Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Delta Downs
Saturday - February 10, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DED-1   WIN (4/7/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/3/2)-(4/7/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/3/2)-(4/7/3/2)-(4/7/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/3/2)-(1/7/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/7/3/2)-(1/7/10)-(5/3/8/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
DED-2   WIN (1/7/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/10)-(1/7/10/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/10)-(1/7/10/5/2)-(1/7/10/5/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/7/10)-(5/3/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/7/10)-(5/3/8/2)-(5/10/3/9/12) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
DED-3   WIN (5/3/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/8/2)-(5/3/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/8/2)-(5/3/8/2)-(5/3/8/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/8/2)-(5/10/3/9/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/3/8/2)-(5/10/3/9/12)-(2/7/1/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
DED-4   WIN (5/10/3/9/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/10/3/9/12)-(5/10/3/9/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/10/3/9/12)-(5/10/3/9/12)-(5/10/3/9/12) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/10/3/9/12)-(2/7/1/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/10/3/9/12)-(2/7/1/3)-(7/4/5/6/9) 100 $1.00 $100 
DED-5   WIN (2/7/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/1/3)-(2/7/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/1/3)-(2/7/1/3)-(2/7/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/1/3)-(7/4/5/6/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/7/1/3)-(7/4/5/6/9)-(9/2/4/1) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
DED-6   WIN (7/4/5/6/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/4/5/6/9)-(7/4/5/6/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/4/5/6/9)-(7/4/5/6/9)-(7/4/5/6/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/4/5/6/9)-(9/2/4/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/4/5/6/9)-(9/2/4/1)-(4/9/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
DED-7   WIN (9/2/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/2/4/1)-(9/2/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/2/4/1)-(9/2/4/1)-(9/2/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/2/4/1)-(4/9/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
DED-8   WIN (4/9/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/9/6)-(4/9/6/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/9/6)-(4/9/6/7)-(4/9/6/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
DED-1   02/10/2024 4950ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLUME Jan20 Dec20 Sep03 Jul02 Jun04 (johnson henr)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 10.00    
  (by TENPINS out of HEAVENS HALL by GRAEME HALL)
CATCH ME T Jan12 Nov25 Nov09 Aug10 Jun24 (noel dane)MELANCON JANSEN 123 8.00 5% 18.50    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of SHEILA TEQUILA by INDEFATIGABLE)
WHISKEY RED Jan20 Dec29 Dec14 Nov21 Oct11 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 123 3.00 18% 4.60    
  (by FLASHPOINT out of SCARLET TRIBUTE by GOLD TRIBUTE)
PRINCE PERFECTA Jan20 Nov11 Jan22 Jan13 Jan05 (johnson hen)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 2.00 37% 1.70    
  (by AWESOME AGAIN out of PRINCESS PERFECT by CRAFTY FRIEND)
TINCAN CAT Jan12 Nov15 Oct18     (ramirez julio)VARGAS P 123 8.00    
  (by MISTER DANCE out of TINCAN TOO by BARKERVILLE)
STYLING HOOK Jan20 Dec14 Nov15 Feb25 Feb09 (chatters benard)BIRZER E 123 5.00    
  (by HOOKS CROSSING out of GOOD STYLE by GIROLAMO)
JOSIE'S PRIORITY Jan27 Dec07 Nov02 Jul28 Jun30 (robbins jr)STOKES J 123 4.50 18% 4.50    
  (by APRIORITY out of EQUESTRIAN JANET by BRAHMS)
 
DED-2   02/10/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEA FORCE Sep12 Aug27 Aug12 Jun12 May20 (gibson jona)SANTIAGO EDWARD 114 2.50 50% 1.00    
A'DEBRIS Jan27 Jan12 May18 Apr22 Jan12 (breaux samu)MELANCON JANSEN 120 8.00    
EL JEFE COBB Jan12 Dec15 Nov22 Nov10 Sep09 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 12.00    
ONE TOUGH CHARLIE Jan27 Dec14 Nov29 Nov10 Oct20 (husak j)FUSILIER C 116 12.00    
TEXAS TURBINE Jan12 Dec15 Dec07 Oct20 Jun22 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 119 6.00    
HALO MOON Jan12 Nov22 Nov03 Sep08 Jul22 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 119 10.00    
PITALE Jan20 Jul13 Jul03 Jun11 May28 (broberg karl)ROSIER R 119 6.00 26% 2.80    
RAUL'S ENCANTO Dec20 Nov24 Nov08 Sep05 Aug19 (zeno benjamin)FLORIAN JOSE 114 15.00    
RUNANDHIDE WIND Jan20 Jan06 Dec27 Nov17 Jul31 (silva walter)MUNOZ SERGIO 114 20.00    
10  GOLDUSTER Jan12 Dec15 Nov17 Oct20 Aug10 (alberto ant)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 3.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  CLASSIC RED RACER Jan27 Dec30 Dec15 Nov15 Oct18 (zeno benjamin)STOKES A 116 20.00    
 
DED-3   02/10/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($27K) 3 F PT- 7:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
C C LLAM Jan11 Nov22 Nov02 Aug26 Aug04 (mojica edith )LOZADA CARLOS 120 20.00    
MY IDEA Jan19 Nov11 Oct27 Aug04   (knudsen kent)BIRZER E 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
EVE EVE Jan26 Jan12 Dec18 Dec01   (castille ca)SANTIAGO EDWARD 115 5.00 11% 8.10    
SPOONFUL OF SUGAR Jan18 Nov18       (averett ronnie)STOKES J 120 3.50    
CIRCLE UP Jan11 Dec08       (breaux samu)MELANCON JANSEN 120 2.50 56% 0.80    
BELLAMYSAWESOMEDAY Jan11 Dec27 Dec08 Nov22 Nov11 (alberto ant)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 6.00    
MADELYN'S HIT Dec29         (averett ronnie)ROSIER R 120 4.50    
COSTA LADY Jan26 Jan12 Dec22 Dec01 Oct27 (boxie joseph)DEL-CID MARLON 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
DED-4   02/10/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARILYN'S MAGIC Jan25 Dec09 Oct28 Feb01 Jan12 (barnes lee)FUSILIER C 119 20.00    
SCR  SASSY SAGEY Jan25 Jan11 Dec30 Dec08 May27 (hewitt michael)ROSIER R 119 3.50    
INDY LOVER Jan25 Jan11 Dec09 Nov10 Oct25 (morrell cynthia)POMPELL L 119 6.00 11% 8.40    
SCR  MAGNA COLORS Jan11 Dec15 Nov15 Oct26 Sep04 (nelson eric)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 2.50    
LAKE BALI Dec30 Nov17 Nov02 Sep05 Aug10 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 116 5.00 40% 1.50    
T R'S FIRST Jan19 Jan06 Dec21 Nov08 Oct07 (hibdon n)STOKES J 116 15.00    
KAPPA HILL Jan06 Nov08 Oct12 Aug20 Jul06 (journet al)ALBERT S 116 12.00    
MYLIES STAR Jan19 Jan04 Dec21 Dec10 Nov24 (dussette alv)DEL-CID MARLON 111 20.00    
CAYMAN QUEEN Jan25 Jan11 Dec09 Nov25 Oct28 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 119 12.00 6% 15.90    
10  AVENDORE Dec09 Nov10 Oct25 Sep05 Aug04 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 6.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  ARMS APRIORITY Jan25 Jan05 Dec06 Aug10 Apr26 (mojica edit)SANTIAGO EDWARD 111 6.00    
12  VALLEJO Jan25 Dec15 Oct12 Aug28 Jul01 (nelson eric )DEL-CID MARLON 114 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
DED-5   02/10/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($23K) 3 ALL PT- 8:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOLD AND BRASH         (giangrosso )SANTIAGO EDWARD 112 8.00 10% 8.70    
UPTURNED BRIM Jan20 Nov15 Sep29 Sep13 Aug31 (broberg kar)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 2.00 49% 1.00    
GRACIOUS KAT Jan20         (briley lonni)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
BLAME DENNIS Dec14 Aug29       (arey anthon)MELANCON JANSEN 120 15.00    
STRONG DIAMOND Feb01 Jan12 Oct07 Aug21 Jul28 (escobar alison)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 10.00    
OOEY GOOEY CHEWY Jan20 Dec15 Nov30 Oct26   (villafranco fred)BIRZER E 120 5.00    
RITE ON SAM Jan11 Dec06 Nov24 Oct12 Jul28 (noel dane)VARGAS P 120 3.50 10% 8.50    
SCR  KONTEEKEE Jan20 Dec30       (chatters b)ALBERT S 120 8.00    
 
DED-6   02/10/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEYOND THE HYPE Jan12 Dec27 Nov22 Oct07 Aug26 (melancon donald)FUSILIER C 119 10.00    
KELLYS THE BOSS Jan19 Dec30 Dec08 Nov22 Oct28 (ward ronnie)STOKES J 119 20.00    
CASHEW Dec06 Nov03 Oct13 Aug03 Jul06 (gelner jayd)SANTIAGO EDWARD 114 4.00    
LONGLEGGEDLAVERNE Jan13 Nov02 Jul15 Jun06 May06 (broberg kar)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 3.00 14% 6.20    
HURRICANE TIZWAY Dec27 Nov17 Oct14 Sep10 Aug26 (turner patti)MUNOZ SERGIO 114 6.00 11% 8.00    
NEW YEAR'S PARTY Nov30 Nov04 Oct14 Jul01 May20 (ramirez eduardo)POMPELL L 116 6.00 5% 17.70    
DANCE LADY Dec27 Nov30 Nov04 Aug05 Jul02 (larrosa jua)MELANCON JANSEN 119 5.00 40% 1.50    
AKASI Jan12 Dec13 Nov25 Nov09 Aug20 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 8.00    
GP'S AMAZING GRACE Jan06 Dec16 Dec01 Nov11 Oct12 (villafranco fred)BIRZER E 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  NORA'S LEGACY Jul17 Jul02 Jun18 Jun03 May21 (hibdon mark )DEL-CID MARLON 114 20.00    
 
DED-7   02/10/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($23K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAMMY DANSEUR JR. Jan25 Jan13 Dec20 Dec09 Nov15 (broberg karl)LOZADA CARLOS 116 12.00 5% 19.00    
OIL MONEY Oct26 Oct07 Jul07 Jun11 Mar26 (shumake phill)VARGAS P 119 3.50 14% 6.40    
SCR  BETTABE BOURBON Jan25 Nov30 Nov04 Oct14 Aug27 (landry allen)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 116 12.00    
GRAMI'S BOY Jan25 Nov21 Oct21 Sep13 Aug31 (broberg karl)ROSIER R 119 6.00 9% 10.00    
CUSTOM DEELITE Mar26 Mar02 Feb17 Feb02   (ali andrea )MELANCON JANSEN 116 6.00    
SCR  SCRAPPY ARTIE Nov24 Oct25 Jun17 May06 Apr19 (landry allen)MAGNON H 119 5.00    
SPARKIN Jan27 Jan12 Dec16 Dec02 Nov24 (beavin judy)SANTIAGO EDWARD 111 15.00    
UPTOWN SOCIAL Jan13 Dec18 Nov24 Oct25 Oct14 (dixon tim)POMPELL L 119 15.00    
BERTIE'S GALAXY Jan13 Dec09 Jun03 May06 Mar25 (terre david)DEL-CID VICENTE 116 2.00 52% 0.90    
 
DED-8   02/10/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($16K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STONECOAT Jan19 Dec20       (nelson eric )DEL-CID MARLON 115 15.00    
SCR  BOSS MAN ZONG Jan18 Dec20 Nov22 Oct26 Jul28 (dison phill)LEDET THEODRICK 120 12.00    
MOONSHINE SURFER Sep26 Sep11 Aug09 Jul26 Jul18 (dixon tim)LOZADA CARLOS 123 20.00    
JOHNNNY'S GAME Jan21 Dec31 Dec10 Jul22   (bourgeois k)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 2.00 60% 0.70    
RED OCTOBER Jan19 Dec29 Dec15 Nov17 Sep11 (escobar ali)SANTIAGO EDWARD 118 6.00    
JUST BECAUSE Dec29 Dec13 Nov04 Aug27 Aug12 (litfin nevad)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 5.00 5% 19.00    
KAT'S SOLDIER Jan19 Dec21 Dec07 Nov08 Oct11 (bernard john)STOKES A 120 8.00    
QUICK ZONG Jan13 Dec27 Nov29 Oct27   (dison ma)FUSILIER C 123 12.00    
ADMIRAL RISTY Dec29 Dec13 Nov29 Sep14   (dixon tim)POMPELL L 123 3.50 11% 8.50    
SCR  MOTANAAFER Nov08 Jul22 Jun10 May19 Mar24 (escobar alison)MUNOZ SERGIO 118 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.