 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
GENERAL CROOK Nov28 Sep17 Aug18 Jul30 Jun18 (kereluk edward)MAWING A 121 4.00    
PLEASEUSETHEPORTAL Feb15 Feb06 Dec10 Nov19 Nov05 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 121 5.00    
LITE RANCHIN KID Nov28 Oct14 Sep10 Aug19   (barraza s)LOPEZ KARLO 121 3.50 22% 3.40    
 
TUP-6   02/22/2024 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:19
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUSTIN'S LADY Feb06 Apr02 Mar26 Mar18 Feb25 (tubbs scott)PENA BRYAN 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
CRIMINAL RECORD Nov11 Nov01 Sep13 Sep02 Jul30 (asprino alfredo)LOPEZ KARLO 122 5.00    
COME CORRECT Feb06 Oct22 Oct08 Sep23 Sep04 (williams dewey)LULL E 124 3.00 14% 5.90    
MARY WALKER Feb06 Dec30 Sep10 Aug06 Jul16 (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 122 4.00    
THREAD COUNT Jan21 Jan01 Nov23 Oct28 Oct06 (silva pablo)CRUZ M 122 2.50 10% 9.10    
PRINCESS JAYLEEN Jan29 Jan19 Dec19 Oct29 Oct06 (torres-casas alex)NEGRON LUIS 124 8.00    
LATER DAYS Feb14 Dec10 Oct21 Oct16 Oct04 (silva pa)MORALES ROBERTO 122 5.00 42% 1.40    
 
TUP-7   02/22/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOPHER GOLD Jan29 Oct28 Aug24 Aug06 Jul16 (silva jr)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 124 3.50 32% 2.20    
BEAT THE HEAT Jan29 Aug24 Aug09 Jul27 Jul12 (perren a)CORBETT W 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
MACEDONIAN RULER (AUS) Jan29 Dec15 Nov29 Nov11 Nov01 (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00 36% 1.70    
LAST MARTINI Oct25 Aug30 Jul23 Jul09 Jun14 (woolley b)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.00    
SCR  MAD LUTHER Jan31 Oct28 Oct07 Sep01 Jul29 (matt l)RADKE K 124 5.00    
EAST RAND Feb07 Jan31 Nov21 Oct29 Oct21 (valerio ray)VALENZUELA A 124 2.50    
AVALON KING Feb06 Dec20 Dec04 Oct22 Sep30 (o'brien debbie)LULL E 124 10.00    
 
TUP-8   02/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SASSY TINKERBELL Jul09 Apr24 Mar27 Mar07 Feb10 (belvoir vann)AYUSO ARMANDO 124 4.50 30% 2.30    
SAL GAL Jul09 May05       (belvoir vann)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 124 5.00    
BITCOIN BURGLAR Jan31 Nov14 Sep19     (zimm)DA FAUSTO 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
NORTHERN LINCHPIN Dec03 Nov19 Oct21 Sep16   (essex charles)PENA BRYAN 124 5.00    
BETSY IS THE CODE Jan06 Nov23 Oct15 Jul27 Jun04 (alvarez edwi)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 8.00    
STARDUST DREAMS Jan31 Apr01 Mar12     (guerra jacque)CORBETT W 124 2.00 40% 1.50    
DUKE GIRLS Jan31 Dec05 Sep24 Jul29 Jun30 (hone bart)VALENZUELA A 124 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.