Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Friday - February 02, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (2/5/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/1/7)-(2/5/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/1/7)-(2/5/1/7)-(2/5/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/1/7)-(3/2/8/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/5/1/7)-(3/2/8/1)-(8/2/3/10/11) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-2   WIN (3/2/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/8/1)-(3/2/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/8/1)-(3/2/8/1)-(3/2/8/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/8/1)-(8/2/3/10/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/2/8/1)-(8/2/3/10/11)-(2/8/5/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-3   WIN (8/2/3/10/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/2/3/10/11)-(8/2/3/10/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/2/3/10/11)-(8/2/3/10/11)-(8/2/3/10/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/2/3/10/11)-(2/8/5/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/2/3/10/11)-(2/8/5/3)-(7/12/10/11/5) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-4   WIN (2/8/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/5/3)-(2/8/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/5/3)-(2/8/5/3)-(2/8/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/8/5/3)-(7/12/10/11/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/8/5/3)-(7/12/10/11/5)-(3/1/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-5   WIN (7/12/10/11/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/12/10/11/5)-(7/12/10/11/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/12/10/11/5)-(7/12/10/11/5)-(7/12/10/11/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/12/10/11/5)-(3/1/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/12/10/11/5)-(3/1/7)-(1/8/6/2/10) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
TAM-6   WIN (3/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/7)-(3/1/6/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/1/7)-(3/1/6/7)-(3/1/6/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/1/7)-(1/8/6/2/10) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/1/7)-(1/8/6/2/10)-(6/3/10/9) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-7   WIN (1/8/6/2/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/8/6/2/10)-(1/8/6/2/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/8/6/2/10)-(1/8/6/2/10)-(1/8/6/2/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/8/6/2/10)-(6/3/10/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/8/6/2/10)-(6/3/10/9)-(2/10/3/7/1) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-8   WIN (6/3/10/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/10/9)-(6/3/10/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/10/9)-(6/3/10/9)-(6/3/10/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/10/9)-(2/10/3/7/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TAM-9   WIN (2/10/3/7/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/10/3/7/1)-(2/10/3/7/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/10/3/7/1)-(2/10/3/7/1)-(2/10/3/7/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   02/02/2024 5400ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 4UP ALL PT-12:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GUN RIGHT Jan10 Dec23 Dec06 May20 Apr16 (o'connell kath)MARIN SAMUEL 123 4.50 17% 5.00    
2  BRAGGADOCIOUS Jan12 Dec26 Nov24 Oct22 Sep14 (o'connell)MALDONADO GABRIEL 116 3.00 31% 2.20    
3  BLACK ECHO Dec31 Dec01       (dobber arnou)SUAREZ ANTHONY 123 30.00    
4  MAGIC HOOH Jan07 Dec16 Oct27 Aug26   (pompay terri)MORELOS E 123 2.50    
5  BARFLY Jan07 Dec24 Dec01 Oct05 Sep16 (ferraro ant)IORIO MELISSA 116 3.50 20% 3.90    
6  AWESOME CITY Oct22 Sep24 Aug31 May27 May06 (bennett )GALLARDO A 123 3.50    
7  KADAR INDY Jan07 Dec23 Nov29 Oct22 Oct08 (cascallares n)FUENTES MARIO 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-2   02/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($22K) 3 F PT- 1:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  A TOUCH OF HAIL         (correa maxine)FERRER C 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  LADY KHOZ Jan17 Dec23 Dec08 Nov10   (laurato mich)MENESES MARCOS 120 4.00 25% 3.00    
3  PEGGYSUE I LOVE U Jan10         (bennett gerald)MARIN SAMUEL 120 1.40 40% 1.50    
SCR  UNO UNO Jan19 Jan10 Dec31 Dec20 Sep10 (cascallares )ARROYO S 120 15.00    
5  HIPATIA Jan05 Dec29 Dec08 Sep29   (sacco grego)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 8.00    
6  APRIL APRIL Jan07 Jun16 May25     (cascallares n)IORIO MELISSA 113 20.00    
7  LADYS CHANT Jan17         (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 120 10.00    
8  ROADRUNNER THE CAT         (sacco)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 4.00 10% 9.00    
 
TAM-3   02/02/2024 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3 F PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHICA MUSIC Dec02 Oct28 Aug18 Aug11   (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 120 15.00    
2  PLATINUM DIVA Jan14 Dec29 Nov22 Sep15   (dini mike)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 2.50 27% 2.80    
3  ALMA PURA Jan05 Dec02       (agostini ar)SPANABEL SKYLER 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  STATELY APRIL Jan14 Dec22 Sep06 Aug31 Aug11 (rountree cathy)BUSH V 120 10.00    
5  SUPER SNEAKY Jan17 Dec29 Dec02 Sep29 Sep01 (potts way)MALDONADO GABRIEL 113 20.00    
6  A FANCY SOLUTION Dec09 Oct28 Sep30     (cascallares )MENESES MARCOS 120 3.50    
7  FUTURE FORTUNE Jan14 Jan03 Oct28 Oct08 Sep15 (dobber arnoud)IORIO MELISSA 113 20.00    
8  THREE RUN BOLT Jan17 Dec23 Dec02     (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.00 48% 1.10    
SCR  PATARA Jan14         (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 120 15.00    
10  KITTEN (IRE) Jan14 Dec02 Sep15 Aug19   (crook-demasi ka)GOMEZ KEVIN 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
11  LET'S CONNECT Jan05 Nov24 Oct20     (carvajal luis)IORIO MELISSA 113 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TOURIST STYLE Dec29 Dec02 Nov05 Oct08 Sep10 (mcgoey monica)DIAZ S 120 4.50    
SCR  I LOVE VENEZUELA Dec01 Nov04 Jul21     (yanez reynaldo)CAMACHO SAMY 120 4.00    
SCR  DANNEEL Jan03 Dec20 Dec02 Oct21 Oct08 (laurato m)MALDONADO GABRIEL 113 12.00    
 
TAM-4   02/02/2024 5400ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNXPECTED TIGER Jan17 Dec31 Dec13 Nov29 Nov02 (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 123 4.00    
2  GAMBITO Dec10         (minguet )GONZALEZ HENDERSON 123 3.50 41% 1.50    
3  PERFECT MOON Dec31 Dec20 Dec13 Nov29 Oct23 (cascallares ne)MARIN SAMUEL 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  SENSE OF GOLDEN Nov20 Nov06 Oct23 Oct03 Sep20 (cascallar)HERRERA R 123 20.00    
5  FLAVIAN Jan13 Dec30 Apr02 Dec09 Oct30 (smith rob)MALDONADO GABRIEL 116 8.00 15% 5.50    
6  SIR AUSTIN Jan13 Dec31 Dec13 Nov29 Oct28 (fisher david)CAMACHO SAMY 121 12.00    
7  DUKE OF DOOLY Jan17 Dec29 Dec20 Mar31 Mar10 (sepulveda)RODRIGUEZ A 123 3.00    
8  SWING SAMMY Jan27 Jan07 Dec06 Nov19 Oct28 (sacco grego)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 2.50 18% 4.60    
 
TAM-5   02/02/2024 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIRST SLEW Dec24         (dye steven)FUENTES MARIO 122 20.00    
2  BUFFALO SPIRIT Jan10 Dec23 Nov25 Oct20 Aug13 (pompay terri)CENTENO E 122 4.00    
SCR  ADIOS JOE Dec23 Jan07 Sep24     (hayford jennifer)BUSH V 122 30.00    
4  AMERICAN LAD Dec23 Jun27 Sep03     (crook-demasi ka)GOMEZ KEVIN 122 15.00    
5  UNCAPTURED BOY Jan07 Dec24 Nov25 Sep22 Sep01 (rigattier)MALDONADO GABRIEL 115 4.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  AMERICAN DAY Dec30 Dec16 Dec06 Sep28 Sep09 (schistl rafa)BATISTA A 122 12.00    
7  MINTENON Dec23 Dec06 Oct13 Sep29 Sep02 (carrascojr v)ARROYO S 122 3.00 41% 1.50    
8  SIR DANIEL Dec30 Dec09 Nov12 Oct15 Sep10 (wasiluk p)HERRERA R 122 8.00    
9  NOBLE HERO Jan10 Dec23 Dec06     (dobber ar)HERNANDEZ H 122 30.00    
10  TWO MINUTES APART Dec23 Dec06 Oct13 Aug23 Aug11 (crook-demasi k)CAMACHO SAMY 122 2.50 12% 7.30    
11  LONGBRANCH LOU         (rodrigue)GALLARDO A 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
12  THEREGOESMYMIRACLE Jan24 Dec09 Jul02 Jun04 May14 (paragallo jen)SOSA LAUREANO 122 4.00 16% 5.20    
SCR  VIDA FINA Dec20 Oct18 Aug13 Jul23 Jul01 (cudworth paul)COTTO L 122 30.00    
SCR  SWIFT DANCER Jul14 Jun16 Jun01 May04 Mar23 (munoz carlos)ARROYO S 122 12.00    
 
TAM-6   02/02/2024 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOIN'ITTHERIGHTWAY Jan07 Dec16 Nov04 Oct11 Sep29 (simone michael )GOMEZ KEVIN 122 3.50 18% 4.70    
2  FREEDOM ROAD Jan14 Dec15 Nov24 Oct08 Aug05 (sillaman richar)CENTENO E 118 4.00    
3  FLIPPING FISH Jan14 Dec27 Dec13 Nov20 Oct23 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 120 3.00 57% 0.70    
4  BIG BUCKSALOT Dec27 Nov29 Oct27 Sep29 Sep08 (gatis chris)FERRER C 120 5.00    
SCR  AUGER Jan15 Oct23 Oct06 Sep18 Sep07 (rivera xavie)MORELOS E 118 8.00    
6  EXACTING Jan14 Dec16 Nov25 Oct06 May05 (carrascojr v)ARROYO S 118 4.50 ★    
7  LORD BERRIER Jan14 Dec27 Oct21 Oct04 Sep06 (de kar)BATISTA A 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  TAPSOLUTION Jan07 Dec13 Oct18 Oct02 Sep05 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 118 20.00    
 
TAM-7   02/02/2024 5610ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($23.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CORONOVA Jan17 Dec31 Nov24 Oct28 Sep27 (sillaman richar)CENTENO E 118 2.50 24% 3.10    
2  SAM STORMY Oct12 Oct02 Aug16 Jul20 Jun01 (lopez ro)CEDENO CAROL 118 6.00 11% 8.20    
3  ARROGANT RIDER Dec30 May20 May06 Feb08 Jan13 (pickett cry)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 12.00    
4  FAR FROM HOME Jan21 Dec03 Oct18 Oct10 Oct03 (cascallar)HERRERA R 118 15.00    
5  AIRMAN Aug30 Aug02 Jul13 Jun21 Mar22 (lopez mar)RODRIGUEZ A 118 30.00    
6  BURN JAKEY BURN Dec30 Dec01 Nov16 Nov02 Aug17 (rodriguez dari)MARIN SAMUEL 118 6.00 11% 7.70    
7  THAT SUN OF A GUN Jan17 Dec24 Oct19 Aug25 Jul14 (mcburney patr)IORIO MELISSA 111 8.00    
8  LUCKY LUCKY LUKE Oct15 Oct06 Aug16 Jul28 Jul03 (maker mi)GALLARDO A 118 3.00 19% 4.30    
9  TIZ A BEAST Jan06 Oct10 Sep12 Aug11 Jun17 (paragallo)MALDONADO GABRIEL 111 10.00    
10  SPANISH NOBLE Dec23 Dec06 Oct06 Jan27 Jan06 (o'connell kathle)FERRER C 118 8.00 7% 13.70    
 
TAM-8   02/02/2024 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLACK LIMO Dec20 Oct15 Aug26 Aug03 Jul20 (hayford jennifer)BUSH V 118 10.00    
2  SHAKEN AND SHIMMY Jan19 Jan05 Oct25 Oct17 Sep20 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 118 4.50    
3  STRONGER TOGETHER Jan03 Nov24 Nov03 Oct20 Sep21 (wright mi)MALDONADO GABRIEL 111 2.00 27% 2.70    
4  WESTOVER Jan14 Oct05 Sep10 Aug26 Aug13 (mcburney patr)IORIO MELISSA 111 10.00    
5  RUN LEA RUN Jan14 Dec20 Nov24 Oct13 Sep04 (rarick lynn)SOSA LAUREANO 118 30.00    
6  VILLAGE PREACHER Dec22 Dec06 Nov22 Sep25 Sep07 (lusk brian)ALONSO LUIS 120 3.50 47% 1.10    
7  PLEASANT VALIANT Jan19 Dec20 Aug20 Jul15 Jun17 (o'connell kath)MARIN SAMUEL 118 12.00    
SCR  SUPER BROTHER Dec30 Sep22 Sep09 Aug26 Aug17 (skeens jerem)MEJIAS RICARDO 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  NIP OF BOURBON Jan19 Jan05 Dec20 Oct24 Sep26 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  SUMMER ALL YEAR Jan05 Dec20 Nov22 Aug12 Jul20 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GONNA BE EPIC Jan19 Jan05 Dec20 Nov05 Sep10 (delgado jose)MEJIAS RICARDO 118 3.50    
SCR  SIR LUMPALOT Jan19 Jan05 Dec13 Nov24 Oct28 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 120 2.50    
 
TAM-9   02/02/2024 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($32K) Purse ($33K) 3 ALL PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BATI KING Jan13 Dec20 Nov01 Oct13 Sep22 (ochoa gerard)MARIN SAMUEL 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  MITHRIX Jan10 Dec20       (raven kerri)CEDENO CAROL 118 4.50 34% 2.00    
3  DEEP STRIKE Dec27 Sep25 Sep07 Aug19   (granitz anthon)CAMACHO SAMY 118 3.00 19% 4.20    
4  CODE ENFORCER Jan14 Dec29 Dec22 Nov22 Sep03 (sacco grego)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 20.00    
5  UNCLE KENNY Dec27 Dec08 Oct23 Sep26 Aug17 (potts g)WALKER M 118 10.00    
6  OUTOFTHEDARK Dec27 Dec08 Sep09 Aug10 Jul20 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 8.00    
7  LORD KNOWS Dec27 Nov22 Sep04     (dini mike)GOMEZ KEVIN 118 4.50 5% 19.00    
8  MAGIC HEART Dec22 Oct08       (schuh ti)GALLARDO A 120 6.00    
9  LATE NIGHT LIVING Jan12 Jan03 Dec13 May31   (granitz a)MALDONADO GABRIEL 115 15.00    
10  FIDELIGHTCAYUT Dec27 Sep04 Aug13     (avila )ROJAS EDUARDO 120 4.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  CROWNED JEWEL Dec31 Dec08 Nov09 Oct05 Sep05 (harty eoin)CASTANON L 118 3.00    
SCR  LOU THE BODY Dec15 Nov30 Sep20     (rivelli )GALLARDO A 118 2.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.