Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Laurel Park
Friday - December 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LRL-1   WIN (2/9/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/9/4/6)-(2/9/4/6/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/9/4/6)-(2/9/4/6/10)-(2/9/4/6/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/9/4/6)-(3/8/2/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/9/4/6)-(3/8/2/1)-(4/7/6/5/8) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
LRL-2   WIN (3/8/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/2/1)-(3/8/2/1/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/8/2/1)-(3/8/2/1/4)-(3/8/2/1/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/8/2/1)-(4/7/6/5/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/8/2/1)-(4/7/6/5/8)-(8/2/6/1) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
LRL-3   WIN (4/7/6/5/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/7/6/5/8)-(4/7/6/5/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/7/6/5/8)-(4/7/6/5/8)-(4/7/6/5/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/7/6/5/8)-(8/2/6/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/7/6/5/8)-(8/2/6/1)-(7/8/9/10/5) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
LRL-4   WIN (8/2/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/6/1)-(8/2/6/1/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/2/6/1)-(8/2/6/1/3)-(8/2/6/1/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/2/6/1)-(7/8/9/10/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/2/6/1)-(7/8/9/10/5)-(5/9/8/1) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
LRL-5   WIN (7/8/9/10/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/8/9/10/5)-(7/8/9/10/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/8/9/10/5)-(7/8/9/10/5)-(7/8/9/10/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/8/9/10/5)-(5/9/8/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/8/9/10/5)-(5/9/8/1)-(10/2/1/3) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
LRL-6   WIN (5/9/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/9/8/1)-(5/9/10/8/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/9/8/1)-(5/9/10/8/1)-(5/9/10/8/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/9/8/1)-(10/2/1/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/9/8/1)-(10/2/1/3)-(1/3/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LRL-7   WIN (10/2/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/2/1/3)-(10/2/1/11/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/2/1/3)-(10/2/1/11/3)-(10/2/1/11/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (10/2/1/3)-(1/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (10/2/1/3)-(1/3/5)-(6/1/5/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LRL-8   WIN (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/5)-(1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/5)-(6/1/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
LRL-9   WIN (6/1/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/5/7)-(6/1/5/7/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/1/5/7)-(6/1/5/7/10)-(6/1/5/7/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LRL-1   12/22/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($25K) 2 F PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PERTURB Aug11         (allen ferri)ROJAS MARTINA 113 20.00    
KAPADOKYA Dec15 Nov23 Oct29 Oct19 Oct06 (maldonado)CARRASCO R 122 2.00 26% 2.80    
CARA IN THE CITY Nov23 Oct08 Sep10     (mancill)ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 3.00    
CHAVETA         (bailes )BRICENO GREGOR 122 12.00 8% 10.90    
FLINNY TIN TIN Nov17 Oct22       (allen ferris)CRUZ ANGEL 122 20.00    
V INSPIRED         (bailes robe)CHAVEZ ANDRES 115 12.00 8% 12.20    
LIFE AT BOTH ENDS Nov17         (mcmahon hu)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 122 15.00    
CUNDI Dec03 Nov10 Oct22 Sep29 Sep03 (corrales jose)MENA E 118 30.00    
R B'S BIG MOMENT Dec03 Nov09 Oct22 Oct05 Sep03 (geralis eman)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 4.50 26% 2.80    
10  BACALL Dec11         (morgan carla)ROSADO JOHAN 122 5.00    
 
LRL-2   12/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT-12:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IN GOOD TROUBLE Nov30 Nov02 Sep06 Aug13 Jul13 (dunham g)HO WESLEY 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
ICE CUBE BABY Dec09 Nov17 Oct27 Sep17 Sep02 (frock charle)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 2.50 11% 8.00    
SANSA ARIEL Dec01 Nov02 Oct19 Oct04 Sep14 (gorham mich)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 3.50 53% 0.90    
IRISH LACE Dec10 Nov17 Nov04 Oct26 Oct18 (sanchez)ORTIZ ORLANDO 125 10.00    
NEED A MARKER Dec01 Oct21 Sep15 Aug12 Jul22 (howard)LOPEZ EDUARDO 121 30.00    
SULTRY SALLY H Nov17 Oct25 Oct05 Aug26 Jul29 (vick m)DELGADO A 125 30.00    
FOR CRYIN OUT LOUD Nov17 Nov01 Oct09 Sep19 Aug29 (gorham michae)ROJAS MARTINA 117 12.00    
SHINY SLAM Dec03 Oct27 Oct07 Sep04 Jul29 (gonzalez cla)LAPRIDA JEREMY 125 3.00 13% 6.80    
ELLIE VICTORINA Dec01 Nov09 Oct19 Oct01 Sep09 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 118 15.00    
10  SULLIVAN STREET Nov15 Oct22 Oct05 Aug18 Jul19 (eppler e)CRUZ ANGEL 119 15.00    
11  BACKSTREET GAL Nov10 Oct26 Sep18 Aug18 Aug03 (milosevic m)RUSSELL SHELDON 119 12.00    
 
LRL-3   12/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($25K) 35 ALL PT- 1:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WAR ROCKET Nov26 Oct26       (plummer)BRICENO GREGOR 122 50.00    
RUFFNER Nov26 Feb19       (perri gina)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 125 15.00    
I KNOW Nov10 Sep08 Sep05 Jul28   (perri gina)ROJAS MARTINA 116 20.00    
DOWSING ROD Dec01 Nov10 Oct26 Sep22 Sep02 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 125 6.00 30% 2.30    
THE LAST JUMPSTART Dec03 Nov26 Nov10 Oct27 Oct13 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 125 5.00 7% 13.40    
BATTLE OF BASTOGNE Nov02 Oct13 Aug05 Jul21 Jun09 (mancilla carlo)ROSADO JOHAN 126 4.00 14% 6.30    
ARMY RANGER Dec03 Oct27 Sep22     (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 125 4.50 21% 3.80    
MOONSET Nov26 Nov10 Oct26 Sep22 Sep02 (frock charles)TOLEDO JEVIAN 125 6.00 7% 13.70    
THUNDERHOUSE Nov26 Nov02 Oct13 Sep22 Sep01 (milosevic mi)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 8.00    
10  BAND CAMP May18 May04 Mar25     (eubanks annette )CRUZ ANGEL 125 5.00    
11  BOY IS IT HOT Jun11 Jun02 Jan24 Jan03 Dec07 (king clare)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 125 30.00    
 
LRL-4   12/22/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($44K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DISPUTED CLAIM Dec08 Nov09 Oct14 Sep10 Aug20 (geralis emanu)TOLEDO JEVIAN 125 4.00 14% 6.40    
FRIGHTLAND Dec03 Nov09 Sep02 Aug11 Jul01 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 6.00 19% 4.40    
JOHN HALL Nov25 Nov16 Oct27 Oct01 Feb12 (magana )BRICENO GREGOR 122 20.00    
SCR  GUAPO AGAIN (ARG) Nov23         (sanchez-salomon )CRUZ ANGEL 123 12.00    
TIZ NO CLOWN Nov29 Oct21 Aug27 Jul29 Jul01 (atkins)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 30.00    
AMITY ROAD Oct05 Sep09 Aug13 Jul22 Jun25 (martin ramon )CHAVEZ ANDRES 116 5.00 17% 4.90    
SWIFTY DEVIL Dec02 Oct28 Oct12 Sep13 Aug17 (gorham mich)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 12.00    
UNCAPTURED STORM Dec08 Nov12 Nov05 Sep08 Sep03 (farrior anth)BARBOSA JEIRON 125 2.50 28% 2.60    
CARVELLIAN QUEST Aug05 Jul07 May18 Apr30 Mar26 (trombetta mich)ROSADO JOHAN 123 4.50    
SCR  CAPITAL CONQUEST Nov15 Oct17 Sep15 Aug24 Aug03 (lake scot)VARGAS L 122 30.00    
11  SUSTENANCE Dec01 Nov18 Oct20 Oct07 Sep22 (sanchez)ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 20.00    
 
LRL-5   12/22/2023 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GALATIANS Dec03 Nov19 Oct20 Sep08 Aug12 (eubanks annet)KARAMANOS A 123 4.50    
FERMAT Dec02 Oct27 Oct06 Sep08 Aug12 (mcmulle)BRICENO GREGOR 123 30.00    
TRANSFER THE FUNDS Dec02 Nov10 Oct19 Sep30 Sep09 (mckenzie )HERNANDEZ F 123 20.00    
SHOOT THEMESSENGER Dec08 Nov26 Nov11 Nov03 Oct21 (mohan r)ALVELO C 123 20.00    
FORMAL ORDER Dec02 Nov18 Oct12 Aug26 Aug18 (campbell willi)PEREZ XAVIER 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
MONYINTHEBANKSEY Dec02 Jan08 Jan03 Dec18 Nov19 (clagett )RODRIGUEZ L 113 30.00    
ACE NINE NINE Dec03 Nov19 Nov02 Oct06 Sep02 (howard david)BARBOSA JEIRON 126 1.60 37% 1.70    
PARADISE PRIDE Nov19 Oct21 Sep27 Sep08 Aug12 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 1.80 22% 3.60    
BRASSTOWN Dec03 Nov19 Oct21 Oct12 Sep24 (serey m)ORTIZ ORLANDO 126 20.00 15% 5.50    
10  WALK AWAY JOE Dec03 Nov10 Jul14 Jun09 May27 (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CAPTAIN CARDO Dec09 Nov12 Nov02 Oct20 Oct06 (corrales jose)ARAUJO DENIS 123 15.00    
12  ANTIPOISON Dec10 Nov26 Nov19 Nov03 Oct14 (sanchez)BRICENO GREGOR 123 50.00    
SCR  HANALEI'S HOUDINI Nov29 Nov19 Nov01 Oct21 Aug26 (mcmahon hu)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 126 8.00    
 
LRL-6   12/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAIL CALL Oct15 Oct07 Aug12 Jul29 May14 (gamber )BRICENO GREGOR 126 30.00 5% 19.00    
POLICE WOMAN Dec02 Nov17 Oct14 Oct05 Sep09 (woodit jos)MITCHELL RICHARD 126 30.00    
GOODBYE KYLE Oct17 Oct03 Sep15 Aug25 Aug04 (corrales jose)MENA E 125 20.00    
HONOR THE TRUTH Nov23 Nov03 Oct07 Sep15 Aug28 (barr h)KARAMANOS A 125 6.00    
DANCINONTHEBEACH Oct29 Sep24       (sillaman richard)CRUZ ANGEL 125 4.00 61% 0.60    
BALI HAI Nov09 Oct01 Sep04 Jan15 Dec29 (gonzal)LOPEZ EDUARDO 121 12.00    
HARPER'S DO Dec09 Nov15 Oct19 Sep21 Aug23 (serey jr)DELGADO A 122 30.00    
ASHLEE'S RING Nov17 Oct28 Sep30 Sep09 Aug17 (sullivan el)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 125 3.00 5% 19.00    
FASHIONISTA Oct27 Oct05 Sep08 Aug31 Jul21 (allen ferri)ALVELO C 126 2.50 10% 8.70    
10  CORA'S CHOICE Dec13 Nov26 Nov09 Oct27 Oct05 (walters john )ROJAS MARTINA 120 10.00    
11  BALI MOON Nov26 Nov01 Oct18 Sep30 Jan01 (alvarado dia)BATISTA A 122 20.00    
12  CHASING ARTEMIS Dec01 Nov11 Nov01 Oct21 Sep14 (sanchez)ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 20.00    
SCR  KENTUCKY REIGN Nov16 Oct05 Sep04 Aug13 Jul30 (mcmahon hu)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 125 6.00    
SCR  TOUGH ENOUGH Nov16 Oct18 Sep30 Sep22 Sep02 (jones michael)ROJAS MARTINA 117 20.00    
 
LRL-7   12/22/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($58K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  UNCLE IRISH Dec04 Nov07 Oct19 Sep15 Oct13 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 6.00 15% 5.60    
SCR  HELIUM Dec13 Nov27 Oct30 Sep26 Aug28 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 6.00    
SEVEN'S ELEVEN Nov24 Nov02 Oct14 Sep29 Sep08 (mancilla carlos )CRUZ ANGEL 122 2.50 22% 3.50    
SUPREME LAW Nov23 Oct28 Sep13 Aug24 Aug13 (sillaman )CRISPIN ALEXANDER 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
TUNE IN Oct03 Sep09 Aug05 Jun30 May17 (alvarado diane)ROSADO JOHAN 123 15.00    
YOUR ANALYSIS Dec03 Oct30 Oct05 Aug19 Jul08 (gonzalez clau)OCASIO M 126 12.00    
GOING TO THE LEAD Nov23 Oct14 Sep28 Aug20 May04 (gorham michael )MENA E 123 8.00    
ARMANDO R Dec01 Oct26 Aug13 Jul23 Jun17 (dilodovico da)KARAMANOS A 123 10.00    
SCR  JUMP FOR THE WIN Nov30 Nov10 Sep21 Aug09 Jul20 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 126 30.00    
CURLIN'S MALIBU Dec01 Oct12 Sep03 Aug04 Jul14 (atkins willia)ALVELO C 123 20.00    
10  BERKS Dec08 Nov05 Oct13 Aug03 Jul13 (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 126 3.50 41% 1.40    
11  IT'S VIPER Nov05 Oct19 Sep24 Jul29 Jun25 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 6.00    
 
LRL-8   12/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($54K) 2 ALL PT- 3:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISSION BEACH Nov19 Sep04 Aug05     (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 119 1.00 37% 1.70    
UNCLE CAT Oct25 Oct08 Aug26 Jul30 Jul16 (gonzalez cla)LAPRIDA JEREMY 119 4.00    
I KNOW MAP Nov24 Oct26       (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 122 6.00 21% 3.80    
NANCY MADE MY DAY Oct21 Sep29 Aug31 Aug11 Jul14 (cooney sus)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 119 15.00    
ONE WAY TRAFFIC Nov24 Nov03       (salzman john )TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 5.00 15% 5.90    
SCR  STREET TOUGH Dec08 Nov16 Oct14 Sep24 Aug05 (salzman john )CHAVEZ ANDRES 112 30.00    
SCR  SECRET ZIPPER Nov17 Oct07 Aug30     (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 119 20.00    
FORCE OF JUSTICE Dec08 Oct08 Sep04 Aug21 Aug03 (salzman)BRICENO GREGOR 122 8.00    
 
LRL-9   12/22/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUCCEED Dec10 Nov18 Nov07 Sep24 Aug26 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 126 10.00 12% 7.10    
SHOULDHAVEBEENGONE Nov23 Nov10 Oct03 Sep09 Aug13 (martin ramon )CHAVEZ ANDRES 118 20.00    
SCR  PRACTICAL SENSE Dec09 Oct01 Aug25 Aug03 Jul07 (mcmahon hu)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 126 1.20    
RUSHIN TOTHECIRCLE Nov10 Sep16 Aug12 Jul13 Jun28 (clagett christ)BOYCE FOREST 126 30.00    
EL DE CHIMI Nov18 Oct25 Oct04 Sep09 Aug30 (farrior antho)ROJAS MARTINA 120 10.00 7% 12.70    
PRINS FIRE Dec15 Dec01 Nov18 Nov05 Oct19 (serey m)ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 4.50 52% 0.90    
LIGHTNING LAD Nov23 Oct28 Oct06 Sep17 Jul20 (milosevic mil)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 12.00 6% 17.10    
MOON SIGN Dec01 Nov11 Oct21 Oct06 Sep07 (pradenas)RODRIGUEZ L 111 8.00    
BOLD HONOR Nov23 Oct19 Sep29 Sep10 Aug11 (eubanks annette )CRUZ ANGEL 122 8.00    
10  FEDERAL OFFENSE Nov23 Oct21 Oct01 Sep10 Jun03 (mcmullen ma)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 126 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.