Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Friday - December 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/3)-(2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/3)-(7/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/5/3)-(7/6/1)-(7/5/6/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-2   WIN (7/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/1)-(7/6/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/6/1)-(7/6/1/4)-(7/6/1/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/6/1)-(7/5/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/6/1)-(7/5/6/3)-(6/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PEN-3   WIN (7/5/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/6/3)-(7/5/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/6/3)-(7/5/6/3)-(7/5/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/6/3)-(6/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (7/5/6/3)-(6/2)-(3/4/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PEN-4   WIN (6/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/2)-(6/2/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/2)-(6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (6/2)-(3/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/2)-(3/4/6)-(1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PEN-5   WIN (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/6)-(3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/6)-(1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/4/6)-(1/3)-(3/1/8/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PEN-6   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/3/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/3)-(1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (1/3)-(3/1/8/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
PEN-7   WIN (3/1/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/8/5)-(3/1/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/8/5)-(3/1/8/5)-(3/1/8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   12/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEGAL DEAL Nov20 Oct24 Sep26 Sep19 Jul15 (ness jamie)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 2.50    
2  HORN OF PLENTY Oct17 Sep21 Sep01 Jul31 May21 (jacobson )RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00 28% 2.50    
3  ALEXIS S Oct07 Sep23 Aug22 Jul15 May29 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 120 6.00 11% 8.40    
4  BEST DEFENSE Nov02 Sep01 Aug19 Jul14 Jun16 (houghton )HERNANDEZ A 121 3.50    
5  EAGLES CRY Nov30 Nov17 Oct25 Oct16 Sep21 (stites flint )ROJAS MARTINA 115 6.00 23% 3.40    
6  ROMANTIC GAMBLE Aug04 Jun10 May19 Apr29 Mar25 (chircop steven)TORRES JOMAR 120 4.00    
 
PEN-2   12/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($19K) 2 ALL PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REBEL INVASION Sep15 Aug21 May01     (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 120 6.00 16% 5.30    
2  EMPTY MY POUCH Oct24 Oct10 Sep27 Sep06 Aug23 (gelrod)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 113 6.00    
3  CHASIN' WHISKEY Nov29 Nov03 Oct26 Oct03 Sep15 (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 8.00    
4  OUR ANDREW B Dec01 Sep06 Aug21 Aug02   (houghton th)INIRIO J 120 4.50 ★    
5  TAPACHILL Nov15 Sep06       (crook-dem)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00    
6  SAVAGE DRAGON Nov06 Sep05 Aug22 Jul19   (montoya marya)ADORNO ABNER 120 3.00 24% 3.20    
7  CALI HEAT Dec01 Nov03 Sep30 Aug13   (salvaggio)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.50 25% 3.00    
 
PEN-3   12/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAKE ME LUCKY Nov03 Sep22       (stites will)INIRIO J 122 10.00    
2  YO NESSROUNDONKERN Nov01 Oct24 Sep13 Aug21 Aug13 (ramirez sil)RAMOS C 120 8.00    
3  GET DOWN BROWN Sep13 Aug24 Jul27 Jun16 May26 (stites w)TORRES JOMAR 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  RENEWING VOWS Mar22 Jan12 Oct28 Oct06   (bennett ju)MENDOZA JHONATAN 119 12.00    
5  KEEPING IT COUNTRY Nov24 Nov02 Sep07 Aug02 Jul06 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 2.50 30% 2.30    
6  HOUGHTON SHUFFLE Nov24         (houghton thomas)CORA D 123 3.50 11% 8.30    
7  UNCLE DAR Nov24 Oct24 Sep20 Aug22 Jul07 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 119 3.00 38% 1.60    
8  LILTONYTWOPHONES Nov24 Nov02 May26 May04 Mar31 (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 120 8.00    
 
PEN-4   12/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHORT OF DINERO Nov17 Oct25       (deiter kelly)HALLIDAY VINCE 123 8.00 ★    
  (by LONG RIVER out of QUIET DINERO by REAL QUIET)
2  NANCY SPAIN Oct18 Aug31 Dec31 Nov18   (lynch cat)RODRIGUEZ R 123 1.80 21% 3.70    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of BELLA DORATO by GOLDMINERS GOLD)
3  B B QUEEN Nov30 Nov02       (wolfe j)INIRIO J 124 12.00    
  (by THE BIG BEAST out of BIG SHOT BABY by LIL'S LAD)
SCR  BACK ON STAGE Nov30 Nov02 Sep13     (graham edward)CORA D 123 3.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of ENCORE SARITTA by CONSOLIDATOR)
5  UPTOWN CHARLY GIRL Nov30 Nov17       (stowers miche)ROJAS MARTINA 118 20.00    
  (by UPTOWNCHARLYBROWN out of QUARTET by BELLAMY ROAD)
6  INVEST WISELY Nov19 Sep22 Aug09 Oct22 Sep23 (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 1.50 55% 0.80    
  (by JUSTIFY out of EMMA'S ENCORE by CONGRATS)
 
PEN-5   12/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LET'S GO MO Dec01 Nov08 Oct18 Sep21 Aug31 (miller marlin)ROJAS MARTINA 117 8.00    
2  DISCO DAISY Nov30 Nov01 Sep11 Aug23   (kravets m)CHIAPPE R 124 3.00    
3  LONDON LADY Dec01 Nov16 Nov01 Oct08 Sep21 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 122 2.50 43% 1.30    
4  MY SWEET SUMMER Nov22 Nov13 Oct04 Aug22 Jun23 (grusmark ka)INIRIO J 121 2.00 33% 2.00    
5  RIGHTOFFTHEBENCH Dec01 Nov08 Oct03 Sep21 Sep06 (stites w)CORA D 121 8.00    
6  CURLIN'S DOVE Nov16 Oct26 Oct05 Sep14 Aug24 (lucas bon)RODRIGUEZ R 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-6   12/15/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I'M NOT A BABY Nov16 Oct25 Sep06 Aug06 Jul21 (agnew naois)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 2.50 65% 0.50    
2  STORMY FIRE Nov23 Nov08 Oct28 Oct06 Sep24 (demario charles)BEATO INOEL 121 6.00 ★    
3  LUDO Nov29 Oct25 Oct12 Sep30 Feb06 (albright r)AGUILAR M 122 6.00 6% 16.40    
SCR  BUSHWICK BRUISER Nov29 Oct25 Oct11 Sep27 Aug10 (deiter kelly)HALLIDAY VINCE 122 3.50    
5  GREATEST WARRIOR Nov29 Nov01 Oct13 May18 Mar31 (albright ge)INIRIO J 121 8.00    
6  MAKOTO Nov29 Nov01 Sep16 Aug30 Aug19 (jacavone john)ROJAS MARTINA 117 6.00    
7  SPIRITUAL GHOST Dec01 Nov10 Oct08 Sep17 Aug05 (mckenzie )HERNANDEZ F 122 4.00    
 
PEN-7   12/15/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEACHER DRAMA Nov08 Sep08 Aug24 Jul21 Jun16 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 124 5.00 17% 5.00    
2  BAMBOO GARDEN Nov24 Oct11 Sep13 Sep02 Jul09 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 124 10.00    
3  ALWAJD Nov24 Oct26 Sep13 Aug24 Jun22 (graci a)AGUILAR M 124 2.00 52% 0.90    
4  CANOOCHEE Nov29 Nov10 Oct30 Oct11 Sep27 (ramirez sil)PAREDES JHOVANY 117 8.00    
5  PRUSSIAN BLUE Nov02 Oct19 Sep15 Aug24 Aug09 (stites p)CHIAPPE R 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  CIRCLE OF COURAGE Nov02 Oct19 Oct05 Sep07 Aug05 (lawrence jame)ROJAS MARTINA 119 3.00    
7  ARCTICA Nov24 Aug18 Jul14 Jun16 May25 (flores l)FLORES E 124 20.00    
8  SWITCHRATTLENROLL Nov08 Jul19 Jun29 May25 May11 (zalalas michae)TORRES JOMAR 124 6.00 9% 9.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.